Skill Heterogeneity and Aggregation Bias Over the Business Cycle

Skill Heterogeneity and Aggregation Bias Over the Business Cycle PDF Author: Mr.Eswar Prasad
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
ISBN: 1451854439
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 30

Book Description
This paper extends the equilibrium business cycle framework to incorporate ex ante skill heterogeneity among workers. Consistent with the empirical evidence, skilled and unskilled workers in the model face the same degree of cyclical variation in real wages although unskilled workers are subject to substantially higher procyclical variation in employment. Systematic cyclical changes in the average skill level of employed workers are shown to induce bias in aggregate measures of cyclical variation in the labor input, productivity, and the real wage. The introduction of skill heterogeneity improves the model’s ability to match the empirical correlation between total hours and the real wage but the correlation between total hours and labor productivity remains higher than in the data.

Skill Heterogeneity and Aggregation Bias Over the Business Cycle

Skill Heterogeneity and Aggregation Bias Over the Business Cycle PDF Author: Eswar S. Prasad
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category :
Languages : en
Pages : 30

Book Description
This paper extends the equilibrium business cycle framework to incorporate ex ante skill heterogeneity among workers. Consistent with the empirical evidence, skilled and unskilled workers in the model face the same degree of cyclical variation in real wages although unskilled workers are subject to substantially higher procyclical variation in employment. Systematic cyclical changes in the average skill level of employed workers are shown to induce bias in aggregate measures of cyclical variation in the labor input, productivity, and the real wage. The introduction of skill heterogeneity improves the model`s ability to match the empirical correlation between total hours and the real wage but the correlation between total hours and labor productivity remains higher than in the data.

Skill Heterogeneity and Aggregation Bias Over the Business Cycle

Skill Heterogeneity and Aggregation Bias Over the Business Cycle PDF Author: Eswar Prasad
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category :
Languages : en
Pages : 0

Book Description


Skilled Heterogeneity and Aggregation Bias Over the Business Cycle

Skilled Heterogeneity and Aggregation Bias Over the Business Cycle PDF Author: Eswar Prasad
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category : Business cycles
Languages : en
Pages : 24

Book Description


Skill Heterogeneity and Aggretion Bias Over the Business Cycle

Skill Heterogeneity and Aggretion Bias Over the Business Cycle PDF Author: Eswar Prasad
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category :
Languages : en
Pages :

Book Description


Hysteresis and Business Cycles

Hysteresis and Business Cycles PDF Author: Ms.Valerie Cerra
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
ISBN: 1513536990
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 50

Book Description
Traditionally, economic growth and business cycles have been treated independently. However, the dependence of GDP levels on its history of shocks, what economists refer to as “hysteresis,” argues for unifying the analysis of growth and cycles. In this paper, we review the recent empirical and theoretical literature that motivate this paradigm shift. The renewed interest in hysteresis has been sparked by the persistence of the Global Financial Crisis and fears of a slow recovery from the Covid-19 crisis. The findings of the recent literature have far-reaching conceptual and policy implications. In recessions, monetary and fiscal policies need to be more active to avoid the permanent scars of a downturn. And in good times, running a high-pressure economy could have permanent positive effects.

Inference for Functional Data with Applications

Inference for Functional Data with Applications PDF Author: Lajos Horváth
Publisher: Springer Science & Business Media
ISBN: 1461436559
Category : Mathematics
Languages : en
Pages : 426

Book Description
This book presents recently developed statistical methods and theory required for the application of the tools of functional data analysis to problems arising in geosciences, finance, economics and biology. It is concerned with inference based on second order statistics, especially those related to the functional principal component analysis. While it covers inference for independent and identically distributed functional data, its distinguishing feature is an in depth coverage of dependent functional data structures, including functional time series and spatially indexed functions. Specific inferential problems studied include two sample inference, change point analysis, tests for dependence in data and model residuals and functional prediction. All procedures are described algorithmically, illustrated on simulated and real data sets, and supported by a complete asymptotic theory. The book can be read at two levels. Readers interested primarily in methodology will find detailed descriptions of the methods and examples of their application. Researchers interested also in mathematical foundations will find carefully developed theory. The organization of the chapters makes it easy for the reader to choose an appropriate focus. The book introduces the requisite, and frequently used, Hilbert space formalism in a systematic manner. This will be useful to graduate or advanced undergraduate students seeking a self-contained introduction to the subject. Advanced researchers will find novel asymptotic arguments.

Linear Processes in Function Spaces

Linear Processes in Function Spaces PDF Author: Denis Bosq
Publisher: Springer Science & Business Media
ISBN: 1461211549
Category : Mathematics
Languages : en
Pages : 295

Book Description
The main subject of this book is the estimation and forecasting of continuous time processes. It leads to a development of the theory of linear processes in function spaces. Mathematical tools are presented, as well as autoregressive processes in Hilbert and Banach spaces and general linear processes and statistical prediction. Implementation and numerical applications are also covered. The book assumes knowledge of classical probability theory and statistics.

Modern Business Cycle Theory

Modern Business Cycle Theory PDF Author: Robert J. Barro
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 358

Book Description
The new classical approach to macroeconomics, which assumes that people gather and use economic information efficiently, has been the most important theoretical advance since the Keynesian revolution of the 1930s. This book surveys the major contributions of the "second generation" of proponents of the new classical approach, emphasizing real business cycle theories and applying them to a variety of phenomena. The chapters include expositions of growth theory, real models of business fluctuations, the informational role of prices, consumption, fiscal policy, rules versus discretion in monetary policy, time consistency and policy, and monetary models. Although the chapters are aimed at advanced undergraduate- and graduate-level students, they will also be of interest to researchers who are looking for a compact and original exposition of the new classical macroeconomics.

Environmental and Energy Policy and the Economy

Environmental and Energy Policy and the Economy PDF Author: Matthew J. Kotchen
Publisher: University of Chicago Press
ISBN: 0226821749
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 275

Book Description
This volume presents six new papers on environmental and energy economics and policy in the United States. Rebecca Davis, J. Scott Holladay, and Charles Sims analyze recent trends in and forecasts of coal-fired power plant retirements with and without new climate policy. Severin Borenstein and James Bushnell examine the efficiency of pricing for electricity, natural gas, and gasoline. James Archsmith, Erich Muehlegger, and David Rapson provide a prospective analysis of future pathways for electric vehicle adoption. Kenneth Gillingham considers the consequences of such pathways for the design of fuel vehicle economy standards. Frank Wolak investigates the long-term resource adequacy in wholesale electricity markets with significant intermittent renewables. Finally, Barbara Annicchiarico, Stefano Carattini, Carolyn Fischer, and Garth Heutel review the state of research on the interactions between business cycles and environmental policy.