Time Series Modelling of the Singapore Consumer Price Index Data PDF Download

Author: Siong Teng So
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category : Prediction theory
Languages : en
Pages : 142

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Author: Haichuan Xu
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category :
Languages : en
Pages : 0

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In the past year, we have witnessed that the U.S. inflation rate hit the highest peak in over 40 years and is still close to its multi-decade high now. The overall change in consumer prices has a significant impact on the nation's economic activity, product manufacturing, consumer behavior, and stock market. In this work, I develop a semiparametric forecasting approach using factor models with a large number of macroeconomic or financial time series predictors. The proposed method deals with the complex temporal and cross-sectional dependence of macroeconomic or financial time series predictors. Also, the proposed method does not need the prior knowledge of forecasting directions and forecasting function. I will examine the performance of the proposed method in simulation studies and a real-world application for predicting the consumer price index.

Author: Douglas C. Montgomery
Publisher: John Wiley & Sons
ISBN: 1118745159
Category : Mathematics
Languages : en
Pages : 670

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Praise for the First Edition "...[t]he book is great for readers who need to apply the methods and models presented but have little background in mathematics and statistics." -MAA Reviews Thoroughly updated throughout, Introduction to Time Series Analysis and Forecasting, Second Edition presents the underlying theories of time series analysis that are needed to analyze time-oriented data and construct real-world short- to medium-term statistical forecasts. Authored by highly-experienced academics and professionals in engineering statistics, the Second Edition features discussions on both popular and modern time series methodologies as well as an introduction to Bayesian methods in forecasting. Introduction to Time Series Analysis and Forecasting, Second Edition also includes: Over 300 exercises from diverse disciplines including health care, environmental studies, engineering, and finance More than 50 programming algorithms using JMP®, SAS®, and R that illustrate the theory and practicality of forecasting techniques in the context of time-oriented data New material on frequency domain and spatial temporal data analysis Expanded coverage of the variogram and spectrum with applications as well as transfer and intervention model functions A supplementary website featuring PowerPoint® slides, data sets, and select solutions to the problems Introduction to Time Series Analysis and Forecasting, Second Edition is an ideal textbook upper-undergraduate and graduate-levels courses in forecasting and time series. The book is also an excellent reference for practitioners and researchers who need to model and analyze time series data to generate forecasts.

Author: Tilak Abeysinghe
Publisher: Routledge
ISBN: 1134113579
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 180

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Singapore's phenomenal transformation from Third World to First World status has been of great interest to economists around the world yet there has been little quantitative research done on its economy and institutions. This innovative new research monograph fills the lacunae by presenting the Singapore economy through a macroeconometric model and laying the foundations for further research. Using formal econometric analysis and novel modelling techniques, Abeysinghe and Choy offer rare insights into how the Singapore economy works. Each of the major chapters discusses the implications of the empirical findings for current policy and an entire chapter has been devoted to macroeconomic policy simulations. This book is a unique introduction to the Singapore economy and would be of interest to econometric modellers and policy makers in Singapore as well as advanced undergraduates and graduate researchers interested in modelling small open economies.

Author: William R. Bell
Publisher: CRC Press
ISBN: 1439846588
Category : Mathematics
Languages : en
Pages : 544

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Economic Time Series: Modeling and Seasonality is a focused resource on analysis of economic time series as pertains to modeling and seasonality, presenting cutting-edge research that would otherwise be scattered throughout diverse peer-reviewed journals. This compilation of 21 chapters showcases the cross-fertilization between the fields of time s

Author: International Labour Office
Publisher: International Labour Organization
ISBN: 9789221136996
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 578

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The consumer price index (CPI) measures the rate at which prices of consumer goods and services change over time. It is used as a key indicator of economic performance, as well as in the setting of monetary and socio-economic policy such as indexation of wages and social security benefits, purchasing power parities and inflation measures. This manual contains methodological guidelines for statistical offices and other agencies responsible for constructing and calculating CPIs, and also examines underlying economic and statistical concepts involved. Topics covered include: expenditure weights, sampling, price collection, quality adjustment, sampling, price indices calculations, errors and bias, organisation and management, dissemination, index number theory, durables and user costs.

Author:
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category : Electronic data processing
Languages : en
Pages : 940

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Author: Mr. Kangni R Kpodar
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
ISBN: 1616356154
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 34

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This paper investigates the response of consumer price inflation to changes in domestic fuel prices, looking at the different categories of the overall consumer price index (CPI). We then combine household survey data with the CPI components to construct a CPI index for the poorest and richest income quintiles with the view to assess the distributional impact of the pass-through. To undertake this analysis, the paper provides an update to the Global Monthly Retail Fuel Price Database, expanding the product coverage to premium and regular fuels, the time dimension to December 2020, and the sample to 190 countries. Three key findings stand out. First, the response of inflation to gasoline price shocks is smaller, but more persistent and broad-based in developing economies than in advanced economies. Second, we show that past studies using crude oil prices instead of retail fuel prices to estimate the pass-through to inflation significantly underestimate it. Third, while the purchasing power of all households declines as fuel prices increase, the distributional impact is progressive. But the progressivity phases out within 6 months after the shock in advanced economies, whereas it persists beyond a year in developing countries.

Author:
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category : Industries
Languages : en
Pages : 878

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Author: Canh Thien Dang
Publisher: Springer Nature
ISBN: 9819964415
Category : Political Science
Languages : en
Pages : 1874

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Book Description
This proceedings volume contains papers accepted by the 2nd International Conference on Business and Policy Studies (CONF-BPS 2023), which are carefully selected and reviewed by professional reviewers from corresponding research fields and the editorial team of the conference. This volume presents the latest research achievements, inspirations, and applications in applied economy, finance, enterprise management, public administration, and policy studies. CONF-BPS 2023 was a hybrid conference that includes several workshops (offline and online) around the world in Cardiff (Jan, 2023), London(Feb, 2023) and Sydney (Feb, 2023). Prof. Canh Thien Dang from King's College London, Prof. Arman Eshraghi from Cardiff Business School, and Prof. Kristle Romero Cortés from UNSW Business School have chaired those offline workshop.