The Effect of Demographic Changes on Saving for Life-Cycle Motives in Developing Countries PDF Download

Author: Steven Benjamin Webb
Publisher: World Bank Publications
ISBN:
Category : Crecimiento demografico - Paises en desarrollo
Languages : en
Pages : 32

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Author: Jacques Morisset
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category : Economic development
Languages : en
Pages : 36

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Author: Nicoletta Batini
Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND
ISBN: 9781451862690
Category :
Languages : en
Pages : 36

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Book Description
The world is in the midst of a major demographic transition. This paper examines the implications of such transition over the next 80 years for Japan, the United States, other industrial countries, and the developing regions of the world using a dynamic intertemporal general equilibrium four-country model containing demographics calibrated to the "medium variant" of the United Nations population projections. We find that population aging in industrial countries will reduce aggregate growth in these regions over time, but should boost growth in developing countries over the next 20-30 years, as the relative size of their workingage populations increases. Demographic change will also affect saving, investment, and capital flows, implying changes in global trade balances and asset prices. We also explore the sensitivity of the results to assumptions about future productivity growth and country external risk for the developing country region.

Author: Mr.Paul R. Masson
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
ISBN: 1451854536
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 34

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Book Description
The macroeconomic effects of population aging are explored using data for the G-7 countries and Australia. The link between changes in birth and mortality rates on the one hand, and dependency ratios on the other, is first discussed, then empirical evidence on the effects of dependency ratios on net foreign asset positions and on consumption is presented. Simulations of changes in dependency ratios are then reported, using demographic projections to the year 2025. Finally, the plausibility of the implied changes in net foreign asset positions is discussed.

Author: Orazio P. Attanasio
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category : Saving and investment
Languages : en
Pages : 72

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Author: Takatoshi Ito
Publisher: University of Chicago Press
ISBN: 0226386880
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 403

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Book Description
Recent studies show that almost all industrial countries have experienced dramatic decreases in both fertility and mortality rates. This situation has led to aging societies with economies that suffer from both a decline in the working population and a rise in fiscal deficits linked to increased government spending. East Asia exemplifies these trends, and this volume offers an in-depth look at how long-term demographic transitions have taken shape there and how they have affected the economy in the region. The Economic Consequences of Demographic Change in East Asia assembles a group of experts to explore such topics as comparative demographic change, population aging, the rising cost of health care, and specific policy concerns in individual countries. The volume provides an overview of economic growth in East Asia as well as more specific studies on Japan, Korea, China, and Hong Kong. Offering important insights into the causes and consequences of this transition, this book will benefit students, researchers, and policy makers focused on East Asia as well as anyone concerned with similar trends elsewhere in the world.

Author: Michael E. Conroy
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category : Economic development
Languages : en
Pages : 52

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Author: Bela A. Balassa
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category : Interest rates
Languages : en
Pages : 34

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Author: Cesar Revoredo
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category :
Languages : en
Pages :

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Author: Mohammed El Hedi Arouri
Publisher: Academic Press
ISBN: 0124115632
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 927

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Book Description
Emerging Markets and the Global Economy investigates analytical techniques suited to emerging market economies, which are typically prone to policy shocks. Despite the large body of emerging market finance literature, their underlying dynamics and interactions with other economies remain challenging and mysterious because standard financial models measure them imprecisely. Describing the linkages between emerging and developed markets, this collection systematically explores several crucial issues in asset valuation and risk management. Contributors present new theoretical constructions and empirical methods for handling cross-country volatility and sudden regime shifts. Usually attractive for investors because of the superior growth they can deliver, emerging markets can have a low correlation with developed markets. This collection advances your knowledge about their inherent characteristics. Foreword by Ali M. Kutan Concentrates on post-crisis roles of emerging markets in the global economy Reports on key theoretical and technical developments in emerging financial markets Forecasts future developments in linkages among developed and emerging economies