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Yield Curve Modeling and Forecasting

Yield Curve Modeling and Forecasting PDF Author: Francis X. Diebold
Publisher: Princeton University Press
ISBN: 0691146802
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 223

Book Description
Understanding the dynamic evolution of the yield curve is critical to many financial tasks, including pricing financial assets and their derivatives, managing financial risk, allocating portfolios, structuring fiscal debt, conducting monetary policy, and valuing capital goods. Unfortunately, most yield curve models tend to be theoretically rigorous but empirically disappointing, or empirically successful but theoretically lacking. In this book, Francis Diebold and Glenn Rudebusch propose two extensions of the classic yield curve model of Nelson and Siegel that are both theoretically rigorous and empirically successful. The first extension is the dynamic Nelson-Siegel model (DNS), while the second takes this dynamic version and makes it arbitrage-free (AFNS). Diebold and Rudebusch show how these two models are just slightly different implementations of a single unified approach to dynamic yield curve modeling and forecasting. They emphasize both descriptive and efficient-markets aspects, they pay special attention to the links between the yield curve and macroeconomic fundamentals, and they show why DNS and AFNS are likely to remain of lasting appeal even as alternative arbitrage-free models are developed. Based on the Econometric and Tinbergen Institutes Lectures, Yield Curve Modeling and Forecasting contains essential tools with enhanced utility for academics, central banks, governments, and industry.

Yield Curve Modeling and Forecasting

Yield Curve Modeling and Forecasting PDF Author: Francis X. Diebold
Publisher: Princeton University Press
ISBN: 0691146802
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 223

Book Description
Understanding the dynamic evolution of the yield curve is critical to many financial tasks, including pricing financial assets and their derivatives, managing financial risk, allocating portfolios, structuring fiscal debt, conducting monetary policy, and valuing capital goods. Unfortunately, most yield curve models tend to be theoretically rigorous but empirically disappointing, or empirically successful but theoretically lacking. In this book, Francis Diebold and Glenn Rudebusch propose two extensions of the classic yield curve model of Nelson and Siegel that are both theoretically rigorous and empirically successful. The first extension is the dynamic Nelson-Siegel model (DNS), while the second takes this dynamic version and makes it arbitrage-free (AFNS). Diebold and Rudebusch show how these two models are just slightly different implementations of a single unified approach to dynamic yield curve modeling and forecasting. They emphasize both descriptive and efficient-markets aspects, they pay special attention to the links between the yield curve and macroeconomic fundamentals, and they show why DNS and AFNS are likely to remain of lasting appeal even as alternative arbitrage-free models are developed. Based on the Econometric and Tinbergen Institutes Lectures, Yield Curve Modeling and Forecasting contains essential tools with enhanced utility for academics, central banks, governments, and industry.

Bond Pricing and Yield Curve Modeling

Bond Pricing and Yield Curve Modeling PDF Author: Riccardo Rebonato
Publisher:
ISBN: 1107165857
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 781

Book Description
Rebonato provides an authoritative, clear, and up-to-date explanation of the cutting-edge innovations in affine modeling for government bonds, and provides readers with the precise tools to develop their own models. This book combines precise theory with up-to-date empirical evidence to build, with the minimum mathematical sophistication required for the task, a critical understanding of what drives the government bond market.

Analysing and Interpreting the Yield Curve

Analysing and Interpreting the Yield Curve PDF Author: Moorad Choudhry
Publisher: John Wiley & Sons
ISBN: 1119141052
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 390

Book Description
Understand and interpret the global debt capital markets Now in a completely updated and expanded edition, this is a technical guide to the yield curve, a key indicator of the global capital markets and the understanding and accurate prediction of which is critical to all market participants. Being able to accurately and timely predict the shape and direction of the curve permits practitioners to consistently outperform the market. Analysing and Interpreting the Yield Curve, 2nd Edition describes what the yield curve is, explains what it tells participants, outlines the significance of certain shapes that the curve assumes and, most importantly, demonstrates what factors drive it and how it is modelled and used. Covers the FTP curve, the multi-currency curve, CSA, OIS-Libor and 3-curve models Gets you up to speed on the secured curve Describes application of theoretical versus market curve relative value trading Explains the concept of the risk-free rate Accessible demonstration of curve interpolation best-practice using cubic spline, Nelson-Siegel and Svensson 94 models This advanced text is essential reading for traders, asset managers, bankers and financial analysts, as well as graduate students in banking and finance.

Yield Curve Modeling

Yield Curve Modeling PDF Author: Y. Stander
Publisher: Springer
ISBN: 0230513743
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 202

Book Description
This book will give the reader insight into how to model yield curves in our incomplete and imperfect financial markets. An extensive list of yield curve models are shown and discussed. Using actual market instruments, these models are then applied and the different yield curves are compared. It is assumed that the reader has a basic understanding of the financial instruments available in the market. Various issues that have to be taken into account in practice are discussed, like daycount conventions, business-day rules, the credit quality of the instrument and liquidity to name but a few. It is also shown how yield curves can be used to estimate credit spreads and country risk premiums. Creating a yield curve model has some implications in risk management. Specifically - the model, operational, liquidity and basis risks are discussed.

A Practitioner's Guide to Discrete-Time Yield Curve Modelling

A Practitioner's Guide to Discrete-Time Yield Curve Modelling PDF Author: Ken Nyholm
Publisher: Cambridge University Press
ISBN: 1108982301
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 152

Book Description
This Element is intended for students and practitioners as a gentle and intuitive introduction to the field of discrete-time yield curve modelling. I strive to be as comprehensive as possible, while still adhering to the overall premise of putting a strong focus on practical applications. In addition to a thorough description of the Nelson-Siegel family of model, the Element contains a section on the intuitive relationship between P and Q measures, one on how the structure of a Nelson-Siegel model can be retained in the arbitrage-free framework, and a dedicated section that provides a detailed explanation for the Joslin, Singleton, and Zhu (2011) model.

Interest Rate Modelling in the Multi-Curve Framework

Interest Rate Modelling in the Multi-Curve Framework PDF Author: M. Henrard
Publisher: Springer
ISBN: 1137374667
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 300

Book Description
Following the financial crisis dramatic market changes, a new standard in interest rate modelling emerged, called the multi-curve framework. The author provides a detailed analysis of the framework, through its foundations, evolution and implementation. The book also covers recent extensions to collateral and stochastic spreads modelling.

Yield Curve Modelling at the Bank of Canada

Yield Curve Modelling at the Bank of Canada PDF Author: David Bolder
Publisher:
ISBN: 9780662276029
Category : Government securities
Languages : en
Pages : 56

Book Description


Term-Structure Models

Term-Structure Models PDF Author: Damir Filipovic
Publisher: Springer Science & Business Media
ISBN: 3540680152
Category : Mathematics
Languages : en
Pages : 259

Book Description
Changing interest rates constitute one of the major risk sources for banks, insurance companies, and other financial institutions. Modeling the term-structure movements of interest rates is a challenging task. This volume gives an introduction to the mathematics of term-structure models in continuous time. It includes practical aspects for fixed-income markets such as day-count conventions, duration of coupon-paying bonds and yield curve construction; arbitrage theory; short-rate models; the Heath-Jarrow-Morton methodology; consistent term-structure parametrizations; affine diffusion processes and option pricing with Fourier transform; LIBOR market models; and credit risk. The focus is on a mathematically straightforward but rigorous development of the theory. Students, researchers and practitioners will find this volume very useful. Each chapter ends with a set of exercises, that provides source for homework and exam questions. Readers are expected to be familiar with elementary Itô calculus, basic probability theory, and real and complex analysis.

Yield Curve Dynamics

Yield Curve Dynamics PDF Author: Ronald J. Ryan
Publisher: Global Professional Publishi
ISBN: 9781888998061
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 240

Book Description
� Invaluable to financial professionals � Breakthrough that examines both theory and practical solutions Examines both the advanced theory and practice of these techniques. Topics include: single- and multi-factor models; applying yield-curve modeling to risk management; forecasting short-term interest rates; unique yield-curve volatility; and trading strategies.

An Elementary Introduction to Stochastic Interest Rate Modeling

An Elementary Introduction to Stochastic Interest Rate Modeling PDF Author: Nicolas Privault
Publisher: World Scientific
ISBN: 9814390860
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 243

Book Description
Interest rate modeling and the pricing of related derivatives remain subjects of increasing importance in financial mathematics and risk management. This book provides an accessible introduction to these topics by a step-by-step presentation of concepts with a focus on explicit calculations. Each chapter is accompanied with exercises and their complete solutions, making the book suitable for advanced undergraduate and graduate level students. This second edition retains the main features of the first edition while incorporating a complete revision of the text as well as additional exercises with their solutions, and a new introductory chapter on credit risk. The stochastic interest rate models considered range from standard short rate to forward rate models, with a treatment of the pricing of related derivatives such as caps and swaptions under forward measures. Some more advanced topics including the BGM model and an approach to its calibration are also covered.