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Author: Tsegaye Ginbo Gatiso Publisher: LAP Lambert Academic Publishing ISBN: 9783659119552 Category : Languages : en Pages : 140
Book Description
Ethiopia was among the first countries that applied for external loan from the then newly created IMF in the early post WWII periods. Before 1945, the country sought defense-related external assistances. In the post war periods, however, the need for external borrowings arises due to saving-investment gaps, export-import gaps and financing fiscal budget deficits. Nonetheless, the problem of debt burden is a post 1973/74 periods phenomenon. During the imperial period (pre-1973/74), the rate of growth exceeded the cost of borrowing; thus debt service obligations were honored without any strain. But the story went different during Derg Regime; the growth to debt correlation turned negative and reached the stage where the country cannot survive without it. During the post Derge periods, especially in the early 1990s, quarter of the government s total expenditure was financed from external grants and loans. In the years later, though the economy has performing vigorously but the burdens seem unrelenting. Hence, this study analyzed these facts by assessing the impacts of external debt on investment using time series macroeconomic data for the period 1974/75-2008/09.
Author: Tsegaye Ginbo Gatiso Publisher: LAP Lambert Academic Publishing ISBN: 9783659119552 Category : Languages : en Pages : 140
Book Description
Ethiopia was among the first countries that applied for external loan from the then newly created IMF in the early post WWII periods. Before 1945, the country sought defense-related external assistances. In the post war periods, however, the need for external borrowings arises due to saving-investment gaps, export-import gaps and financing fiscal budget deficits. Nonetheless, the problem of debt burden is a post 1973/74 periods phenomenon. During the imperial period (pre-1973/74), the rate of growth exceeded the cost of borrowing; thus debt service obligations were honored without any strain. But the story went different during Derg Regime; the growth to debt correlation turned negative and reached the stage where the country cannot survive without it. During the post Derge periods, especially in the early 1990s, quarter of the government s total expenditure was financed from external grants and loans. In the years later, though the economy has performing vigorously but the burdens seem unrelenting. Hence, this study analyzed these facts by assessing the impacts of external debt on investment using time series macroeconomic data for the period 1974/75-2008/09.
Author: Tibebu Aragie Publisher: GRIN Verlag ISBN: 3656879184 Category : Political Science Languages : en Pages : 38
Book Description
Master's Thesis from the year 2014 in the subject Business economics - Economic Policy, grade: very good, , course: Msc in Economic Policy Analysis, language: English, abstract: The study was conducted to know the interrelationship between foreign direct investment and domestic private investment. The researcher employs a vector auto-regressive model with appropriate investigation of impulse response and variance decomposition. In addition, the researcher computes descriptive analysis. The study used time series data ranging from, 1970-2012 for econometric analysis and 1992-2012 for descriptive analysis. The result shows that foreign direct investment crowds-out domestic private investment. In addition, foreign direct investment does not have significant effect on economic growth. Secondly, Domestic private investment complements growth trajectory. However, expansion of domestic private investment does not welcome foreign direct investment.
Author: Asmamaw Kassahun Agdew Publisher: GRIN Verlag ISBN: 3346030784 Category : Business & Economics Languages : en Pages : 77
Book Description
Thesis (M.A.) from the year 2016 in the subject Economics - Case Scenarios, grade: 3.89, , language: English, abstract: The main objective of this study is to investigate the macroeconomic determinants of economic growth in Ethiopia from 1974-2014. A Vector Error Correction Model (VECM) to cointegration approach is applied in order to investigate the long run and short run relationship between real GDP and its macroeconomic determinants. The finding of the cointegration test shows that there is a stable long run relationship between real GDP, gross domestic saving, labor, human capital, export, FDI, foreign aid and external debt. The long run empirical result reveals gross domestic saving, human capital proxied by government expenditure on health and education, and labor force have positive and significant relationship with real output. However export and real GDP have positive but insignificant relationship. External debt, foreign aid and FDI have negatively significant relationship with real GDP during the study period. The short run dynamic results shows that human capital, saving and FDI have positive relationship with output growth whereas labor, export, aid and external debt have negative relationship with Real GDP. The coefficient of equilibrating error term (ECM) suggests that the speed of adjustment (feedback effect towards the long run equilibrium) takes few years for full adjustment when there is a shock in the system. In order to sustain long run growth the government or policy makers should design appropriate policies that results in the efficient use of resources contributing to economic growth and proper management of variables resulting to negative growth in order to reverse their effect on output.
Author: Fitsum Daniel Publisher: GRIN Verlag ISBN: 3668841160 Category : Business & Economics Languages : en Pages : 8
Book Description
Seminar paper from the year 2008 in the subject Economics - Case Scenarios, grade: B, , course: Macroeconomic Policy, language: English, abstract: The irreversible nature of long-term private investment expenditures has been emphasized in recent literatures on investment behavior. The irreversible nature of investment suggests that installed capital can seldom be put to productive use in a different sector or economic activities, at least not without incurring a substantial cost. In this context, private investors, foreign and local, will be reluctant to commit large expenditures on fixed investments when they are uncertain about the future political, social, and economic environment. Changes in uncertainty are usually associated with unpredictability. Thus, macroeconomic instability - a phenomenon making the domestic macroeconomic environment less predictable - is expected to hamper resource allocation including capital. As it is well known, investment especially for developing countries like Ethiopia is a motor for growth. Especially private investment (both domestic as well as foreign) should hold the lion share of the total investment of such countries as the capacity of governments in these countries to undertake investment in areas other than infrastructure is very limited. Of the number of determinants of private investment in developing countries, macroeconomic and political stability is believed to be the major one as such countries rate worse in this regard unlike developed countries. In this regard, a sort of preliminary assessment of the rough relationship between private investment and some key macroeconomic and political stability variables which are relevant in the context of Ethiopia, of course taking into account availability of secondary data, is sought in this term paper work. The hypothesis formulated to be tasted is that high macroeconomic and political instability has significant negative effect on private investment in Ethiopia. As data in regard with private investment is expected to be very limited (i.e., not more than 17 years data), descriptive analysis (with the help of graphs) is going to be used to reach to some conclusions from the available data.
Author: International Monetary Fund. African Dept. Publisher: International Monetary Fund ISBN: 1498344496 Category : Business & Economics Languages : en Pages : 28
Book Description
This Selected Issues paper argues that for Ethiopia to continue sustaining robust growth, leveraging the transformation power of the private sector, especially entrepreneurs, is essential. Although Ethiopia’s public sector-led development strategy has delivered strong results over the past decade, it has been facing significant challenges in recent years. A model-based analysis of the country’s investment program indicates that, despite positive long-run growth effects, transition challenges and macroeconomic trade-offs are associated with different financing strategies. Heavy reliance on domestic bank borrowing may require substantial fiscal and macroeconomic adjustments as well as entail a sharp increase in inflation. External commercial borrowing, on the other hand, may ease these adjustments but at the cost of significant increases in debt to gross domestic product ratios. Comparing Ethiopia’s development experience—especially in terms of structural transformation and competitiveness—with that of selected Asian countries indicates differences which point to possible adjustments in Ethiopia’s development approach.
Author: Tsegaye Ginbo Gatiso
Author: Tsegaye Ginbo Gatiso
Author: Tibebu Aragie
Author: Befekadu Degefe
Author: Dauda Foday Suma
Author: Asmamaw Kassahun Agdew
Author: Fitsum Daniel
Author: International Monetary Fund. African Dept.
Author: Njuguna Ndung'u
Author: Milton A. Iyoha
Author: Maureen Were