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Author: Eddie Riedl Publisher: ISBN: Category : Languages : en Pages :
Book Description
This study investigates the mispricing of market-wide investor sentiment by exploring the relation between sentiment and investor expectations of future earnings. Prior research argues that sentiment-driven mispricing should be most pronounced for hard-to-value firms, such as those reporting losses (Baker and Wurgler 2006). Using investor expectations of future earnings, we provide empirical results consistent with this behavioral finance theory. We predict and find that investors perceive losses to be more (less) persistent during periods of low (high) sentiment; that (in contrast) investors perceive profit persistence to be lower (higher) during periods of low (high) sentiment; and that the effects appear stronger for loss firms relative to profit firms. We also document predictable cross-sectional variation within losses, with the mispricing mitigated for losses associated with activities expected to generate future benefits: R&D, growth, large negative special items, and severe financial distress. Overall, our results document a new and important channel--investor expectations of future earnings--to explain sentiment-driven mispricing.
Author: Eddie Riedl Publisher: ISBN: Category : Languages : en Pages :
Book Description
This study investigates the mispricing of market-wide investor sentiment by exploring the relation between sentiment and investor expectations of future earnings. Prior research argues that sentiment-driven mispricing should be most pronounced for hard-to-value firms, such as those reporting losses (Baker and Wurgler 2006). Using investor expectations of future earnings, we provide empirical results consistent with this behavioral finance theory. We predict and find that investors perceive losses to be more (less) persistent during periods of low (high) sentiment; that (in contrast) investors perceive profit persistence to be lower (higher) during periods of low (high) sentiment; and that the effects appear stronger for loss firms relative to profit firms. We also document predictable cross-sectional variation within losses, with the mispricing mitigated for losses associated with activities expected to generate future benefits: R&D, growth, large negative special items, and severe financial distress. Overall, our results document a new and important channel--investor expectations of future earnings--to explain sentiment-driven mispricing.
Author: David Folsom Publisher: ISBN: Category : Languages : en Pages : 39
Book Description
In this study, we examine the effect of investor sentiment on the stock market reaction to earnings news (i.e., the earnings response coefficient or ERC) for loss firms. We find that the ERC for loss firms' earnings increases is less positive as sentiment increases, contrary to the findings in prior literature examining how sentiment affects the ERC for profit firms. Cross-sectional analysis reveals that the dampened ERC associated with earnings increases in loss firms during high sentiment periods is driven by various firm characteristics including low book values of equity, low R&D intensity, the inability to raise external capital, and a lack of nonrecurring write-offs. We also examine future returns and find that, on average, the effect of sentiment on loss firms' earnings changes reverses in the second year following an earnings announcement.
Author: Nittai Bergman Publisher: ISBN: Category : Languages : en Pages : 37
Book Description
This paper investigates how firms react strategically to investor sentiment via their disclosure policies in an attempt to influence the sentiment-induced biases in expectations. Proxying for sentiment using the Michigan Consumer Confidence Index, we show that during low-sentiment periods, managers increase forecasts to quot;walk upquot; current estimates of future earnings over long horizons. In contrast, during periods of high sentiment, managers reduce their long-horizon forecasting activity. Further, while there is an association between sentiment and the biases in analysts' estimates of future earnings, management disclosures vary with sentiment even after controlling for analyst pessimism, indicating that managers attempt to communicate with investors at large, and not just analysts. Our study provides evidence that firms' long-horizon disclosure choices reflect managers' desire to maintain optimistic earnings valuations.
Author: Kotaro Miwa Publisher: ISBN: Category : Languages : en Pages : 21
Book Description
I analyze whether or not market-wide investor sentiment induces stock mispricing, by affecting the boldness of predictions of firms' long-term earnings growth. I predict that bullish market-wide sentiment induces investors to aggressively separate firms with high growth futures from others, and that this excessive boldness results in a high level of mispricing. Consistent with my prediction, I observe an excessively large dispersion in consensus growth forecasts when proxies for investor sentiment are high at the beginning of the period. Furthermore, stocks with higher-predicted growth experience more negative forecast revisions and lower subsequent stock returns, especially following periods of high investor sentiment.
Author: Ahmed Riahi-Belkaoui Publisher: Bloomsbury Publishing USA ISBN: 0313388601 Category : Business & Economics Languages : en Pages : 200
Book Description
Riahi-Belkaoui examines the crucial issues involved in the determination and uses of earnings as a measure of financial performance. He points out that the nature and measurement of earnings are subject to various interpretations, that determination of earnings follows determination of net value added, and that earnings is subject to management manipulation (earnings can be smoothed, for example.) A succinct, penetrating, illuminating treatment of earnings in general as well as its particulars, the book will be especially useful to upper management and accounting professionals, and to their colleagues in the academic community. Riahi-Belkaoui argues that the interest in earnings and its related issues of measurement, determination, management, and usefulness stems from three factors: 1) the crucial importance of earnings as the shareholders' share of the corporation's wealth; 2) the reliance of investors and users on earnings and the transformation of earnings for resource allocation decision making; and 3), the direct association between the efficiency of the capital markets and timely provision of earnings data. Each chapter identifies the nature of the issues surrounding the concept of earnings and presents empirical evidence that can be used to make enlightened corporate decisions or to aid in the development of public policy.
Author: G. Constantinides Publisher: Elsevier ISBN: 9780444513632 Category : Business & Economics Languages : en Pages : 698
Book Description
Arbitrage, State Prices and Portfolio Theory / Philip h. Dybvig and Stephen a. Ross / - Intertemporal Asset Pricing Theory / Darrell Duffle / - Tests of Multifactor Pricing Models, Volatility Bounds and Portfolio Performance / Wayne E. Ferson / - Consumption-Based Asset Pricing / John y Campbell / - The Equity Premium in Retrospect / Rainish Mehra and Edward c. Prescott / - Anomalies and Market Efficiency / William Schwert / - Are Financial Assets Priced Locally or Globally? / G. Andrew Karolyi and Rene M. Stuli / - Microstructure and Asset Pricing / David Easley and Maureen O'hara / - A Survey of Behavioral Finance / Nicholas Barberis and Richard Thaler / - Derivatives / Robert E. Whaley / - Fixed-Income Pricing / Qiang Dai and Kenneth J. Singleton.
Author: McKinsey & Company Inc. Publisher: John Wiley & Sons ISBN: 1119610877 Category : Business & Economics Languages : en Pages : 896
Book Description
McKinsey & Company's #1 best-selling guide to corporate valuation—the fully updated seventh edition Valuation has been the foremost resource for measuring company value for nearly three decades. Now in its seventh edition, this acclaimed volume continues to help financial professionals around the world gain a deep understanding of valuation and help their companies create, manage, and maximize economic value for their shareholders. This latest edition has been carefully revised and updated throughout, and includes new insights on topics such as digital, ESG (environmental, social and governance), and long-term investing, as well as fresh case studies. Clear, accessible chapters cover the fundamental principles of value creation, analyzing and forecasting performance, capital structure and dividends, valuing high-growth companies, and much more. The Financial Times calls the book “one of the practitioners’ best guides to valuation.” This book: Provides complete, detailed guidance on every crucial aspect of corporate valuation Explains the strategies, techniques, and nuances of valuation every manager needs to know Covers both core and advanced valuation techniques and management strategies Features/Includes a companion website that covers key issues in valuation, including videos, discussions of trending topics, and real-world valuation examples from the capital markets For over 90 years, McKinsey & Company has helped corporations and organizations make substantial and lasting improvements in their performance. Through seven editions and 30 years, Valuation: Measuring and Managing the Value of Companies, has served as the definitive reference for finance professionals, including investment bankers, financial analysts, CFOs and corporate managers, venture capitalists, and students and instructors in all areas of finance.
Author: McKinsey & Company Inc. Publisher: John Wiley & Sons ISBN: 1119612462 Category : Business & Economics Languages : en Pages : 904
Book Description
The Valuation DCF Model, 7th Edition is a vital companion to the seventh edition of Valuation, containing an expert guide and the renowned discounted cash flow (DCF) valuation model developed by McKinsey's own finance practice. The DCF Model can be used to value real companies in real-world situations, and includes detailed instruction and expert guidance on how to use it. The advantage of the ready-made model is that allows users to focus on analyzing a company's performance instead of worrying about computation errors.
Author: Eddie Riedl
Author: Eddie Riedl
Author: David Folsom
Author: Nittai Bergman
Author: Kotaro Miwa
Author: Ahmed Riahi-Belkaoui
Author: G. Constantinides
Author: Hersh Shefrin
Author: McKinsey & Company Inc.
Author: Universities-National Bureau Staff
Author: McKinsey & Company Inc.