TERM STRUCTURE OF INTEREST RATE AND ECONOMIC ACTIVITIES: OECD CASE

TERM STRUCTURE OF INTEREST RATE AND ECONOMIC ACTIVITIES: OECD CASE PDF Author: Assist. Prof. Dr. Erkan KARA
Publisher: EĞİTİM YAYINEVİ
ISBN: 6258223419
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 99

Book Description
This study is dedicated to investigating the long-run relation between interest rate spreads and economic activities which include industrial production, inflation, and unemployment rate- in OECD countries over the period between2005 and 2015 by using panel data analysis. This study will use the latest panel data models that take structural breaks and cross-sectional dependency into account. Besides using panel data analysis on this issue, this paper will also try to see the effect of new monetary policies that are taking place by major central banks on yield spread and economic activities, especially industrial production. As it is known that, in the post-financial crisis of 2008 period, major central banks such as the Federal Reserve1 (The FED was the first central bank that started to implement new monetary policies just after the collapse of several large-scale investment banks in the U.S), European Central Bank, Bank of Japan and Bank of England, have taken action to stimulate the world economy. Henceforth, not only these major central banks, but also other economies started to lower their policy interest rates soon in conventional way. These policies pushed interest rates almost to zero and since then the rates have remained very low due to lower output level and disinflationary fears.

Bond Pricing and Yield Curve Modeling

Bond Pricing and Yield Curve Modeling PDF Author: Riccardo Rebonato
Publisher:
ISBN: 1107165857
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 781

Book Description
Rebonato provides an authoritative, clear, and up-to-date explanation of the cutting-edge innovations in affine modeling for government bonds, and provides readers with the precise tools to develop their own models. This book combines precise theory with up-to-date empirical evidence to build, with the minimum mathematical sophistication required for the task, a critical understanding of what drives the government bond market.

Essays on the Term Structure of Interest Rates, Monetary Policy, and Business Cycle

Essays on the Term Structure of Interest Rates, Monetary Policy, and Business Cycle PDF Author: Tong-hŏn Kim
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category : Business forecasting
Languages : en
Pages : 166

Book Description


Financial Forecasting for Business and Economics

Financial Forecasting for Business and Economics PDF Author: Eduard Jan Bomhoff
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 242

Book Description
This text summarizes the important new thinking on financial market forecasting and on the statistical modeling of non-stationary series in a clear and readable manner. The emphasis throughout is on real-life examples using data from a wide variety of countries and sources.

Projecting Potential Output

Projecting Potential Output PDF Author: Sebastian Hauptmeier
Publisher: Springer Science & Business Media
ISBN: 3790821764
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 201

Book Description
In spite of the widespread use of the concept of potential output in economic theory and empirical applications as well as in economic policy debates, the historical background and the assumptions inherent to this concept are rarely made transparent, let alone critically questioned. Against this background this book sets out to determine the extent to which the concept of potential output rests on clearly defined theoretical foundations and how far prevailing empirical quantification methods really provide reliable insights into potential output growth of an economy. In addition, the authors examine alternative methods for a forward-looking assessment of potential output growth.

Term Structure of Profit Rates of Sukuk

Term Structure of Profit Rates of Sukuk PDF Author: Adesina-Uthman Ganiyat
Publisher: Cambridge Scholars Publishing
ISBN: 144387986X
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 340

Book Description
This book explores several non-traditional and under-researched fields in Islamic finance through its investigations into how the newly-emergent financial instrument Sukuk behaves in the broader field of finite-period financing and pricing in the market place. It provides readers with didactic information on the fundamental theories of term structure and in-depth information on this nascent financial instrument in the Islamic capital market. The book employs one and two-factor models of term structure in order to analyse sovereign and corporate Sukuk bonds from the world’s leading Islamic economy, Malaysia. For the purposes of the study, the book establishes “profit rate yield curves” in the tradition of the conventional bond yield curve in order to define different risk classes of Sukuk. The dynamics of term structure of profit rates are captured with the inclusion of volatility as a factor in one of the models. The book provides informative case studies for interested students and researchers in the field of financial economics and mathematical finance. It also provides examples that will serve to simplify future research in term structure analysis and reduce its computational inefficiency.

Empirical Analysis of the EU Term Structure of Interest Rates

Empirical Analysis of the EU Term Structure of Interest Rates PDF Author: Zurab Kotchlamazashvili
Publisher: Logos Verlag Berlin GmbH
ISBN: 3832538739
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 210

Book Description
The information about the properties and dynamics of term structure and its modeling hold tremendous interest for financial practitioners and policymakers alike. Accurate forecasting of the term structure of interest rates also plays a very important role for many reasons, particularly for bond portfolio and risk management, hedging derivatives, monetary and debt policy. The present dissertation contains the empirical research for the EU term structure of interest rates. The data analyzed here cover a time series based on the Euro and currencies of other six EU countries. The goal is to examine empirical properties and analyze in-sample and out-of-sample results for corresponding spot rates using 15 competitor GARCH(1,1) models with different distributional assumptions. Alltogether, the work summarizes 1680 x GARCH(1,1) in-sample and over 60000 x GARCH(1,1) out-of-sample estimation results. Moreover, the dissertation consists of 48 figures and 98 tables.

The Cyclical Behavior of the Term Structure of Interest Rates

The Cyclical Behavior of the Term Structure of Interest Rates PDF Author: Reuben A. Kessel
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 132

Book Description


Handbook of Economic Forecasting

Handbook of Economic Forecasting PDF Author: Graham Elliott
Publisher: Elsevier
ISBN: 0444627405
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 667

Book Description
The highly prized ability to make financial plans with some certainty about the future comes from the core fields of economics. In recent years the availability of more data, analytical tools of greater precision, and ex post studies of business decisions have increased demand for information about economic forecasting. Volumes 2A and 2B, which follows Nobel laureate Clive Granger's Volume 1 (2006), concentrate on two major subjects. Volume 2A covers innovations in methodologies, specifically macroforecasting and forecasting financial variables. Volume 2B investigates commercial applications, with sections on forecasters' objectives and methodologies. Experts provide surveys of a large range of literature scattered across applied and theoretical statistics journals as well as econometrics and empirical economics journals. The Handbook of Economic Forecasting Volumes 2A and 2B provide a unique compilation of chapters giving a coherent overview of forecasting theory and applications in one place and with up-to-date accounts of all major conceptual issues. - Focuses on innovation in economic forecasting via industry applications - Presents coherent summaries of subjects in economic forecasting that stretch from methodologies to applications - Makes details about economic forecasting accessible to scholars in fields outside economics

The Analysis of Structured Securities

The Analysis of Structured Securities PDF Author: Sylvain Raynes
Publisher: Oxford University Press
ISBN: 9780198034834
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 516

Book Description
The Analysis of Structured Securities presents the first intellectually defensible framework for systematic assessment of the credit quality of structured securities. It begins with a detailed description and critique of methods used to rate asset-backed securities, collateralized debt obligations and asset-backed commercial paper. The book then proposes a single replacement paradigm capable of granular, dynamic results. It offers extensive guidance on using numerical methods in cash flow modeling, as well as a groundbreaking section on trigger optimization. Casework on applying the method to automobile ABS, CDOs-of-ABS and aircraft-lease securitizations is also presented. This book is essential reading for practitioners who seek higher precision, efficiency and control in managing their structured exposures.