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Author: Robert S. Erikson Publisher: University of Chicago Press ISBN: 0226922162 Category : Political Science Languages : en Pages : 221
Book Description
In presidential elections, do voters cast their ballots for the candidates whose platform and positions best match their own? Or is the race for president of the United States come down largely to who runs the most effective campaign? It’s a question those who study elections have been considering for years with no clear resolution. In The Timeline of Presidential Elections, Robert S. Erikson and Christopher Wlezien reveal for the first time how both factors come into play. Erikson and Wlezien have amassed data from close to two thousand national polls covering every presidential election from 1952 to 2008, allowing them to see how outcomes take shape over the course of an election year. Polls from the beginning of the year, they show, have virtually no predictive power. By mid-April, when the candidates have been identified and matched in pollsters’ trial heats, preferences have come into focus—and predicted the winner in eleven of the fifteen elections. But a similar process of forming favorites takes place in the last six months, during which voters’ intentions change only gradually, with particular events—including presidential debates—rarely resulting in dramatic change. Ultimately, Erikson and Wlezien show that it is through campaigns that voters are made aware of—or not made aware of—fundamental factors like candidates’ policy positions that determine which ticket will get their votes. In other words, fundamentals matter, but only because of campaigns. Timely and compelling, this book will force us to rethink our assumptions about presidential elections.
Author: Robert S. Erikson Publisher: University of Chicago Press ISBN: 0226922162 Category : Political Science Languages : en Pages : 221
Book Description
In presidential elections, do voters cast their ballots for the candidates whose platform and positions best match their own? Or is the race for president of the United States come down largely to who runs the most effective campaign? It’s a question those who study elections have been considering for years with no clear resolution. In The Timeline of Presidential Elections, Robert S. Erikson and Christopher Wlezien reveal for the first time how both factors come into play. Erikson and Wlezien have amassed data from close to two thousand national polls covering every presidential election from 1952 to 2008, allowing them to see how outcomes take shape over the course of an election year. Polls from the beginning of the year, they show, have virtually no predictive power. By mid-April, when the candidates have been identified and matched in pollsters’ trial heats, preferences have come into focus—and predicted the winner in eleven of the fifteen elections. But a similar process of forming favorites takes place in the last six months, during which voters’ intentions change only gradually, with particular events—including presidential debates—rarely resulting in dramatic change. Ultimately, Erikson and Wlezien show that it is through campaigns that voters are made aware of—or not made aware of—fundamental factors like candidates’ policy positions that determine which ticket will get their votes. In other words, fundamentals matter, but only because of campaigns. Timely and compelling, this book will force us to rethink our assumptions about presidential elections.
Author: Boris Johnson Publisher: HarperCollins UK ISBN: 0007224451 Category : Biography & Autobiography Languages : en Pages : 271
Book Description
The Romans created the most successful and longest-lasting empire in history. They conquered and civilised a territory that stretched from Scotland to Libya, from Portugal to Iraq - and then ran it for more than 400 years. The dream of Rome has lived on in the memory of European leaders ever since, and one after the other they have tried to imitate the Roman achievement. Charlemagne tried it. Napoleon tried it. And now the European Union can be seen as the latest attempt to rediscover the unity of the Roman empire. So how did the Romans pull it off? Boris Johnson has long been fascinated by the Roman achievement - how they managed to weld the peoples of Europe together, and how they created a cultural and political identity that is proving so elusive to us in Europe today. Here he presents an account of how they financed and organised the state. He explains the miraculous process by which people wanted to become Roman citizens and, for the first time, to share a common European identity.With minimal regulation, and a tiny bureaucracy, the Romans created the first single European market, complete with single currency - and all with an army that represented a very small percentage of the population. What was their magic? This is the first book to examine the Roman system in detail, as a way of casting light on the challenges we face today. It is full of the wonderful scenes and extraordinary characters who made our civilisation, and who still inspire the dream of Rome.
Author: Charles O. Jones Publisher: Baton Rouge : Louisiana State University Press ISBN: 9780807114261 Category : Political Science Languages : en Pages : 225
Book Description
"In The Trusteeship Presidency, the distinguished political scientist Charles O. Jones portrays President Carter's seemingly antipolitical approach to politics and how it affected his often strained relations with Congress. Using the extensive interviews conducted with President Carter and senior members of the White House shortly after Carter's term ended, Jones considers the political context of Carter's extraordinary nomination and electoral victories in 1976, the new type of Congress that he faced in 1977, and the approach to Congress that was developed throughout the Carter years. The book seeks to explain more than to criticize, to understand more than to judge"--Jacket.
Author: Bruce Riedel Publisher: Brookings Institution Press ISBN: 0815737165 Category : Political Science Languages : en Pages : 273
Book Description
An insider's account of the often-fraught U.S.-Saudi relationship Saudi Arabia and the United States have been partners since 1943, when President Roosevelt met with two future Saudi monarchs. Subsequent U.S. presidents have had direct relationships with those kings and their successors—setting the tone for a special partnership between an absolute monarchy with a unique Islamic identity and the world's most powerful democracy. Although based in large part on economic interests, the U.S.-Saudi relationship has rarely been smooth. Differences over Israel have caused friction since the early days, and ambiguities about Saudi involvement—or lack of it—in the September 11 terrorist attacks against the United States continue to haunt the relationship. Now, both countries have new, still-to be-tested leaders in President Trump and King Salman. Bruce Riedel for decades has followed these kings and presidents during his career at the CIA, the White House, and Brookings. This book offers an insider's account of the U.S.-Saudi relationship, with unique insights. Using declassified documents, memoirs by both Saudis and Americans, and eyewitness accounts, this book takes the reader inside the royal palaces, the holy cities, and the White House to gain an understanding of this complex partnership.
Author: Bill O'Reilly Publisher: Henry Holt and Company ISBN: 1250237211 Category : Biography & Autobiography Languages : en Pages : 301
Book Description
A rare, insider’s look at the life of Donald Trump from Bill O'Reilly, the bestselling author of the Killing series, based on exclusive interview material and deep research Readers around the world have been enthralled by journalist and New York Times bestselling author Bill O’Reilly’s Killing series—riveting works of nonfiction that explore the most famous events in history. Now, O’Reilly turns his razor-sharp observations to his most compelling subject thus far—President Donald J. Trump. In this thrilling narrative, O’Reilly blends primary, never-before-released interview material with a history that recounts Trump’s childhood and family and the factors from his life and career that forged the worldview that the president of the United States has taken to the White House. Not a partisan pro-Trump or anti-Trump book, this is an up-to-the-minute, intimate view of the man and his sphere of influence—of “how Donald Trump’s view of America was formed, and how it has changed since becoming the most powerful person in the world”— from a writer who has known the president for thirty years. This is an unprecedented, gripping account of the life of a sitting president as he makes history. As the author will tell you, “If you want some insight into the most unlikely political phenomenon of our lifetimes, you’ll get it here.”
Author: Elizabeth Andrews Publisher: Publications International ISBN: 9781412798136 Category : Presidents Languages : en Pages : 127
Book Description
From George Washington to Barack Obama, Presidents of the United States covers the 43 men who have held the nation's highest office. This attractive book provides information about each U. S. president and audio clips of one or more defining quotation from each president. Presidents of the United States has a built-in control panel, with a numeric keypad and volume control. Each presidential quotation in the book has a numeric code. To hear the quotation, enter the code. Authentic presidential recordings were used, if available; in other cases, a voice actor recited the presidential quotation. The book presents more than 50 audio clips and 25 minutes total audio time.
Author: Robert S. Erikson
Author: Robert S. Erikson
Author: Boris Johnson
Author: Charles O. Jones
Author: Bruce Riedel
Author: Bill O'Reilly
Author: Elizabeth Andrews
Author: United States. President
Author: Johnson, Lyndon B.
Author: 
Author: Nixon, Richard M.