Strategic Assessment 1999, Priorities for a Turbulent World PDF Download

Author:
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category : International relations
Languages : en
Pages : 338

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Author:
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category :
Languages : en
Pages :

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Author: Scott Sigmund Gartner
Publisher: Yale University Press
ISBN: 9780300080698
Category : Political Science
Languages : en
Pages : 260

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How do military organizations assess strategic policy in war? In this book Scott Gartner develops a theory to explain how military and government leaders evaluate wartime performance, how much they change strategies in response to this evaluation, and why they are frequently at odds when discussing the success or failure of strategic performance. Blending history, decision theory, and mathematical modeling, Gartner argues that military personnel do reevaluate their strategies and that they measure the performance of a strategy through quantitative, "dominant" indicators. But different actors within a government use different indicators of success: some will see the strategy as succeeding when others see it as failing because of their different dominant indicators. Gartner tests his argument with three case studies: the British shift to convoys in World War I following the German imposition of unrestricted submarine warfare; the lack of change in British naval policy in the Battle of the Atlantic following the German introduction of Wolf Packs in World War II; and the American decision to deescalate in Vietnam after the Tet Offensive. He also tests his approach in a nonwar situation, analyzing the Carter Administration's decision to launch the hostage rescue attempt. In each case, his dominant indicator model better predicts the observed behavior than either a standard-organization or an action-reaction approach.

Author:
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ISBN:
Category : Military art and science
Languages : en
Pages : 308

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Author: Patrick Clawson
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category : Electronic government information
Languages : en
Pages : 240

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Author:
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Category : Government publications
Languages : en
Pages : 340

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Author: Institute for National Strategic Studies. INSS.
Publisher:
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Category :
Languages : en
Pages :

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Author: Patrick M. Cronin
Publisher:
ISBN: 9788170493914
Category : United States
Languages : en
Pages : 0

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Author: Hans Binnendijk
Publisher:
ISBN: 9780160590320
Category :
Languages : en
Pages : 0

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The past year has seen many thresholds crossed and turning points reached in the international security environment. With events like the NATO intervention in Kosovo, tension between India and Pakistan, more failing states, and rising access to dangerous weapons and delivery systems, the job for Department of Defense planners has not become easier. This volume examines trends, U.S. interests, and consequences for U.S. policy, followed by a net assessment for each key area. The international security situation is clearly changed from 1 year ago. The nebulous multipolar environment has been stressed by forces of polarization in recent months. Yet, transition states still cooperate with the Western democratic core states on important issues. As the world continues the process of transformation, we need to properly assess our priorities. The volume contains the following chapters: Global Political Trends: Integration or Disintegration?; Economic Globalization: Stability or Conflict?; Energy and Resources: Ample or Scarce?; Global Military Balance: Stable or Unstable?; Europe: How Much Utility, How Effective? Russia and its Neighbors: Faltering Progress; Greater Middle East: Managing Change in Troubled Times? Asia-Pacific Region: Murky Future? South Asia: Nuclear Geopolitics? Sub-Saharan Africa: Progress or Drift? The Western Hemisphere: Rethinking Strategic Relations? The Democratic Core: How Large, How Effective? Transition States: New Destinies? Rogue States and Proliferation: How Serious is the Threat? Troubled States: How Troubling, How Manageable? Transnational Trends: New Threats? Conventional Operations and Warfare: A New Era Ahead?. Strategic Forces and Deterrence: New Realities, New Roles? Global Arms Control and Disarmament: Cloudy Prospects? Space and Oceans: Can They Be Controlled?

Author: Scott Sigmund Gartner
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category : Military policy
Languages : en
Pages : 822

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