Three Essays on Housing and Labor Economics PDF Download

Author: XUE HU
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Category :
Languages : en
Pages : 178

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These essays contribute towards our understanding of housing and labor economics. This dissertation is composed of three chapters. In the first chapter, I explore the impact of negative housing equity on households' geo- graphical mobility using data from Panel Study of Income Dynamics. The empirical analysis implies that addressing the endogeneity nature of homeowners' underwater mortgage status is crucial. Even with comprehensive controls for households' demographic characteristics and macro-level factors, omitted variable bias such as homeowners' attitudes towards their financial responsibility may still generate estimation bias that is quite large. After proper instrumenting for homeowners' underwater mortgage status using local shocks from housing and labor markets, the estimation results show that having underwater mortgages is associated with an average decline in mobility rate of about 17 percentage points. The second chapter investigates the role of housing choice and mortgage on employment transitions when there are uncertainties regarding income and house prices. Motivated by the empirical evidence on large employment-transition disparities between homeowners and renters, I develop and estimate a structural model in which mortgage obligations motivate homeowners to exert greater job-search efforts during unemployment spells. The model is used to understand individuals' response to housing and labor market shocks. I find that while the decline in house prices creates negative labor market externalities for renters, tightening mortgage constraints result in greater job search incentives for homeowners. With concurrent negative labor market shocks, the probability of transitioning out of unemployment for both renters and homeowners declines. Two policy experiments are conducted. The first shows that lower refinance cost discourages housing equity accumulation and is associated with a decline in the average employment rate. The second demonstrates that a lower down payment requirement encourages the transition into home ownership, which has positive labor market implications, especially for younger individuals. The first two chapters explore the relation between underwater mortgage and geographical mobility and impacts of mortgage debt obligation on employment incentives. Both analyses are based on individual-level data. The last chapter investigates the mysteries of regional housing market disparities from a macro perspective. This chapter shows that local economic conditions are correlated with deviations between house prices and rents in a price-rent model framework, suggesting that the demand for credit and housing is greater when a variety of local economic conditions are more supportive. Several different measures of local economic conditions are considered in this chapter: local unemployment rates, local unemployment rates relative to the natural rate of unemployment, local inflation rates, and measures of local perceptions of the cost of credit. This chapter attempts to offer explanations not as how or why house prices increased, but rather, given the myriad of national factors making home purchase easier and cheaper, where house prices increased. This approach also resolves a bit of a puzzle as to why the housing bubble was so pronounced in some areas and not others.

Author: Guangyu Nie
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Category : Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 310

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This dissertation focuses on labor economics and macroeconomics.

Author: Joseph Shinn
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Category :
Languages : en
Pages : 127

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This dissertation consists of three empirical essays on labor, health, and real estate economics. The first essay theoretically and empirically analyzed the effects of the costs of firing an employee and hiring a replacement in a labor market with imperfect information. The theory suggested that increased expected firing or replacement costs contributed to a ``lemons effect" for the fired worker through the negative signal received in the labor market regarding the worker's ability. To test this theory, data from the Displaced Worker's Supplement to the Current Population Survey from 2004 to 2014 was used. The results were mixed, but suggested that workers in the United States who were displaced from their job experienced decreased probabilities of finding reemployment as firing costs increased. The essay also examined whether this ``lemons effect" contributed to larger wage decreases, but the estimates did not support this conclusion. The second essay estimated the impacts of the 2001 elimination of the Medicare 24-month waiting period for non-elderly Amyotrophic Lateral Sclerosis (ALS) patients. Using data from the National Hospital Discharge Survey, this essay estimated the effects of the elimination on health insurance coverage and utilization of health care services. By applying a difference-in-difference OLS estimation technique, it was estimated that, as a result of the waiting period elimination, non-elderly ALS patients were more likely to be insured, but there was a significant crowd-out of private insurance. These non-elderly patients who were admitted to the hospital with serious symptoms were also more likely to be transferred to long- or short-term care facilities while non-serious patients were more likely to receive a high (four or more) number of medical services while hospitalized. In the third essay, the effects of a new suburban casino on local housing prices were evaluated. Similar to the second essay, a difference-in-difference approach was applied, but it was combined with a spatial hedonic pricing model. Using data from a GIS product from the Maryland Department of Planning and local-area data from the American Community Survey, the effects that the opening of Maryland Live! Casino had on home sales prices of properties located in primary (one-mile radius) and secondary (one to three miles) impact areas were estimated. The results of the estimations indicated that the opening of the casino had a positive impact on housing prices in the primary impact area and this impact likely began during the construction period. No impacts, however, were evident in the secondary impact area.

Author: Patrick M. Kline
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Category :
Languages : en
Pages : 292

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Author: Ahmet Ali Taskin
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Category :
Languages : en
Pages : 250

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This dissertation consists of three essays in Housing and Family Economics. In the first chapter, I analyze the interstate migration patterns of families and the effect of labor force attachment of women on joint migration decisions. I show that as the earned income of spouses become similar, the probability of migration falls substantially. This observation is robust in the sense that 1) it holds even after controlling for a rich set of factors that are strongly correlated with relative income, 2) it yields qualitatively similar results when I model the incidence of attrition as another exit, 3) it consistently disappears for the shorter distance moves. I also find that the negative relationship between income similarity of couples and interstate migration is especially strong for supposedly more settled families and couples that have similar labor market characteristics beyond income levels. In the second chapter, I quantify the contribution of women's labor force attachment to the declining trend in interstate migration. I first document that for families in which both spouses have similar incomes, the propensity to migrate is significantly lower than for families with unequal spousal earnings. I then construct a labor search model in which households make location, marriage, and divorce decisions. I calibrate the model to match aggregate U.S. statistics on mobility, marriage and labor flows and use it to quantify the effect of a fall in the gender wage gap on interstate migration. Narrowing the gender wage gap increases women's contribution to total family income; it induces a higher share of families with both spouses working and more couples with similar incomes. The model predicts that the observed change in the gender wage gap accounts for 35% of the drop in family migration since 1981. Finally, in the third chapter, I examine the effects of homeownership on individuals' unemployment durations in the USA. I take into account that an unemployment spell can terminate with a job or with a non-participation transition. The endogeneity of homeownership is addressed through the estimation of a full maximum likelihood function which jointly models the competing hazards and the probability of being a homeowner. Unobserved factors contributing to the probability of being a homeowner are allowed to be correlated with unobservable heterogeneity in the hazard rates. Tentative results suggest that unemployed homeowners are less likely to find a job which is especially stronger for outright owners. I also find that homeowners' nonparticipation hazard does not significantly differ from that of renters' although having a mortgage lowers the chance of exiting the labor force.

Author: Stylianos Christodoulou
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ISBN:
Category : Labor economics
Languages : en
Pages : 0

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"This dissertation consists of three chapters. The first chapter evaluates the effectiveness of targeted rental subsidies and their impact on neighborhoods. The second chapter studies the impact that local labor market composition changes have on local post-secondary institutions. The last chapter analysis how worker whose abilities are underestimated or overestimated choose occupations when employers differ in the speed in which they learn about workers. Despite the benefits of residing in low-poverty neighborhoods, rental assistance recipients are disproportionately located in high-poverty neighborhoods. However, it is unclear whether efforts to promote their relocation will be successful or whether it will introduce adverse effects on neighborhoods. Using a novel treatment magnitude in a triple difference design that leverages a reform to the largest rental assistance program in the US, this paper finds a significant causal effect on the number of rental assistance recipients residing in each neighborhood that varies across broad geographical areas. Furthermore, this study finds improvements in recipients' average neighborhood quality of residence, with the effects remaining significant 5 years after the reform. Lastly, no evidence of adverse effects on neighborhoods were found as measured by home appreciation rates. The second chapter examines the responsiveness of major specific completions to its employment share at the local level. The dynamic effect is identified by exploiting quasi-random variation that is constructed using shift-share instruments which leverage both changes in the occupational composition and the composition of majors within occupations at the national level. Using data for the time period of 2009-2018, the results suggest a significant response of the major choice to changes in the local labor market with the effect being largest between freshman and sophomore years. A decomposition of the effect suggests a larger response to changes in the occupational composition than to changes in the major composition within occupations. The third chapter studies occupational decisions when workers' abilities are overestimated or underestimated and employer differ in the speed in which they learn about workers, which is called employer learning rate. Due to asymmetric information, individuals who are more (less) productive than what their observables reveal, will be underpaid (overpaid) at the beginning of their careers. In this paper, I develop a two-period, two-occupation model which analyzes the occupational decisions in an asymmetric information game where workers differ on whether their productivity was underestimated or overestimated and occupations are heterogeneous with respect to an employer learning rate proxy. Lastly, I use data from the National Longitudinal Survey of Youth 1979 (NLSY79) and Current Population Survey (CPS) Merged Outgoing Rotation Group(MORG) to directly test model predictions separately for workers with less than college degree education and for college graduates."--Pages vii-viii.

Author: Nattanicha Chairassamee
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ISBN:
Category : Labor economics
Languages : en
Pages : 108

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In the third chapter, it examines the housing supply restriction effects on labor markets and college attendance. Different restrictions in the housing supply generate substantial variations in housing prices across the United States. As a result, these restrictions determine employment growth within an area. In turn, a change in employment growth determines the migration rates of both low- and high-educated workers, as well as decisions about college attendance. In this study, I assemble evidence on housing supply regulations and examine their effects on metropolitan-area human capital. Locations with highly restrictive regulations show a relatively low proportion of college graduates among their residents and rely more on highly educated migrants. The study suggests that a very highly restricted housing supply can slow down human capital growth.

Author: Daniel Ringo
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Category : College attendance
Languages : en
Pages : 96

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"This dissertation contributes to two literatures: Urban Economics and Labor Economics. In the first chapter I estimate the effect of home ownership on individual workers' unemployment and wage growth, as well as other labor market outcomes. Because of higher moving costs, home owners will be less willing than renters to relocate for work and could therefore face longer unemployment spells. To elaborate on this hypothesis, credited to Oswald (1996), I build a simple search model and obtain a set of labor market predictions to test. The current microeconomic literature has reached mixed results regarding home ownership's impact, with most studies concluding that home ownership reduces unemployment. I show that the instruments used are likely to be invalid because of, among other reasons, Tiebout (1956) type sorting into housing markets. I use an instrumental variable free of the endogeneity present in other work: the county level home ownership rate when and where the worker grew up. This IV affects workers' preferences for housing but not, conditional on my covariates, their labor market ability. My results indicate that home ownership is a significant hindrance to mobility, and homeowners suffer longer unemployment spells and slower wage growth because of it. In the second chapter I use a dynamic model of neighborhood choice to estimate household preferences over the demographic characteristics of a neighborhood. I focus on the racial mix, average income and housing price level of a neighborhood, and whether households prefer neighbors that are similar to themselves. Identification of these preferences is complicated by the social aspect of neighborhood amenities. A household's valuation of a particular choice (neighborhood) is a function of the choices other households in the market have made and will make in the future. I show that demographic characteristics of a neighborhood are therefore endogenous to neighborhood quality. Standard estimates of preferences over neighbors may be biased by the presence of such unobservable local amenities. I develop a framework to correct this problem based on a careful delineation of the information households could have access to before and after they make their decisions. The model I build has the advantage over the literature of being able to produce self-consistent predictions about demographic changes. I deal with the low frequency of observations in my data set, the decennial census, by simulating local housing markets between data collection periods. After controlling for type-specific preferences for the physical amenities of neighborhoods, I find a universal preference for higher income neighbors. In contrast to much of the literature, my results suggest white households have no aversion to minority neighbors. In the third chapter I estimate the effect of parental credit scores on the child's probability of attending and completing college. Parents in the US are increasingly supplementing the student loans available to their children with unsecured debt in their own name. This is the first paper on this topic to make use of direct observations of credit scores, rather than rely on proxies such as wealth shocks. I find that good parental credit significantly improves the child's probability of attending college, with a smaller (although still significant) effect on the probability of completing a four-year degree. I provide evidence that the estimated relationship is causal and not biased by, for example, unobserved ability. Additionally, I show that credit scores may affect attendance through channels other than access to the student loan market. I hypothesize households substitute the potential to borrow for precautionary savings"--Pages iii-iv.

Author: Keyoung David Lee
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category :
Languages : en
Pages : 181

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This dissertation explores topics in urban and labor economics, separately and together. In Chapter 1, I explore human capital spillovers between workers and across neighborhoods. I first show that college-educated and non-college workers tend to work in the same Census tracts. I then estimate an economic geography model and find a positive spillover effect of nearby college workers but a negative spillover effect of nearby non-college workers on a worker's income. Both spillover effects decay very quickly, having no effect beyond three miles. I conduct counterfactual exercises to assess the benefits of a Los Angeles policy. The exercise shows that policies increasing density of college jobs provide benefit to both the targeted and surrounding areas, suggesting an important margin for urban policymakers to influence worker productivity in local areas. Chapter 2 studies the Civilian Conservation Corps (CCC) to provide the first comprehensive assessment of the short- and long-term effects of means-tested youth employment programs. We use digitized enrollee records from the CCC program in Colorado and New Mexico and matched these records to the 1940 Census, WWII enlistment records, Social Security Administration records, and death certificates. Overall, we find significant long-term benefits in both longevity and earnings, suggesting short and medium-term evaluations underestimate the returns of training programs, as do those that fail to consider effects on longevity. Chapter 3 examines the housing market effects of inclusionary zoning policies (IZPs). IZPs have been implemented to spur construction of below-market housing to tackle the issue of housing affordability. They are popular with local governments because the direct costs of creating affordable housing are borne by developers, but their effects are theoretically ambiguous. I set up an empirical strategy that exploits variation in geography and timing in a difference-in-discontinuity framework to examine the effect of New York City's mandatory IZP on housing supply and prices. I find while transaction prices increase following the policy, building activity also increases. This suggests that models considering IZP as a tax on development are too simplistic and further research is required to disentangle these findings.

Author: Antoine Goujard
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ISBN:
Category :
Languages : en
Pages :

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Public policies are an important determinant of the welfare of individuals and the society at large. Careful evaluation of the impact of public policies on welfare is therefore imperative for our understanding of the positive and normative implications for these institutions. The three chapters of this thesis examine the welfare consequences of specific economic and political institutions. Chapters 1 and 2 study two distinct channels through which social housing, a common feature of developed countries, may impact the neighborhoods in which they are built and the labor market outcomes of their low income tenants. Chapter 1 is concerned with the effect of the provision of social housing on neighboring private ats. It assesses the spillovers of low-income tenants and the change in the composition of the housing stock that are to be expected from the provision of new social housing units. In particular, it uses the direct conversion of private rental flats into social units without any accompanying rehabilitation to identify the impact of the inflow into the neighborhood of low income tenants, separately from the effects of social housing on the quality of the existing housing stock. Chapter 2 shows that social housing influences the location of low income tenants, and that the neighborhood of social housing units may improve the labor market outcomes of the poorest tenants. I observe the relocation of welfare recipients through the selection process of social housing applicants in the city of Paris from 2001 to 2007. The institutional process acts as a conditional randomization device across residential areas in Paris. The empirical estimates outline that neighborhoods have weak short- and medium-run effects on the economic self-sufficiency of poor households. Chapter 3, by contrast, focuses on how regional migrations of unemployed workers may affect their job search prospect in Europe. Using a longitudinal sample of French unemployment spells, the empirical estimates outline positive migration effects on transitions from unemployment to employment that depends on the previous duration of the unemployment spells.