Uncertainty and Expectation PDF Download

Author: Gerald Ashley
Publisher: John Wiley & Sons
ISBN: 0470864702
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 188

View

Book Description
In this entertaining and thoughtful book, Gerald Ashley sets out to explain what trading is, and lays out a modus operandi for being a trader and investor. He draws upon market anecdotes and examples from the past, seeking to debunk many myths surrounding financial markets, and to try and make the reader understand the real processes, risks and rewards that drive investment. In particular he examines ideas in market and individual investor behaviour, and questions the usefulness of many of todays standard investment techniques including benchmarks, charts, analysts and 'gurus'. He also lays out simple precepts for understanding investment risk and suggests ideas for managing your investments in today's markets.

Author: Esther Horat
Publisher: Springer
ISBN: 3319556487
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 247

View

Book Description
This book is an ethnographic case study, based on first hand observation, of family businesses in the northern Vietnamese village of Ninh Hiệp along the Red River Delta, which became a major hub for textiles in the wake of the country’s shift towards market socialism. The author explores how the traders experience, negotiate and react to a marketization process that is markedly shaped by the state’s morally ambivalent governance, and which can be thus characterised as an admixture of socialist and neoliberal ideologies. How are traders shaping the political economy of Vietnam? How has the labour force changed as textile-handling has become an increasingly profitable undertaking? Horat explores the relationships between traders and local authorities, as well as changing ideas of masculinity and femininity. Focusing on the redevelopment of the market landscape and the increasing share of private ownership that have given rise to great uncertainty, this book provides a we ll-timed inquiry into current debates of economic development in a uniquely shaped market environment.

Author: Robert K. Dixit
Publisher: Princeton University Press
ISBN: 1400830176
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 484

View

Book Description
How should firms decide whether and when to invest in new capital equipment, additions to their workforce, or the development of new products? Why have traditional economic models of investment failed to explain the behavior of investment spending in the United States and other countries? In this book, Avinash Dixit and Robert Pindyck provide the first detailed exposition of a new theoretical approach to the capital investment decisions of firms, stressing the irreversibility of most investment decisions, and the ongoing uncertainty of the economic environment in which these decisions are made. In so doing, they answer important questions about investment decisions and the behavior of investment spending. This new approach to investment recognizes the option value of waiting for better (but never complete) information. It exploits an analogy with the theory of options in financial markets, which permits a much richer dynamic framework than was possible with the traditional theory of investment. The authors present the new theory in a clear and systematic way, and consolidate, synthesize, and extend the various strands of research that have come out of the theory. Their book shows the importance of the theory for understanding investment behavior of firms; develops the implications of this theory for industry dynamics and for government policy concerning investment; and shows how the theory can be applied to specific industries and to a wide variety of business problems.

Author: Kent Osband
Publisher: Columbia University Press
ISBN: 0231151721
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 306

View

Book Description
Author of the acclaimed work Iceberg Risk: An Adventure in Portfolio Theory, Kent Osband argues that uncertainty is central rather than marginal to finance. Markets don't trade mainly on changes in risk. They trade on changes in beliefs about risk, and in the process, markets unite, stretch, and occasionally defy beliefs. Recognizing this truth would make a world of difference in investing. Belittling uncertainty has created a rift between financial theory and practice and within finance theory itself, misguiding regulation and stoking huge financial imbalances. Sparking a revolution in the mindset of the investment professional, Osband recasts the market as a learning machine rather than a knowledge machine. The market continually errs, corrects itself, and makes new errors. Respecting that process, without idolizing it, will promote wiser investment, trading, and regulation. With uncertainty embedded at its core, Osband's rational approach points to a finance theory worthy of twenty-first-century investing.

Author: Alex Krainer
Publisher:
ISBN: 9782955692301
Category :
Languages : en
Pages :

View

Book Description
This book condenses the author's two decades of broad research into the key aspects of speculation in financial and commodity futures markets. It investigates questions such as: - What are the risks and opportunities in trading futures? - Can we learn enough about market fundamentals to have an edge? - Why do most market professionals by far underperform market benchmarks? - Why do so many speculators ultimately lose? - Can economics help us overcome uncertainty? Can quantitative analysis? - Do markets move in trends? - Can trends be exploited to consistently outperform market benchmarks? - Can trend following generate value for hedgers? - What can nature teach us about mastering uncertainty and risk? This book, woven together with the author's personal story of discovery from a humble assistant at an oil trading company to a hedge fund manager, delves deep into these and many more questions. More importantly, it provides concrete and definitive solutions as well as the results of putting those solutions to the test against the global commodity and financial markets. A promise: the material is concise, non-technical and fluff-free.

Author: Brent Penfold
Publisher: John Wiley & Sons
ISBN: 1119734495
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 352

View

Book Description
Get a flying headstart on trend trading with this comprehensive how-to guide The Universal Tactics of Successful Trend Trading: Finding Opportunity in Uncertainty delivers powerful and practical advice for the serious trend trader. Using the principles identified in The Universal Principles of Successful Trading, author Brent Penfold shows curious investors how to become a long-term winner with tried-and-true trend trading methodologies. The book includes in-depth and comprehensive treatments of topics like: · Why trend trading is so appealing · Popular and effective trend trading strategies · How to measure risk · Common trend trading mistakes and how to avoid them Investors and readers will also discover the importance of risk, and how to judge outcomes and strategies on a risk-adjusted basis. Perfect for anyone interested in trading successfully, The Universal Tactics of Successful Trend Trading is a key strategy guide that belongs on the shelf of anyone involved in the buying and selling of financial securities.

Author: Mark Meredith
Publisher: Routledge
ISBN: 1134310617
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 81

View

Book Description
First Published in 1991. The Soviet Union and its Republics have immense potential. Industrial sectors are in need of modernization and development, a domestic market of over 280 million people is hungry for consumer goods, and there is a untapped resource of intellectual property. In addition, there is a huge capacity for exportable raw materials. Despite political manoeuvring perestroika has created a frame for foreign investment and much work is going on behind the scenes to develop enabling legislation at all union and Republic level. Over 3000 joint ventures in he Soviet Union involving overseas firms have been registered. For the informed and the undaunted, the business opportunities are innumerable and exciting. This volume will help the interested business executive to see through the current economic uncertainly and political confusion of the USSR in order to do business effectively and successfully.

Author: Ari Kiev
Publisher: John Wiley & Sons
ISBN: 0471463183
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 306

View

Book Description
Angesichts der verstärkten Schwankungsanfälligkeit moderner Märkte, wird das Thema Risikomanagement immer wichtiger. "The Psychology of Risk" schlägt eine Brücke zwischen Anlegerpsychologie und quanitativem Risikomanagement durch ein neues, revolutionäres Modell des Risikomanagement. Es handelt sich dabei um ein einzigartiges, dynamisches Riskikomanagement-Modell, das quanitative Modelle und Verfahren des Money Management mit Verhaltenspsychologie kombiniert. Basierend auf einem ganzheitlichen Ansatz, vermittelt es erfolgreiche Strategien und bewährte Verhaltensmodelle. Jeder Händler oder Anleger kann das hier vorgestellte Modell individuell auf seine Ziele und seine Persönlichkeit zuschneiden. Mit einer Fülle faszinierender Fallstudien aus der Praxis. Demonstriert werden u.a. auch verschiedene psychologische und emotionale Fallen, in die selbst der erfahrenste Anleger tappen kann. Stellt einen Katalog strenger Richtlinien auf, die bei der Beantwortung wichtiger Fragen helfen sollen, z.B.: Wieviel sollte ich handeln? Welches Risiko kann ich eingehen? Wann sollte ich aussteigen? Der Autor ist ein renommierter Psychiater und anerkannter Finanzexperte.

Author: Yvan Byeajee
Publisher: CreateSpace
ISBN: 9781511877831
Category :
Languages : en
Pages : 228

View

Book Description
Movies such as The Wolf of Wall Street glorify anexcessive lifestyle; yet, searches for stock broker jobs on indeed.com rose to a near 80% in the U.S around the release of the movie. This shows us that people are mesmerized by the prospect of easy money. The true purpose of our lives has to be more than an exercise of accumulating money; however, society conditions us to think differently. Our potential for happiness and our value as individuals are erroneously based on the amount of money we are capable of earning; hence, people come into trading with hopes of making millions in their pyjamas - and that is precisely why they fail. The very nature of financial markets makes them uncertain and almost impossible to predict on a trade by trade basis; therefore, successful trading can only happen when we drop our need for control. It requires that we let go of our attachment to certainty and money in favour of equanimity. In doing so, we not only find consistency in our results but also emancipationfrom the fetters of fear and greed, right and wrong, good or bad. To put it another way, self-knowledge has some amazing liberating qualities.Paradigm Shift lays down the foundation for equanimity which allows us to see market action from a detached perspective. It enables us to learn from our mistakes and use failure as a springboard to success. It stimulates an openness to learn more about ourselves and the nature of our human experiences. It is my sincere hope that this book will inspire you and help you realize your potential for greatness - as a trader but also as an individual.Inside you will learn: ~ Why self-knowledge is important when dealing with the markets. ~ Why it is important to understand the game. ~ Why it is important for you to let go of your attachment to outcomes,certainty, money, and so on. ~ How to become an observer of your own stream of thoughts for a more satisfying trading experience. ~ How to set up a process for peak performance in the markets. ~ Why mistakes and failures are important stepping stones on your path to success. ~ The actions to take daily that will create a ripple effect in your life. ~ How to become your own personal trading (and life) coach.

Author: Ari Kiev
Publisher: John Wiley & Sons
ISBN: 9780471248422
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 284

View

Book Description
Even the best trading system can prove disastrous if the trader doesn't have the ability to stick to their strategy. Featuring real-life case studies, The Psychology of Trading presents a step-by-step, goal-oriented approach to trading that emphasizes ways to keep emotions in check, overcome self-doubt, and focus clearly on a winning strategy.