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Trade Liberalization and Labor Market Adjustment in Brazil

Trade Liberalization and Labor Market Adjustment in Brazil PDF Author:
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category : Free trade
Languages : en
Pages :

Book Description


Trade Liberalization and Labor Market Adjustment in Brazil

Trade Liberalization and Labor Market Adjustment in Brazil PDF Author:
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category : Free trade
Languages : en
Pages :

Book Description


Trade Liberalization and Labor Market Adjustment in Brazil

Trade Liberalization and Labor Market Adjustment in Brazil PDF Author: Nina Pavcnik
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category : Equality
Languages : en
Pages : 52

Book Description


Margins of Labor Market Adjustment to Trade

Margins of Labor Market Adjustment to Trade PDF Author: Rafael Dix-Carneiro
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category : Commercial policy
Languages : en
Pages : 88

Book Description
We use both longitudinal administrative data and cross-sectional household survey data to study the margins of labor market adjustment following Brazil's early 1990s trade liberalization. We document how workers and regional labor markets adjust to trade-induced changes in local labor demand, examining various adjustment margins, including earnings and wage changes; interregional migration; shifts between tradable and nontradable employment; and shifts between formal employment, informal employment, and non-employment. Our results provide insight into the regional labor market effects of trade, and have important implications for policies that address informal employment and that assist trade-displaced workers.

Trade Reform and Regional Dynamics

Trade Reform and Regional Dynamics PDF Author: Rafael Dix-Carneiro
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category : Brazil
Languages : en
Pages : 85

Book Description
This paper empirically studies the dynamics of labor market adjustment following the Brazilian trade reform of the 1990s. The paper uses variation in industry-specific tariffcuts interacted with initial regional industry mix to measure trade-induced local labor demand shocks and examines regional and individual labor market responses to those one-time shocks over two decades. Contrary to conventional wisdom, the analysis does not find that the impact of local shocks is dissipated over time through wage-equalizing migration. Instead, it finds steadily growing effects of local shocks on regional formal sector wages and employment for 20 years. This finding can be rationalized in a simple equilibrium model with two complementary factors of production, labor and industry-specific factors such as capital, that adjust slowly and imperfectly to shocks. Next, the paper documents rich margins of adjustment induced by the trade reform at the regional and individual levels. Workers initially employed in harder hit regions face continuously deteriorating formal labor market outcomes relative to workers employed in less affcted regions, and this gap persists even 20 years after the beginning of trade liberalization. Negative local trade shocks induce workers to shift out of the formal tradable sector and into the formal nontradable sector. Non-employment strongly increases in harder hit regions in the medium run, but in the longer run, non-employed workers eventually find re-employment in the informal sector. Working age population does not react to these local shocks, but formal sector net migration does, consistent with the relative decline of the formal sector and growth of the informal sector in adversely affected regions.

Enforcement of Labor Regulation and the Labor Market Effects of Trade

Enforcement of Labor Regulation and the Labor Market Effects of Trade PDF Author: Gabriel Ulyssea
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category :
Languages : en
Pages : 46

Book Description
How does enforcement of labor regulations shape the labor market effects of trade? To tackle this question, we exploit the Brazilian trade liberalization episode and exogenous variation in the intensity of both the trade shock and enforcement across local labor markets. Regions with stricter enforcement observed no increase in informal employment but large disemployment effects. Regions with weaker enforcement had no employment losses but substantial increases in informality. All effects are concentrated on unskilled workers, with no effects on skilled workers. The results indicate that informality acts as a buffer that reduces trade-induced adjustment costs in the labor market.

Labor Market Regulations and the Demand for Labor in Brazil

Labor Market Regulations and the Demand for Labor in Brazil PDF Author: Ricardo Paes de Barros
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category :
Languages : en
Pages :

Book Description
The main objective of this study is to evaluate the impact of the 1988 changes in labor market regulations on the level of employment and on the time required by firms to adjust their employment level to economic fluctuations. From the many aspects of labor market regulations, this study will concentrate on those that directly influence variable labor and dismissal costs. Evaluating the impact of changes in these costs on the level of employment and speed of adjustment will be based on estimates of structural dynamic models for labor demand at different points in time before and after the 1988 constitutional change. The empirical strategy will be to estimate such models from microlongitudinal monthly data for a sample of 5,000 on manufacturing establishments, which cover the period from January 1985 to December 1997. To try to isolate the effect of the constitutional change on the parameters of the demand function from the effect of the process of trade liberalization and of the series of stabilization plans that also occurred in the end of the 80's, we regress our monthly estimates of these parameters on a temporal indicator for the 1988 constitutional change, controlling for a variety of other macroeconomic indicators.

Local Labor Market Conditions and Crime

Local Labor Market Conditions and Crime PDF Author: Rafael Dix-Carneiro
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category :
Languages : en
Pages : 60

Book Description
This paper estimates the effect of local labor market conditions on crime in a developing country with high crime rates. Contrary to the previous literature, which has focused exclusively on developed countries with relatively low crime rates, we find that labor market conditions have a strong effect on homicides. We exploit the 1990s trade liberalization in Brazil as a natural experiment generating exogenous shocks to local labor demand. Regions facing more negative shocks experience large relative increases in crime rates in the medium term, but these effects virtually disappear in the long term. This pattern mirrors the labor market responses to the trade shocks. Using the trade liberalization episode to design an instrumental variables strategy, we find that a 10% reduction in expected labor market earnings (employment rate Ă— earnings) leads to a 39% increase in homicide rates. Our results highlight an additional dimension of adjustment costs following trade shocks that has so far been overlooked in the literature.

Sticky Feet

Sticky Feet PDF Author: Claire H. Hollweg
Publisher: World Bank Publications
ISBN: 1464802645
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 123

Book Description
The analysis in this report confirms the findings of previous studies that trade liberalization improves aggregate welfare and is in the long run associated with higher employment and wages. The analysis addresses a major gap in the literature, which has heretofore provided limited evidence about the trade-related adjustment costs faced by workers in developing countries and how they are affected by mobility costs. Labor market frictions reduce the potential gains from trade reform. For a tariff reduction in a given sector, the resulting change in relative prices raises real wages in some sectors and reduces them in the liberalized sector. The emerging wage gaps lead to labor reallocation. But workers typically incur costs to change jobs; the higher the mobility costs, the slower the transition to the new labor market steady state. Workers’ sticky feet result in foregone welfare gains from trade. This report presents an estimation strategy for capturing mobility costs when only net flows of workers between industries are observed, generating cross-country estimates for 47 developed and developing countries. The basic analytical approach is then refined to take advantage of micro-level data on worker transitions and wages when gross flows can be observed to derive mobility cost estimates that account for sector and formality status. These cost estimates are used to model the dynamic paths of labor reallocation between sectors and in and out of the labor force, the associated wage paths, and the resulting labor adjustment costs. The main findings of the report are that: labor mobility costs in developing countries are high; foregone trade gains due to frictions in labor mobility can also be substantial; workers bear the brunt of adjustment costs; mobility costs and labor market adjustments to trade-related shocks vary by industry, firm type, and worker type; entry costs are significantly higher for formal than for informal employment; trade reforms increase economy-wide wages and employment; and workers displaced by plant closings are likely to face relatively long adjustment periods. The findings provide insights that could be helpful to policymakers hoping to mitigate negative short-term consequences of trade liberalization and facilitate labor adjustment.

Trade Reform and Regional Dynamics

Trade Reform and Regional Dynamics PDF Author: Rafael Dix-Carneiro
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category :
Languages : en
Pages : 90

Book Description
This paper empirically studies the dynamics of labor market adjustment following the Brazilian trade reform of the 1990s. The paper uses variation in industry-speci?c tari? cuts interacted with initial regional industry mix to measure trade-induced local labor demand shocks and examines regional and individual labor market responses to those one-time shocks over two decades. Contrary to conventional wisdom, the analysis does not ?nd that the impact of local shocks is dissipated over time through wage-equalizing migration. Instead, it ?nds steadily growing e?ects of local shocks on regional formal sector wages and employment for 20 years. This ?nding can be rationalized in a simple equilibrium model with two complementary factors of production, labor and industry-speci?c factors such as capital, that adjust slowly and imperfectly to shocks. Next, the paper documents rich margins of adjustment induced by the trade reform at the regional and individual levels. Workers initially employed in harder hit regions face continuously deteriorating formal labor market outcomes relative to workers employed in less a?ected regions, and this gap persists even 20 years after the beginning of trade liberalization. Negative local trade shocks induce workers to shift out of the formal tradable sector and into the formal nontradable sector. Non-employment strongly increases in harder hit regions in the medium run, but in the longer run, non-employed workers eventually ?nd re-employment in the informal sector. Working age population does not react to these local shocks, but formal sector net migration does, consistent with the relative decline of the formal sector and growth of the informal sector in adversely a?ected regions.

Trade Liberalization and Labor Market Adjustment in Brazil

Trade Liberalization and Labor Market Adjustment in Brazil PDF Author: Nina Pavcnik
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category : Equality
Languages : en
Pages : 52

Book Description