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Three Essays on Consumer Behavior Under Uncertainty

Three Essays on Consumer Behavior Under Uncertainty PDF Author: Koichi Yonezawa
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category : Consumer behavior
Languages : en
Pages : 191

Book Description
It is well understood that decisions made under uncertainty differ from those made without risk in important and significant ways. Yet, there is very little research into how uncertainty manifests itself in the most ubiquitous of decision-making environments: Consumers' day-to-day decisions over where to shop, and what to buy for their daily grocery needs. Facing a choice between stores that either offer relatively stable "everyday low prices" (EDLP) or variable prices that reflect aggressive promotion strategies (HILO), consumers have to choose stores under price-uncertainty. I find that consumers' attitudes toward risk are critically important in determining store-choice, and that heterogeneity in risk attitudes explains the co-existence of EDLP and HILO stores - an equilibrium that was previously explained in somewhat unsatisfying ways. After choosing a store, consumers face another source of risk. While knowing the quality or taste of established brands, consumers have very little information about new products. Consequently, consumers tend to choose smaller package sizes for new products, which limits their exposure to the risk that the product does not meet their prior expectations. While the observation that consumers purchase small amounts of new products is not new, I show how this practice is fully consistent with optimal purchase decision-making by utility-maximizing consumers. I then use this insight to explain how manufacturers of consumer packaged goods (CPGs) respond to higher production costs. Because consumers base their purchase decisions in part on package size, manufacturers can use package size as a competitive tool in order to raise margins in the face of higher production costs. While others have argued that manufacturers reduce package sizes as a means of raising unit-prices (prices per unit of volume) in a hidden way, I show that the more important effect is a competitive one: Changes in package size can soften price competition, so manufacturers need not rely on fooling consumers in order to pass-through cost increases through changes in package size. The broader implications of consumer behavior under risk are dramatic. First, risk perceptions affect consumers' store choice and product choice patterns in ways that can be exploited by both retailers and manufacturers. Second, strategic considerations prevent manufacturers from manipulating package size in ways that seem designed to trick consumers. Third, many services are also offered as packages, and also involve uncertainty, so the effects identified here are likely to be pervasive throughout the consumer economy.

Three Essays on Consumer Behavior Under Uncertainty

Three Essays on Consumer Behavior Under Uncertainty PDF Author: Koichi Yonezawa
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category : Consumer behavior
Languages : en
Pages : 191

Book Description
It is well understood that decisions made under uncertainty differ from those made without risk in important and significant ways. Yet, there is very little research into how uncertainty manifests itself in the most ubiquitous of decision-making environments: Consumers' day-to-day decisions over where to shop, and what to buy for their daily grocery needs. Facing a choice between stores that either offer relatively stable "everyday low prices" (EDLP) or variable prices that reflect aggressive promotion strategies (HILO), consumers have to choose stores under price-uncertainty. I find that consumers' attitudes toward risk are critically important in determining store-choice, and that heterogeneity in risk attitudes explains the co-existence of EDLP and HILO stores - an equilibrium that was previously explained in somewhat unsatisfying ways. After choosing a store, consumers face another source of risk. While knowing the quality or taste of established brands, consumers have very little information about new products. Consequently, consumers tend to choose smaller package sizes for new products, which limits their exposure to the risk that the product does not meet their prior expectations. While the observation that consumers purchase small amounts of new products is not new, I show how this practice is fully consistent with optimal purchase decision-making by utility-maximizing consumers. I then use this insight to explain how manufacturers of consumer packaged goods (CPGs) respond to higher production costs. Because consumers base their purchase decisions in part on package size, manufacturers can use package size as a competitive tool in order to raise margins in the face of higher production costs. While others have argued that manufacturers reduce package sizes as a means of raising unit-prices (prices per unit of volume) in a hidden way, I show that the more important effect is a competitive one: Changes in package size can soften price competition, so manufacturers need not rely on fooling consumers in order to pass-through cost increases through changes in package size. The broader implications of consumer behavior under risk are dramatic. First, risk perceptions affect consumers' store choice and product choice patterns in ways that can be exploited by both retailers and manufacturers. Second, strategic considerations prevent manufacturers from manipulating package size in ways that seem designed to trick consumers. Third, many services are also offered as packages, and also involve uncertainty, so the effects identified here are likely to be pervasive throughout the consumer economy.

Three Essays on Consumer Behavior and Asset Prices

Three Essays on Consumer Behavior and Asset Prices PDF Author: Jeon-Hyeok Cho
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category :
Languages : en
Pages : 282

Book Description


Three Essays on Consumer Behavior in Virtual Community

Three Essays on Consumer Behavior in Virtual Community PDF Author: Yiyan Stella Li
Publisher: Open Dissertation Press
ISBN: 9781361422922
Category :
Languages : en
Pages :

Book Description
This dissertation, "Three Essays on Consumer Behavior in Virtual Community: EWOM, Online Trust, and Dynamic Impacts on Brand Selection" by Yiyan, Stella, Li, 李藝燕, was obtained from The University of Hong Kong (Pokfulam, Hong Kong) and is being sold pursuant to Creative Commons: Attribution 3.0 Hong Kong License. The content of this dissertation has not been altered in any way. We have altered the formatting in order to facilitate the ease of printing and reading of the dissertation. All rights not granted by the above license are retained by the author. Abstract: Abstract of thesis entitled Three Essays on Consumer Behavior in Virtual Community: eWOM, Online Trust, and Dynamic Impacts on Brand Selection submitted by Stella Yiyan Li for the degree of Doctor of Philosophy at the University of Hong Kong in June 2007 As increasing numbers of people log into Virtual Communities (VCs) to meet new friends and solve problems, VCs have become an important social phenomenon that attracts research attention from different disciplines. Existing consumer research focuses on the individual motives behind participation in VCs and how brand-based VCs affect consumers' brand loyalty, but neglects the roles of the other important form of VCs, the product-based VCs. Moreover, the dynamic influences remain open to questions. By incorporating social capital theory and emerging theories relevant to VC research, this thesis aims to advance knowledge about the dynamic influences of product-based VCs on consumer behaviour in terms of eWord-of Mouth (eWOM), trust formation, and brand selection. The first study examines eWOM in VCs. WOM is a highly respected form of marketing information. However, because it is difficult to study WOM in the face-to-face context, researchers have limited understanding of its sources of effectiveness or its effects beyond product and brand communications. By conducting a netnography of beauty product enthusiasts in China in order to understand eWOM, the findings of this iistudy reveal four categories of responses: (1) sources of social capital, (2) brand choice facilitation, (3) persuasion knowledge development, and (4) consumer reflexivity. The thesis also proposes a model and offers a set of postulates to guide future research directions. The second study tests the antecedents and consequences of trust formation in VCs. IS research investigates the domains of interpersonal and system trust using streams of research based on different paradigms. Considering the continuous proliferation of VCs, this thesis proposes an integrative model that combines both trust components. Drawing insights from social capital theory, this study extends the research context to a VC sponsored by a commercial portal. Furthermore, it postulates that (1) structured VC contents and members' cognitive and relational motivations are antecedents to both trust components; (2) interpersonal trust is distinct from, and an important driver of, system trust; and (3) both trust components stimulate member online loyalty which enhances value for the sponsoring portal. Tests of the model's hypotheses using an online survey of 899 VC members support propositions in this study and offer both research and managerial implications. The third study examines the dynamic influences of VCs on brand selection. Various studies prove that brand-based VCs strengthen participants' brand loyalty. What remains unclear is how product-based VCs affect consumers' brand selection and how those impacts evolve over time. Using a longitudinal study of 277 members from the same VC, I demonstrate that individual motives (informational and social) and susceptibility to VC normative influence not only enhance consumers' loyalty toward a favourite brand but also increase variety-seeking intentions and consideration set size in iiibrand selection. Informational motives play dominant roles in enhancing variety-seeking intenti

Three Essays on Current Topics in Consumer Behavior: Perceived Authenticity in Service Interactions, the Sharing Economy, and Consumer-generated Reviews

Three Essays on Current Topics in Consumer Behavior: Perceived Authenticity in Service Interactions, the Sharing Economy, and Consumer-generated Reviews PDF Author:
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category :
Languages : en
Pages : 170

Book Description


Analyses on Strategic Consumers' Forward Looking Behavior

Analyses on Strategic Consumers' Forward Looking Behavior PDF Author: Ilhan Emre Ertan
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category : Consumer behavior
Languages : en
Pages :

Book Description
This dissertation includes three essays. The first two essays focus on analyzing consumers’ strategic waiting behavior, and the third essay addresses the differences in consumers’ risk preferences while making decisions for different temporal spots. Due to the long history of markdown applications, in time consumers have built rational expectations from the seller to provide markdown discounts throughout a selling horizon. We investigate the assumption that as rational utility maximizers, consumers act according to maximizing their utility over time. In the first essay, we intend to identify the underlying determinants of consumers’ sequential decision making processes under uncertain product availability. We structure a benchmark optimal purchase timing policy in a market environment, in which a single strategic customer could only follow the markdown pricing scheme, the available inventory level and the remaining time to the end of the selling horizon to maximize his expected surplus from the purchase. In the second essay, we present a set of controlled human subject experiments that investigate how people make purchase timing decisions under product purchase uncertainty. The impact of experiencing Stock Out, when the consumer waits too long and the product is sold out at the retailer and the impact of experiencing Over Pay, when the consumer decides to buy early and finds the product available at a deeper discount later, are analyzed with a unique sequential decision making task through our experimental studies. We identified that human subjects are on average more risk seeking than the analytical model predicts. In the end, we propose a behavioral choice model which incorporates human subjects’ attitudes towards feelings of regret rooted from Stock Out and Over Pay. After observing the impact of risk preferences on consumers’ purchase timing decisions, in the third essay, we look into the human subjects’ attitudes towards making decisions with uncertain outcomes at different time points. We found that consumers show less risk averse risk preference while making decisions for uncertain hedonic products compared to the risk preferences while making decisions for utilitarian products, which is a big contrast to the experimental economics literature. Using subjects’ product consumption size as a co-variate sheds light onto our analysis, indicating the importance of motivational control in eliciting risk preferences when using primary rewards as the incentive mechanism for risk preference elicitation experiments.

Consumers' Purchasing Behaviour Under Risk and Uncertainty

Consumers' Purchasing Behaviour Under Risk and Uncertainty PDF Author: Chloe McCallum
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category :
Languages : en
Pages :

Book Description


Three Essays on Learning and Information in Games

Three Essays on Learning and Information in Games PDF Author: Robert Stuart Gazzale
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category :
Languages : en
Pages : 334

Book Description


Three Essays on Rational Consumer Behavior

Three Essays on Rational Consumer Behavior PDF Author: David Yong Shim
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category : Consumers
Languages : en
Pages : 298

Book Description


Essays in Honor of Kenneth J. Arrow: Volume 3, Uncertainty, Information, and Communication

Essays in Honor of Kenneth J. Arrow: Volume 3, Uncertainty, Information, and Communication PDF Author: Walter P. Heller
Publisher: Cambridge University Press
ISBN: 9780521327046
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 316

Book Description
The third in a series of volumes published in honour of Professor Kenneth J. Arrow, each covering a different area of economic theory.

Journal of Economic Literature

Journal of Economic Literature PDF Author:
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category : Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 398

Book Description