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Author: Elgilani E. Elshareif Publisher: ISBN: Category : Languages : en Pages :
Book Description
This paper analyzes the behavior of Malaysian stock market during the intervals of high uncertainty. It highlights the impact of unexpected volatility shifts on this small emerging Asian market, in terms of its efficiency and returns, during the past two decades. The purpose of this study is achieved through the Iterated-Cumulative-Sum-of-Squares-in-Volatility model (ICSS-EGARCH-M Model), which is one of the new approaches in market efficiency studies. The empirical results indicate the rejection of efficient market hypothesis for the market when sudden volatility shifts are considered. The results also provide significant empirical evidences for positive risk-return relationship in the exchanges. In addition, the stock market is found to be more sensitive to global than the local events. The asymmetrical responses to good and bad news are also part of the market behavior.
Author: Elgilani E. Elshareif Publisher: ISBN: Category : Languages : en Pages :
Book Description
This paper analyzes the behavior of Malaysian stock market during the intervals of high uncertainty. It highlights the impact of unexpected volatility shifts on this small emerging Asian market, in terms of its efficiency and returns, during the past two decades. The purpose of this study is achieved through the Iterated-Cumulative-Sum-of-Squares-in-Volatility model (ICSS-EGARCH-M Model), which is one of the new approaches in market efficiency studies. The empirical results indicate the rejection of efficient market hypothesis for the market when sudden volatility shifts are considered. The results also provide significant empirical evidences for positive risk-return relationship in the exchanges. In addition, the stock market is found to be more sensitive to global than the local events. The asymmetrical responses to good and bad news are also part of the market behavior.
Author: Robert J. Shiller Publisher: MIT Press ISBN: 9780262691512 Category : Business & Economics Languages : en Pages : 486
Book Description
Market Volatility proposes an innovative theory, backed by substantial statistical evidence, on the causes of price fluctuations in speculative markets. It challenges the standard efficient markets model for explaining asset prices by emphasizing the significant role that popular opinion or psychology can play in price volatility. Why does the stock market crash from time to time? Why does real estate go in and out of booms? Why do long term borrowing rates suddenly make surprising shifts? Market Volatility represents a culmination of Shiller's research on these questions over the last dozen years. It contains reprints of major papers with new interpretive material for those unfamiliar with the issues, new papers, new surveys of relevant literature, responses to critics, data sets, and reframing of basic conclusions. Included is work authored jointly with John Y. Campbell, Karl E. Case, Sanford J. Grossman, and Jeremy J. Siegel. Market Volatility sets out basic issues relevant to all markets in which prices make movements for speculative reasons and offers detailed analyses of the stock market, the bond market, and the real estate market. It pursues the relations of these speculative prices and extends the analysis of speculative markets to macroeconomic activity in general. In studies of the October 1987 stock market crash and boom and post-boom housing markets, Market Volatility reports on research directly aimed at collecting information about popular models and interpreting the consequences of belief in those models. Shiller asserts that popular models cause people to react incorrectly to economic data and believes that changing popular models themselves contribute significantly to price movements bearing no relation to fundamental shocks.
Author: Robert A. Haugen Publisher: Pearson ISBN: Category : Business & Economics Languages : en Pages : 170
Book Description
It is now abundantly clear that stock volatility is a contagious disease that spreads virulently from market to market around the world. Price changes in one market drive subsequent price changes in that market as well as in others. In Beast, Haugen makes a compelling case for the fact that even under normal conditions, fully 80 percent of stock volatility is price driven. Moreover, this volatility is far from benign. It acts to reduce the level of investment spending and constitutes a significant and permanent drag on economic growth. Price-driven volatility is unstable. Dramatic and unpredictable explosions in price-driven volatility can send stock markets in a downward spiral and cause significant disruptions in economic activity. Haugen argues that this indeed happened in 1929 and 1930. If volatility in Asian markets persists, it can easily become the source of the problem rather than merely a symptom.
Author: Reena Aggarwal Publisher: ISBN: Category : Languages : en Pages :
Book Description
This study examines what kinds of events cause large shifts in the volatility of emerging stock markets. We first determine when large changes in the volatility of emerging stock market returns occur and then examine global and local events (social, political, and economic) during the periods of increased volatility. An iterated cumulative sums of squares (ICSS) algorithm is used to identify the points of shocks/sudden changes in the variance of returns in each market and how long the shift lasts. Both increases and decreases in the variance are identified. We then identify events around the time period when shifts in volatility occur. Most events tend to be local and include the Mexican Peso crisis, periods of hyperinflation in Latin America, the Marcos-Aquino conflict in the Philippines, and the stock market scandal in India. The October 1987 crash is the only quot;global eventquot; during the period 1985-1995 that caused a significant jump in the volatility of several emerging stock markets.
Author: Md Abu Hasan Publisher: Cambridge Scholars Publishing ISBN: 1527569780 Category : Business & Economics Languages : en Pages : 223
Book Description
This book contributes to empirical finance by comprehensively analysing an emerging stock market, employing modern econometric techniques. The most central and fascinating area of financial economics is probably the efficiency and volatility of the stock market – however, studies of emerging economies are relatively limited in this area. The rising importance of stock market globalisation has increased interest in emerging markets. This book leads the way for an emerging market perspective, as it explores the issue of efficiency and volatility of the stock market in Bangladesh by employing both univariate and multivariate models, using daily data of past share prices and monthly data of macroeconomic variables and the stock index, respectively. This book offers an understanding of the crucial issues facing developing economies, particularly emerging stock markets with similar characteristics to those of Bangladesh. This book undoubtedly provides valuable information for investors in the stock market, graduate, post-graduate, and PhD students in quantitative financial economics, academics in economics and finance, and policymakers in developing economies.
Author: Ms.Ratna Sahay Publisher: International Monetary Fund ISBN: 1484356004 Category : Business & Economics Languages : en Pages : 61
Book Description
Accommodative monetary policies in advanced economies have spurred increased capital inflows into emerging markets since the global financial crisis. Starting in May 2013, when the Federal Reserve publicly discussed its plans for tapering unconventional monetary policies, these emerging markets have experienced financial turbulence at the same that their domestic economic activity has slowed. This paper examines their experiences and policy responses and draws broad policy lessons. For emerging markets, good macroeconomic fundamentals matter, and early and decisive measures to strengthen macroeconomic policies and reduce vulnerabilities help dampen market reactions to external shocks. For advanced economies, clear and effective communication about the exit from unconventional monetary policy can and did help later to reduce the risk of excessive market volatility. And for the global community, enhanced global cooperation, including a strong global financial safety net, offers emerging markets effective protection against excessive volatility.
Author: John E. Grable Publisher: CFA Institute Research Foundation ISBN: 1944960201 Category : Business & Economics Languages : en Pages : 27
Book Description
This content provides financial analysts, investment professionals, and financial planners with a review of how financial risk-tolerance tests can and should be evaluated. It begins by clarifying terms related to risk taking and is followed by a broad overview of two important measurement terms: validity and reliability. It concludes with examples for practice.
Author: Greg N. Gregoriou Publisher: CRC Press ISBN: 1420099558 Category : Business & Economics Languages : en Pages : 654
Book Description
Up-to-Date Research Sheds New Light on This Area Taking into account the ongoing worldwide financial crisis, Stock Market Volatility provides insight to better understand volatility in various stock markets. This timely volume is one of the first to draw on a range of international authorities who offer their expertise on market volatility in devel
Author: Burton G. Malkiel Publisher: W. W. Norton & Company ISBN: 0393330338 Category : Business & Economics Languages : en Pages : 454
Book Description
Updated with a new chapter that draws on behavioral finance, the field that studies the psychology of investment decisions, the bestselling guide to investing evaluates the full range of financial opportunities.
Author: Elgilani E. Elshareif
Author: Elgilani E. Elshareif
Author: Robert J. Shiller
Author: Robert A. Haugen
Author: Reena Aggarwal
Author: Md Abu Hasan
Author: Ms.Ratna Sahay
Author: John E. Grable
Author: Greg N. Gregoriou
Author: Burton G. Malkiel
Author: Martin Khor