Author: Jan-Philipp Matthewes Publisher: BoD – Books on Demand ISBN: 3945021073 Category : Law Languages : en Pages : 185
Book Description
Financial analysts play an ambivalent role on financial markets: On the one hand investors and the media frequently follow their advice, on the other hand they are regularly discredited when their forecasts or recommendations prove to be erroneous. This cumulative thesis explores the informational content of financial analysts’ forecasts for investors by addressing three specific topics: Consensus size as a rudimentary investment signal, the association of analysts’ target prices with business sentiment, and the consistency of analysts’ different investment signals in the context of the 2008 financial crisis. Overall, the thesis provides additional evidence that investors can profit from analysts’ forecasts and recommendations. However, it is also shown that investors need to be very selective about which signal to rely on and in which context to use these because analysts’ investment signals can also be heavily biased and erroneous. About the author: Jan-Philipp Matthewes studied ‘Economics’ at the University of Cologne, Germany, and holds a Dean’s Award from the Faculty of Economics and Social Sciences. His research focus on financial analysts evolved while working in equity research at a leading German bank. The PhD-thesis was supervised by Prof. Dr. Martin Wallmeier, Finance and Accounting, at the University of Fribourg, Switzerland. Since 2013 Jan-Philipp Matthewes is the managing director of the boutique private equity firm ‘Matthewes Capital Invest GmbH’.
Author: Mauro Gallegati Publisher: Springer Science & Business Media ISBN: 3642170455 Category : Business & Economics Languages : en Pages : 404
Book Description
The economy is examined by the authors as a complex interactive system. The emphasis is on the direct interaction between agents rather than on the indirect and autonomous interaction through the market mechanism. Contributions from economists and physicists emphasise the consequences for aggregate behaviour of the interaction between agents with limited rationality. Models of financial markets which exhibit many of the stylised facts of empirical markets such as bubbles, herd behaviour and long memory are presented. This includes contributions on bargaining, buyer-seller relations, the evolution of economic networks and several aspects of macro-economic behaviour. This book will be of interest to all those interested in the foundations of collective social and economic behaviour and in particular, to those concerned with the dynamics of market behaviour and recent applications of physics to economics.
Author: Sebastian Gell Publisher: Springer Science & Business Media ISBN: 3834939374 Category : Business & Economics Languages : en Pages : 144
Book Description
Earnings forecasts are ubiquitous in today’s financial markets. They are essential indicators of future firm performance and a starting point for firm valuation. Extremely inaccurate and overoptimistic forecasts during the most recent financial crisis have raised serious doubts regarding the reliability of such forecasts. This thesis therefore investigates new determinants of forecast errors and accuracy. In addition, new determinants of forecast revisions are examined. More specifically, the thesis answers the following questions: 1) How do analyst incentives lead to forecast errors? 2) How do changes in analyst incentives lead to forecast revisions?, and 3) What factors drive differences in forecast accuracy?
Author: Elena Ferrer Publisher: Ed. Universidad de Cantabria ISBN: 8481028010 Category : Business & Economics Languages : en Pages : 86
Book Description
La presente obra se adentra en el estudio del potencial efecto del sentimiento del inversor sobre la valoración de activos, su efecto en los pronósticos de beneficios y recomendaciones de los analistas y su impacto sobre los activos derivados. Abarca el efecto del sentimiento del inversor en cuatro de los mercados europeos más importantes, Alemania, España, Francia y Reino Unido, mercados con características diferentes, en cuanto a tamaño, tipología del inversor y funcionamiento, lo que permite extraer importantes conclusiones adicionales.
Author: Tali Sharot Publisher: Vintage ISBN: 0307379833 Category : Science Languages : en Pages : 273
Book Description
Psychologists have long been aware that most people maintain an irrationally positive outlook on life—but why? Turns out, we might be hardwired that way. In this absorbing exploration, Tali Sharot—one of the most innovative neuroscientists at work today—demonstrates that optimism may be crucial to human existence. The Optimism Bias explores how the brain generates hope and what happens when it fails; how the brains of optimists and pessimists differ; why we are terrible at predicting what will make us happy; how emotions strengthen our ability to recollect; how anticipation and dread affect us; how our optimistic illusions affect our financial, professional, and emotional decisions; and more. Drawing on cutting-edge science, The Optimism Bias provides us with startling new insight into the workings of the brain and the major role that optimism plays in determining how we live our lives.
Author: Sundaresh Ramnath Publisher: Now Publishers Inc ISBN: 1601981627 Category : Business & Economics Languages : en Pages : 125
Book Description
Financial Analysts' Forecasts and Stock Recommendations reviews research related to the role of financial analysts in the allocation of resources in capital markets. The authors provide an organized look at the literature, with particular attention to important questions that remain open for further research. They focus research related to analysts' decision processes and the usefulness of their forecasts and stock recommendations. Some of the major surveys were published in the early 1990's and since then no less than 250 papers related to financial analysts have appeared in the nine major research journals that we used to launch our review of the literature. The research has evolved from descriptions of the statistical properties of analysts' forecasts to investigations of the incentives and decision processes that give rise to those properties. However, in spite of this broader focus, much of analysts' decision processes and the market's mechanism of drawing a useful consensus from the combination of individual analysts' decisions remain hidden in a black box. What do we know about the relevant valuation metrics and the mechanism by which analysts and investors translate forecasts into present equity values? What do we know about the heuristics relied upon by analysts and the market and the appropriateness of their use? Financial Analysts' Forecasts and Stock Recommendations examines these and other questions and concludes by highlighting area for future research.
Author: Judy L. Kantrowitz Publisher: Routledge ISBN: 1134892292 Category : Psychology Languages : en Pages : 261
Book Description
The question of how psychoanalysts are affected by their patients is of perennial interest. Edward Glover posed the question in an informal survey in 1940, but little came of his efforts. Now, more than half a century later, Judy Kantrowitz rigorously explores this issue on the basis of a unique research project that obtained data from 399 fully trained analysts. These survey responses included 194 reported clinical examples and 26 extended case commentaries on analyst change. Kantrowitz begins The Patient's Impact on the Analyst by documenting how the process of analysis fosters an interactional process out of which patient and analyst alike experience therapeutic effects. Then, drawing on the clinical examples provided by her survey respondents, she offers a detailed exploration of the ways in which clinically triggered self-reflection represents a continuation of the analyst's own personal understanding and growth. Finally, she incorporates these research findings into theoretical reflections on how analysts obtain and integrate self-knowledge in the course of their ongoing clinical work. This book is a pioneering effort to understand the therapeutic process from the perspective of its impact on the analyst. It provides an enlarged framework of comprehension for recent discussions of self-analysis, countertransference, interaction, and mutuality in the analytic process. Combining a wealth of experiential insight with thoughtful commentary and synthesis, it will sharpen analysts' awareness of how they work and how they are affected by their work.
Author: Tim Jenkinson Publisher: Oxford University Press, USA ISBN: 9780198295990 Category : Business & Economics Languages : en Pages : 264
Book Description
Going Public investigates why companies routinely underprice themselves as they try to list themselves on the stock exchange. They subsequently underperform over the long-term and, in Going Public, the authors explore these 2 phenomena in plain English.
Author: Phoebus Dhrymes Publisher: Springer ISBN: 3319659162 Category : Business & Economics Languages : en Pages : 637
Book Description
This book provides a rigorous introduction to the principles of econometrics and gives students and practitioners the tools they need to effectively and accurately analyze real data. Thoroughly updated to address the developments in the field that have occurred since the original publication of this classic text, the second edition has been expanded to include two chapters on time series analysis and one on nonparametric methods. Discussions on covariance (including GMM), partial identification, and empirical likelihood have also been added. The selection of topics and the level of discourse give sufficient variety so that the book can serve as the basis for several types of courses. This book is intended for upper undergraduate and first year graduate courses in economics and statistics and also has applications in mathematics and some social sciences where a reasonable knowledge of matrix algebra and probability theory is common. It is also ideally suited for practicing professionals who want to deepen their understanding of the methods they employ. Also available for the new edition is a solutions manual, containing answers to the end-of-chapter exercises.
Author: Jan-Philipp Matthewes
Author: Mauro Gallegati
Author: Sebastian Gell
Author: Elena Ferrer 
Author: 
Author: Tali Sharot
Author: Sundaresh Ramnath
Author: Judy L. Kantrowitz
Author: Tim Jenkinson
Author: Phoebus Dhrymes