The Price Impact of Earnings Surprises

The Price Impact of Earnings Surprises PDF Author: Eric H. Sorensen
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category : Earnings per share
Languages : en
Pages : 34

Book Description


Forecasting Volume and Price Impact of Earnings Surprises Using Google Insights

Forecasting Volume and Price Impact of Earnings Surprises Using Google Insights PDF Author: Jedediah Baker
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category :
Languages : en
Pages : 10

Book Description
This paper examines the predictability of price and volume movements using Google Insights on equities exhibiting earnings surprise and the association with pre-announcement information searching. The motivation for this paper is to answer two primary research questions. First of all, using more recent stocks earnings surprise, is Google search data a good indicator of investor interest prior to the earnings announcement? Second does the Google data add to the predictability of post earnings volume and pricing direction? Data on earnings surprise were taken from Yahoo Finance and Google search volume data were taken from the Google trends website. While the results found in the analyses above are not highly convincing regarding Google trends data and price movement from earnings surprise, the results on the volume models yielded promising (i.e. significant) results. Moreover, Mean Absolute Error was reduced by approximately 8% when incorporating the Google trends data on volume predictions.

Stock Price Discovery in Earnings Season

Stock Price Discovery in Earnings Season PDF Author: Qi Sun
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category :
Languages : en
Pages : 16

Book Description
This study investigates whether the timing of earnings announcement in earnings season affects stock price discovery process. This paper documents that market reaction is more favorable for earnings announcements made at the beginning of earnings season (“timing effect”). Price reaction on earnings announcement dates and post-announcement price drift are significantly stronger for positive earnings surprises released at the beginning of earnings season. Negative earnings surprises announced at the end of earnings season have the most pronounced post-announcement price decline. The timing effect associated with positive earnings surprises is consistent with industry information transfer theory. The timing effect associated with negative earnings surprise is mainly driven by market penalty on companies' strategic delay of bad news announcements.

Market Response to Earnings Announcements

Market Response to Earnings Announcements PDF Author: Ki Choong Han
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category : Corporate profits
Languages : en
Pages : 318

Book Description


Trading on Corporate Earnings News

Trading on Corporate Earnings News PDF Author: John Shon
Publisher: FT Press
ISBN: 0132615851
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 225

Book Description
Profit from earnings announcements, by taking targeted, short-term option positions explicitly timed to exploit them! Based on rigorous research and huge data sets, this book identifies the specific earnings-announcement trades most likely to yield profits, and teaches how to make these trades—in plain English, with real examples! Trading on Corporate Earnings News is the first practical, hands-on guide to profiting from earnings announcements. Writing for investors and traders at all experience levels, the authors show how to take targeted, short-term option positions that are explicitly timed to exploit the information in companies’ quarterly earnings announcements. They first present powerful findings of cutting-edge studies that have examined market reactions to quarterly earnings announcements, regularities of earnings surprises, and option trading around corporate events. Drawing on enormous data sets, they identify the types of earnings-announcement trades most likely to yield profits, based on the predictable impacts of variables such as firm size, visibility, past performance, analyst coverage, forecast dispersion, volatility, and the impact of restructurings and acquisitions. Next, they provide real examples of individual stocks–and, in some cases, conduct large sample tests–to guide investors in taking advantage of these documented regularities. Finally, they discuss crucial nuances and pitfalls that can powerfully impact performance.

The Handbook of Equity Market Anomalies

The Handbook of Equity Market Anomalies PDF Author: Leonard Zacks
Publisher: John Wiley & Sons
ISBN: 1118127765
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 352

Book Description
Investment pioneer Len Zacks presents the latest academic research on how to beat the market using equity anomalies The Handbook of Equity Market Anomalies organizes and summarizes research carried out by hundreds of finance and accounting professors over the last twenty years to identify and measure equity market inefficiencies and provides self-directed individual investors with a framework for incorporating the results of this research into their own investment processes. Edited by Len Zacks, CEO of Zacks Investment Research, and written by leading professors who have performed groundbreaking research on specific anomalies, this book succinctly summarizes the most important anomalies that savvy investors have used for decades to beat the market. Some of the anomalies addressed include the accrual anomaly, net stock anomalies, fundamental anomalies, estimate revisions, changes in and levels of broker recommendations, earnings-per-share surprises, insider trading, price momentum and technical analysis, value and size anomalies, and several seasonal anomalies. This reliable resource also provides insights on how to best use the various anomalies in both market neutral and in long investor portfolios. A treasure trove of investment research and wisdom, the book will save you literally thousands of hours by distilling the essence of twenty years of academic research into eleven clear chapters and providing the framework and conviction to develop market-beating strategies. Strips the academic jargon from the research and highlights the actual returns generated by the anomalies, and documented in the academic literature Provides a theoretical framework within which to understand the concepts of risk adjusted returns and market inefficiencies Anomalies are selected by Len Zacks, a pioneer in the field of investing As the founder of Zacks Investment Research, Len Zacks pioneered the concept of the earnings-per-share surprise in 1982 and developed the Zacks Rank, one of the first anomaly-based stock selection tools. Today, his firm manages U.S. equities for individual and institutional investors and provides investment software and investment data to all types of investors. Now, with his new book, he shows you what it takes to build a quant process to outperform an index based on academically documented market inefficiencies and anomalies.

Do Bright-Line Earnings Surprises Really Affect Stock Price Reactions?

Do Bright-Line Earnings Surprises Really Affect Stock Price Reactions? PDF Author: Jeffery S. Abarbanell
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category :
Languages : en
Pages :

Book Description
Several influential studies have concluded that earnings surprises just to the right or to the left of a hypothesized bright line produce distinct price reactions compared to the surrounding earnings surprises because they convey special meaning. In this study, we examine whether previous inferences of asymmetric stock price reactions to bright-line surprises are observed when empirical tests are designed to be consistent with a rational expectations equilibrium. Focusing on a small range of earnings surprises around hypothesized bright lines, we find no evidence of asymmetric price reactions once investors' ex ante expectation of bias in earnings surprises is controlled. Results from additional tests yield support for the external validity of the theoretical framework underlying our bright-line pricing tests. Our findings suggest simple refinements to traditional bins-comparison and regression tests for asymmetric price reactions to bright-line earnings surprises, which account for necessary conditions implied by a rational expectations equilibrium.

Earnings Quality

Earnings Quality PDF Author: Jennifer Francis
Publisher: Now Publishers Inc
ISBN: 1601981147
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 97

Book Description
This review lays out a research perspective on earnings quality. We provide an overview of alternative definitions and measures of earnings quality and a discussion of research design choices encountered in earnings quality research. Throughout, we focus on a capital markets setting, as opposed, for example, to a contracting or stewardship setting. Our reason for this choice stems from the view that the capital market uses of accounting information are fundamental, in the sense of providing a basis for other uses, such as stewardship. Because resource allocations are ex ante decisions while contracting/stewardship assessments are ex post evaluations of outcomes, evidence on whether, how and to what degree earnings quality influences capital market resource allocation decisions is fundamental to understanding why and how accounting matters to investors and others, including those charged with stewardship responsibilities. Demonstrating a link between earnings quality and, for example, the costs of equity and debt capital implies a basic economic role in capital allocation decisions for accounting information; this role has only recently been documented in the accounting literature. We focus on how the precision of financial information in capturing one or more underlying valuation-relevant constructs affects the assessment and use of that information by capital market participants. We emphasize that the choice of constructs to be measured is typically contextual. Our main focus is on the precision of earnings, which we view as a summary indicator of the overall quality of financial reporting. Our intent in discussing research that evaluates the capital market effects of earnings quality is both to stimulate further research in this area and to encourage research on related topics, including, for example, the role of earnings quality in contracting and stewardship.

An Examination of the "systematic Post-announcement Drift" Anomaly Employing a Relative Measure of Earnings Surprises

An Examination of the Author: Myung Chul Chung
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category : Stock price forecasting
Languages : en
Pages : 316

Book Description


Financial Warnings

Financial Warnings PDF Author: Charles W. Mulford
Publisher: John Wiley & Sons
ISBN:
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 654

Book Description
A material difference between a corporation's expected and actual earnings, otherwise known as an earnings surprise, can spell big trouble for lenders and equity investors, to say nothing of the company in question. The failure to anticipate a negative result can threaten a lender's prospects for loan repayment, cause investors to absorb heavy losses, and trigger substantial losses on positions in equity securities.