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Decision Making Under Uncertainty

Decision Making Under Uncertainty PDF Author: Mykel J. Kochenderfer
Publisher: MIT Press
ISBN: 0262331713
Category : Computers
Languages : en
Pages : 350

Book Description
An introduction to decision making under uncertainty from a computational perspective, covering both theory and applications ranging from speech recognition to airborne collision avoidance. Many important problems involve decision making under uncertainty—that is, choosing actions based on often imperfect observations, with unknown outcomes. Designers of automated decision support systems must take into account the various sources of uncertainty while balancing the multiple objectives of the system. This book provides an introduction to the challenges of decision making under uncertainty from a computational perspective. It presents both the theory behind decision making models and algorithms and a collection of example applications that range from speech recognition to aircraft collision avoidance. Focusing on two methods for designing decision agents, planning and reinforcement learning, the book covers probabilistic models, introducing Bayesian networks as a graphical model that captures probabilistic relationships between variables; utility theory as a framework for understanding optimal decision making under uncertainty; Markov decision processes as a method for modeling sequential problems; model uncertainty; state uncertainty; and cooperative decision making involving multiple interacting agents. A series of applications shows how the theoretical concepts can be applied to systems for attribute-based person search, speech applications, collision avoidance, and unmanned aircraft persistent surveillance. Decision Making Under Uncertainty unifies research from different communities using consistent notation, and is accessible to students and researchers across engineering disciplines who have some prior exposure to probability theory and calculus. It can be used as a text for advanced undergraduate and graduate students in fields including computer science, aerospace and electrical engineering, and management science. It will also be a valuable professional reference for researchers in a variety of disciplines.

Decision Making Under Uncertainty

Decision Making Under Uncertainty PDF Author: Mykel J. Kochenderfer
Publisher: MIT Press
ISBN: 0262331713
Category : Computers
Languages : en
Pages : 350

Book Description
An introduction to decision making under uncertainty from a computational perspective, covering both theory and applications ranging from speech recognition to airborne collision avoidance. Many important problems involve decision making under uncertainty—that is, choosing actions based on often imperfect observations, with unknown outcomes. Designers of automated decision support systems must take into account the various sources of uncertainty while balancing the multiple objectives of the system. This book provides an introduction to the challenges of decision making under uncertainty from a computational perspective. It presents both the theory behind decision making models and algorithms and a collection of example applications that range from speech recognition to aircraft collision avoidance. Focusing on two methods for designing decision agents, planning and reinforcement learning, the book covers probabilistic models, introducing Bayesian networks as a graphical model that captures probabilistic relationships between variables; utility theory as a framework for understanding optimal decision making under uncertainty; Markov decision processes as a method for modeling sequential problems; model uncertainty; state uncertainty; and cooperative decision making involving multiple interacting agents. A series of applications shows how the theoretical concepts can be applied to systems for attribute-based person search, speech applications, collision avoidance, and unmanned aircraft persistent surveillance. Decision Making Under Uncertainty unifies research from different communities using consistent notation, and is accessible to students and researchers across engineering disciplines who have some prior exposure to probability theory and calculus. It can be used as a text for advanced undergraduate and graduate students in fields including computer science, aerospace and electrical engineering, and management science. It will also be a valuable professional reference for researchers in a variety of disciplines.

Iaeng Transactions On Engineering Sciences: Special Issue For The International Association Of Engineers Conferences 2014

Iaeng Transactions On Engineering Sciences: Special Issue For The International Association Of Engineers Conferences 2014 PDF Author: Sio-iong Ao
Publisher: World Scientific
ISBN: 9814667374
Category : Technology & Engineering
Languages : en
Pages : 523

Book Description
Two large international conferences on Advances in Engineering Sciences were held in Hong Kong, March 12-14, 2014, under the International MultiConference of Engineers and Computer Scientists (IMECS 2014), and in London, UK, 2-4 July, 2014, under the World Congress on Engineering 2014 (WCE 2014) respectively. This volume contains 37 revised and extended research articles written by prominent researchers participating in the conferences. Topics covered include engineering mathematics, computer science, electrical engineering, manufacturing engineering, industrial engineering, and industrial applications. The book offers tremendous state-of-the-art advances in engineering sciences and also serves as an excellent reference work for researchers and graduate students working with/on engineering sciences.

Optimal Financial Decision Making under Uncertainty

Optimal Financial Decision Making under Uncertainty PDF Author: Giorgio Consigli
Publisher: Springer
ISBN: 3319416138
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 310

Book Description
The scope of this volume is primarily to analyze from different methodological perspectives similar valuation and optimization problems arising in financial applications, aimed at facilitating a theoretical and computational integration between methods largely regarded as alternatives. Increasingly in recent years, financial management problems such as strategic asset allocation, asset-liability management, as well as asset pricing problems, have been presented in the literature adopting formulation and solution approaches rooted in stochastic programming, robust optimization, stochastic dynamic programming (including approximate SDP) methods, as well as policy rule optimization, heuristic approaches and others. The aim of the volume is to facilitate the comprehension of the modeling and methodological potentials of those methods, thus their common assumptions and peculiarities, relying on similar financial problems. The volume will address different valuation problems common in finance related to: asset pricing, optimal portfolio management, risk measurement, risk control and asset-liability management. The volume features chapters of theoretical and practical relevance clarifying recent advances in the associated applied field from different standpoints, relying on similar valuation problems and, as mentioned, facilitating a mutual and beneficial methodological and theoretical knowledge transfer. The distinctive aspects of the volume can be summarized as follows: Strong benchmarking philosophy, with contributors explicitly asked to underline current limits and desirable developments in their areas. Theoretical contributions, aimed at advancing the state-of-the-art in the given domain with a clear potential for applications The inclusion of an algorithmic-computational discussion of issues arising on similar valuation problems across different methods. Variety of applications: rarely is it possible within a single volume to consider and analyze different, and possibly competing, alternative optimization techniques applied to well-identified financial valuation problems. Clear definition of the current state-of-the-art in each methodological and applied area to facilitate future research directions.

NBS Special Publication

NBS Special Publication PDF Author:
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category : Weights and measures
Languages : en
Pages : 398

Book Description


Decision Making Under Uncertainty, with a Special Emphasis on Geosciences and Education

Decision Making Under Uncertainty, with a Special Emphasis on Geosciences and Education PDF Author: Laxman Bokati
Publisher: Springer Nature
ISBN: 3031260864
Category : Technology & Engineering
Languages : en
Pages : 203

Book Description
This book describes new techniques for making decisions in situations with uncertainty and new applications of decision-making techniques. The main emphasis is on situations when it is difficult to decrease uncertainty. For example, it is very difficult to accurately predict human economic behavior, so in economics, it is very important to take this uncertainty into account when making decisions. Other areas where it is difficult to decrease uncertainty are geosciences and teaching. The book analyzes the general problem of decision making and shows how its results can be applied to economics, geosciences, and teaching. Since all these applications involve computing, the book also shows how these results can be applied to computing, including deep learning and quantum computing. The book is recommended to researchers, practitioners, and students who want to learn more about decision making under uncertainty—and who want to work on remaining challenges.

Dynamics Under Uncertainty: Modeling Simulation and Complexity

Dynamics Under Uncertainty: Modeling Simulation and Complexity PDF Author: Dragan Pamučar
Publisher:
ISBN: 9783036515755
Category :
Languages : en
Pages : 210

Book Description
The dynamics of systems have proven to be very powerful tools in understanding the behavior of different natural phenomena throughout the last two centuries. However, the attributes of natural systems are observed to deviate from their classical states due to the effect of different types of uncertainties. Actually, randomness and impreciseness are the two major sources of uncertainties in natural systems. Randomness is modeled by different stochastic processes and impreciseness could be modeled by fuzzy sets, rough sets, Dempster-Shafer theory, etc.

Iaeng Transactions On Engineering Sciences: Special Issue For The International Association Of Engineers Conferences 2016 (Volume Ii)

Iaeng Transactions On Engineering Sciences: Special Issue For The International Association Of Engineers Conferences 2016 (Volume Ii) PDF Author: Sio-iong Ao
Publisher: World Scientific
ISBN: 9813230789
Category : Technology & Engineering
Languages : en
Pages : 601

Book Description
Two large international conferences on Advances in Engineering Sciences were held in London, UK, 29 June - 1 July, 2016, under the World Congress on Engineering (WCE 2016), and San Francisco, USA, 19-21 October, 2016, under the World Congress on Engineering and Computer Science (WCECS 2016) respectively. This volume contains 42 revised and extended research articles written by prominent researchers participating in the conferences. Topics covered include electrical engineering, manufacturing engineering, industrial engineering, computer science, engineering mathematics and industrial applications. The book offers state-of-the-art advances in engineering sciences and also serves as an excellent reference work for researchers and graduate students working with/on engineering sciences.

Neutrosophic Sets and Systems, Vol. 44, 2021. Special issue: Impact of neutrosophy in solving the Latin American's social problems

Neutrosophic Sets and Systems, Vol. 44, 2021. Special issue: Impact of neutrosophy in solving the Latin American's social problems PDF Author: Florentin Smarandache
Publisher: Infinite Study
ISBN:
Category : Mathematics
Languages : en
Pages : 475

Book Description
This special issue reflects the impact of neutrosophic theory in Latin America, especially after creating the Latin American Association of Neutrosophic Sciences. Among the areas of publication most addressed in the region are found in the interrelation of social sciences and neutrosophy, presenting outstanding results in these research areas. The main objective of this special issue is to divulge the impact publication related to the Neutrosophic theory and explore new areas of research and application in the region. The SI reflects the influence of the neutrosophic publications in Latin America by opening new research areas mainly related to Neutrosophic Statistics, Plithogeny, and NeutroAlgebra. Furthermore, it is worth mentioning the incorporation of authors from new countries in the region, such as Paraguay, Uruguay, and Panama, to have authors in total from 15 countries, 12 of them from the Latin American region.

Forecasting International Migration in Europe: A Bayesian View

Forecasting International Migration in Europe: A Bayesian View PDF Author: Jakub Bijak
Publisher: Springer Science & Business Media
ISBN: 9048188970
Category : Social Science
Languages : en
Pages : 318

Book Description
International migration is becoming an increasingly important element of contemporary demographic dynamics and yet, due to its high volatility, it remains the most unpredictable element of population change. In Europe, population forecasting is especially difficult because good-quality data on migration are lacking. There is a clear need for reliable methods of predicting migration since population forecasts are indispensable for rational decision making in many areas, including labour markets, social security or spatial planning and organisation. In addressing these issues, this book adopts a Bayesian statistical perspective, which allows for a formal incorporation of expert judgement, while describing uncertainty in a coherent and explicit manner. No prior knowledge of Bayesian statistics is assumed. The outcomes are discussed from the point of view of forecast users (decision makers), with the aim to show the relevance and usefulness of the presented methods in practical applications.

Decision-Making for Sustainable Transport and Mobility

Decision-Making for Sustainable Transport and Mobility PDF Author: Cathy Macharis
Publisher: Edward Elgar Publishing
ISBN: 178811180X
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 257

Book Description
Multi-Actor Multi-Criteria Analysis (MAMCA) developed by Professor Cathy Macharis enables decision-makers within the sectors of transport, mobility and logistics to account for conflicting stakeholder interests. This book draws on 15 years of research and application during which MAMCA has been deployed to support sustainable decisions within the transport and mobility sectors.