Author: Ying-Chen HungPublisher:
ISBN:
Category :
Languages : en
Pages :
Book Description
Related Variance Risk Premia: Term Structure and Stock Return Predictability
Author: Ying-Chen HungStock Return Predictability and Variance Risk Premia
Author: Stock Return Predictability and Variance Risk Premia Around the ZLB
Author: Toshiaki OgawaStock Return Predictability and Variance Risk Premia
Author: Tim BollerslevExpected Stock Returns and Variance Risk Premia
Author: Tim BollerslevPublisher:
ISBN:
Category : Stocks
Languages : en
Pages : 58
Book Description
Variance Risk Premium Components and International Stock Return Predictability
Author: Juan M. LondonoThe Variance Risk Premium
Author: Junye LiPublisher:
ISBN:
Category :
Languages : en
Pages : 39
Book Description
This paper examines the properties of the variance risk premium (VRP). We propose a flexible asset pricing model that captures co-jumps in prices and volatility, and self-exciting jump clustering. We estimate the model on equity returns and variance swap rates at different horizons. The total VRP is negative and has a downward-sloping term structure, while its jump component displays an upward-sloping term structure. The abrupt and persistent response of the short-term jump VRP to extreme events makes this specific premium a proxy for investors' fear of a market crash. Furthermore, the use of the VRP level and slope, and of its components, helps improve the short-run predictability of equity excess returns.
Dynamic Asset Pricing Theory
Author: Darrell DuffiePublisher: Princeton University Press
ISBN: 1400829208
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 488
Book Description
This is a thoroughly updated edition of Dynamic Asset Pricing Theory, the standard text for doctoral students and researchers on the theory of asset pricing and portfolio selection in multiperiod settings under uncertainty. The asset pricing results are based on the three increasingly restrictive assumptions: absence of arbitrage, single-agent optimality, and equilibrium. These results are unified with two key concepts, state prices and martingales. Technicalities are given relatively little emphasis, so as to draw connections between these concepts and to make plain the similarities between discrete and continuous-time models. Readers will be particularly intrigued by this latest edition's most significant new feature: a chapter on corporate securities that offers alternative approaches to the valuation of corporate debt. Also, while much of the continuous-time portion of the theory is based on Brownian motion, this third edition introduces jumps--for example, those associated with Poisson arrivals--in order to accommodate surprise events such as bond defaults. Applications include term-structure models, derivative valuation, and hedging methods. Numerical methods covered include Monte Carlo simulation and finite-difference solutions for partial differential equations. Each chapter provides extensive problem exercises and notes to the literature. A system of appendixes reviews the necessary mathematical concepts. And references have been updated throughout. With this new edition, Dynamic Asset Pricing Theory remains at the head of the field.
Term Structure of Variance Risk Premium and Returns' Predictability
Author: Giacomo BormettiPublisher:
ISBN:
Category :
Languages : en
Pages : 49
Book Description
We derive an analytic relation between equity risk premium and the term structure of variance risk premium (VRP). Motivated by this result, we estimate the VRP term structure using a general and fully analytical discrete-time option pricing framework featuring multiple volatility components and multiple risk premia. We confirm the importance of VRP in improving option pricing performances and show the ability of multi-component GARCH models to produce realistic hump-shaped VRP term structure. We finally uncover the strong predictive power of the shape of the VRP term structure, summarized by its slope, on future stock-index returns.
Variance Risk in Aggregate Stock Returns and Time-Varying Return Predictability
Author: Sungjune PyunPublisher:
ISBN:
Category :
Languages : en
Pages : 61
Book Description
This paper introduces a new out-of-sample forecasting methodology for monthly market returns using the variance risk premium (VRP) that is both statistically and economically significant. This methodology is motivated by the `beta representation,' which implies that the market risk premium is related to the price of variance risk by the variance risk exposure. Hence, when the slope of the contemporaneous regression of market returns on variance innovation is larger, future returns are more sharply related to the current VRP. Also, predictions are more accurate when market returns are highly correlated to variance shocks.