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Author: Mauricio Vaz Lobo Bittencourt Publisher: ISBN: Category : Brazil Languages : en Pages :
Book Description
Abstract: After the creation of the Mercosur (Argentina, Brazil, Paraguay and Uruguay), in the beginning of the 1990s, new free trade agreements began to be debated between Mercosur and other countries. Traditional trade theory predicts that trade liberalization reallocates resources according to comparative advantage, reduces waste, and lowers the price of imported goods in a more transparent economic regime, with less lobbying activities, and exports not only grow rapidly, but also become more diversified. Most economists also share that open countries fare better in the long run than do closed ones, but the short run impacts from trade liberalization can harm the poor. Since Brazil is one of the countries with larger inequality in the distribution of income, with high levels of poverty and regional differences, this study takes these concerns seriously by assessing the economic impacts of a reduction in import tariffs on poverty and distribution of income, identifying a combined policy that can reduce possible negative impacts from trade reform on the poor, through a single-country multi-regional computable general equilibrium model (CGE) applied to Brazil. The main findings show that poverty and regional income inequality can be reduced through combined trade and tax policies. In recent years, countries like Argentina and Brazil have experienced many different economic crises due to their own domestic instabilities, which have contributed to delayed market opening in these countries, and have threatened the evolution of new trade agreements. This study also emphasizes the lack of macroeconomic policy coordination between Mercosur and the Free Trade Area of Americas (FTAA) countries, notably the exchange rate policy through the impact of real bilateral exchange rate volatility on trade. Therefore, a sectoral gravity model is estimated to evaluate not only the role played by the lack of macroeconomic policy coordination, but also to better evaluate the patterns of trade in the Mercosur and in the proposed FTAA. The overall results show that the reduction in the level of exchange rate volatility can increase bilateral trade, and gradual reduction in the level of tariffs and increase in countries' income are also important pro-trade variables.
Author: Mauricio Vaz Lobo Bittencourt Publisher: ISBN: Category : Brazil Languages : en Pages :
Book Description
Abstract: After the creation of the Mercosur (Argentina, Brazil, Paraguay and Uruguay), in the beginning of the 1990s, new free trade agreements began to be debated between Mercosur and other countries. Traditional trade theory predicts that trade liberalization reallocates resources according to comparative advantage, reduces waste, and lowers the price of imported goods in a more transparent economic regime, with less lobbying activities, and exports not only grow rapidly, but also become more diversified. Most economists also share that open countries fare better in the long run than do closed ones, but the short run impacts from trade liberalization can harm the poor. Since Brazil is one of the countries with larger inequality in the distribution of income, with high levels of poverty and regional differences, this study takes these concerns seriously by assessing the economic impacts of a reduction in import tariffs on poverty and distribution of income, identifying a combined policy that can reduce possible negative impacts from trade reform on the poor, through a single-country multi-regional computable general equilibrium model (CGE) applied to Brazil. The main findings show that poverty and regional income inequality can be reduced through combined trade and tax policies. In recent years, countries like Argentina and Brazil have experienced many different economic crises due to their own domestic instabilities, which have contributed to delayed market opening in these countries, and have threatened the evolution of new trade agreements. This study also emphasizes the lack of macroeconomic policy coordination between Mercosur and the Free Trade Area of Americas (FTAA) countries, notably the exchange rate policy through the impact of real bilateral exchange rate volatility on trade. Therefore, a sectoral gravity model is estimated to evaluate not only the role played by the lack of macroeconomic policy coordination, but also to better evaluate the patterns of trade in the Mercosur and in the proposed FTAA. The overall results show that the reduction in the level of exchange rate volatility can increase bilateral trade, and gradual reduction in the level of tariffs and increase in countries' income are also important pro-trade variables.
Author: Mauricio Vaz Lobo Bittencourt Publisher: LAP Lambert Academic Publishing ISBN: 9783838337456 Category : Languages : en Pages : 240
Book Description
The Brazilian trade-oriented policies aim to reverse the negative effects of protectionist policies adopted in the past. Traditional trade theory predicts that trade liberalization brings efficiency, and open countries fare better in the long run than do closed ones, but the short run impacts from trade liberalization might harm the poor. In addition to Brazil having unequal regional distribution of income, with high levels of poverty, excessive price and exchange rate volatility caused by uncoordinated macroeconomic policies among trade partners can affect trade and resource allocation among members of a free trade area. This book takes these concerns seriously by assessing the economic impacts of a reduction in import tariffs on poverty and distribution of income, and also evaluates the role played by the lack of macroeconomic policy coordination and the patterns of trade in the Mercosur and in the proposed FTAA. Poverty and regional income inequality can be reduced through combined trade and tax policies. Less exchange rate volatility can increase bilateral trade. Reduction in the level of tariffs and increase in countries' income are also important pro-trade variables.
Author: Francisco Lima Teixeira Publisher: ISBN: Category : Languages : en Pages : 0
Book Description
Following the external debt crisis of 1982, the Brazilian economy entered a period of profound macroeconomic instability, in spite of successive economic plans and policies aimed at stabilization. From the end of the 80's, a new development strategy started to emerge. Since then, trade liberalization has been increased, privatization carried out and free market mechanisms enforced, exposing the local industry to full international competition. However, stability and economic growth were only partially achieved with the Plano Real of 1994. Throughout this process, Brazilian industry has developed a varied adjustment behavior in order to cope with internal macroeconomic changes and external competition. The objective of this paper is to discuss the impacts on the structure of Brazilian industry of the adjustment process it has been through since the early eighties. In order to do that, first, a brief characterization of the institutional changes and the macroeconomic background against which the adjustment process took place is presented. Second, the adjustment strategies adopted by firms aiming at surviving under a hostile environment are reviewed and their main results and problems analyzed. Finally, based on exports and imports time series and on investment data, the impacts of these changes on the structure of Brazilian industry and its future prospects are discussed.
Author: Lael Brainard Publisher: Rowman & Littlefield ISBN: 0815703651 Category : Business & Economics Languages : en Pages : 305
Book Description
In Brazil, the confluence of strong global demand for the country's major products, global successes for its major corporations, and steady results from its economic policies is building confidence and even reviving dreams of grandeza—the greatness that has proven elusive in the past. Even as the current economic crisis tempers expectations of the future, the trends identified in this book suggest that Brazil will continue its path toward becoming a leading economic power in the future. Once seen as an economic backwater, Brazil now occupies key niches in energy, agriculture, service industries, and even high technology. Yet Latin America's largest nation still struggles with endemic inequality issues and deep-seated ambivalence toward global economic integration. Scholars and policy practitioners from Brazil, the United States, and Europe recently gathered to investigate the present state and likely future of the Brazilian economy. This important volume is the timely result. In Brazil as an Economic Superpower? international authorities focus on five key topics: agribusiness, energy, trade, social investment, and multinational corporations. Their analyses and expertise provide not only a unique and authoritative picture of the Brazilian economy but also a useful lens through which to view the changing global economy as a whole.
Author: Maurício Mesquita Moreira Publisher: BID-INTAL ISBN: 9507381775 Category : Brazil Languages : en Pages : 31
Book Description
Unfulfilled expectations about economic growth in Brazil has led many observers to question the ability of the new, open trade regime to put the economy back on an path of sustainable growth. Whereas the country's growth record has been really poor, the evidence suggests that the underlying causes had nothing to do with trade. Quite the contrary. This paper shows that trade liberalization has given an important contribution to two of the main drivers of growth: productivity and investment in physical capital. It argues that these gains were not turned into growth due to an unfavorable macro and institutional environment. It also claims that Brazil could have enjoyed more gains from trade, had it pursued a more aggressive trade policy at home and abroad. The paper concludes by outlining the main issues of a pro-growth, trade policy agenda for the country.
Author: Luiz Fernando de Paula Publisher: Routledge ISBN: 1136854894 Category : Business & Economics Languages : en Pages : 274
Book Description
Since the beginning of the 1990s, Brazil has followed a pattern of economic development inspired by Washington Consensus. This framework includes a set of liberalising and market friendly policies such as privatisation, trade liberalization, stimulus to foreign direct investment, tax reform, and social security reforms. This book assesses the determinants and impacts of financial liberalisation in Brazil considering its two dimensions: the opening up of the balance of payments capital account, and the penetration by foreign bank of the domestic banking sector. The author combines theoretical and empirical analyses. Some make use of mathematical models and/or statistical techniques; however, they are only used when they are strictly necessary to the analysis.
Author: Edmund Amann Publisher: OUP Oxford ISBN: 019158391X Category : Languages : en Pages : 314
Book Description
In the past ten years the Brazilian economy has experience an unprecedented wave of market liberalization as import substitution has been progressively abandoned in favour of integration into the global economy. Trade barriers have fallen, privatizations have been implemented, and government procurement has been cut back. Although these policy shifts will be familiar to many, their implications in terms of performance may not. Using a comprehensive array of primary and secondary sources and in-depth company case studies, this book examines how one vitally important Brazilian industrial sector-the non-serial capital goods sector-coped with the onset of liberalization. While liberalization undoubtedly helped to promote greater efficiency in some areas of corporate performance, the impact elsewhere was far less favourable. This differentiated response raises some interesting and troubling theoretical and policy issues.
Author: Mr.Claudio Paiva Publisher: International Monetary Fund ISBN: 1451856148 Category : Business & Economics Languages : en Pages : 24
Book Description
This paper provides econometric estimates of trade elasticities for Brazil obtained through cointegration and vector auto regression models and controlling for the effects of exchange rate volatility, capacity utilization, and changes in import tariffs. The results suggest that (i) recent market expectations may have been unduly pessimistic regarding the responsiveness of Brazil's trade flows to the real exchange rate, but (ii) the GDP growth rates targeted by the new government may put downward pressure on the exchange rate and thus render the achievement of official inflation targets considerably more difficult if structural reforms are not implemented.
Author: Mauricio Vaz Lobo Bittencourt
Author: Mauricio Vaz Lobo Bittencourt
Author: Mauricio Vaz Lobo Bittencourt
Author: Francisco Lima Teixeira
Author: Lael Brainard
Author: Regis Bonelli
Author: Maurício Mesquita Moreira
Author: Luiz Fernando de Paula
Author: Edmund Amann
Author: Pedro Motta Veiga
Author: Mr.Claudio Paiva