The Factor Structure of Time-Varying Discount Rates PDF Download
Are you looking for read ebook online? Search for your book and save it on your Kindle device, PC, phones or tablets. Download The Factor Structure of Time-Varying Discount Rates PDF full book. Access full book title The Factor Structure of Time-Varying Discount Rates by Victoria Atanasov. Download full books in PDF and EPUB format.
Author: Victoria Atanasov Publisher: ISBN: Category : Languages : en Pages : 77
Book Description
Discount rate variation is driven by a short run business cycle component and a longer run trend component. This leads to state variable hedging of these two components and ICAPM logic implies a three factor model for expected returns. The factors represent cash ĵow news, short term discount rate news, and long term discount rate news. Both discount rate news components are important in describing the cross section of stock returns, and long run discount rate news commands a higher risk premium. Our results are consistent with any shape of the term structure of discount rates.
Author: Victoria Atanasov Publisher: ISBN: Category : Languages : en Pages : 77
Book Description
Discount rate variation is driven by a short run business cycle component and a longer run trend component. This leads to state variable hedging of these two components and ICAPM logic implies a three factor model for expected returns. The factors represent cash ĵow news, short term discount rate news, and long term discount rate news. Both discount rate news components are important in describing the cross section of stock returns, and long run discount rate news commands a higher risk premium. Our results are consistent with any shape of the term structure of discount rates.
Author: John H. Cochrane Publisher: ISBN: Category : Economics Languages : en Pages : 63
Book Description
Abstract: Discount rate variation is the central organizing question of current asset pricing research. I survey facts, theories and applications. We thought returns were uncorrelated over time, so variation in price-dividend ratios was due to variation in expected cashflows. Now it seems all price-dividend variation corresponds to discount-rate variation. We thought that the cross-section of expected returns came from the CAPM. Now we have a zoo of new factors. I categorize discount-rate theories based on central ingredients and data sources. Discount-rate variation continues to change finance applications, including portfolio theory, accounting, cost of capital, capital structure, compensation, and macroeconomics
Author: Andrew Ang Publisher: ISBN: Category : Cash flow Languages : en Pages : 60
Book Description
While many studies document that the market risk premium is predictable and that betas are not constant, the dividend discount model ignores time-varying risk premiums and betas. We develop a model to consistently value cashflows with changing risk-free rates, predictable risk premiums and conditional betas in the context of a conditional CAPM. Practical valuation is accomplished with an analytic term structure of discount rates, with different discount rates applied to expected cashflows at different horizons. Using constant discount rates can produce large mis-valuations, which, in portfolio data, are mostly driven at short horizons by market risk premiums and at long horizons by time-variation in risk-free rates and factor loadings.
Author: Niels Joachim Gormsen Publisher: ISBN: Category : Languages : en Pages : 0
Book Description
Standard theory implies that the discount rates used by firms in investment decisions (i.e., their required returns to capital) determine investment and transmit financial shocks to the real economy. However, there exists little evidence on how firms' discount rates change over time and affect investment. We construct a new global database based on manual entry from conference calls. We show that, on average, firms move their discount rates with the cost of capital, but the relation is far below the one- to-one mapping assumed by standard theory, with substantial heterogeneity across firms. This pattern leads to time-varying wedges between discount rates and the cost of capital. The average wedge has increased substantially over the last decades as the cost of capital has dropped. Future investment is negatively related to discount rates and discount rate wedges, but only weakly related to the cost of capital because of the limited transmission into discount rates. Moreover, the large and growing discount rate wedges can account for the puzzle of "missing investment" (relative to high asset prices) in recent decades. We find that beliefs about value creation combined with market power, along with fluctuations in risk, explain changes in discount rate wedges over time.
Author: David F. DeRosa Publisher: CFA Institute Research Foundation ISBN: 1952927110 Category : Business & Economics Languages : en Pages : 206
Book Description
The presence of speculative bubbles in capital markets (an important area of interest in financial history) is widely accepted across many circles. Talk of them is pervasive in the media and especially in the popular financial press. Bubbles are thought to be found primarily in the stock market, which is our main interest, although bubbles are said to occur in other markets. Bubbles go hand in hand with the notion that markets can be irrational. The academic community has a great interest in bubbles, and it has produced scholarly literature that is voluminous. For some economists, doing bubble research is like joining the vanguard of a Kuhnian paradigm shift in economic thinking. Not so fast. If bubbles did exist, they would pose a serious challenge to neoclassical finance. Bubbles would contradict the ideas that markets are rational or work in an informationally efficient manner. That’s what makes the topic of bubbles interesting. This book reviews and evaluates the academic literature as well as some popular investment books on the possible existence of speculative bubbles in the stock market. The main question is whether there is convincing empirical evidence that bubbles exist. A second question is whether the theoretical concepts that have been advanced for bubbles make them plausible. The reader will discover that I am skeptical that bubbles actually exist. But I do not think I or anyone else will ever be able to conclusively prove that there has never been a bubble. From studying the literature and from reading history, I find that many famous purported bubbles reflect inaccurate history or mistakes in analysis or simply cannot be shown to have existed. In other instances, bubbles might have existed. But in each of those cases, there are credible rational explanations. And good evidence exists for the idea that even if bubbles do exist, they are not of great importance to understanding the stock market.
Author: Victoria Atanasov
Author: Victoria Atanasov
Author: Ian Louis Dew-Becker
Author: John H. Cochrane
Author: Andrew Ang
Author: John Y. Campbell
Author: Niels Joachim Gormsen
Author: 
Author: David F. DeRosa
Author: Victor Ng
Author: Vasant Naik