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Author: Bernhard Herz Publisher: ISBN: Category : Languages : en Pages : 37
Book Description
The microeconomic structure of foreign exchange markets can cause excessive volatility in flexible exchange rate regimes. The market entry of chartists changes the composition of the foreign exchange market and leads to excessive volatility. Our chartist model predicts a continuum of equilibria and an U-shaped relation between exchange rate volatility and the measured trend, which is supported by the empirical evidence. The data show a positive nonlinear relation between trend and volatility, as predicted by the model. In such a situation monetary policy may be able to smooth the exchange rate without changing macroeconomic fundamentals.
Author: Bernhard Herz Publisher: ISBN: Category : Languages : en Pages : 37
Book Description
The microeconomic structure of foreign exchange markets can cause excessive volatility in flexible exchange rate regimes. The market entry of chartists changes the composition of the foreign exchange market and leads to excessive volatility. Our chartist model predicts a continuum of equilibria and an U-shaped relation between exchange rate volatility and the measured trend, which is supported by the empirical evidence. The data show a positive nonlinear relation between trend and volatility, as predicted by the model. In such a situation monetary policy may be able to smooth the exchange rate without changing macroeconomic fundamentals.
Author: Bernhard Herz Publisher: ISBN: Category : Languages : en Pages : 31
Book Description
The paper extends and empirically tests the noise trader exchange rate model of Jeanne and Rose (2002). We introduce technical trading in the exchange market as a source of noise and explicitly incorporate monetary and exchange rate policy. With these modifications it is possible to directly test the model's prediction of an U shaped relation between exchange trend and volatility. We find strong empirical evidence supporting the implications of the model. As a corollary we develop a measure of excess exchange rate volatility and categorize exchange rate regimes based on the de facto behavior of the exchange rates.The paper extends and empirically tests the noise trader exchange rate model of Jeanne and Rose (2002). We introduce technical trading in the exchange market as a source of noise and explicitly incorporate monetary and exchange rate policy. With these modifications it is possible to directly test the model's prediction of an U shaped relation between exchange trend and volatility. We find strong empirical evidence supporting the implications of the model. As a corollary we develop a measure of excess exchange rate volatility and categorize exchange rate regimes based on the de facto behavior of the exchange rates.
Author: Christian Pierdzioch Publisher: Springer Science & Business Media ISBN: 9783540427452 Category : Business & Economics Languages : en Pages : 232
Book Description
A flexible instrument to insure against adverse exchange rate movements are options on foreign currency. Often a relatively simple foreign currency option valuation model is used to address issues related to the pricing and hedging of such options. The results of many empirical studies document that real-world foreign currency option premia deviate from those predicted by the baseline model. In the first part of the book, it is shown that a noise trader model can help to explain the observed mispricing of the baseline foreign currency option pricing model. In the second part of the book, it is studied how policymakers can exploit the pricing errors of the baseline model. In particular, it is examined how option pricing theory can be applied to assess the effectiveness of central bank interventions in the foreign exchange market. To this end, a model is constructed to analyze the effectiveness of the interventions conducted by the Deutsche Bundesbank during the Louvre period.
Author: James Lauren Bickford Publisher: John Wiley & Sons ISBN: 0470139285 Category : Business & Economics Languages : en Pages : 258
Book Description
A revolutionary approach to analyzing the foreign exchange markets All markets move in patterns. Being able to visualize and analyze those patterns can offer powerful advantages for traders in every market. Traditionally, though, technical analysis has been the preferred technique for Forex traders. In this pioneering book, Michael Archer and James Bickford expand upon the use of technical indicators by studying and charting the most commonly traded currency pairs. Featuring numerous historical charts generated by proprietary software and charting system, Charting the Major Forex Pairs provides Forex traders with a graphical interpretation of the markets, enabling them to instantly see patterns, and to enter into and exit positions with confidence.
Author: Jessica James Publisher: John Wiley & Sons ISBN: 1118445775 Category : Business & Economics Languages : en Pages : 674
Book Description
Praise for Handbook of Exchange Rates “This book is remarkable. I expect it to become the anchor reference for people working in the foreign exchange field.” —Richard K. Lyons, Dean and Professor of Finance, Haas School of Business, University of California Berkeley “It is quite easily the most wide ranging treaty of expertise on the forex market I have ever come across. I will be keeping a copy close to my fingertips.” —Jim O’Neill, Chairman, Goldman Sachs Asset Management How should we evaluate the forecasting power of models? What are appropriate loss functions for major market participants? Is the exchange rate the only means of adjustment? Handbook of Exchange Rates answers these questions and many more, equipping readers with the relevant concepts and policies for working in today’s international economic climate. Featuring contributions written by leading specialists from the global financial arena, this handbook provides a collection of original ideas on foreign exchange (FX) rates in four succinct sections: • Overview introduces the history of the FX market and exchange rate regimes, discussing key instruments in the trading environment as well as macro and micro approaches to FX determination. • Exchange Rate Models and Methods focuses on forecasting exchange rates, featuring methodological contributions on the statistical methods for evaluating forecast performance, parity relationships, fair value models, and flow–based models. • FX Markets and Products outlines active currency management, currency hedging, hedge accounting; high frequency and algorithmic trading in FX; and FX strategy-based products. • FX Markets and Policy explores the current policies in place in global markets and presents a framework for analyzing financial crises. Throughout the book, topics are explored in-depth alongside their founding principles. Each chapter uses real-world examples from the financial industry and concludes with a summary that outlines key points and concepts. Handbook of Exchange Rates is an essential reference for fund managers and investors as well as practitioners and researchers working in finance, banking, business, and econometrics. The book also serves as a valuable supplement for courses on economics, business, and international finance at the upper-undergraduate and graduate levels.
Author: Jay Norris Publisher: McGraw Hill Professional ISBN: 0071713700 Category : Business & Economics Languages : en Pages : 319
Book Description
Make Volatility and Risk Work for You with Forex Trading! “This book should be in every trader/investor’s library. As we come out of this depressed market . . . this book can be your companion, helping you avoid mistakes and enhance your trading/investment program.” —Bill M. Williams, author of Trading Chaos “Whether you’re just getting started trading the world’s most exciting financial market, or you’re looking to add to your trading edge, [the authors] have written an engaging book packed with powerful techniques that you can use right now.” —Rob Booker, trader, author, educator, and founder and host of TraderRadio.net The foreign exchange market is the largest trading market in the world, with average daily volume well into the trillions. Because the market is always characterized by high liquidity, forex traders benefit most from volatile markets—making it the ideal investment approach today and well into the future. Mastering the Currency Market is a comprehensive guide to currency and futures trading strategies and techniques for both highly volatile and nonvolatile markets. Putting to work their vast and highly diverse experience in forex trading, the authors explain how to take advantage of the many benefits of foreign exchange trading, including its low cost of entry afforded by margin, and the dynamic pricing by nature of the competitive marketplace. Mastering the Currency Market is divided into five sections covering: The basics of trading currencies Fundamental analysis of price valuation Technical analysis and trading charts Trading philosophy and psychological discipline Volatility and risk management With four decades of combined experience, the authors clearly communicate to you a trading method that will give you the confidence to both analyze markets and execute trades successfully, regardless of underlying market conditions. As 2008 introduced nightmare scenarios for investors around the world, it was Al Gaskill’s most productive period of his trading career. He used the same trading methods spelled out in this book. Apply the lessons inside and you’ll see profits rise during periods of high market volatility, and when the market slows down, you can downshift to countertrending methods. It’s a win-win investing method, and Mastering the Currency Market leads you through it every step of the way.
Author: Greg Harmon Publisher: John Wiley & Sons ISBN: 1118679172 Category : Business & Economics Languages : en Pages : 240
Book Description
A thorough guide to technical analysis methods applied for success in the options market Though still not widely practiced or accepted in the options market, technical analysis is becoming increasingly common. As the practice spreads, traders are discovering how useful technical analysis is for determining clear entry and exit signals. Trading Options: Using Technical Analysis to Design Winning Trades takes the standard technical analysis approach and applies it to the options market. Author Greg Harmon combines technical analysis with a deep understanding of the options market to explain how to design technically created trades that lead to outsized gains with low costs of entry and managed risk. The book covers trend determination, security identification and selection, tools and trade design, and executing, hedging, and adjusting trades. Ideal for individual investors and options traders Identifies and applies mainstream technical analysis methods to the volatile options market Perfect for stock traders that wish to delve in to technical analysis and options Written by the founder of Dragonfly Capital Management, which provides daily technical analysis of securities markets and trade ideas, and CIO of Presidium Capital Management which provides money management for clients
Author: Kirk Northington Publisher: John Wiley & Sons ISBN: 0470522305 Category : Business & Economics Languages : en Pages : 480
Book Description
A framework for creating volatility-based technical analysis and trading it for profit Volatility-Based Technical Analysis bridges the advantage gap between resource rich institutions and individual traders. It is a no-calculus, plain-English text that reveals original, highly technical, mathematical-based volatility indicators, complete with MetaStock® and TradeStation® code. With this in hand, any trader can "trade the invisible" by seeing a hidden mathematical structure on the price chart. Author Kirk Northington reveals his proprietary volatility indicators that serve as a market early warning system. Northington extensively teaches you how to build your own indicators, test them, and incorporate your original components into your specific trading methods. Walks traders through the mathematical techniques needed to create indicators that fit their own style Illustrates volatility-based entries and exits with over 170 descriptive chart examples Introduces two new concepts in technical analysis: Volatility Shift and PIV Written with the serious trader in mind, Volatility-Based Technical Analysis has what you need to successfully trade today's institutionally dominated markets.
Author: Bernhard Herz
Author: Bernhard Herz
Author: Bernhard Herz
Author: John P. C. Fell
Author: Christian Pierdzioch
Author: James Lauren Bickford
Author: Jessica James
Author: Jay Norris
Author: International Monetary Fund
Author: Greg Harmon
Author: Kirk Northington