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Time-Series and Cross-Sectional Excess Comovement in Stock Indexes

Time-Series and Cross-Sectional Excess Comovement in Stock Indexes PDF Author: Jarl G. Kallberg
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category :
Languages : en
Pages : 41

Book Description
This paper is an empirical investigation of the excess comovement of industry indexes in the U.S. stock market over the period January 1973 to December 2001. We define excess comovement as the correlation between two assets beyond what could be explained by fundamental factors. In our analysis, the fundamental factors are sector groupings and the three Fama-French factors. We then estimate excess comovement as the mean absolute correlation of residuals of univariate (OLS) or joint (FGLS) regressions of these fundamentals on industry returns. We show that excess unconditional comovement is surprisingly high (a lower bound of 0.134 and an upper bound of 0.357) and represents between 31% and 83% of the average raw absolute correlation. Excess comovement is also consistently significant across industries and over our entire sample interval. Furthermore, we find that the degree of excess comovement is symmetric, i.e., not significantly different in rising or falling markets. We explain approximately 21% of this excess correlation by its positive relation to market volatility, and reveal a negative relation of its lower bound to the level of the short-term interest rate.

Time-Series and Cross-Sectional Excess Comovement in Stock Indexes

Time-Series and Cross-Sectional Excess Comovement in Stock Indexes PDF Author: Jarl G. Kallberg
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category :
Languages : en
Pages : 41

Book Description
This paper is an empirical investigation of the excess comovement of industry indexes in the U.S. stock market over the period January 1973 to December 2001. We define excess comovement as the correlation between two assets beyond what could be explained by fundamental factors. In our analysis, the fundamental factors are sector groupings and the three Fama-French factors. We then estimate excess comovement as the mean absolute correlation of residuals of univariate (OLS) or joint (FGLS) regressions of these fundamentals on industry returns. We show that excess unconditional comovement is surprisingly high (a lower bound of 0.134 and an upper bound of 0.357) and represents between 31% and 83% of the average raw absolute correlation. Excess comovement is also consistently significant across industries and over our entire sample interval. Furthermore, we find that the degree of excess comovement is symmetric, i.e., not significantly different in rising or falling markets. We explain approximately 21% of this excess correlation by its positive relation to market volatility, and reveal a negative relation of its lower bound to the level of the short-term interest rate.

A Cross Sectional Analysis of the Excess Comovement of Stock Returns

A Cross Sectional Analysis of the Excess Comovement of Stock Returns PDF Author: Robin Marc Greenwood
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category :
Languages : en
Pages : 46

Book Description
In the presence of limits to arbitrage, cross-sectional variation in periodic investor demand should be related to the degree of comovement of returns. I exploit the unusual weighting system of the Nikkei 225 index in Japan to identify cross-sectional variation in periodic demand for index stocks. Relative to their weights in a value weighted index, some stocks in the Nikkei are overweighted by a factor of ten or more. Using overweighting as an instrument for the proportionality between demand shocks for index stocks, I find a strong positive relation between overweighting and the comovement of a stock with other stocks in the index, and a negative relationship between index overweighting and comovement with stocks outside of the index. Put simply, overweighted stocks have high betas. The results suggest that excess comovement of stock returns is a consequence of an institutionalized commonality in trading behavior, rather than inefficiencies related to the speed at which index stocks incorporate economy-wide information.

Proceedings of the International Congress ‘14 (IntCongress 2014)

Proceedings of the International Congress ‘14 (IntCongress 2014) PDF Author: Association of Scientists, Developers and Faculties
Publisher: Association of Scientists, Developers and Faculties
ISBN: 8192974235
Category : Computers
Languages : en
Pages : 183

Book Description
Proceedings of the combined volumes of International Congress (IntCongress 2014) held at Holiday Inn Silom, Bangkok, Kingdom of Thailand between 19th November, 2014 and 21st November, 2014.

Essays on the Cross-sectional and Time-series Behavior of Stock Returns

Essays on the Cross-sectional and Time-series Behavior of Stock Returns PDF Author: Vinod Chandrashekaran
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category :
Languages : en
Pages : 256

Book Description


Relation between Time-Series and Cross-Sectional Effects of Idiosyncratic Variance on Stock Returns

Relation between Time-Series and Cross-Sectional Effects of Idiosyncratic Variance on Stock Returns PDF Author: Hui Guo
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category :
Languages : en
Pages : 48

Book Description
Consistent with the post-1962 U.S. evidence by Ang, Hodrick, Xing, and Zhang [Ang, A., Hodrick, R., Xing Y., Zhang, X., 2006. The cross-section of volatility and expected returns. Journal of Finance 51, 259-299.], we find that stocks with high idiosyncratic variance (IV) have low CAPM-adjusted expected returns in both pre-1962 U.S. and modern G7 data. We also test in three ways the conjecture that IV is a proxy of systematic risk. First, the return difference between low and high IV stocks -- that we dub as IVF -- is a priced factor in the cross-section of stock returns. Second, loadings on lagged market variance and lagged average IV account for a significant portion of variation in average returns on portfolios sorted by IV. Third, the variance of IVF correlates closely with average IV, and the two variables have similar explanatory power for the time-series and cross-sectional stock returns.

Alternative Decision-Making Models for Financial Portfolio Management: Emerging Research and Opportunities

Alternative Decision-Making Models for Financial Portfolio Management: Emerging Research and Opportunities PDF Author: Spaseski, Narela
Publisher: IGI Global
ISBN: 1522532609
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 345

Book Description
Economics is an integral aspect to every successful society, yet basic financial practices have gone unchanged for decades. Analyzing unconventional finance methods can provide new ways to ensure personal financial futures on an individual level, as well as boosting international economies. Alternative Decision-Making Models for Financial Portfolio Management: Emerging Research and Opportunities is an essential reference source that discusses methods and techniques that make financial administration more efficient for professionals in economic fields. Featuring relevant topics such as mean-variance portfolio theory, decision tree analysis, risk protection strategies, and asset-liability management, this publication is ideal for academicians, students, economists, and researchers that would like to stay current on new and innovative methods to transform the financial realm.

International Financial Markets

International Financial Markets PDF Author: Hung-Gay Fung
Publisher: Emerald Group Publishing
ISBN: 1781903123
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 195

Book Description
This volume contributes to a fresh perspective on the economic and finance research on international financial markets and also the commodity markets by examining various factors that affect information transmission and pricing relation in the spot and derivatives markets in the United States and internationally.

Systemic Financial Risk

Systemic Financial Risk PDF Author: Alexander Karminsky
Publisher: Springer Nature
ISBN: 3031548094
Category :
Languages : en
Pages : 347

Book Description


Financial Market Contagion in the Asian Crisis

Financial Market Contagion in the Asian Crisis PDF Author: Mr.Taimur Baig
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
ISBN: 1451857284
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 60

Book Description
This paper tests for evidence of contagion between the financial markets of Thailand, Malaysia, Indonesia, Korea, and the Philippines. Cross-country correlations among currencies and sovereign spreads are found to increase significantly during the crisis period, whereas the equity market correlations offer mixed evidence. A set of dummy variables using daily news is constructed to capture the impact of own-country and cross-border news on the markets. After controlling for own-country news and other fundamentals, the paper shows evidence of cross-border contagion in the currency and equity markets.

The Internationalization of Equity Markets

The Internationalization of Equity Markets PDF Author: Jeffrey A. Frankel
Publisher: University of Chicago Press
ISBN: 0226260216
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 428

Book Description
This timely volume addresses three important recent trends in the internationalization of United States equity markets: extensive market integration through foreign investment and links among stock prices around the world; increasing securitization as countries such as Japan come to rely more than ever before on markets in equities and bonds at the expense of banks; and the opening of national financial systems of newly industrializing countries to international financial flows and institutions, as governments remove capital controls and other barriers. Eight essays examine such issues as the current extent of international market integration, gains to U.S. investors through international diversification, home-country bias in investing, the role of time and location around the world in stock trading, and the behavior of country funds. Other, long-standing questions about equity markets are also addressed, including market efficiency and the accuracy of models of expected returns, with a particular focus on variances, covariances, and the price of risk according to the Capital Asset Pricing Model.