Surveying Recent Econometric Forecasting Performance PDF Download

Author: W. Allen Spivey
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category : Econometrics
Languages : en
Pages : 28

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Author: OECD
Publisher: OECD Publishing
ISBN: 9264099077
Category :
Languages : en
Pages : 388

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This book presents the proceedings of the 25th CIRET Conference, entitled "Business Surveys and Empirical Analysis of Economic and Social Survey Data" was hosted by OECD and INSEE in Paris, France in 2000.

Author: William Alonso
Publisher: Russell Sage Foundation
ISBN: 9781610445757
Category : Social Science
Languages : en
Pages : 500

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The Politics of Numbers is the first major study of the social and political forces behind the nation's statistics. In more than a dozen essays, its editors and authors look at the controversies and choices embodied in key decisions about how we count—in measuring the state of the economy, for example, or enumerating ethnic groups. They also examine the implications of an expanding system of official data collection, of new computer technology, and of the shift of information resources into the private sector. A Volume in the Russell Sage Foundation Census Series

Author: International Monetary Fund
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
ISBN: 1451943679
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 116

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This paper examines the World Economic Outlook forecasting record for the principal performance indicators for the major industrial countries and corresponding aggregates and for groups of non-oil developing countries. Several criteria were used in evaluating the forecasts: the computation and evaluation of various summary statistics of forecast accuracy, bias, and efficiency; comparisons with alternative forecasts—naive forecasts and forecasts produced by the Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development (OECD) and by national forecasting agencies; the examination of turning-point errors and forecast performance in defined episodes; and, finally, some attempt to explain forecast error in terms of unanticipated developments in policy variables and oil prices. In judging the forecast performance of the World Economic Outlook, a number of points must be kept in mind. Most important, it has to be recognized that the period since the inception of the World Economic Outlook as a regular forecasting exercise has been extraordinarily rich in economic upheavals, which have made the odds against accurate forecasting formidable.

Author: OECD
Publisher: OECD Publishing
ISBN: 9264011951
Category :
Languages : en
Pages : 149

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This 2005 edition of the OECD Economic Survey for New Zealand focuses on key challenges for consolidating economic success including improving competition and productivity growth, tax and regulatory changes to improve the efficiency of capital ...

Author: Graham Elliott
Publisher: Elsevier
ISBN: 0444627405
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 667

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The highly prized ability to make financial plans with some certainty about the future comes from the core fields of economics. In recent years the availability of more data, analytical tools of greater precision, and ex post studies of business decisions have increased demand for information about economic forecasting. Volumes 2A and 2B, which follows Nobel laureate Clive Granger's Volume 1 (2006), concentrate on two major subjects. Volume 2A covers innovations in methodologies, specifically macroforecasting and forecasting financial variables. Volume 2B investigates commercial applications, with sections on forecasters' objectives and methodologies. Experts provide surveys of a large range of literature scattered across applied and theoretical statistics journals as well as econometrics and empirical economics journals. The Handbook of Economic Forecasting Volumes 2A and 2B provide a unique compilation of chapters giving a coherent overview of forecasting theory and applications in one place and with up-to-date accounts of all major conceptual issues. - Focuses on innovation in economic forecasting via industry applications - Presents coherent summaries of subjects in economic forecasting that stretch from methodologies to applications - Makes details about economic forecasting accessible to scholars in fields outside economics

Author: OECD
Publisher: OECD Publishing
ISBN: 9264175865
Category :
Languages : en
Pages : 217

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This 2000 edition of OECD's periodic economic reviews of New Zealand exaines recent economic developments, policies and prospects and includes special features on structural reform and improving the tax system.

Author: OECD
Publisher: OECD Publishing
ISBN: 9264152032
Category :
Languages : en
Pages : 142

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Book Description
OECD's 1978 Economic Survey of Norway examines recent trends and policies, stabilisation policy problems, and the short-term outlook before drawing a series of conclusions.

Author: James H. Stock
Publisher: University of Chicago Press
ISBN: 0226774740
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 350

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Book Description
The inability of forecasters to predict accurately the 1990-1991 recession emphasizes the need for better ways for charting the course of the economy. In this volume, leading economists examine forecasting techniques developed over the past ten years, compare their performance to traditional econometric models, and discuss new methods for forecasting and time series analysis.

Author: OECD
Publisher: OECD Publishing
ISBN: 9264142711
Category :
Languages : en
Pages : 92

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OECD's 1970 Economic Survey of Japan examines recent economic performance and the 1967-1971 Plan, short-term prospects and current policies, and the Economic and Social Development Plan 1970-1975.