The Impact of Political Risk on the Volatility of Stock Returns : the Case of Canada PDF Download

Author: Cosset, Jean-Claude
Publisher: Québec : Faculté des sciences de l'administration de l'Université Laval, Direction de la recherche
ISBN: 9782895241652
Category :
Languages : en
Pages : 34

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Author: Wei Ying Oon
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category :
Languages : en
Pages : 244

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Author: Harold Y. Kim
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category :
Languages : en
Pages : 66

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Little work has been done to characterize the empirical effects of political events on financial markets. In this paper we attempt to measure the impact of political risk on asset prices, focusing on the Hong Kong equity market. Hong Kong serves as the ideal case study, for two reasons: the political situation is fluid, unpredictable, and characterized by the occurrence of definitive events, and the market movements are volatile, partially reflecting the political event risk. We focus on the 1989-1993 period, during which political issues such as the question of Hong Kong s democracy after 1997, China s most-favored-nation trade status, and China s human rights development and political reform movement have all contributed to Hong Kong s stock price movements. Modeling market volatility using a jump-diffusion process finds that the volatility of the benchmark Hang Seng Index is driven by a highly persistent component, punctuated by large jumps which are highly related to political events. These results suggest that the Hong Kong market is affected by both economic and political factors which impact future profitability and investor confidence.

Author: Muhammad Tahir Suleman
Publisher: LAP Lambert Academic Publishing
ISBN: 9783845411811
Category : Capital market
Languages : en
Pages : 72

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Research on political risk tends to elucidate that political news affects nancial markets. Especially stock markets respond to new information regarding political decisions that may affect domestic and foreign policy. In this study, we examined the effect of good and bad political news on returns and volatility for this We employ the EGARCH model proposed by Engle and Victor (1991) as it allows good and bad news to have a different impact on volatility.Our result shows that good news has positive impact on the stock returns and also decreased the volatility.On the other hand, bad political news has negative influence on the returns (decrease the returns) and increase the volatility (positive effect)."

Author: Seungho Jung
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
ISBN: 1557759677
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 36

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We investigate how corporate stock returns respond to geopolitical risk in the case of South Korea, which has experienced large and unpredictable geopolitical swings that originate from North Korea. To do so, a monthly index of geopolitical risk from North Korea (the GPRNK index) is constructed using automated keyword searches in South Korean media. The GPRNK index, designed to capture both upside and downside risk, corroborates that geopolitical risk sharply increases with the occurrence of nuclear tests, missile launches, or military confrontations, and decreases significantly around the times of summit meetings or multilateral talks. Using firm-level data, we find that heightened geopolitical risk reduces stock returns, and that the reductions in stock returns are greater especially for large firms, firms with a higher share of domestic investors, and for firms with a higher ratio of fixed assets to total assets. These results suggest that international portfolio diversification and investment irreversibility are important channels through which geopolitical risk affects stock returns.

Author: Sanjay Taneja
Publisher: Emerald Group Publishing
ISBN: 1837974241
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 348

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This volume examines sustainable finance, green tourism, green marketing as a tributary towards sustainable development. The multidisciplinary chapters traverse the power of economic as well as financial policy, green investment, green insurance as well as green infrastructural development to ensure sustainable development.

Author: Multilateral Investment Guarantee Agency
Publisher: World Investment and Political
ISBN: 9781464800399
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 0

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Annotation Breach of contract is a hot topic in risk management, especially in the context of Public-Private Partnerships for large utility, infrastructure, or mineral resource exploitation projects around the world. Some claims are related to economic crisis, but more often disputes arise from political change, privatization reviews, environmental regulations and governance/corruption issues. Some recent high profile cases involving government tariff renegotiations and award settlements underline the importance of this topic for international investors. Claims of breach of contract often bring about an abrupt termination of activities or force contract renegotiations that subtsantially alter the original terms of the deal and projected financial validity. This study offers significant new data and analysis to allow an informed assessement of current developments and underlying trends, in a new collaboration between the World Bank Group (IBRD, MIGA, and ICSID) and Washington University in St. Louis.

Author: Alan M. Rugman
Publisher: OUP Oxford
ISBN: 0191552879
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 880

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As globalization explodes, so has international business scholarship. This second edition of the Oxford Handbook of International Business synthesises all the relevant literature of the last 40 years in 28 original chapters by the world's most distinguished scholars. Reflecting the changes and development in the field since the first edition this new edition has a changed structure, all the chapters have been updated to take account of the latest scholarship, and five new chapters freshly written. The Handbook is divided into six major sections, providing comprehensive coverage of the following areas: · History and Theory of the Multinational Enterprise · The Political and Regulatory Environment · Strategy and International Management · Managing the MNE · Area Studies · Methodological Issues These state of the art literature reviews will be invaluable references for students in business schools, social sciences, law, and area studies.

Author: International Monetary Fund. Monetary and Capital Markets Department
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
ISBN: 1498321119
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 85

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This Financial System Stability Assessment paper discusses that Canada has enjoyed favorable macroeconomic outcomes over the past decades, and its vibrant financial system continues to grow robustly. However, macrofinancial vulnerabilities—notably, elevated household debt and housing market imbalances—remain substantial, posing financial stability concerns. Various parts of the financial system are directly exposed to the housing market and/or linked through housing finance. The financial system would be able to manage severe macrofinancial shocks. Major deposit-taking institutions would remain resilient, but mortgage insurers would need additional capital in a severe adverse scenario. Housing finance is broadly resilient, notwithstanding some weaknesses in the small non-prime mortgage lending segment. Although banks’ overall capital buffers are adequate, additional required capital for mortgage exposures, along with measures to increase risk-based differentiation in mortgage pricing, would be desirable. This would help ensure adequate through-the cycle buffers, improve mortgage risk-pricing, and limit procyclical effects induced by housing market corrections.

Author: Martin Feldstein
Publisher: University of Chicago Press
ISBN: 0226241807
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 500

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Recent changes in technology, along with the opening up of many regions previously closed to investment, have led to explosive growth in the international movement of capital. Flows from foreign direct investment and debt and equity financing can bring countries substantial gains by augmenting local savings and by improving technology and incentives. Investing companies acquire market access, lower cost inputs, and opportunities for profitable introductions of production methods in the countries where they invest. But, as was underscored recently by the economic and financial crises in several Asian countries, capital flows can also bring risks. Although there is no simple explanation of the currency crisis in Asia, it is clear that fixed exchange rates and chronic deficits increased the likelihood of a breakdown. Similarly, during the 1970s, the United States and other industrial countries loaned OPEC surpluses to borrowers in Latin America. But when the U.S. Federal Reserve raised interest rates to control soaring inflation, the result was a widespread debt moratorium in Latin America as many countries throughout the region struggled to pay the high interest on their foreign loans. International Capital Flows contains recent work by eminent scholars and practitioners on the experience of capital flows to Latin America, Asia, and eastern Europe. These papers discuss the role of banks, equity markets, and foreign direct investment in international capital flows, and the risks that investors and others face with these transactions. By focusing on capital flows' productivity and determinants, and the policy issues they raise, this collection is a valuable resource for economists, policymakers, and financial market participants.