The Economic Value of Using Realized Volatility in the Index Options Market PDF Download

Author: Madhu Kalimipalli
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category :
Languages : en
Pages : 49

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Book Description
We examine the economic benefits of using high frequency volatility measures for pricing, trading and hedging in the Samp;P 500 index options market. Using the encompassing regression framework, we generate volatility forecasts combining information from long memory high-frequency volatility specifications and option-based implied volatilities. We conduct out-of-sample tests of the volatility forecasts by examining option pricing performance, trading performance based on volatility timing strategies, and the performance of covered options positions for index option writers. Our results support combining forecasts of implied volatility and realized volatility and illustrate that the realized volatility approach has economic value in the context of option pricing and risk management.

Author: Wing H. Chan
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category :
Languages : en
Pages : 42

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Book Description
We examine the economic benefits of using realized volatility to forecast future implied volatility for pricing, trading, and hedging in the Samp;P 500 index options market. We propose an encompassing regression approach to forecast future implied volatility and hence future option prices by combining historical realized volatility and current implied volatility. An analysis of delta-neutral straddles and naked and delta-hedged option positions shows that the statistical superiority of historical realized volatility demonstrated in the encompassing regressions and option pricing errors does not translate into economic gains, when trading and hedging in the options markets, after considering trading costs.

Author: Torben Gustav Andersen
Publisher: Springer Science & Business Media
ISBN: 3540712976
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 1045

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Book Description
The Handbook of Financial Time Series gives an up-to-date overview of the field and covers all relevant topics both from a statistical and an econometrical point of view. There are many fine contributions, and a preamble by Nobel Prize winner Robert F. Engle.

Author: Peter Christoffersen
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category :
Languages : en
Pages :

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Author: Jeff Fleming
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category :
Languages : en
Pages : 48

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Book Description
Recent work suggests that intradaily returns can be used to construct estimates of daily return volatility that are more precise than those constructed using daily returns. We measure the economic value of this quot;realizedquot; volatility approach in the context of investment decisions. Our results indicate that the value of switching from daily to intradaily returns to estimate the conditional covariance matix can be substantial. We estimate that a risk-averse investor would be willing to pay 50 to 200 basis points per year to capture the observed gains in portfolio performance. Moreover,these gains are robust to transaction costs, estimation risk regarding expected returns, and the performance measurement horizon.

Author: Emanuel Derman
Publisher: John Wiley & Sons
ISBN: 1118959183
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 537

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Book Description
The Volatility Smile The Black-Scholes-Merton option model was the greatest innovation of 20th century finance, and remains the most widely applied theory in all of finance. Despite this success, the model is fundamentally at odds with the observed behavior of option markets: a graph of implied volatilities against strike will typically display a curve or skew, which practitioners refer to as the smile, and which the model cannot explain. Option valuation is not a solved problem, and the past forty years have witnessed an abundance of new models that try to reconcile theory with markets. The Volatility Smile presents a unified treatment of the Black-Scholes-Merton model and the more advanced models that have replaced it. It is also a book about the principles of financial valuation and how to apply them. Celebrated author and quant Emanuel Derman and Michael B. Miller explain not just the mathematics but the ideas behind the models. By examining the foundations, the implementation, and the pros and cons of various models, and by carefully exploring their derivations and their assumptions, readers will learn not only how to handle the volatility smile but how to evaluate and build their own financial models. Topics covered include: The principles of valuation Static and dynamic replication The Black-Scholes-Merton model Hedging strategies Transaction costs The behavior of the volatility smile Implied distributions Local volatility models Stochastic volatility models Jump-diffusion models The first half of the book, Chapters 1 through 13, can serve as a standalone textbook for a course on option valuation and the Black-Scholes-Merton model, presenting the principles of financial modeling, several derivations of the model, and a detailed discussion of how it is used in practice. The second half focuses on the behavior of the volatility smile, and, in conjunction with the first half, can be used for as the basis for a more advanced course.

Author: John C. Cox
Publisher: Prentice Hall
ISBN:
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 518

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Book Description
Includes the first published detailed description of option exchange operations, the first published treatment using only elementary mathematics and the first step-by-step procedure for implementing the Black-Scholes formula in actual trading.

Author: Graham Elliott
Publisher: Elsevier
ISBN: 0444627405
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 667

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Book Description
The highly prized ability to make financial plans with some certainty about the future comes from the core fields of economics. In recent years the availability of more data, analytical tools of greater precision, and ex post studies of business decisions have increased demand for information about economic forecasting. Volumes 2A and 2B, which follows Nobel laureate Clive Granger's Volume 1 (2006), concentrate on two major subjects. Volume 2A covers innovations in methodologies, specifically macroforecasting and forecasting financial variables. Volume 2B investigates commercial applications, with sections on forecasters' objectives and methodologies. Experts provide surveys of a large range of literature scattered across applied and theoretical statistics journals as well as econometrics and empirical economics journals. The Handbook of Economic Forecasting Volumes 2A and 2B provide a unique compilation of chapters giving a coherent overview of forecasting theory and applications in one place and with up-to-date accounts of all major conceptual issues. Focuses on innovation in economic forecasting via industry applications Presents coherent summaries of subjects in economic forecasting that stretch from methodologies to applications Makes details about economic forecasting accessible to scholars in fields outside economics

Author: Antonio Mele
Publisher: Springer
ISBN: 3319265237
Category : Mathematics
Languages : en
Pages : 259

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Book Description
Fixed income volatility and equity volatility evolve heterogeneously over time, co-moving disproportionately during periods of global imbalances and each reacting to events of different nature. While the methodology for options-based "model-free" pricing of equity volatility has been known for some time, little is known about analogous methodologies for pricing various fixed income volatilities. This book fills this gap and provides a unified evaluation framework of fixed income volatility while dealing with disparate markets such as interest-rate swaps, government bonds, time-deposits and credit. It develops model-free, forward looking indexes of fixed-income volatility that match different quoting conventions across various markets, and uncovers subtle yet important pitfalls arising from naïve superimpositions of the standard equity volatility methodology when pricing various fixed income volatilities.

Author: Lennart Berning
Publisher: GRIN Verlag
ISBN: 3668212015
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 139

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Book Description
Bachelor Thesis from the year 2016 in the subject Business economics - Banking, Stock Exchanges, Insurance, Accounting, grade: 1,0, Nürtingen University, language: English, abstract: Besides stocks, bonds, cash, commodities or real estate, volatility emerged as its own asset class in recent years. The last major financial crisis and increasing market volatility raised this topic to a new level. Studies have shown that volatility tends to be negatively correlated to stock market returns. In other words, when stock markets plunge, volatility tends to increase and vice versa. The development of the global financial markets and the introduction of Exchange Traded Products (ETPs) opened the markets to a wide range of investors, even to non-professional investors. The increasing interest in volatility-linked products led ETP issuers to the introduction of volatility-related products. Volatility ETPs seek to track a specific index - in many cases sub-indices - that track the performance of the Chicago Board Options Exchange Volatility Index (VIX) while providing all the advantages of a globally traded ETP such as highly liquid markets, market makers all over the world, tight spreads, low costs and assets hold as security funds. These advantages, compared to other volatility strategies via options or listed warrants, make volatility ETPs a very attractive tool for portfolio managers. The aim of this paper is to introduce the reader to the topic of volatility as an asset class respectively to volatility ETPs, their construction, price behavior and characteristics. What is more, since the vast majority of research, dealing with volatility hedging, focuses on option- or futures-based strategies, there has not been done much research on the hedging efficiency and effectiveness of volatility linked ETPs as hedging instruments yet. The analyzed question is therefore: “How efficient are volatility hedges through volatility-linked ETPs, compared to hedges through the VIX?”