Secular Stagnation Theories

Secular Stagnation Theories PDF Author: Christina Anselmann
Publisher: Springer Nature
ISBN: 3030410870
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 336

Book Description
In light of weak economic performances and rising income disparities across the developed world during the past decades, this book provides a comprehensive overview of secular stagnation theories in the history of economic thought and examines the role of income distribution in various stagnation hypotheses. By offering a historical perspective, from the classical economists to the most recent stagnation debate of the early twenty-first century, the author shows that most stagnation theories were developed in periods of high and/or rising income disparities. Eventually, it was Josef Steindl, one of the least recognized stagnationists in the history of economic thought, who put the distribution of income at the heart of his stagnation theory. While Josef Steindl focused on the nexus between the functional distribution of income and economic growth, this book includes the personal distribution of income in a Kaleckian-Steindlian model of economic growth and stagnation. In the model presented, the nexus between economic growth and the distribution of income is a priori uncertain, depending on the type of economic shock and the specific economic circumstances. The author also discusses various empirically oriented policy implications aimed at fostering both economic growth and a more equal distribution of income. This book appeals to scholars in economics and the history of economic thought interested in economic growth, secular stagnation, and income distribution.

From the Classical School to Today

From the Classical School to Today PDF Author: Francis J. Lukacovic
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category : Business cycles
Languages : en
Pages :

Book Description
The purpose of this thesis is to study the theory of secular stagnation, which was made famous by the American Keynesian economist Alvin Hansen in his book Full Recovery or Stagnation. The theory of secular stagnation has reappeared in economic circles today due to recent economic conditions since the financial crisis of 2007-2008. The thesis will analyze the history of the stagnation theory dating back to classical economists in the 19th century. The concept of a stagnating economy has been talked about for centuries with many economists adding important thoughts. Furthermore, the thesis will address the current questions and examine whether the stagnation claims have merit in today economy. High unemployment and slow economic growth in developed countries including the United States may be explained by the theories of secular stagnation and the matured economy.

The Great Stagnation

The Great Stagnation PDF Author: Tyler Cowen
Publisher: Penguin
ISBN: 1101502258
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 98

Book Description
Tyler Cowen’s controversial New York Times bestseller—the book heard round the world that ignited a firestorm of debate and redefined the nature of America’s economic malaise. America has been through the biggest financial crisis since the great Depression, unemployment numbers are frightening, media wages have been flat since the 1970s, and it is common to expect that things will get worse before they get better. Certainly, the multidecade stagnation is not yet over. How will we get out of this mess? One political party tries to increase government spending even when we have no good plan for paying for ballooning programs like Medicare and Social Security. The other party seems to think tax cuts will raise revenue and has a record of creating bigger fiscal disasters that the first. Where does this madness come from? As Cowen argues, our economy has enjoyed low-hanging fruit since the seventeenth century: free land, immigrant labor, and powerful new technologies. But during the last forty years, the low-hanging fruit started disappearing, and we started pretending it was still there. We have failed to recognize that we are at a technological plateau. The fruit trees are barer than we want to believe. That's it. That is what has gone wrong and that is why our politics is crazy. In The Great Stagnation, Cowen reveals the underlying causes of our past prosperity and how we will generate it again. This is a passionate call for a new respect of scientific innovations that benefit not only the powerful elites, but humanity as a whole.

Excess Savings, Under-Consumption and Secular Stagnation

Excess Savings, Under-Consumption and Secular Stagnation PDF Author: Rahul Menon
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category :
Languages : en
Pages : 29

Book Description
Hansen's theory of secular stagnation has been resurrected in mainstream discourse today through economists such as Lawrence Summers and Paul Krugman. The modern theory of stagnation believes that excess savings - brought about due to slowing population growth and the savings habits of developing economies - cannot be absorbed due to the inability of the nominal interest rate to go below zero. This theory is flawed in calling itself “Keynesian” since its focus on the interest rate as bringing savings and investment into equilibrium runs counter to Keynesian thought. A search for the theoretical antecedents of modern stagnation theory leads one to the under-consumption theories of Hobson and Malthus, in its focus on excess savings and constraints on consumption. As such, the central flaws of under-consumption theories find themselves repeated in modern stagnation theories, namely, its neglect of investment and its mistaken conception of the capitalist production process.

Keynes Against Capitalism

Keynes Against Capitalism PDF Author: James Crotty
Publisher: Routledge
ISBN: 0429877064
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 398

Book Description
Keynes is one of the most important and influential economists who ever lived. It is almost universally believed that Keynes wrote his magnum opus, The General Theory of Employment, Interest and Money, to save capitalism from the socialist, communist, and fascist forces that were rising up during the Great Depression era. This book argues that this was not the case with respect to socialism. Tracing the evolution of Keynes’s views on policy from WWI until his death in 1946, Crotty argues that virtually all post-WWII "Keynesian" economists misinterpreted crucial parts of Keynes’s economic theory, misunderstood many of his policy views, and failed to realize that his overarching political objective was not to save British capitalism, but rather to replace it with Liberal Socialism. This book shows how Keynes’s Liberal Socialism began to take shape in his mind in the mid-1920s, evolved into a more concrete institutional form over the next decade or so, and was laid out in detail in his work on postwar economic planning at Britain’s Treasury during WWII. Finally, it explains how The General Theory provided the rigorous economic theoretical foundation needed to support his case against capitalism in support of Liberal Socialism. Offering an original and highly informative exposition of Keynes’s work, this book should be of great interest to teachers and students of economics. It should also appeal to a general audience interested in the role the most important economist of the 20th century played in developing the case against capitalism and in support of Liberal Socialism. Keynes Against Capitalism is especially relevant in the context of today’s global economic and political crises.

A Theory of Accumulation and Secular Stagnation

A Theory of Accumulation and Secular Stagnation PDF Author: Daniel Aronoff
Publisher: Springer
ISBN: 1137562218
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 144

Book Description
Thomas Malthus identified a crucial tension at the heart of a market economy: While an accumulation of wealth is necessary to provide the capital investment needed to generate growth, too much accumulation will cause planned saving to exceed profitable investment, which will result in secular stagnation, a condition of low growth and underemployment of resources. Keynes drew inspiration from Malthus in his attempt to comprehend the causes of the Great Depression of the 1930s. Now, Aronoff demonstrates how a related but slightly different aspect of Malthus' thought can illuminate one of the most pressing issues of our times. In A Theory of Accumulation and Secular Stagnation, Aronoff explores Malthus' ideas relating to secular stagnation and uses the insight gained to understand the origins of the subpar growth and tepid employment, periodically punctuated by booms, that has plagued the US economy since the turn of the millennium. He explains how the rise of mercantilism among Asian countries – principally China – and increased income concentration generated an upsurge in excess saving. This accumulation created a chronic deficiency in demand while also depressing interest rates, which generated a search for yield that fuelled periodic booms.

Underconsumption Theory and Secular Stagnation Thesis

Underconsumption Theory and Secular Stagnation Thesis PDF Author: American Economic Association
Publisher:
ISBN: 9781258967888
Category :
Languages : en
Pages : 58

Book Description
This is a new release of the original 1944 edition.

Credit, Money and Crises in Post-Keynesian Economics

Credit, Money and Crises in Post-Keynesian Economics PDF Author: Louis-Philippe Rochon
Publisher: Edward Elgar Publishing
ISBN: 1786439557
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 384

Book Description
In this volume, Louis-Philippe Rochon and Hassan Bougrine bring together key post-Keynesian voices in an effort to push the boundaries of our understanding of banks, central banking, monetary policy and endogenous money. Issues such as interest rates, income distribution, stagnation and crises – both theoretical and empirical – are woven together and analysed by the many contributors to shed new light on them. The result is an alternative analysis of contemporary monetary economies, and the policies that are so needed to address the problems of today.

Secular Cycles

Secular Cycles PDF Author: Peter Turchin
Publisher: Princeton University Press
ISBN: 0691136963
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 361

Book Description
"Secular Cycles elaborates and expands upon the demographic-structural theory first advanced by Jack Goldstone, which provides an explanation of long-term oscillations. This book tests that theory's specific and quantitative predictions by tracing the dynamics of population numbers, prices and real wages, elite numbers and incomes, state finances, and sociopolitical instability. Turchin and Nefedov study societies in England, France, and Russia during the medieval and early modern periods, and look back at the Roman Republic and Empire. Incorporating theoretical and quantitative history, the authors examine a specific model of historical change and, more generally, investigate the utility of the dynamical systems approach in historical applications."--BOOK JACKET.

Innovation and obsolescence in the theory of secular stagnation

Innovation and obsolescence in the theory of secular stagnation PDF Author: James Warren McKie
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category : Business cycles
Languages : en
Pages : 370

Book Description