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Decision Making Under Uncertainty

Decision Making Under Uncertainty PDF Author: Mykel J. Kochenderfer
Publisher: MIT Press
ISBN: 0262331713
Category : Computers
Languages : en
Pages : 350

Book Description
An introduction to decision making under uncertainty from a computational perspective, covering both theory and applications ranging from speech recognition to airborne collision avoidance. Many important problems involve decision making under uncertainty—that is, choosing actions based on often imperfect observations, with unknown outcomes. Designers of automated decision support systems must take into account the various sources of uncertainty while balancing the multiple objectives of the system. This book provides an introduction to the challenges of decision making under uncertainty from a computational perspective. It presents both the theory behind decision making models and algorithms and a collection of example applications that range from speech recognition to aircraft collision avoidance. Focusing on two methods for designing decision agents, planning and reinforcement learning, the book covers probabilistic models, introducing Bayesian networks as a graphical model that captures probabilistic relationships between variables; utility theory as a framework for understanding optimal decision making under uncertainty; Markov decision processes as a method for modeling sequential problems; model uncertainty; state uncertainty; and cooperative decision making involving multiple interacting agents. A series of applications shows how the theoretical concepts can be applied to systems for attribute-based person search, speech applications, collision avoidance, and unmanned aircraft persistent surveillance. Decision Making Under Uncertainty unifies research from different communities using consistent notation, and is accessible to students and researchers across engineering disciplines who have some prior exposure to probability theory and calculus. It can be used as a text for advanced undergraduate and graduate students in fields including computer science, aerospace and electrical engineering, and management science. It will also be a valuable professional reference for researchers in a variety of disciplines.

Uncertainty in Computational Intelligence-Based Decision Making

Uncertainty in Computational Intelligence-Based Decision Making PDF Author: Ali Ahmadian
Publisher: Elsevier
ISBN: 044321476X
Category : Computers
Languages : en
Pages : 340

Book Description
Uncertainty in Computational Intelligence-Based Decision-Making focuses on techniques for reasoning and decision-making under uncertainty that are used to solve issues in artificial intelligence (AI). It covers a wide range of subjects, including knowledge acquisition and automated model construction, pattern recognition, machine learning, natural language processing, decision analysis, and decision support systems, among others. The first chapter of this book provides a thorough introduction to the topics of causation in Bayesian belief networks, applications of uncertainty, automated model construction and learning, graphic models for inference and decision making, and qualitative reasoning. The following chapters examine the fundamental models of computational techniques, computational modeling of biological and natural intelligent systems, including swarm intelligence, fuzzy systems, artificial neutral networks, artificial immune systems, and evolutionary computation. They also examine decision making and analysis, expert systems, and robotics in the context of artificial intelligence and computer science. - Provides readers a thorough understanding of the uncertainty that arises in artificial intelligence (AI), computational intelligence (CI) paradigms, and algorithms - Encourages readers to put concepts into practice and solve complex real-world problems using CI development frameworks like decision support systems and visual decision design - Provides a comprehensive overview of the techniques used in computational intelligence, uncertainty, and decision

Decision Making Under Uncertainty

Decision Making Under Uncertainty PDF Author: Mykel J. Kochenderfer
Publisher: MIT Press
ISBN: 0262331713
Category : Computers
Languages : en
Pages : 350

Book Description
An introduction to decision making under uncertainty from a computational perspective, covering both theory and applications ranging from speech recognition to airborne collision avoidance. Many important problems involve decision making under uncertainty—that is, choosing actions based on often imperfect observations, with unknown outcomes. Designers of automated decision support systems must take into account the various sources of uncertainty while balancing the multiple objectives of the system. This book provides an introduction to the challenges of decision making under uncertainty from a computational perspective. It presents both the theory behind decision making models and algorithms and a collection of example applications that range from speech recognition to aircraft collision avoidance. Focusing on two methods for designing decision agents, planning and reinforcement learning, the book covers probabilistic models, introducing Bayesian networks as a graphical model that captures probabilistic relationships between variables; utility theory as a framework for understanding optimal decision making under uncertainty; Markov decision processes as a method for modeling sequential problems; model uncertainty; state uncertainty; and cooperative decision making involving multiple interacting agents. A series of applications shows how the theoretical concepts can be applied to systems for attribute-based person search, speech applications, collision avoidance, and unmanned aircraft persistent surveillance. Decision Making Under Uncertainty unifies research from different communities using consistent notation, and is accessible to students and researchers across engineering disciplines who have some prior exposure to probability theory and calculus. It can be used as a text for advanced undergraduate and graduate students in fields including computer science, aerospace and electrical engineering, and management science. It will also be a valuable professional reference for researchers in a variety of disciplines.

Intelligent Decision Making: An AI-Based Approach

Intelligent Decision Making: An AI-Based Approach PDF Author: Gloria Phillips-Wren
Publisher: Springer Science & Business Media
ISBN: 3540768289
Category : Mathematics
Languages : en
Pages : 414

Book Description
Intelligent Decision Support Systems have the potential to transform human decision making by combining research in artificial intelligence, information technology, and systems engineering. The field of intelligent decision making is expanding rapidly due, in part, to advances in artificial intelligence and network-centric environments that can deliver the technology. Communication and coordination between dispersed systems can deliver just-in-time information, real-time processing, collaborative environments, and globally up-to-date information to a human decision maker. At the same time, artificial intelligence techniques have demonstrated that they have matured sufficiently to provide computational assistance to humans in practical applications. This book includes contributions from leading researchers in the field beginning with the foundations of human decision making and the complexity of the human cognitive system. Researchers contrast human and artificial intelligence, survey computational intelligence, present pragmatic systems, and discuss future trends. This book will be an invaluable resource to anyone interested in the current state of knowledge and key research gaps in the rapidly developing field of intelligent decision support.

Artificial Intelligence with Uncertainty

Artificial Intelligence with Uncertainty PDF Author: Deyi Li
Publisher: CRC Press
ISBN: 1498776272
Category : Computers
Languages : en
Pages : 311

Book Description
This book develops a framework that shows how uncertainty in Artificial Intelligence (AI) expands and generalizes traditional AI. It explores the uncertainties of knowledge and intelligence. The authors focus on the importance of natural language – the carrier of knowledge and intelligence, and introduce efficient physical methods for data mining amd control. In this new edition, we have more in-depth description of the models and methods, of which the mathematical properties are proved strictly which make these theories and methods more complete. The authors also highlight their latest research results.

Comparative Decision-Making Analysis

Comparative Decision-Making Analysis PDF Author: Philip H. Crowley
Publisher: Oxford University Press
ISBN: 019985680X
Category : Psychology
Languages : en
Pages : 523

Book Description
Decisions are made by individual humans-but also by corporations, plants, robots, and computer programs. The authors of this volume help initiate a powerful new comparative dimension for our analysis and application of decision making across an enormous range of intellectual enquiry.

Connectionist Approaches in Economics and Management Sciences

Connectionist Approaches in Economics and Management Sciences PDF Author: Cédric Lesage
Publisher: Springer Science & Business Media
ISBN: 147573722X
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 270

Book Description
Since the beginning of the 1980's, a lot of news approaches of biomimetic inspiration have been defined and developed for imitating the brain behavior, for modeling non linear phenomenon, for providing new hardware architectures, for solving hard problems. They are named Neural Networks, Multilayer Perceptrons, Genetic algorithms, Cellular Automates, Self-Organizing maps, Fuzzy Logic, etc. They can be summarized by the word of Connectionism, and consist of an interdisciplinary domain between neuroscience, cognitive science and engineering. First they were applied in computer sciences, engineering, biological models, pattern recognition, motor control, learning algorithms, etc. But rapidly, it appeared that these methods could be of great interest in the fields of Economics and Management Sciences. The main difficulty was the distance between researchers, the difference in the vocabulary used by the ones and the others, their basic background. The main notions used by these new techniques were not familiar to the Social and Human Sciences researchers. What are they ? Four of them are now very briefly introduced, but the reader will find more information in the following chapters.

Advances in Computing and Data Sciences

Advances in Computing and Data Sciences PDF Author: Mayank Singh
Publisher: Springer Nature
ISBN: 3031126416
Category : Computers
Languages : en
Pages : 464

Book Description
The two-volume proceedings CCIS 1613 + 1614 constitute revised selected papers from the 6th International Conference on Advances in Computing and Data Sciences, ICACDS 2022, which was held in Kurnool, India in April 2022. The total of 69 full papers presented in the proceedings was carefully reviewed and selected from 411 submissions. The papers focus on advances of next generation computing technologies in the areas of advanced computing and data sciences.

Methods for Decision Making in an Uncertain Environment

Methods for Decision Making in an Uncertain Environment PDF Author: Jaime Gil Aluja
Publisher: World Scientific
ISBN: 9814415774
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 471

Book Description
This book contains a selection of the papers presented at the XVII SIGEF Congress. It presents fuzzy logic, neural networks and other intelligent techniques applied to economic and business problems. This book is very useful for researchers and graduate students aiming to introduce themselves to the field of quantitative techniques for overcoming uncertain environments. The contributors are experienced scholars of different countries who offer real world applications of these mathematical techniques.

Computational Intelligence Techniques and Their Applications to Software Engineering Problems

Computational Intelligence Techniques and Their Applications to Software Engineering Problems PDF Author: Ankita Bansal
Publisher: CRC Press
ISBN: 1000191923
Category : Computers
Languages : en
Pages : 267

Book Description
Computational Intelligence Techniques and Their Applications to Software Engineering Problems focuses on computational intelligence approaches as applicable in varied areas of software engineering such as software requirement prioritization, cost estimation, reliability assessment, defect prediction, maintainability and quality prediction, size estimation, vulnerability prediction, test case selection and prioritization, and much more. The concepts of expert systems, case-based reasoning, fuzzy logic, genetic algorithms, swarm computing, and rough sets are introduced with their applications in software engineering. The field of knowledge discovery is explored using neural networks and data mining techniques by determining the underlying and hidden patterns in software data sets. Aimed at graduate students and researchers in computer science engineering, software engineering, information technology, this book: Covers various aspects of in-depth solutions of software engineering problems using computational intelligence techniques Discusses the latest evolutionary approaches to preliminary theory of different solve optimization problems under software engineering domain Covers heuristic as well as meta-heuristic algorithms designed to provide better and optimized solutions Illustrates applications including software requirement prioritization, software cost estimation, reliability assessment, software defect prediction, and more Highlights swarm intelligence-based optimization solutions for software testing and reliability problems

Computational Intelligence: Theory and Applications

Computational Intelligence: Theory and Applications PDF Author: Bernd Reusch
Publisher: Springer Science & Business Media
ISBN: 3540487743
Category : Computers
Languages : en
Pages : 726

Book Description
Fuzzy Days in Dortmund were held for the first time in 1991. Initially, the con ference was intended for scientists and practitioners as a platform for discussions on theory and application of fuzzy logic. Early on, synergetic links with neural networks were included and the conference evolved gradually to embrace the full spectrum of what is now called Computational Intelligence (CI). Therefore, it seemed logical to launch the 4th Fuzzy Days in 1994 as a conference for CI—one of the world's first conferences featuring fuzzy logic, neural networks and evolu tionary algorithms together in one event. Following this successful tradition, the 6th Fuzzy Days' aim is to provide an international forum for reporting significant results on the theory and application of Cl-methods. Once again, we have received a remarkable number of papers. I would like to express my gratitude to all who have been interested in presenting their work within the framework of this conference and to the members of the programme committee for their valuable work (in this edition each paper was reviewed by five referees). In particular, I wish to thank all keynote and tutorial speakers for their commitment. Last but not least, I am obliged to the Deutsche Forschun- gemeinschaft and Kommunalverband Ruhrgebiet for their financial support.