Volatility and Spillover Effects of Oil and Food Price Shocks

Volatility and Spillover Effects of Oil and Food Price Shocks PDF Author: Md Fardous Alom
Publisher: LAP Lambert Academic Publishing
ISBN: 9783847349020
Category :
Languages : en
Pages : 152

Book Description
The skyrocketing prices of oil and food are matters of great concerns for consumers, producers, national and international bodies. This book adresses this aspect in five independent but related essays. The first two essays model the extent of volatility of oil and food price shocks. Third essay examines the cross country mean and volatility spillover effects of food prices while the fourth essay investigates the spillover effects of oil prices on the food prices of selected Asia and Pacific countries. Finally, the fifth essay assesses the economic impacts of oil and food prices in the context of selected Asia and Pacific countries. Overall, the findings show that both oil and food prices have persistence effets on the volatility while the evidence of asymmetry is mixed; there is considerable cross country mean and volatility spillover effects of food prices; oil prices positively spillover to food prices and the impacts of oil and food prices to macroeconomic variables are dependent on the economic characteristics of individual economies.

Oil Price Volatility Spillover Effects on Food Prices in Nigeria

Oil Price Volatility Spillover Effects on Food Prices in Nigeria PDF Author: Azeez R. Oluwaseyi
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category :
Languages : en
Pages : 75

Book Description
Studies have been done on oil price volatility spillover effects on the prices of food in both pre-crisis and post-crisis periods. However, what has been sparingly studied is oil price volatility spillover effects on urban prices of food and rural prices of food. The disparity in the rural-urban spending in Nigeria is an area that can further be explored by evaluating the effects of oil price volatility spillover on prices of food in these areas. This study therefore adopts GARCH (1, 1)-TY model to evaluate the impulse response function and variance decomposition of these effects on prices of food in pre-crisis and post-crisis periods. Findings show that in full sample and post-crisis periods both aggregate price of food (APF) and urban average price of food (APFU) positively respond to oil price shocks while rural average price of food (APFR) responds negatively to oil price shocks. However, the response of the urban average price of food proves to be more significant in the post-crisis periods as it appears relatively most affected in this period by a greater percentage of oil price shocks.

Essays on the Volatility and Spillover Effects of Oil and Food Price Shocks

Essays on the Volatility and Spillover Effects of Oil and Food Price Shocks PDF Author: Fardous Alom
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category : Petroleum products
Languages : en
Pages : 334

Book Description


Dynamic Linkages and Volatility Spillover

Dynamic Linkages and Volatility Spillover PDF Author: Bhaskar Bagchi
Publisher: Emerald Group Publishing
ISBN: 1786355531
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 225

Book Description
This book examines the dynamic relationship and volatility spillovers between crude oil prices, exchange rates and stock markets of emerging economies. Unfortunately very little research has been conducted to analyze the volatility spillovers and dynamic relationship between crude oil prices, exchange rates and stock markets of India.

Food Price Volatility and Its Implications for Food Security and Policy

Food Price Volatility and Its Implications for Food Security and Policy PDF Author: Matthias Kalkuhl
Publisher: Springer
ISBN: 3319282018
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 620

Book Description
This book provides fresh insights into concepts, methods and new research findings on the causes of excessive food price volatility. It also discusses the implications for food security and policy responses to mitigate excessive volatility. The approaches applied by the contributors range from on-the-ground surveys, to panel econometrics and innovative high-frequency time series analysis as well as computational economics methods. It offers policy analysts and decision-makers guidance on dealing with extreme volatility.

The Intended and Unintended Effects of U.S. Agricultural and Biotechnology Policies

The Intended and Unintended Effects of U.S. Agricultural and Biotechnology Policies PDF Author: Joshua S. Graff Zivin
Publisher: University of Chicago Press
ISBN: 0226988031
Category : Art
Languages : en
Pages : 310

Book Description
Using economic models and empirical analysis, this volume examines a wide range of agricultural and biofuel policy issues and their effects on American agricultural and related agrarian insurance markets. Beginning with a look at the distribution of funds by insurance programs—created to support farmers but often benefiting crop processors instead—the book then examines the demand for biofuel and the effects of biofuel policies on agricultural price uncertainty. Also discussed are genetically engineered crops, which are assuming an increasingly important role in arbitrating tensions between energy production, environmental protection, and the global food supply. Other contributions discuss the major effects of genetic engineering on worldwide food markets. By addressing some of the most challenging topics at the intersection of agriculture and biotechnology, this volume informs crucial debates.

The Distributional Implications of the Impact of Fuel Price Increases on Inflation

The Distributional Implications of the Impact of Fuel Price Increases on Inflation PDF Author: Mr. Kangni R Kpodar
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
ISBN: 1616356154
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 34

Book Description
This paper investigates the response of consumer price inflation to changes in domestic fuel prices, looking at the different categories of the overall consumer price index (CPI). We then combine household survey data with the CPI components to construct a CPI index for the poorest and richest income quintiles with the view to assess the distributional impact of the pass-through. To undertake this analysis, the paper provides an update to the Global Monthly Retail Fuel Price Database, expanding the product coverage to premium and regular fuels, the time dimension to December 2020, and the sample to 190 countries. Three key findings stand out. First, the response of inflation to gasoline price shocks is smaller, but more persistent and broad-based in developing economies than in advanced economies. Second, we show that past studies using crude oil prices instead of retail fuel prices to estimate the pass-through to inflation significantly underestimate it. Third, while the purchasing power of all households declines as fuel prices increase, the distributional impact is progressive. But the progressivity phases out within 6 months after the shock in advanced economies, whereas it persists beyond a year in developing countries.

Impacts of Oil Price Shocks on Stock Market Volatility

Impacts of Oil Price Shocks on Stock Market Volatility PDF Author: Andrea Bastianin
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category : Electronic book
Languages : en
Pages :

Book Description


Bayesian Multivariate Time Series Methods for Empirical Macroeconomics

Bayesian Multivariate Time Series Methods for Empirical Macroeconomics PDF Author: Gary Koop
Publisher: Now Publishers Inc
ISBN: 160198362X
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 104

Book Description
Bayesian Multivariate Time Series Methods for Empirical Macroeconomics provides a survey of the Bayesian methods used in modern empirical macroeconomics. These models have been developed to address the fact that most questions of interest to empirical macroeconomists involve several variables and must be addressed using multivariate time series methods. Many different multivariate time series models have been used in macroeconomics, but Vector Autoregressive (VAR) models have been among the most popular. Bayesian Multivariate Time Series Methods for Empirical Macroeconomics reviews and extends the Bayesian literature on VARs, TVP-VARs and TVP-FAVARs with a focus on the practitioner. The authors go beyond simply defining each model, but specify how to use them in practice, discuss the advantages and disadvantages of each and offer tips on when and why each model can be used.

Global Implications of Lower Oil Prices

Global Implications of Lower Oil Prices PDF Author: Mr.Aasim M. Husain
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
ISBN: 151357227X
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 41

Book Description
The sharp drop in oil prices is one of the most important global economic developments over the past year. The SDN finds that (i) supply factors have played a somewhat larger role than demand factors in driving the oil price drop, (ii) a substantial part of the price decline is expected to persist into the medium term, although there is large uncertainty, (iii) lower oil prices will support global growth, (iv) the sharp oil price drop could still trigger financial strains, and (v) policy responses should depend on the terms-of-trade impact, fiscal and external vulnerabilities, and domestic cyclical position.