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We Are All in the Same Boat: Cross-Border Spillovers of Climate Risk through International Trade and Supply Chain

We Are All in the Same Boat: Cross-Border Spillovers of Climate Risk through International Trade and Supply Chain PDF Author: Alan Feng
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
ISBN: 1513564587
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 57

Book Description
Are assets in a landlocked country subject to sea-level rise risk? In this paper, we study the cross-border spillovers of physical climate risks through international trade and supply chain linkages. As we base our findings on historical data between 1970 and 2018, we observe that globalization increased the similarity of countries’ global climate risk exposures. Exposures to foreign climatic disasters in major trade partner countries (both upstream and downstream) lower the home-country stock market valuation for the aggregate market and for the tradable sectors. We also find that exposures to foreign long-term climate change risks reduce the asset price valuations of the tradable sectors at home. Findings in this paper suggest that climate adaptation efforts in a country can have positive externalities on other countries’ macrofinancial performance and stability through international trade.

We Are All in the Same Boat: Cross-Border Spillovers of Climate Risk through International Trade and Supply Chain

We Are All in the Same Boat: Cross-Border Spillovers of Climate Risk through International Trade and Supply Chain PDF Author: Alan Feng
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
ISBN: 1513564587
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 57

Book Description
Are assets in a landlocked country subject to sea-level rise risk? In this paper, we study the cross-border spillovers of physical climate risks through international trade and supply chain linkages. As we base our findings on historical data between 1970 and 2018, we observe that globalization increased the similarity of countries’ global climate risk exposures. Exposures to foreign climatic disasters in major trade partner countries (both upstream and downstream) lower the home-country stock market valuation for the aggregate market and for the tradable sectors. We also find that exposures to foreign long-term climate change risks reduce the asset price valuations of the tradable sectors at home. Findings in this paper suggest that climate adaptation efforts in a country can have positive externalities on other countries’ macrofinancial performance and stability through international trade.

We are All in the Same Boat

We are All in the Same Boat PDF Author: Alan Feng
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category :
Languages : en
Pages : 0

Book Description
Are land locked countries subject to sea-level rise risk? We highlight a new mechanism by which physical climate shocks affects countries' macro-financial performance: the cross-border spillover effects that propagate through international trade. Basing our findings on historical data between 1970 and 2019, we find that climate disasters that strike the transport infrastructure - ports - decrease the affected country's imports and exports and reduce economic output in major trade partner (both upstream and downstream) countries. Climate disasters reduce stock market returns in the aggregate market and tradable sectors of the major trade partner countries. Exposures to foreign long-term climate change risks reduce the asset price valuations of the tradable sectors at home. As a result, climate adaptation efforts in one country can have a positive impact on macro-financial performance and stability in other countries through international trade.

Cross-Border Risks of a Global Economy in Mid-Transition

Cross-Border Risks of a Global Economy in Mid-Transition PDF Author: Etienne Espagne
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
ISBN:
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 57

Book Description
This paper analyzes the cross-border risks that could result from a decarbonization of the world economy. We develop a typology of cross-border risks and their respective channels. Our qualitative and quantitative scenario analysis suggests that the mid-transition – a period during which fossil-fuel and low-carbon energy systems co-exist and transform at a rapid pace – could have profound stability and resilience implications for global trade and the international financial system.

Climate Change and Energy Security: The Dilemma Or Opportunity of the Century?

Climate Change and Energy Security: The Dilemma Or Opportunity of the Century? PDF Author: Mr. Serhan Cevik
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
ISBN:
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 20

Book Description
This paper investigates the connection between climate change and energy security in Europe and provides empirical evidence that these issues are the two faces of the same coin. Using a panel of 39 countries in Europe over the period 1980–2019, the empirical analysis presented in this paper indicates that increasing the share of nuclear, renewables, and other non-hydrocarbon energy and improving energy efficiency could lead to a significant reduction in carbon emissions and improve energy security throughout Europe. Accordingly, policies and reforms aimed at shifting away from hydrocarbons and increasing energy efficiency in distribution and consumption are key to mitigating climate change, reducing energy dependence, and minimizing exposure to energy price volatility.

Ecuador: Selected Issues

Ecuador: Selected Issues PDF Author: International Monetary
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
ISBN: 1513599275
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 52

Book Description
Selected Issues

Sectoral Impact and Propagation of Weather Shocks

Sectoral Impact and Propagation of Weather Shocks PDF Author: Guglielmo Zappalà
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
ISBN:
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 85

Book Description
Local weather shocks have been shown to affect local economic output, however, little is known about their propagation through production networks. Using a six-sector global dataset over the past fifty years, this paper examines the effect of weather fluctuations and extreme weather events on sectoral economic production and the transmission of weather shocks across sectors, countries and over time. I document that agriculture is the most harmed sector by heat shocks, droughts and cyclones. Using input-output interlinkages, I find that sectors at later stages of the supply chain suffer from substantial and persistent losses over time due to domestic and foreign heat shocks in other sectors. A counterfactual analysis of the average annual output loss accounting for heat shocks across trade partners shows a substantial underestimation of the economic cost of temperature increases since 2000.

Economic Principles for Integrating Adaptation to Climate Change Into Fiscal Policy

Economic Principles for Integrating Adaptation to Climate Change Into Fiscal Policy PDF Author: Mr. Matthieu Bellon
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
ISBN: 1513592378
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 34

Book Description
Adaptation to climate change is a necessity for advanced and developing economies alike. Policymakers face the challenge of facilitating this transition. This Note argues that adaptation to climate change should be part of a holistic development strategy involving both private and public sector responses. Governments can prioritize public investment in adaptation programs with positive externalities, address market imperfections and policies that make private adaptation inefficient, and mobilize revenues for, and distribute the benefits of, adaptation. Although the choice of what should be done and at what cost ultimately depends on each society’s preferences, economic theory provides a useful framework to maximize the impact of public spending. Cost-benefit analysis, complemented by the analysis of distributional effects, can be used to prioritize adaptation programs as well as all other development programs to promote an efficient and just transition to a changed climate. While compensations may be needed to offset damages that are either impossible or too expensive to abate, subsidies for adaptation require careful calibration to prevent excessive risk taking.

Mobilizing Private Climate Financing in Emerging Market and Developing Economies

Mobilizing Private Climate Financing in Emerging Market and Developing Economies PDF Author: Mr. Ananthakrishnan Prasad
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
ISBN:
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 41

Book Description
Global investment to achieve the Paris Agreement’s temperature and adaptation goals requires immediate actions—first and foremost—on climate policies. Policies should be accompanied by commensurate financing flows to close the large financing gap globally, and in emerging market and developing economies (EMDEs) in particular. This note discusses potential ways to mobilize domestic and foreign private sector capital in climate finance, as a complement to climate-related policies, by mitigating relevant risks and constraints through public-private partnerships involving multilateral, regional, and national development banks. It also overviews the role the IMF can play in the process.

The Role of Trade in Ending Poverty

The Role of Trade in Ending Poverty PDF Author:
Publisher:
ISBN: 9789287042323
Category :
Languages : en
Pages : 0

Book Description
The Role of Trade in Ending Poverty looks at the complex relationships between economic growth, poverty reduction and trade, and examines the challenges that poor people face in benefiting from trade opportunities. Written jointly by the World Bank Group and the WTO, the publication examines how trade could make a greater contribution to ending poverty by increasing efforts to lower trade costs, improve the enabling environment, implement trade policy in conjunction with other areas of policy, better manage risks faced by the poor, and improve data used for policy-making.

Globalization, Growth, and Poverty

Globalization, Growth, and Poverty PDF Author: Paul Collier
Publisher: World Bank Publications
ISBN: 9780821350485
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 202

Book Description
Globalization - the growing integration of economies and societies around the world, is a complex process. The focus of this research is the impact of economic integration on developing countries and especially the poor people living in these countries. Whether economic integration supports poverty reduction and how it can do so more effectively are key questions asked. The research yields 3 main findings with bearings on current policy debates about globalization. Firstly, poor countries with some 3 billion people have broken into the global market for manufactures and services, and this successful integration has generally supported poverty reduction. Secondly, inclusion both across countries and within them is important as a number of countries (pop. 2 billion) are failing as states, trading less and less, and becoming marginal to the world economy. Thirdly, standardization or homogenization is a concern - will economic integration lead to cultural or institutional homogenization?