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Temporary Layoffs, Firm Entry and Exit Dynamics, and Aggregate Fluctuations

Temporary Layoffs, Firm Entry and Exit Dynamics, and Aggregate Fluctuations PDF Author: Sanjay Chugh
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category :
Languages : en
Pages : 0

Book Description
We study how the countercyclicality of temporary layoffs affects aggregate unemployment fluctuations, firm entry and exit dynamics, and macroeconomic fluctuations by building a tractable framework with equilibrium unemployment and endogenous firm entry and exit where firms have a choice over temporary layoffs and recalls from temporary layoff. The model can quantitatively generate the rich cyclical dynamics of temporary layoffs and recalls from temporary layoff, job vacancies, aggregate unemployment, and firm entry and firm survival in U.S. data, including the strong countercyclicality of temporary layoffs. We show that this cyclicality, which hinges on the presence of costs associated with worker recruiting, plays a key role in limiting the contraction in job creation and employment as well as the rise in aggregate unemployment during recessions. Moreover, amid factual acyclical wage dynamics, the countercyclical buffer effect stemming from temporary layoffs extends beyond the labor market and contributes to shallower contractions in the number of firms and in GDP. Despite their stabilizing force during downturns, temporary layoffs have little influence on the pace of employment and output recoveries.

Temporary Layoffs, Firm Entry and Exit Dynamics, and Aggregate Fluctuations

Temporary Layoffs, Firm Entry and Exit Dynamics, and Aggregate Fluctuations PDF Author: Sanjay Chugh
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category :
Languages : en
Pages : 0

Book Description
We study how the countercyclicality of temporary layoffs affects aggregate unemployment fluctuations, firm entry and exit dynamics, and macroeconomic fluctuations by building a tractable framework with equilibrium unemployment and endogenous firm entry and exit where firms have a choice over temporary layoffs and recalls from temporary layoff. The model can quantitatively generate the rich cyclical dynamics of temporary layoffs and recalls from temporary layoff, job vacancies, aggregate unemployment, and firm entry and firm survival in U.S. data, including the strong countercyclicality of temporary layoffs. We show that this cyclicality, which hinges on the presence of costs associated with worker recruiting, plays a key role in limiting the contraction in job creation and employment as well as the rise in aggregate unemployment during recessions. Moreover, amid factual acyclical wage dynamics, the countercyclical buffer effect stemming from temporary layoffs extends beyond the labor market and contributes to shallower contractions in the number of firms and in GDP. Despite their stabilizing force during downturns, temporary layoffs have little influence on the pace of employment and output recoveries.

Entry, Exit, Firm Dynamics, and Aggregate Fluctuations

Entry, Exit, Firm Dynamics, and Aggregate Fluctuations PDF Author: Gian Luca Clementi
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category : Economics
Languages : en
Pages :

Book Description
Do firm entry and exit play a major role in shaping aggregate dynamics? Our answer is yes. Entry and exit propagate the effects of aggregate shocks. In turn, this results in greater persistence and unconditional variation of aggregate time-series. These are features of the equilibrium allocation in Hopenhayn (1992)'s model of equilibrium industry dynamics, amended to allow for investment in physical capital and aggregate fluctuations. In the aftermath of a positive productivity shock, the number of entrants increases. The new firms are smaller and less productive than the incumbents, as in the data. As the common productivity component reverts to its unconditional mean, the new entrants that survive become more productive over time, keeping aggregate efficiency higher than in a scenario without entry or exit.

Labor Statistics Measurement Issues

Labor Statistics Measurement Issues PDF Author: John Haltiwanger
Publisher: University of Chicago Press
ISBN: 0226314596
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 494

Book Description
Rapidly changing technology, the globalization of markets, and the declining role of unions are just some of the factors that have led to dramatic changes in working conditions in the United States. Little attention has been paid to the difficult measurement problems underlying analysis of the labor market. Labor Statistics Measurement Issues helps to fill this gap by exploring key theoretical and practical issues in the measurement of employment, wages, and workplace practices. Some of the chapters in this volume explore the conceptual issues of what is needed, what is known, or what can be learned from existing data, and what needs have not been met by available data sources. Others make innovative uses of existing data to analyze these topics. Also included are papers examining how answers to important questions are affected by alternative measures used and how these can be reconciled. This important and useful book will find a large audience among labor economists and consumers of labor statistics.

The World Bank Research Observer

The World Bank Research Observer PDF Author:
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category : Computer network resources
Languages : en
Pages : 300

Book Description


Environmental and Energy Policy and the Economy

Environmental and Energy Policy and the Economy PDF Author: Matthew J. Kotchen
Publisher: University of Chicago Press
ISBN: 0226821749
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 275

Book Description
This volume presents six new papers on environmental and energy economics and policy in the United States. Rebecca Davis, J. Scott Holladay, and Charles Sims analyze recent trends in and forecasts of coal-fired power plant retirements with and without new climate policy. Severin Borenstein and James Bushnell examine the efficiency of pricing for electricity, natural gas, and gasoline. James Archsmith, Erich Muehlegger, and David Rapson provide a prospective analysis of future pathways for electric vehicle adoption. Kenneth Gillingham considers the consequences of such pathways for the design of fuel vehicle economy standards. Frank Wolak investigates the long-term resource adequacy in wholesale electricity markets with significant intermittent renewables. Finally, Barbara Annicchiarico, Stefano Carattini, Carolyn Fischer, and Garth Heutel review the state of research on the interactions between business cycles and environmental policy.

Law and Employment

Law and Employment PDF Author: James J. Heckman
Publisher: University of Chicago Press
ISBN: 0226322858
Category : Law
Languages : en
Pages : 585

Book Description
Law and Employment analyzes the effects of regulation and deregulation on Latin American labor markets and presents empirically grounded studies of the costs of regulation. Numerous labor regulations that were introduced or reformed in Latin America in the past thirty years have had important economic consequences. Nobel Prize-winning economist James J. Heckman and Carmen Pagés document the behavior of firms attempting to stay in business and be competitive while facing the high costs of complying with these labor laws. They challenge the prevailing view that labor market regulations affect only the distribution of labor incomes and have little or no impact on efficiency or the performance of labor markets. Using new micro-evidence, this volume shows that labor regulations reduce labor market turnover rates and flexibility, promote inequality, and discriminate against marginal workers. Along with in-depth studies of Colombia, Peru, Brazil, Argentina, Chile, Uruguay, Jamaica, and Trinidad, Law and Employment provides comparative analysis of Latin American economies against a range of European countries and the United States. The book breaks new ground by quantifying not only the cost of regulation in Latin America, the Caribbean, and in the OECD, but also the broader impact of this regulation.

Structural Reforms

Structural Reforms PDF Author: Jakob de Haan
Publisher: Springer
ISBN: 3319744003
Category : Political Science
Languages : en
Pages : 293

Book Description
This book presents a selection of contributions on the timely topic of structural reforms in Western economies, written by experts from central banks, the International Monetary Fund, and leading universities. It includes latest research on the impacts of structural reforms on the market economy, especially on the labor market, and investigates the results of collective bargaining in theory and practice. The book also comprises case studies of structural reforms. A literature survey on the topic serves as a valuable source for further research. The book is written by and targeted at both academics and policy makers.

The Structure of Wages

The Structure of Wages PDF Author: Edward P. Lazear
Publisher: University of Chicago Press
ISBN: 0226470512
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 473

Book Description
The distribution of income, the rate of pay raises, and the mobility of employees is crucial to understanding labor economics. Although research abounds on the distribution of wages across individuals in the economy, wage differentials within firms remain a mystery to economists. The first effort to examine linked employer-employee data across countries, The Structure of Wages:An International Comparison analyzes labor trends and their institutional background in the United States and eight European countries. A distinguished team of contributors reveal how a rising wage variance rewards star employees at a higher rate than ever before, how talent becomes concentrated in a few firms over time, and how outside market conditions affect wages in the twenty-first century. From a comparative perspective that examines wage and income differences within and between countries such as Denmark, Italy, and the Netherlands, this volume will be required reading for economists and those working in industrial organization.

Economic Turbulence

Economic Turbulence PDF Author: Clair Brown
Publisher: University of Chicago Press
ISBN: 0226076342
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 211

Book Description
Every day, in every sector of our economy, a business shuts down while another starts up, jobs are created while others are cut, and workers are hired while others are laid off. This constant flux, or turbulence, is a defining characteristic of our free market system, yet it mostly inspires angst about unemployment, loss of earnings, and the overall competitiveness of corporations. But is this endless cycle of fluctuation really so bad for America? Might something positive be going on in the economy as a result of it? In this penetrating work, three esteemed economists seek to answer these questions by exploring the real impact of volatility on American workers and businesses alike. According to the authors, while any number of events--shifts in consumer demand, changes in technology, mergers and acquisitions, or increased competition--can contribute to economic turbulence, our economy as a whole is, by and large, stronger for it, because these processes of creation and destruction make it more flexible and adaptable. The authors also acknowledge and document the adverse consequences of this turbulence on different groups of workers and firms and discuss the resulting policy challenges. Basing their argument on an up-close look into the dealings and practices of five key industries—financial services, retail food services, trucking, semiconductors, and software—the authors demonstrate the positive effects of turbulence on career paths, employee earnings, and firm performance. The first substantial attempt to disentangle and make clear the complexities of this phenomenon in the United States, Economic Turbulence will be viewed as a major achievement and the centerpiece of any discussion on the subject for years to come.

Sticky Feet

Sticky Feet PDF Author: Claire H. Hollweg
Publisher: World Bank Publications
ISBN: 1464802637
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 123

Book Description
This report quantifies labor mobility costs in developing countries and simulates the implied adjustment paths of employment and wages following a change in trade policy. High mobility costs are shown to reduce the potential gains to trade reform.