Author: Daniel FriedmanPublisher:
ISBN:
Category : Rational choice theory
Languages : en
Pages : 34
Book Description
The Three Door Anomaly
Author: Daniel FriedmanPublisher:
ISBN:
Category : Rational choice theory
Languages : en
Pages : 34
Book Description
Advances in Decision Making Under Risk and Uncertainty
Author: Mohammed AbdellaouiPublisher: Springer Science & Business Media
ISBN: 3540684360
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 245
Book Description
Whether we like it or not we all feel that the world is uncertain. From choosing a new technology to selecting a job, we rarely know in advance what outcome will result from our decisions. Unfortunately, the standard theory of choice under uncertainty developed in the early forties and fifties turns out to be too rigid to take many tricky issues of choice under uncertainty into account. The good news is that we have now moved away from the early descriptively inadequate modeling of behavior. This book brings the reader into contact with the accomplished progress in individual decision making through the most recent contributions to uncertainty modeling and behavioral decision making. It also introduces the reader into the many subtle issues to be resolved for rational choice under uncertainty.
The Monty Hall Problem
Author: Jason RosenhousePublisher: Oxford University Press
ISBN: 0199709904
Category : Mathematics
Languages : en
Pages : 209
Book Description
Mathematicians call it the Monty Hall Problem, and it is one of the most interesting mathematical brain teasers of recent times. Imagine that you face three doors, behind one of which is a prize. You choose one but do not open it. The host--call him Monty Hall--opens a different door, always choosing one he knows to be empty. Left with two doors, will you do better by sticking with your first choice, or by switching to the other remaining door? In this light-hearted yet ultimately serious book, Jason Rosenhouse explores the history of this fascinating puzzle. Using a minimum of mathematics (and none at all for much of the book), he shows how the problem has fascinated philosophers, psychologists, and many others, and examines the many variations that have appeared over the years. As Rosenhouse demonstrates, the Monty Hall Problem illuminates fundamental mathematical issues and has abiding philosophical implications. Perhaps most important, he writes, the problem opens a window on our cognitive difficulties in reasoning about uncertainty.
Anomalies
Author: Christopher Allen GuidryPublisher: iUniverse
ISBN: 1475939965
Category : Fiction
Languages : en
Pages : 564
Book Description
At the turn of the century, strangely gifted humans encounter unbelievable experiences and a scientist begins building an army of cybernetic organisms as the foundation of his planned empire. In a world exactly like ours, a species of extraordinary humans exists. They are called Anomalies; they evolved from Gods and possess amazing gifts. For countless millennia, Anomalies and Gods have lived peacefully alongside humans. But as the twentieth century arrives, all of that is about to change. At the turn of the century, some Anomalies have grown tired of hiding in the shadows; in response, the government, armed with knowledge of the other species, creates organizations to deal with terroristic threats the Anomalies pose. Several decades later, Russian scientist Dimitri Gustav, building on Hitler's ideas, begins a campaign of world domination through science and technology. By the beginning of the twenty-first century, he has created numerous cybernetic organisms and genetically engineered creatures. He begins to form his own army, intent on building an empire. Now, as a series of events begins to unravel, new enemies arise, threatening the anonymity and balance of society the government has accomplished and possibly preparing to cause a revelation and expose a secret that has been so desperately hidden.
Anomaly
Author: Krista McGeePublisher: Thomas Nelson
ISBN: 140168873X
Category : Young Adult Fiction
Languages : en
Pages : 320
Book Description
Thalli has fifteen minutes and twenty-three seconds to live. The toxic gas that will complete her annihilation is invading her bloodstream. But she is not afraid. Decades before Thalli’s birth, the world was decimated by a nuclear war. But life continued deep underground, thanks to a handful of scientists known as The Ten. There they created genetically engineered human beings who are free of emotions in the hope that war won’t threaten the world again. Thalli is an anomaly, born with the ability to feel emotions and a sense of curiosity she can barely contain. She has survived so far by hiding her differences. But then her secret is discovered when she’s overwhelmed by the emotion of an ancient piece of music. The Ten quickly schedule her annihilation, but her childhood friend, Berk—a scientist being groomed by The Ten—convinces them to postpone her death and study her instead. While in the Scientists’ Pod, Thalli and Berk form a dangerous alliance, one strictly forbidden by the constant surveillance. As her life ticks a way, she hears rumors of someone called the Designer—someone even more powerful than The Ten. What’s more, the parts of her that have always been an anomaly could in fact be part of a much larger plan. And the parts of her that she has always guarded could be the answer she’s been looking for all along. Thalli must sort out what to believe and who to trust, before her time runs out. “. . . the first in what has the potential to be a fascinating trilogy of general appeal. McGee’s simple narrative belies the novel’s complexity, a factor that will make this intriguing book accessible to a wide variety of teen readers.” —Booklist
The Monty Hall Dilemma
Author: Donald GranbergPublisher:
ISBN: 9780996100809
Category :
Languages : en
Pages : 218
Book Description
A cognitive illusion occurs when the obvious answer to a thought question turns out to be incorrect. Psychological reality conflicts with objective reality. The Monty Hall Dilemma is a cognitive illusion par excellence originating in the "Let's Make a Deal" television game show in which a contestant selects one of three doors hoping that it hides the grand prize (like a new car!). After an initial guess has been made, host Monty Hall reveals a consolation prize (like a goat!) behind one of the other doors. The contestant's dilemma is whether to stay with the first choice or switch to the remaining unchosen door. Popular PARADE magazine columnist, Marilyn vos Savant, writing about the Monty Hall dilemma, received thousands of letters from readers most of whom contested her surprising solution to this dilemma. Knowing about cognitive illusions in general (several are presented here) and the Monty Hall Dilemma in particular should alert readers to the possibility that ordinary reasoning and common sense don't always apply even though people have a tendency to stick with their initial hunches.
Congenital Hand Anomalies and Associated Syndromes
Author: Ghazi M. RayanPublisher: Springer
ISBN: 3642546102
Category : Medical
Languages : en
Pages : 495
Book Description
Physicians often have only partial knowledge of common congenital hand and upper extremity anomalies and their associated syndromes. Surgeons typically find these syndromes to be abstruse and congenital hand conditions can represent an enigma even to pediatric geneticists. This book is designed to serve as a practical, up-to-date reference that will enable practitioners and students in a variety of disciplines to easily recognize the most common congenital upper extremity anomalies and syndromes. In total, 37 congenital upper extremity anomalies and 127 syndromes are discussed. Salient and common presenting features are described in detail and illustrated with the aid of high-quality digital color photographs whenever possible. In addition, relevant background information is included on such aspects as prevalence, etiology, pathogenesis and findings elsewhere in the body.
Working Paper Series
Author: Publisher:
ISBN:
Category : Comparative economics
Languages : en
Pages : 636
Book Description
Behavioral Decision Analysis
Author: Florian M. FederspielPublisher: Springer Nature
ISBN: 3031444248
Category :
Languages : en
Pages : 297
Book Description
Author: