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Author: Thomas J. Andrea Publisher: ISBN: Category : Manpower Languages : en Pages : 28
Book Description
Russia has been experiencing a natural population decline since 1992 and the current demographic trends indicate few signs that this sharp and steady population lose [sic] will abate any time soon. The impact on Russian society, from its economy to security, continues to be the subject of heated and intense discussion and debate. Russia is plagued with a decreasing fertility rate, an increasing mortality rate, a deteriorating health care system, and unbalanced migratory patterns of the populace, each contributing factors to varying degrees on the continued political, economic, and social turmoil the country is facing. This paper examines the various root causes of the demographic crisis analyzing their impact on the society and focuses in particular on the human resource impact and implications affecting the Armed Forces of the Russian Federation. The demographic crisis in Russia limits the policy options available to its political and military leaders and creates havoc for the international community as to how it could and should deal with Russia as a major power on the world stage. The post-September 11th environment requires greater cooperation and alliances among nations to combat a growing number of trans-national and asymmetrical threats such as terrorism, insurgencies, nuclear proliferation, and the trafficking of drugs and people. A strong and stable Russia is a critical component in the on-going efforts of the free world to re-shape the global security landscape to meet the new and emerging threats of the 21st century.
Author: Thomas J. Andrea Publisher: ISBN: Category : Manpower Languages : en Pages : 28
Book Description
Russia has been experiencing a natural population decline since 1992 and the current demographic trends indicate few signs that this sharp and steady population lose [sic] will abate any time soon. The impact on Russian society, from its economy to security, continues to be the subject of heated and intense discussion and debate. Russia is plagued with a decreasing fertility rate, an increasing mortality rate, a deteriorating health care system, and unbalanced migratory patterns of the populace, each contributing factors to varying degrees on the continued political, economic, and social turmoil the country is facing. This paper examines the various root causes of the demographic crisis analyzing their impact on the society and focuses in particular on the human resource impact and implications affecting the Armed Forces of the Russian Federation. The demographic crisis in Russia limits the policy options available to its political and military leaders and creates havoc for the international community as to how it could and should deal with Russia as a major power on the world stage. The post-September 11th environment requires greater cooperation and alliances among nations to combat a growing number of trans-national and asymmetrical threats such as terrorism, insurgencies, nuclear proliferation, and the trafficking of drugs and people. A strong and stable Russia is a critical component in the on-going efforts of the free world to re-shape the global security landscape to meet the new and emerging threats of the 21st century.
Author: S. Enders Wimbush Publisher: ISBN: 9780998666006 Category : Political Science Languages : en Pages : 200
Book Description
Russia is in precipitous decline, which is unlikely to be reversed. This conclusion, based on the research of Russian and American experts, constitutes the bottom line of The Jamestown Foundation's project, Russia in Decline. Moreover, the tempo of Russia's decay is accelerating across virtually every fragment of its politics, economy, society and military, which renders Russia a poor candidate to survive globalization, let alone claim the mantle of a Great Power. This small volume details why Russia's spiraling into decline and disarray should keep strategists awake at night. It should also alert foreign policy, security and military planners, for whom Russia's decline will necessarily become the leitmotif of informed planning.
Author: Thomas E. Wedding Publisher: ISBN: Category : AIDS (Disease) Languages : en Pages : 26
Book Description
The Russian Federation is experiencing a population decline unprecedented in modern human history. This decline is not due to war or a single epidemic, but a combination of demographic factors that are irreversible in the short term: birth rates well below replacement level, abnormally high death rates, and lowered life expectancies. Exacerbating the trend in the future will be the high rate of HIV/AIDS infection Russia is experiencing. This population decline will impact three factors that are inherent in great power status: societal stability, economic strength, and military effectiveness. Russia's ability to project power, even within its historical sphere of influence, may come under strain. Long term population decline may force Russia to focus internally, potentially impacting its ability to remain a significant influence in the global arena. The population decline has the potential to adversely impact Russia's military manpower levels, its ability to effectively police its borders and ensure future military force capabilities sufficient to maintain its status as a Great Power.
Author: Zachary Simms Publisher: ISBN: Category : Demography Languages : en Pages : 176
Book Description
I originally developed the idea for this thesis thanks to an off-hand remark made in one of my classes at Missouri State University's Department of Defense and Strategic Studies by Dr. Berman, who said that the Russian Federation would have a majority Muslim military by 2025 and become an Islamic state by 2050. Over the next two and a half years at the DSS program, I began researching Russia's demographic problem. The hypothesis of this work is that Russia will be a Muslim country in the near future and that the United States must significantly engage in defense build-ups to counter this threat. My hypothesis that Russia is falling demographically was supported. Not only are high death rates and low birth rates plaguing the country, but Muslim populations are producing between six and 10 children per adult woman for every one Slavic child. My conclusion is that Russia will be an Islamic state well before the end of this century unless Moscow decides on highly xenophobic and/or territorially aggressive actions -- both quite possible given Russia's historic animosity with its minority groups and external neighbors. Russia will become an Islamic state unless it goes on a hostile internal rampage or throws the international system into chaos by annexing willing (or unwilling) Slavic neighbors. All three options are plausible, given the poor demographic situations of nearby Slavic countries. Thus, the United States must prepare itself -- first and foremost by reinvesting in missile defenses -- for Russia, which holds the world's largest nuclear stockpile, to enter into a state of unpredictability in the near future, no matter how, or if, it deals with its demographic crisis.
Author: Julie DaVanzo Publisher: RAND Corporation ISBN: Category : Political Science Languages : en Pages : 228
Book Description
During the last several years, the Russian public and Russian policymakers have been becoming increasingly concerned about demographic trends in their country. The six papers in this volume reflect the current state of knowledge in two broad categories: (1) fertility and family planning; and (2) issues in the area of health and morality--health status, health care, and population growth.
Author: Olga Oliker Publisher: Rand Corporation ISBN: 0833033840 Category : Political Science Languages : en Pages : 153
Book Description
What challenges does today's Russia pose for the United States and the U.S. Air Force? If certain economic, military, social, and political negative trends in Russia continue, they may create a new set of dangers that might prove more real, and therefore more frightening, than the far-off specter of Russian attack ever was. In a number of scenarios, the U.S. Air Force is certain to be called upon for transportation and perhaps for various military missions in a very demanding environment.
Author: Graeme P. Herd Publisher: Routledge ISBN: 9780415329316 Category : Political Science Languages : en Pages : 288
Book Description
This book focuses on four former Soviet sub-regions - the Baltic Sea region, the Slavic republics, the Black Sea region and Central Asia - to explore the degree to which 'democratic security' has been established. It discusses the idea of 'democratic security', which includes de-politicisation and civilian oversight of the military, resolution of conflicts by international co-operation and involvement in international organisations. It examines how far states in these regions have developed co-operative foreign and security policies towards their immediate neighbours and key Western states and organisations, explores the interplay between internal and external aspects of democratic security building and uses case study examples to show how interstate bilateral and multilateral relations are developing.
Author: Zoltan Barany Publisher: Princeton University Press ISBN: 140082804X Category : History Languages : en Pages : 265
Book Description
A rare, behind-the-scenes look at Russian military politics Why have Russian generals acquired an important political position since the Soviet Union's collapse while at the same time the effectiveness of their forces has deteriorated? Why have there been no radical defense reforms in Russia since the end of the cold war, even though they were high on the agenda of the country's new president in 2000? Democratic Breakdown and the Decline of the Russian Military explains these puzzles as it paints a comprehensive portrait of Russian military politics. Zoltan Barany identifies three formative moments that gave rise to the Russian dilemma. The first was Gorbachev's decision to invite military participation in Soviet politics. The second was when Yeltsin acquiesced to a new political system that gave generals a legitimate political presence. The third was when Putin not only failed to press for needed military reforms but elevated numerous high-ranking officers to prominent positions in the federal administration. Included here are Barany's insightful analysis of crisis management following the sinking of the Kursk submarine, a systematic comparison of the Soviet/Russian armed forces in 1985 and the present, and compelling accounts of the army's political role, the elusive defense reform, and the relationship between politicians and generals. Barany offers a rare look at the world of contemporary military politics in an increasingly authoritarian state. Destined to become a classic in post-Soviet studies, this book reminds us of the importance of the separation of powers as a means to safeguard democracy.
Author: Thomas J. Andrea
Author: Thomas J. Andrea
Author: Graeme P. Herd
Author: S. Enders Wimbush
Author: Thomas E. Wedding
Author: Julie DaVanzo
Author: Zachary Simms
Author: Julie DaVanzo
Author: Olga Oliker
Author: Graeme P. Herd
Author: Zoltan Barany