Safe Haven Currencies PDF Download

Author: Angelo Ranaldo
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category : Carry trades (Foreign exchange)
Languages : en
Pages : 29

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Author: Maurizio Michael Habib
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category :
Languages : en
Pages :

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Author: Valentin Roux
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category :
Languages : en
Pages : 148

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Author: Mr.Dennis P. J. Botman
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
ISBN: 1475513429
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 21

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Book Description
During risk-off episodes, the yen is a safe haven currency and on average appreciates against the U.S. dollar. We investigate the proximate causes of yen risk-off appreciations. We find that neither capital inflows nor expectations of the future monetary policy stance can explain the yen’s safe haven behavior. In contrast, we find evidence that changes in market participants’ risk perceptions trigger derivatives trading, which in turn lead to changes in the spot exchange rate without capital flows. Specifically, we find that risk-off episodes coincide with forward hedging and reduced net short positions or a buildup of net long positions in yen. These empirical findings suggest that offshore and complex financial transactions should be part of spillover analyses and that the effectiveness of capital flow management measures or monetary policy coordination to address excessive exchange rate volatility might be limited in certain cases.

Author: Rasmus Fatum
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category :
Languages : en
Pages :

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We investigate intra-safe haven currency behavior during the recent global financial crisis. The currencies we consider are the USD, the JPY, the CHF, the EUR, the GBP, the SEK, and the CAD. We first assess which safe haven currency appreciates the most as market uncertainty increases, i.e. we assess which safe haven currency is the “safest”. We then use non-temporal threshold analysis to investigate whether intra-safe haven currency behavior changes, e.g. accelerates or decelerates, as market uncertainty increases. We find that the JPY is the “safest” of safe haven currencies and that only the JPY appreciates as market uncertainty increases regardless of the prevailing level of uncertainty. For all other currencies under study we find significant market uncertainty threshold effects. We extend our analysis to also consider intra-safe haven currency behavior before and after the global financial crisis.

Author: Jasmin Chuiying Ho
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category : Carry trades (Foreign exchange)
Languages : en
Pages : 54

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ISBN:
Category :
Languages : en
Pages :

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Author: Oliver Hossfeld
Publisher:
ISBN: 9783957290861
Category :
Languages : en
Pages : 24

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Author: Alfred Wong
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category :
Languages : en
Pages : 63

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Book Description
This study assesses the 'safehavenness' of a number of currencies with a view to providing a better understanding of how capital flows tend to react to sharp increases in global risk aversion during periods of financial crisis. It focuses on how currencies are perceived by dollar-based international investors or, more specifically, whether they are seen as safe-haven or risky currencies. To assess the 'safehavenness' of a currency, we use a measure of risk reversal, which is the price difference between a call and put option of a currency. This measures how disproportionately market participants are willing to pay to hedge against appreciation or depreciation of the currency. The relationship between the risk reversal of a currency and global risk aversion is estimated by means of both parametric and non-parametric regressions which allow us to capture the relationship in times of extreme adversity, i.e., tail risk. Our empirical results suggest that the Japanese yen and, to a lesser extent, the Hong Kong dollar are the only safe haven currencies under stressful conditions out of 34 currencies vis-à-vis the US dollar.

Author: Kalok Chan
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category :
Languages : en
Pages : 59

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Book Description
We examine hedging benefits of safe-haven currencies in terms of currency co-skewness with the global stock market (covariance between currency return and global equity volatility) derived from a Markov regime switching model. Of the major currencies, the US dollar, the Japanese yen and the Swiss franc have positive currency co-skewness, providing a hedge against global stock volatility. Moreover, lower excess returns and associated lower interest rates on these currencies are partially attributable to their positive co-skewness because currency co-skewnesses are significantly priced with the expected negative risk premia. The co-skewness pricing effect remains robust even after allowance for time-varying or downside beta, volatility and skewness.