Author: Sungwon Cho
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category :
Languages : en
Pages : 90
Book Description
Mankiw's rational expectations-permanent income hypothesis (RE-PIH) model on consumer durable expenditures predicts that the change in durable expenditures should follow an MA (1) process. Empirical tests of this joint hypothesis, however, have been rejected using the postwar U.S. data. This thesis presents a time-series representation of the RE-PIH model that is capable of explaining the quarterly aggregated durable goods expenditure series. A novel feature of the analysis is that the observed infrequent purchases of durable goods by the consumers are incorporated into the model and that the time aggregation problem is explicitly addressed to investigate the aggregate dynamics of the durable expenditures. The time-series implication of the base model is that the change in durable expenditures is a function of the durable goods purchase interval. Mankiw's MA (1) model is shown to be a special case where the purchase interval is one quarter. Estimation results show that the RE-PIH model is capable of explaining the quarterly aggregate dynamics of the consumer durable goods expenditures once the infrequent microeconomic action is incorporated into the model and the time aggregation problem is explicitly taken into account.
Time-series Implications of the Permanent Income Hypothesis on Durable Goods Consumption
Author: Sungwon Cho
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category :
Languages : en
Pages : 90
Book Description
Mankiw's rational expectations-permanent income hypothesis (RE-PIH) model on consumer durable expenditures predicts that the change in durable expenditures should follow an MA (1) process. Empirical tests of this joint hypothesis, however, have been rejected using the postwar U.S. data. This thesis presents a time-series representation of the RE-PIH model that is capable of explaining the quarterly aggregated durable goods expenditure series. A novel feature of the analysis is that the observed infrequent purchases of durable goods by the consumers are incorporated into the model and that the time aggregation problem is explicitly addressed to investigate the aggregate dynamics of the durable expenditures. The time-series implication of the base model is that the change in durable expenditures is a function of the durable goods purchase interval. Mankiw's MA (1) model is shown to be a special case where the purchase interval is one quarter. Estimation results show that the RE-PIH model is capable of explaining the quarterly aggregate dynamics of the consumer durable goods expenditures once the infrequent microeconomic action is incorporated into the model and the time aggregation problem is explicitly taken into account.
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category :
Languages : en
Pages : 90
Book Description
Mankiw's rational expectations-permanent income hypothesis (RE-PIH) model on consumer durable expenditures predicts that the change in durable expenditures should follow an MA (1) process. Empirical tests of this joint hypothesis, however, have been rejected using the postwar U.S. data. This thesis presents a time-series representation of the RE-PIH model that is capable of explaining the quarterly aggregated durable goods expenditure series. A novel feature of the analysis is that the observed infrequent purchases of durable goods by the consumers are incorporated into the model and that the time aggregation problem is explicitly addressed to investigate the aggregate dynamics of the durable expenditures. The time-series implication of the base model is that the change in durable expenditures is a function of the durable goods purchase interval. Mankiw's MA (1) model is shown to be a special case where the purchase interval is one quarter. Estimation results show that the RE-PIH model is capable of explaining the quarterly aggregate dynamics of the consumer durable goods expenditures once the infrequent microeconomic action is incorporated into the model and the time aggregation problem is explicitly taken into account.
Weekly Weather and Crop Bulletin
Durable Consumption and the Life Cycle Permanent Income Hypothesis
Author: Chaiwuth Tangsomchai
Publisher: ProQuest
ISBN: 9780549439868
Category :
Languages : en
Pages : 177
Book Description
Publisher: ProQuest
ISBN: 9780549439868
Category :
Languages : en
Pages : 177
Book Description
The Permanent Income Hypothesis and Consumption Durability
Author: Fumio Hayashi
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category : Consumption (Economics)
Languages : en
Pages : 74
Book Description
The permanent income hypothesis is tested on a four-quarter panel of about two thousand Japanese households for ten commodity groups. Consumption is a distributed lag function of expenditures, and the utility function is additively separable in time. Durability is defined as the persistence of the distributed lag. The permanent income hypothesis implies that, for each commodity group, expected change in expenditures is correlated neither with past expenditure changes on other commodities nor with expected change indisposable income, if its own lags are controlled for. The main results are the following: (1) durability is substantial even for food and services, (2)the permanent income hypothesis applies to almost all (probably more than ninety percent) of the population, and (3) the habit persistence hypothesis is rejected in favor of the permanent income hypothesis.
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category : Consumption (Economics)
Languages : en
Pages : 74
Book Description
The permanent income hypothesis is tested on a four-quarter panel of about two thousand Japanese households for ten commodity groups. Consumption is a distributed lag function of expenditures, and the utility function is additively separable in time. Durability is defined as the persistence of the distributed lag. The permanent income hypothesis implies that, for each commodity group, expected change in expenditures is correlated neither with past expenditure changes on other commodities nor with expected change indisposable income, if its own lags are controlled for. The main results are the following: (1) durability is substantial even for food and services, (2)the permanent income hypothesis applies to almost all (probably more than ninety percent) of the population, and (3) the habit persistence hypothesis is rejected in favor of the permanent income hypothesis.
Expectations in the Consumption Function
Author: Yongsan Li
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category : Consumption (Economics)
Languages : en
Pages : 312
Book Description
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category : Consumption (Economics)
Languages : en
Pages : 312
Book Description
Permanent Income Hypothesis and the Demand for Durable Goods
Testing the Permanent Income Hypothesis
Author: Tony S. Wirjanto
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category :
Languages : en
Pages :
Book Description
This paper investigates whether there are variants of the permanent income model that are consistent with seasonally unadjusted quarterly postwar Canadian data. The analysis is based on a misspecification-test equation which nests the standard permanent income model. The results obtaineda re somewhatu nfavourablet o the permanent-incomeh ypothesis. The same results also apply to more general models in which the real interest rate is timevarying and the utility function is non-separable in consumption and the stock of durable goods.
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category :
Languages : en
Pages :
Book Description
This paper investigates whether there are variants of the permanent income model that are consistent with seasonally unadjusted quarterly postwar Canadian data. The analysis is based on a misspecification-test equation which nests the standard permanent income model. The results obtaineda re somewhatu nfavourablet o the permanent-incomeh ypothesis. The same results also apply to more general models in which the real interest rate is timevarying and the utility function is non-separable in consumption and the stock of durable goods.
Stochastic Implications of the Life Cycle-Permanent Income Hypothesis
Author: Robert E. Hall
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category :
Languages : en
Pages : 0
Book Description
Optimization of the part of consumers is shown to imply that the marginal utility of consumption evolves according to a random walk with trend. To a reasonable approximation, consumption itself should evolve in the same way. In particular, no variable apart from current consumption should be of any value in predicting future consumption. This implication is tested with time-series data for the postwar United States. It is confirmed for real disposable income, which has no predictive power for consumption, but rejected for an index of stock prices. The paper concludes that the evidence supports a modified version of the life cycle-permanent income hypothesis.
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category :
Languages : en
Pages : 0
Book Description
Optimization of the part of consumers is shown to imply that the marginal utility of consumption evolves according to a random walk with trend. To a reasonable approximation, consumption itself should evolve in the same way. In particular, no variable apart from current consumption should be of any value in predicting future consumption. This implication is tested with time-series data for the postwar United States. It is confirmed for real disposable income, which has no predictive power for consumption, but rejected for an index of stock prices. The paper concludes that the evidence supports a modified version of the life cycle-permanent income hypothesis.
The Consumption Function and the Distribution of Income
Author: Mahmood Namvar Haghighi Shirazy
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category : Consumption (Economics)
Languages : en
Pages : 254
Book Description
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category : Consumption (Economics)
Languages : en
Pages : 254
Book Description
National Saving and Economic Performance
Author: B. Douglas Bernheim
Publisher: University of Chicago Press
ISBN: 9780226044040
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 408
Book Description
"... Papers presented at a conference held at the Stouffer Wailea Hotel, Maui, Hawaii, January 6-7, 1989. ... part of the Research on Taxation program of the National Bureau of Economic Research." -- p. ix.
Publisher: University of Chicago Press
ISBN: 9780226044040
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 408
Book Description
"... Papers presented at a conference held at the Stouffer Wailea Hotel, Maui, Hawaii, January 6-7, 1989. ... part of the Research on Taxation program of the National Bureau of Economic Research." -- p. ix.