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Expectations and the Foreign Exchange Market

Expectations and the Foreign Exchange Market PDF Author: Craig Hakkio
Publisher: Routledge
ISBN: 1351801686
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 100

Book Description
Originally published in 1984. This book examines two important dimensions of efficiency in the foreign exchange market using econometric techniques. It responds to the macroeconomics trend to re-examining the theories of exchange rate determination following the erratic behaviour of exchange rates in the late 1970s. In particular the text looks at the relation between spot and forward exchange rates and the term structure of the forward premium, both of which require a joint test of market efficiency and the equilibrium model. Approaches used are the regression of spot rates on lagged forward rates and an explicit time series analysis of the spot and forward rates, using data from Canada, the United Kingdom, the Netherlands, Switzerland and Germany.

Expectations and the Foreign Exchange Market

Expectations and the Foreign Exchange Market PDF Author: Craig Hakkio
Publisher: Routledge
ISBN: 1351801686
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 100

Book Description
Originally published in 1984. This book examines two important dimensions of efficiency in the foreign exchange market using econometric techniques. It responds to the macroeconomics trend to re-examining the theories of exchange rate determination following the erratic behaviour of exchange rates in the late 1970s. In particular the text looks at the relation between spot and forward exchange rates and the term structure of the forward premium, both of which require a joint test of market efficiency and the equilibrium model. Approaches used are the regression of spot rates on lagged forward rates and an explicit time series analysis of the spot and forward rates, using data from Canada, the United Kingdom, the Netherlands, Switzerland and Germany.

The Role of Expectations in the Foreign Exchange Market

The Role of Expectations in the Foreign Exchange Market PDF Author: Karen Elizabeth Parker
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category : Foreign exchange market
Languages : en
Pages : 264

Book Description


The Role of Expectations in the Foreigh Exchange Market

The Role of Expectations in the Foreigh Exchange Market PDF Author: Karen Elizabeth Parker
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category :
Languages : en
Pages : 510

Book Description


Testing Rational Expectations and Efficiency in the Foreign Exchange Market

Testing Rational Expectations and Efficiency in the Foreign Exchange Market PDF Author: Richard T. Baillie
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category : Foreign exchange
Languages : en
Pages : 10

Book Description


The Psychology of the Foreign Exchange Market

The Psychology of the Foreign Exchange Market PDF Author: Thomas Oberlechner
Publisher: John Wiley & Sons
ISBN: 0470012013
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 278

Book Description
This book demystifies the foreign exchange market by focusing on the people who comprise it. Drawing on the expertise of the very professionals whose decisions help shape the market, Thomas Oberlechner describes the highly interdependent relationship between financial decision makers and news providers, showing that the assumption that the foreign exchange market is purely economic and rational has to be replaced by a more complex market psychology.

Testing Rational Expectations and Efficiency in the Foreign Exchange Market

Testing Rational Expectations and Efficiency in the Foreign Exchange Market PDF Author: Richard T. Baillie
Publisher:
ISBN: 9780868310695
Category : Foreign exchange
Languages : en
Pages : 24

Book Description


The Foreign Exchange Market

The Foreign Exchange Market PDF Author: Richard T. Baillie
Publisher: Cambridge University Press
ISBN: 9780521396905
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 280

Book Description
The flotation of exchange rates in the early 1970s saw a significant increase in the importance of foreign exchange markets and in the interest shown in them. Apart from the consequent institutional changes, this period also witnessed a revolution in macroeconomic analysis and finance theory based on the concept of rational expectations. This book provides an integrated approach to recent developments in the understanding of foreign exchange markets. It begins by charting the institutional background and looks at the recent history of movements in some of the major exchange rates. The theoretical sections focus on the economic and finance theory of the asset market approach, the macroeconomic models developed from this approach, and on interest rate parity theory. The empirical chapters draw on the authors' own research from a high quality set of exchange rate and interest rate data. The statistical properties of exchange rates are analysed; the relationship between spot and forward rates is examined; and the modelling and impact of new information on the forward and spot relationship is considered. The final chapter is devoted to the estimation and testing of exchange rate models.

The Behavioral Economics of Foreign Exchange Markets

The Behavioral Economics of Foreign Exchange Markets PDF Author: Robert Schmidt
Publisher: Peter Lang Publishing
ISBN:
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 362

Book Description
This book deals with psychological factors, which may be important for understanding the observable exchange rate movements. Thus, the study belongs to the new research field of behavioral economics, which considers the relevance of psychological factors in economic contexts. The main objective of behavioral economists is to develop a more realistic view of the actual human behavior in the context of economics. Central to the concept of behavioral economics is the assumption that humans' actual behavior deviates from the ideal of economic rationality due to at least two reasons: first, decisions are usually based on an incomplete information basis and, second, the information processing of human beings is limited by their computational capacities. Due to these limitations people are forced to apply simple heuristics in information processing. Our aim is to analyze the relevance of simple heuristics in the context of foreign exchange markets. In our view, the decision situation in foreign exchange markets can serve as a prime example for decision situations in which simple heuristics are especially relevant as the complexity of the decision situation is very high.

Expectations and the Foreign Exchange Market

Expectations and the Foreign Exchange Market PDF Author: Craig Stephan Hakkio
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category : Foreign exchange
Languages : en
Pages : 204

Book Description


Co-Movements in Long-Term Interest Rates and the Role of PPP-Based Exchange Rate Expectations

Co-Movements in Long-Term Interest Rates and the Role of PPP-Based Exchange Rate Expectations PDF Author: Jan Marc Berk
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
ISBN: 1451850344
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 29

Book Description
This paper investigates international co-movement in bond yields by testing for uncovered interest parity (UIP). Existing work is supplemented by focusing on long instead of short-term interest rates and by employing exchange rate expectations derived from purchasing power parity (PPP) instead of actual outcomes. Among the major currencies during 1975-97, the paper does not find a further increase in co-movement beyond that associated with the wave of financial market liberalization in the early 1980s. Given the similarity between PPP-based UIP tests and those employing actual exchange rate outcomes, the value added of the former lies mainly with data availability.