Author: Daniel Williams
Publisher: Springer Nature
ISBN: 3030181952
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 448
Book Description
This Handbook is a comprehensive anthology of up-to-date chapters contributed by current researchers in budget forecasting. Editors Daniel Williams and Thad Calabrese had previously found substantial deficiencies in public budgeting forecast literature with current research failing to address such matters as practices related to forecasting expenditure factors, the consequences of forecast bias, or empirical examination of the effectiveness of many deterministic methods actually used by many governments. This volume comprehensively addresses the state of knowledge about budget forecasting for practitioners, academics, and students and serves as a comprehensive resource for instruction alongside serving as a reference book for those engaged in budget forecasting practice.
The Palgrave Handbook of Government Budget Forecasting
Author: Daniel Williams
Publisher: Springer Nature
ISBN: 3030181952
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 448
Book Description
This Handbook is a comprehensive anthology of up-to-date chapters contributed by current researchers in budget forecasting. Editors Daniel Williams and Thad Calabrese had previously found substantial deficiencies in public budgeting forecast literature with current research failing to address such matters as practices related to forecasting expenditure factors, the consequences of forecast bias, or empirical examination of the effectiveness of many deterministic methods actually used by many governments. This volume comprehensively addresses the state of knowledge about budget forecasting for practitioners, academics, and students and serves as a comprehensive resource for instruction alongside serving as a reference book for those engaged in budget forecasting practice.
Publisher: Springer Nature
ISBN: 3030181952
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 448
Book Description
This Handbook is a comprehensive anthology of up-to-date chapters contributed by current researchers in budget forecasting. Editors Daniel Williams and Thad Calabrese had previously found substantial deficiencies in public budgeting forecast literature with current research failing to address such matters as practices related to forecasting expenditure factors, the consequences of forecast bias, or empirical examination of the effectiveness of many deterministic methods actually used by many governments. This volume comprehensively addresses the state of knowledge about budget forecasting for practitioners, academics, and students and serves as a comprehensive resource for instruction alongside serving as a reference book for those engaged in budget forecasting practice.
Forecasting: principles and practice
Author: Rob J Hyndman
Publisher: OTexts
ISBN: 0987507117
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 380
Book Description
Forecasting is required in many situations. Stocking an inventory may require forecasts of demand months in advance. Telecommunication routing requires traffic forecasts a few minutes ahead. Whatever the circumstances or time horizons involved, forecasting is an important aid in effective and efficient planning. This textbook provides a comprehensive introduction to forecasting methods and presents enough information about each method for readers to use them sensibly.
Publisher: OTexts
ISBN: 0987507117
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 380
Book Description
Forecasting is required in many situations. Stocking an inventory may require forecasts of demand months in advance. Telecommunication routing requires traffic forecasts a few minutes ahead. Whatever the circumstances or time horizons involved, forecasting is an important aid in effective and efficient planning. This textbook provides a comprehensive introduction to forecasting methods and presents enough information about each method for readers to use them sensibly.
Recent Advances and Future Directions in Causality, Prediction, and Specification Analysis
Author: Xiaohong Chen
Publisher: Springer Science & Business Media
ISBN: 1461416531
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 582
Book Description
This book is a collection of articles that present the most recent cutting edge results on specification and estimation of economic models written by a number of the world’s foremost leaders in the fields of theoretical and methodological econometrics. Recent advances in asymptotic approximation theory, including the use of higher order asymptotics for things like estimator bias correction, and the use of various expansion and other theoretical tools for the development of bootstrap techniques designed for implementation when carrying out inference are at the forefront of theoretical development in the field of econometrics. One important feature of these advances in the theory of econometrics is that they are being seamlessly and almost immediately incorporated into the “empirical toolbox” that applied practitioners use when actually constructing models using data, for the purposes of both prediction and policy analysis and the more theoretically targeted chapters in the book will discuss these developments. Turning now to empirical methodology, chapters on prediction methodology will focus on macroeconomic and financial applications, such as the construction of diffusion index models for forecasting with very large numbers of variables, and the construction of data samples that result in optimal predictive accuracy tests when comparing alternative prediction models. Chapters carefully outline how applied practitioners can correctly implement the latest theoretical refinements in model specification in order to “build” the best models using large-scale and traditional datasets, making the book of interest to a broad readership of economists from theoretical econometricians to applied economic practitioners.
Publisher: Springer Science & Business Media
ISBN: 1461416531
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 582
Book Description
This book is a collection of articles that present the most recent cutting edge results on specification and estimation of economic models written by a number of the world’s foremost leaders in the fields of theoretical and methodological econometrics. Recent advances in asymptotic approximation theory, including the use of higher order asymptotics for things like estimator bias correction, and the use of various expansion and other theoretical tools for the development of bootstrap techniques designed for implementation when carrying out inference are at the forefront of theoretical development in the field of econometrics. One important feature of these advances in the theory of econometrics is that they are being seamlessly and almost immediately incorporated into the “empirical toolbox” that applied practitioners use when actually constructing models using data, for the purposes of both prediction and policy analysis and the more theoretically targeted chapters in the book will discuss these developments. Turning now to empirical methodology, chapters on prediction methodology will focus on macroeconomic and financial applications, such as the construction of diffusion index models for forecasting with very large numbers of variables, and the construction of data samples that result in optimal predictive accuracy tests when comparing alternative prediction models. Chapters carefully outline how applied practitioners can correctly implement the latest theoretical refinements in model specification in order to “build” the best models using large-scale and traditional datasets, making the book of interest to a broad readership of economists from theoretical econometricians to applied economic practitioners.
Earned Schedule Plus
Author: Walter H Lipke
Publisher: Gatekeeper Press
ISBN: 1662902727
Category : Technology & Engineering
Languages : en
Pages : 230
Book Description
Earned Schedule Plus (ES+) is intended for project managers, engineers and performance analysts; that is, those who use Earned Value Management (EVM) with Earned Schedule (ES) for the purpose of project control. ES is an extension to EVM providing the capability of time-based management and control of schedule performance. After several years, tagged as an emerging practice, ES is now normalized to EVM with its inclusion in the Project Management Institute Practice Standard for Earned Value Management, and notably, in the International Standards Organization publication, ISO 21508:2018, Earned Value Management in Project and Programme Management. ES+ introduces analysis methods developed since publication of the Earned Schedule book in 2009. Along with the new methods, there are chapters on the need for measures of project performance, the origin and history of Earned Schedule, and the studies establishing the reliability of ES duration forecasting. The new and enhanced methods presented in ES+ include advances in · Project duration forecasting · Assessing project recovery · Measuring the impact of rework on project cost and duration. The developmental research is included along with application examples to promote understanding and encourage use. Applying the advanced ES practices described in this book will significantly benefit project managers in their efforts to achieve successful projects.
Publisher: Gatekeeper Press
ISBN: 1662902727
Category : Technology & Engineering
Languages : en
Pages : 230
Book Description
Earned Schedule Plus (ES+) is intended for project managers, engineers and performance analysts; that is, those who use Earned Value Management (EVM) with Earned Schedule (ES) for the purpose of project control. ES is an extension to EVM providing the capability of time-based management and control of schedule performance. After several years, tagged as an emerging practice, ES is now normalized to EVM with its inclusion in the Project Management Institute Practice Standard for Earned Value Management, and notably, in the International Standards Organization publication, ISO 21508:2018, Earned Value Management in Project and Programme Management. ES+ introduces analysis methods developed since publication of the Earned Schedule book in 2009. Along with the new methods, there are chapters on the need for measures of project performance, the origin and history of Earned Schedule, and the studies establishing the reliability of ES duration forecasting. The new and enhanced methods presented in ES+ include advances in · Project duration forecasting · Assessing project recovery · Measuring the impact of rework on project cost and duration. The developmental research is included along with application examples to promote understanding and encourage use. Applying the advanced ES practices described in this book will significantly benefit project managers in their efforts to achieve successful projects.
Principles of Forecasting
Author: J.S. Armstrong
Publisher: Springer Science & Business Media
ISBN: 9780792374015
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 880
Book Description
This handbook summarises knowledge from experts and empirical studies. It provides guidelines that can be applied in fields such as economics, sociology, and psychology. Includes a comprehensive forecasting dictionary.
Publisher: Springer Science & Business Media
ISBN: 9780792374015
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 880
Book Description
This handbook summarises knowledge from experts and empirical studies. It provides guidelines that can be applied in fields such as economics, sociology, and psychology. Includes a comprehensive forecasting dictionary.
Theory and Applications of Time Series Analysis and Forecasting
Author: Olga Valenzuela
Publisher: Springer Nature
ISBN: 3031141970
Category : Mathematics
Languages : en
Pages : 331
Book Description
This book presents a selection of peer-reviewed contributions on the latest developments in time series analysis and forecasting, presented at the 7th International Conference on Time Series and Forecasting, ITISE 2021, held in Gran Canaria, Spain, July 19-21, 2021. It is divided into four parts. The first part addresses general modern methods and theoretical aspects of time series analysis and forecasting, while the remaining three parts focus on forecasting methods in econometrics, time series forecasting and prediction, and numerous other real-world applications. Covering a broad range of topics, the book will give readers a modern perspective on the subject. The ITISE conference series provides a forum for scientists, engineers, educators and students to discuss the latest advances and implementations in the foundations, theory, models and applications of time series analysis and forecasting. It focuses on interdisciplinary research encompassing computer science, mathematics, statistics and econometrics.
Publisher: Springer Nature
ISBN: 3031141970
Category : Mathematics
Languages : en
Pages : 331
Book Description
This book presents a selection of peer-reviewed contributions on the latest developments in time series analysis and forecasting, presented at the 7th International Conference on Time Series and Forecasting, ITISE 2021, held in Gran Canaria, Spain, July 19-21, 2021. It is divided into four parts. The first part addresses general modern methods and theoretical aspects of time series analysis and forecasting, while the remaining three parts focus on forecasting methods in econometrics, time series forecasting and prediction, and numerous other real-world applications. Covering a broad range of topics, the book will give readers a modern perspective on the subject. The ITISE conference series provides a forum for scientists, engineers, educators and students to discuss the latest advances and implementations in the foundations, theory, models and applications of time series analysis and forecasting. It focuses on interdisciplinary research encompassing computer science, mathematics, statistics and econometrics.
ESSA Technical Report ERL-ITS.
Scientific and Technical Aerospace Reports
Forecast Error Correction using Dynamic Data Assimilation
Author: Sivaramakrishnan Lakshmivarahan
Publisher: Springer
ISBN: 3319399977
Category : Computers
Languages : en
Pages : 278
Book Description
This book introduces the reader to a new method of data assimilation with deterministic constraints (exact satisfaction of dynamic constraints)—an optimal assimilation strategy called Forecast Sensitivity Method (FSM), as an alternative to the well-known four-dimensional variational (4D-Var) data assimilation method. 4D-Var works with a forward in time prediction model and a backward in time tangent linear model (TLM). The equivalence of data assimilation via 4D-Var and FSM is proven and problems using low-order dynamics clarify the process of data assimilation by the two methods. The problem of return flow over the Gulf of Mexico that includes upper-air observations and realistic dynamical constraints gives the reader a good idea of how the FSM can be implemented in a real-world situation.
Publisher: Springer
ISBN: 3319399977
Category : Computers
Languages : en
Pages : 278
Book Description
This book introduces the reader to a new method of data assimilation with deterministic constraints (exact satisfaction of dynamic constraints)—an optimal assimilation strategy called Forecast Sensitivity Method (FSM), as an alternative to the well-known four-dimensional variational (4D-Var) data assimilation method. 4D-Var works with a forward in time prediction model and a backward in time tangent linear model (TLM). The equivalence of data assimilation via 4D-Var and FSM is proven and problems using low-order dynamics clarify the process of data assimilation by the two methods. The problem of return flow over the Gulf of Mexico that includes upper-air observations and realistic dynamical constraints gives the reader a good idea of how the FSM can be implemented in a real-world situation.