The Explanatory Power of Business Cycle Surveys PDF Download

Author: Karl Heinrich Oppenlander
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category : Business cycles
Languages : en
Pages : 726

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Author: Karl Heinrich Oppenländer
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category : Business cycles
Languages : en
Pages : 744

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Book Description
The 21st CIRET Conference was held in Somerset West, near Cape Town, about six months before the new constitutional elections were scheduled for South Africa. Because of this historically important event, the conference participants were informed about the economic and political problems of the country by Servaas van der Berg and Hennie Kotze, from the University of Stellenbosch.

Author: Georg Goldrian
Publisher: Edward Elgar Publishing
ISBN: 9781781954362
Category : Reference
Languages : en
Pages : 272

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Book Description
This Handbook aims to provide an overview of regular survey activities, as well as to show how survey results can be used scientifically in the context of business-cycle analysis and forecasting. - Examples of various business surveys are described in detail, starting with their objectives, the questions they pose, how they are weighted and extrapolated and the representativeness of their results. A detailed scientific examination of the explanatory value of the data is also made in order to demonstrate their potential usefulness. The Handbook has three parts: firstly, it presents the importance of business surveys for empirical research. Secondly, selected surveys are introduced in detail such as the Ifo Business Survey and the Ifo Investment Survey, and thirdly, a broad spectrum of studies on the consequence of the survey results is presented. The significance of the surveys applied equally to business cycle analysis and to forecasting. An array of modern methods of time series analysis and econometric model construction is used in these investigations.

Author: Karl Heinrich Oppenländer
Publisher: Ashgate Publishing
ISBN:
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 492

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Book Description
This is the second part of a work on business cycle analysis through economic surveys. It examines the stability of leading indicators, the measurement of innovation activities by surveys, consumer surveys, the impact of inflation on business behaviour and new survey activities.

Author: OECD
Publisher: OECD Publishing
ISBN: 9264177442
Category :
Languages : en
Pages : 130

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Book Description
This handbook is a practical manual on the design and implementation of business tendency surveys, which ask company managers about the current situation of their business and about their plans and expectations for the future.

Author:
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category : Business cycles
Languages : en
Pages : 478

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Author: Victor Zarnowitz
Publisher: Turtleback
ISBN: 9780613911382
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages :

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Book Description
This volume presents the most complete collection available of the work of Victor Zarnowitz, a leader in the study of business cycles, growth, inflation, and forecasting.. With characteristic insight, Zarnowitz examines theories of the business cycle, including Keynesian and monetary theories and more recent rational expectation and real business cycle theories. He also measures trends and cycles in economic activity; evaluates the performance of leading indicators and their composite measures; surveys forecasting tools and performance of business and academic economists; discusses historical changes in the nature and sources of business cycles; and analyzes how successfully forecasting firms and economists predict such key economic variables as interest rates and inflation.

Author: Karl Heinrich Oppenländer
Publisher: Routledge
ISBN: 0429796668
Category : Social Science
Languages : en
Pages : 629

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Book Description
First published in 1998, this wide-ranging and in-depth volume from specialists in economics and statistics examines leading indicators, the timing of cyclical turning points, firm behaviour, financial indicators, economic policy recommendations, transition economies and the service sector in relation to Finland’s bid for European Monetary Union membership.

Author: Kirsten Ralf
Publisher: Springer Science & Business Media
ISBN: 3642517420
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 242

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Book Description
When writing the preface the main work has been done. What remains is thanking all those people who directly or indirectly contributed to the out come. My thanks go to my family and friends for their encouragement towards the completion of this book. Among the academic profession, I would like to thank Prof. Dr. Dr. Harald Scherf, my academic teacher, first. During the years at Hamburg University I benefitted especially from his profound knowledge of Keynesian theory. His way of examining an argument in an unbiased way helped me a lot to carry out the reseach I wanted to do. His confidence enabled me to finish the work. A part of the book was written while I was a visiting fellow at DELTA, Paris, where I am particularly indebted to Roger Guesnerie. I have benefitted from his encouragement, advice, and gentle criticism during discussions and seminars, especially on the topic of the time structure of economic dynamics. I would like to acknowledge the hospitality and stimulating atmosphere at DELTA. Different versions of the manuscript, or parts of it have been read by Prof. Dr. Manfred Holler, Dr. Jorg Bibow and Dr. Gabriele Kasten. Their comments and suggestions were quite helpul and are gratefully acknowledged. Additionally, I have to thank Prof. Dr. M. Funke and Prof. Dr. V. Timmer mann.

Author: Jan-Egbert Sturm
Publisher: Springer Science & Business Media
ISBN: 3790816051
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 232

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Book Description
A pilot ?ying to a distant city needs to check his position, ?ight path and weather conditions, and must constantly keep his plane under control to land safely.TheIfosurveydataprovideadvanceinformationonchangingeconomic weather conditions and help keep the economy under control. To be sure, by their very nature they only provide short-term information. But like a plane, the economy will not be able to reach its long-term goals if it strays o? course in the short term. The Ifo survey data provide the most comprehensive and accurate, - to-date database in Europe on the state of the business cycle, and the Ifo climate indicator, sometimes simply called “The Ifo”, is the most frequently cited indicator of its kind in Europe. Both the European stock market and theeuroreacttoourindicator.Ifo’smethodologyfordeterminingthebusiness climateindicatorhasbeenexportedtomorethan?ftycountries,mostrecently toTurkeyandChina.TheIfopeoplewereproudtohavebeenaskedtohelpset up polling systems in these countries. It is said that the Chinese government relies more on their “Ifo indicator” than on their o?cial accounting statistics.