The Impact of Monetary Policy Communication in an Emerging Economy: The Case of Indonesia PDF Download
Are you looking for read ebook online? Search for your book and save it on your Kindle device, PC, phones or tablets. Download The Impact of Monetary Policy Communication in an Emerging Economy: The Case of Indonesia PDF full book. Access full book title The Impact of Monetary Policy Communication in an Emerging Economy: The Case of Indonesia by Mr.Calixte Ahokpossi. Download full books in PDF and EPUB format.
Author: Mr.Calixte Ahokpossi Publisher: International Monetary Fund ISBN: 1513545647 Category : Business & Economics Languages : en Pages : 29
Book Description
Since the adoption of the inflation targeting framework by Bank Indonesia (BI), monetary policy communication has played an increasingly important role in BI’s policy toolkit. This paper assesses BI’s monetary policy communication from three perspectives: i) its transparency and clarity, ii) its ability to align market expectation and BI’s policy decisions (predictability), and iii) its impact on financial markets. In particular, we assess the impact of BI’s monetary policy practices by focusing on its monetary policy press releases and monetary policy reports. The results show that Bank Indonesia has made significant progress in the transparency of its communication as well as in the institutional framework to support this. Nonetheless, the results also suggest ways in which the impact of communication can be further improved, including by strengthening the clarity of policy messages, its consistency with the policy framework and the depth of the money market.
Author: Mr.Calixte Ahokpossi Publisher: International Monetary Fund ISBN: 1513545647 Category : Business & Economics Languages : en Pages : 29
Book Description
Since the adoption of the inflation targeting framework by Bank Indonesia (BI), monetary policy communication has played an increasingly important role in BI’s policy toolkit. This paper assesses BI’s monetary policy communication from three perspectives: i) its transparency and clarity, ii) its ability to align market expectation and BI’s policy decisions (predictability), and iii) its impact on financial markets. In particular, we assess the impact of BI’s monetary policy practices by focusing on its monetary policy press releases and monetary policy reports. The results show that Bank Indonesia has made significant progress in the transparency of its communication as well as in the institutional framework to support this. Nonetheless, the results also suggest ways in which the impact of communication can be further improved, including by strengthening the clarity of policy messages, its consistency with the policy framework and the depth of the money market.
Author: Mr.Luis Brandao-Marques Publisher: International Monetary Fund ISBN: 1513529730 Category : Business & Economics Languages : en Pages : 54
Book Description
Central banks in emerging and developing economies (EMDEs) have been modernizing their monetary policy frameworks, often moving toward inflation targeting (IT). However, questions regarding the strength of monetary policy transmission from interest rates to inflation and output have often stalled progress. We conduct a novel empirical analysis using Jordà’s (2005) approach for 40 EMDEs to shed a light on monetary transmission in these countries. We find that interest rate hikes reduce output growth and inflation, once we explicitly account for the behavior of the exchange rate. Having a modern monetary policy framework—adopting IT and independent and transparent central banks—matters more for monetary transmission than financial development.
Author: Perry Warjiyo Publisher: ISBN: Category : Languages : en Pages : 18
Book Description
This note describes Indonesia's experiences of the monetary policy transmission mechanism and the country's policy responses to global monetary developments, with a focus on the period following the Federal Reserve's announcement in May 2013 of its plans to begin tapering its quantitative easing measures. The Fed's unconventional monetary policy and its normalisation process have given rise to the policy “trilemma” of trying to find the optimal interest rate response while maintaining exchange rate flexibility and managing capital flows. In the case of Indonesia, we have managed this “trilemma” through a mix of monetary and macroprudential policies. Clear communication, policy coordination with the government on inflation, fiscal and structural reforms, as well as central bank cooperation on strengthening regional financial arrangements have also played a crucial role in these efforts.Three particular issues are discussed here. First, the setting of interest rates supported by exchange rate flexibility and capital flow management in response to the policy “trilemma” arising from global monetary developments. Second, the efficacy of macroprudential measures in reinforcing the lending channel of the monetary policy transmission mechanism on the back of volatile capital flows and an underdeveloped financial market. Third, the importance to domestic monetary and financial system stability of financial market deepening through its role in smoothing out the transmission of global monetary developments. The note concludes with an agenda for further strengthening macroeconomic stability in the short term and for accelerating reforms to promote sustainable and balanced growth in the medium term.Full publication: "http://ssrn.com/abstract=2498104" target="_blank" The Transmission of Unconventional Monetary Policy to the Emerging Markets.
Author: International Monetary Fund Publisher: International Monetary Fund ISBN: 1498344062 Category : Business & Economics Languages : en Pages : 74
Book Description
Over the past two decades, many low- and lower-middle income countries (LLMICs) have improved control over fiscal policy, liberalized and deepened financial markets, and stabilized inflation at moderate levels. Monetary policy frameworks that have helped achieve these ends are being challenged by continued financial development and increased exposure to global capital markets. Many policymakers aspire to move beyond the basics of stability to implement monetary policy frameworks that better anchor inflation and promote macroeconomic stability and growth. Many of these LLMICs are thus considering and implementing improvements to their monetary policy frameworks. The recent successes of some LLMICs and the experiences of emerging and advanced economies, both early in their policy modernization process and following the global financial crisis, are valuable in identifying desirable features of such frameworks. This paper draws on those lessons to provide guidance on key elements of effective monetary policy frameworks for LLMICs.
Author: Mr.Luis E Breuer Publisher: International Monetary Fund ISBN: 1484355903 Category : Business & Economics Languages : en Pages : 336
Book Description
Analytical work on Indonesian macroeconomic and financial issues, with an overarching theme on building institutions and policies for prosperity and inclusive growth. The book begins with a 20-year economic overview by former Finance Minister Chatib Basri, with subsequent chapters covering diverse sectors of the economy as well as Indonesia’s place in the global economy.
Author: Sahminan Sahminan Publisher: ISBN: Category : Banks and banking, Central Languages : en Pages : 38
Book Description
In this paper we investigate the effectiveness of Bank Indonesia's and Bank of Thailand's monetary policy communication. We focus on two channels of communication: monetary policy statements, and inter-meeting statements. Although the structure of Bank Indonesia's and Bank of Thailand's monetary policy statements have some differences, most of the statements contain policy inclination. In addition, during inter-meeting periods, members of their board of governors often convey statements that contain policy inclination. Our empirical results show that to some extent Bank Indonesia's and Bank of Thailand's monetary policy statements and inter-meeting statements move short-term interest rates effectively. We find that there is asymmetry in the effects of the statements, that is, the statements with loose policy inclination tend to be more effective relative to the statements with tight policy inclination.
Author: Danny Hermawan Adiwibowo Publisher: ISBN: Category : Languages : en Pages : 174
Book Description
Credit/GDP to avoid the buildup of excessive risks, macro prudential policies become quantitatively more important. The second chapter based on premise that monetary policy has played a prominent stabilization role in many countries during the global financial crises, but fiscal policy has been seen as either sub-optimal or less effective. There has been renewed interest in fiscal policy in small open economies such as the UK and European periphery where austerity took place amidst low inflation and accompanied by internal or external imbalances. In an emerging economy, a larger expected share of nonRicardian agents and extent of real and nominal rigidities would be expected to create a larger potential role for fiscal policy in macro-economic stabilization and strengthening the resilience of the economy. Since we focused on monetary and fiscal policy only, there is no financial friction here but instead we developed a small open economy model. The model is estimated for the Indonesian economy, using a Bayesian approach to explore the role of fiscal policy in the existence of nonRicardian households. The model also features sticky prices and wages, nonRicardian agents and tax distortions to explore (i) the potential role for fiscal policy in stabilization, and (ii) monetary policy and fiscal policy interaction more generally. We found that fiscal policy does contribute to macroeconomic stabilization in Indonesia with its countercyclical policy in terms of fiscal expenditure and a tax response to debt that ensures solvency. However, fiscal policy should thanks to a large estimated share of nonRicardians households because they create an important role for fiscal policy, while price and wage rigidities and distortionary taxes are not. The fiscal debt also plays an important shock absorber role, allowing active fiscal stabilization and absorption of exchange rate valuation effects on the stocks of debt and reserves. In the third chapter, we assessed the problem of large and persistent global imbalances in the recent years that have changed the behavior of capital flows across countries, particularly in the emerging market. After the global financial crisis in the late 2000s, the emerging market has experienced massive capital inflows due to the strong countercyclical policy in the advanced economy. These inflows lead to excessive credit growth and booms in asset prices in the emerging market, including Indonesia. In general, this massive global financial cycle has amplified the business cycle and one of the option to deal with the so-called enhanced trillema is focus on the excessive leverage and credit growth as well as some forms of capital control such as tax on non-core liabilities. Therefore, in this chapter, we combine the model from the first and second chapters, mainly the macro prudential policy and non Ricardian households issue, and develop a New-Keynesian DSGE model for a small open economy, and estimate it for the Indonesian economy. The parameter estimation process uses Bayesian approach to explore the role of macro prudential policy and tax in non-core liabilities as one form of the capital control policy. Therefore, with those policy options, this research explores the potential role of each policy to mitigate the massive amplification of the domestic business cycle and finding an optimal policy choice c 2014 Danny Hermawan Adiwibowo ALL RIGHTS RESERVED.
Author: El Bachir Boukherouaa Publisher: International Monetary Fund ISBN: 1589063953 Category : Business & Economics Languages : en Pages : 35
Book Description
This paper discusses the impact of the rapid adoption of artificial intelligence (AI) and machine learning (ML) in the financial sector. It highlights the benefits these technologies bring in terms of financial deepening and efficiency, while raising concerns about its potential in widening the digital divide between advanced and developing economies. The paper advances the discussion on the impact of this technology by distilling and categorizing the unique risks that it could pose to the integrity and stability of the financial system, policy challenges, and potential regulatory approaches. The evolving nature of this technology and its application in finance means that the full extent of its strengths and weaknesses is yet to be fully understood. Given the risk of unexpected pitfalls, countries will need to strengthen prudential oversight.
Author: John Y. Campbell Publisher: University of Chicago Press ISBN: 0226092127 Category : Business & Economics Languages : en Pages : 444
Book Description
Economic growth, low inflation, and financial stability are among the most important goals of policy makers, and central banks such as the Federal Reserve are key institutions for achieving these goals. In Asset Prices and Monetary Policy, leading scholars and practitioners probe the interaction of central banks, asset markets, and the general economy to forge a new understanding of the challenges facing policy makers as they manage an increasingly complex economic system. The contributors examine how central bankers determine their policy prescriptions with reference to the fluctuating housing market, the balance of debt and credit, changing beliefs of investors, the level of commodity prices, and other factors. At a time when the public has never been more involved in stocks, retirement funds, and real estate investment, this insightful book will be useful to all those concerned with the current state of the economy.
Author: Mr.Calixte Ahokpossi
Author: Mr.Calixte Ahokpossi
Author: Mr.Luis Brandao-Marques
Author: Perry Warjiyo
Author: International Monetary Fund
Author: Mr.Luis E Breuer
Author: Sahminan Sahminan
Author: Danny Hermawan Adiwibowo
Author: Sui-Jade Ho
Author: El Bachir Boukherouaa
Author: John Y. Campbell