What Determines U.S. Swap Spreads? PDF Download

Author: 3/4dm̀ Kb̤or
Publisher: World Bank Publications
ISBN: 9780821363386
Category :
Languages : en
Pages : 60

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Author: Ádám Kóbor
Publisher: World Bank Publications
ISBN:
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 64

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References p. 45-47.

Author: Bernadette A. Minton
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category :
Languages : en
Pages :

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The structure of a plain vanilla interest rate swap is such that its cash flows can be replicated by a portfolio of two bonds or by a portfolio of short-term interest rate futures contracts. Swap pricing, therefore, should be closely related to the pricing of these underlying instruments. This paper estimates the determinants of U.S. dollar swap spreads to test whether the pricing relationships between swaps, bonds and futures hold. Swap spreads are positively related to interest rate volatility and the corporate quality spread, and negatively related to the term spread and level of the interest rate. Short-term over-the-counter swap rates are highly correlated with swap rates calculated using Eurodollar futures prices. While exchange-traded implied swap spreads are statistically related to yield curve factors, they are not related to corporate quality spreads. Overall, the results in this paper suggest that swaps are not equivalent to portfolios of bonds or futures contracts due in part to the differences in the credit risk in each instrument.

Author: Young Ho Eom
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category :
Languages : en
Pages : 37

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We investigate the Japanese yen and U.S. dollar interest rate swap markets during the period 1990-2000, by examining the spreads of the swap rates over comparable treasury yields (on Japanese Government Bonds (JGBs) and U.S. Treasury bonds, respectively) for different maturities. We then analyze the transmission of shocks in the swap spreads and their volatilities from one market to the other. Our main findings are: (1) the correlations between the yen and dollar interest swap spreads are low, indicating that the credit risk factor is country-specific, rather than global in nature, (2) the changes in the dollar interest rate swap spreads quot;Granger-causequot; the changes in the spreads of yen interest rate swaps for the long (10-year) maturities, but the causality does not run the other way, (3) yen swap spreads are highly correlated with the interest rate differentials between the two markets, and the interest rate differentials have a significant impact on subsequent movements in the yen swap spreads, (4) the transmission of the volatility of swap spreads is strong from the dollar to the yen markets and relatively weak in the other direction, and (5) shocks to the dollar swap spread have an asymmetric impact on the volatilities of the spreads in both the yen and dollar swap markets, i.e., an increase in the dollar swap spread leads to higher future volatility of the spreads in both swap markets, but a decrease does not. These empirical results suggest that specific institutional aspects, such as illiquidity and market frictions, may have affected the yen interest swap market more than its dollar counterpart.

Author: Ying Sophie Huang
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category :
Languages : en
Pages :

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This paper analyzes the asymmetric impacts of various economic shocks on swap spreads under distinct Fed monetary policy regimes. The results indicate that (a) during periods of aggressive interest rate reductions, slope of the Treasury term structure accounts for a sizeable share of the swap spread variance although default shock is also a major player. (b) On the other hand, liquidity premium is the only contributor to the 2-year swap spread variance in monetary tightening cycles. (c) The impact of default risk varies across both monetary cycles and swap maturities. (d) The effect of interest rate volatility is generally more evident in loosening monetary regimes.

Author: Julian Alworth
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category : Dollar, American
Languages : en
Pages : 50

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Author: Ying Sophie Huang
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category :
Languages : en
Pages :

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This note explores the temporal relationship among US interest rate swap spreads, US corporate credit spreads, LIBOR and the shape of the Treasury yield curve by performing cointegration test and estimating an error correction model. One cointegrating relationship is found, implying that a single common factor underlies these time series and a stable long-run linear relationship exists among them. In addition, the obtained cointegrating vector provides evidence for the existence of complex dynamics between the swap and the equity markets in the US.

Author: Hua He
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category :
Languages : en
Pages : 50

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Book Description
Swap spreads, the interest rate differentials between the fixed rates on fixed-for-floating swap contracts and the yeilds-to-maturity on maturity-matched government bonds, define a market for one of the most actively transacted securities in the global fixed-income arena. A large universe of fixed-income securities including corporate bonds and mortgaged-back securities use interest rate swap spreads as a key benchmark for pricing and hedging. Swap spreads have received renewed attention since the Fall of 1998 when their volatile movements contributed in a significant way to the financial turmoil that led the US Fed to cut short-term interest rates by 75 basis points. In this paper we present new insights on how to analyze term structure of interest swap spreads. Specificaly, we focus on the determinants of swap spreads and show how quantities such as the spread of short-term LIBOR over GC-repo rates, the liquidity premium commended by government bond, and the risk premium required for holding long-term bonds/swaps jointly determine term structures of swap spreads.

Author: Carl R. Beidleman
Publisher: Irwin Professional Publishing
ISBN:
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 550

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Book Description
This broad overview of swaps brings you the experience of prominent international authorities who explain how to effectively manage interest rate risk.

Author: Cho-Hoi Hui
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category :
Languages : en
Pages : 0

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This paper investigates the determinants of variations in the yield spreads (swap spreads) between Hong Kong dollar interest rate swaps and Exchange Fund paper for a period from July 2002 to April 2008. A vector error-correction model is used to analyze the impact of various shocks on swap spreads. The issue is whether "liquidity" or "credit" (or both) is the main determinant of swap spread dynamics. The results show that the dynamics are influenced significantly by "credit" between July 2002 and September 2007. However, "liquidity" between the Exchange Fund long-term notes and short-term bills is the major determinant of swap spreads between September 2007 and April 2008. The substantial demand of the Exchange Fund short-term bills, that reflected the strong preference of market participants for holding short-term instruments for liquidity purposes probably due to the sub-prime crisis in the US, is the driving force of the rise in swap spreads in the last quarter of 2007.