Stock Market Liberalization and Informational Efficiency in Emerging Markets PDF Download

Author: Duc Khuong Nguyen
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category :
Languages : en
Pages :

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Book Description
On testing the impact of stock market liberalization on weak form market efficiency in emerging market countries, previous studies often provide divergent results. This paper revisits this empirical literature by using a time-varying parameter model which enables us to handle the gradual effects induced by stock market liberalization on informational efficiency. The model also corrects for both the serial correlation in return structure and volatility risk premium of local markets. First, we show that while some markets tend to converge to more efficient markets in the aftermath of stock market liberalization, others moved away from efficient state. For markets which were already efficient before financial liberalization implementations, the informational efficiency appears to be more apparent in recent years. Second, although we document significant effects of stock market liberalization on efficiency after controlling for economic and political perspectives, the direction of effects remains inconclusive because empirical results tend to be country-specific. Finally, it is worth noting that conditional stock market volatility has no significant impact on the expected returns.

Author: Mohamed El Hedi Arouri
Publisher: Springer Science & Business Media
ISBN: 3790823899
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 214

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Book Description
Emerging markets have received a particular attention of academic researchers and practitioners since they decided to open their domestic capital markets to foreign participants about three decades ago. At the same time, we remark that theoretical and empirical research in emerging stock markets has been particularly challenged by their fast changes in nature and size under the effects of financial liberalization and reforms. This evolving feature has particularly led to a commensurate increase in sophistication of modeling techniques used for understanding financial markets. In this spirit, the book aims at providing the audience a comprehensive understanding of emerging stock markets in various aspects using modern financial econometric methods. It addresses the empirical techniques needed by economic agents to analyze the dynamics of these markets and illustrates how they can be applied to the actual data. On the other hand, it presents and discusses new research findings and their implications.

Author: Sonali Jain-Chandra
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category :
Languages : en
Pages : 33

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Book Description
During the last two decades, many emerging markets have embarked on a course of economic reform, including stock market liberalization. This paper addresses the question of whether these markets have become more informationally efficient in the years following liberalization. We find that emerging stock markets become more efficient following liberalization. Additionally, using a panel data set on sixteen liberalizing countries and various measures of liquidity, we show that liberalization leads to enhanced liquidity after controlling for size and other factors. Furthermore, this paper addresses the question whether the increase in efficiency could be the result of an increase in liquidity. This paper concludes that an increase in liquidity leads to a decrease in market inefficiency. This confirms the intuition that enhanced liquidity might render emerging stock markets more efficient.

Author: Mr.Paul Cashin
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
ISBN: 1451847815
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 30

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Book Description
The issue of informational efficiency in the evolution of asset prices is examined using data on equity markets in Jordan, Turkey and Pakistan over the period 1986–93. The analysis is carried out in two steps. The parameters of agents’ dynamic consumption and investment decisions are first estimated, and then the implied equity market price, based on market fundamentals, is compared with the actual evolution of equity market prices. While the informational efficiency of each of the three markets is found to be deficient, the causes of market inefficiency are varied. For Jordan it appears that a large negative shock to economic activity in the late 1980s caused agents to discount market fundamentals. For Turkey and Pakistan it is likely that institutional and legal rigidities in equity and banking markets resulted in these markets being illiquid, although this lack of market depth did reduce in severity for Turkey over the sample period, as liberalization of financial markets occurred.

Author: Paul Anthony Cashin
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category :
Languages : en
Pages : 32

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Book Description
The issue of informational efficiency in the evolution of asset prices is examined using data on equity markets in Jordan, Turkey and Pakistan over the period 1986-93. The analysis is carried out in two steps. The parameters of agents` dynamic consumption and investment decisions are first estimated, and then the implied equity market price, based on market fundamentals, is compared with the actual evolution of equity market prices. While the informational efficiency of each of the three markets is found to be deficient, the causes of market inefficiency are varied. For Jordan it appears that a large negative shock to economic activity in the late 1980s caused agents to discount market fundamentals. For Turkey and Pakistan it is likely that institutional and legal rigidities in equity and banking markets resulted in these markets being illiquid, although this lack of market depth did reduce in severity for Turkey over the sample period, as liberalization of financial markets occurred.

Author: Gourishankar S. Hiremath
Publisher: Springer Science & Business Media
ISBN: 8132215907
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 135

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Book Description
India is one of the major emerging economies of the world and has witnessed tremendous economic growth over the last decades. The reforms in the financial sector were introduced to infuse energy and vibrancy into the process of economic growth. The Indian stock market now has the largest number of listed companies in the world. The phenomenal growth of the Indian equity market and its growing importance in the economy is indicated by the extent of market capitalization and the increasing integration of the Indian economy with the global economy. Various schools of thought explain the behaviour of stock returns. The Efficient Market Theory is the most important theory of the School of Neoclassical Finance based on rational expectation and no-trade argument. The book investigates the growth and efficiency of the Indian stock market in the theoretical framework of the Efficiency Market Hypothesis (EMH). The main objective of the present study is to examine the returns behaviour in the Indian equity market in the changed market environment. A detailed and rigorous analysis, made with the help of the sophisticated time series econometric models, is one of the key elements of this volume. The analysis empirically tests the random walk hypothesis and focuses on issues like nonlinear dynamics, structural breaks and long memory. It uses new and disaggregated data on recent reforms and changes in the market microstructure. The data on various indices including sectoral indices help in measuring the relative efficiency of the market and understanding how liquidity and market capitalization affect the efficiency of the market.

Author: Augusto de la Torre
Publisher: World Bank Publications
ISBN: 0821365444
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 232

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Book Description
Back in the early 1990s, economists and policy makers had high expectations about the prospects for domestic capital market development in emerging economies, particularly in Latin America. Unfortunately, they are now faced with disheartening results. Stock and bond markets remain illiquid and segmented. Debt is concentrated at the short end of the maturity spectrum and denominated in foreign currency, exposing countries to maturity and currency risk. Capital markets in Latin America look particularly underdeveloped when considering the many efforts undertaken to improve the macroeconomic environment and to reform the institutions believed to foster capital market development. The disappointing performance has made conventional policy recommendations questionable, at best. 'Emerging Capital Markets and Globalization' analyzes where we stand and where we are heading on capital market development. First, it takes stock of the state and evolution of Latin American capital markets and related reforms over time and relative to other countries. Second, it analyzes the factors related to the development of capital markets, with particular interest on measuring the impact of reforms. And third, in light of this analysis, it discusses the prospects for capital market development in Latin America and emerging economies and the implications for the reform agenda.

Author: Robert Pardy
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category : Developing countries
Languages : en
Pages : 48

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Book Description
Developing a securities market is a long-term, multifaceted task that requires extensive institutional development, for which there are few shortcuts. And many of the changes required have both positive and negative ramifications in other parts of the financial system and the economy.

Author: Kian-Ping Lim
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category :
Languages : en
Pages : 35

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Book Description
Basu and Morey [Trade opening and the behavior of emerging stock market prices, Journal of Economic Integration 20(1), 2005, 68-92] develop a theoretical model that predicts financial opening without trade reform does not lead to higher weak-form efficiency. The present paper brings their proposition to the data of 23 emerging stock markets. In general, the key results from fixed effects panel regressions support their prediction that trade liberalization, rather than financial openness, matters the most for informational efficiency. However, our empirical findings are not consistent with their postulated mechanisms through which it occurs. Firstly, it is not the official removal of non-tariff barriers that leads to higher stock price informativeness. What really matters for stock market investors is the actual level of economy integration in the reforming country with the world. Secondly, it is not the actual gain in productive efficiency in the real sector that leads to higher weak-form market efficiency. Instead, stock prices incorporate information about the expected gain from trade openness, such as higher future profitability or greater future productivity growth.

Author: Matthew R. Morey
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category :
Languages : en
Pages :

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Book Description
The efficient markets hypothesis in finance suggests that as equity markets are liberalized and made more open to the public, equity prices should reflect the increased availability of information and be more efficiently priced. In this paper, we examine whether emerging market equity prices have become more efficient after financial liberalization. Using two sets of financial liberalization dates, a battery of econometric tests, and data from sixteen countries and three composite portfolios, we find that in spite of theory suggesting the opposite, liberalization does not seem to have improved the efficiency of emerging markets. In fact, most of our statistical tests indicate that the markets were already efficient before the actual liberalization.