Risk Premia in Carbon and Energy Futures Markets PDF Download

Author: Christel Merlin Kuate Kamga
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category :
Languages : en
Pages : 48

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Book Description
We propose an approach to estimate and explain the risk premium in carbon and energy futures markets. First, we develop a parsimonious and robust state space model that allows for a time-varying risk premium and apply it to CO2, oil, and gas futures prices. We find that the risk premia are significantly different from zero, strongly time-varying, and that they differ considerably across markets. The CO2 risk premium is mostly positive whereas the oil and natural gas risk premia tend to fluctuate from positive to negative. Next, we extend the existing literature by explaining the risk premia with several macro-financial variables. We show that interest rate, implied volatility, credit risk, and liquidity are important determinants. Moreover, we provide evidence that announcements regarding the EU emissions trading scheme lower the CO2 risk premium and thereby contribute to more transparency.

Author: Adrian Fernandez-Perez
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category :
Languages : en
Pages : 31

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Book Description
The article models the risk premium present in energy futures markets. This is done first by analyzing the performance of long-short portfolios based on single styles, and then by integrating these styles into an unique portfolio. Aligned with the hedging pressure hypothesis and the theory of storage, investors earn a premium of at least 7.5% a year for bearing hedgers' risk of price fluctuation and for holding energy futures with low inventories. Integrating the signals into an unique portfolio increases the premium further to 12.4% a year. Out of all the integration approaches considered, the easiest one is also the best in term of performance; it merely consists of giving equal weights to the styles considered within the integrated portfolio. The results are robust to the consideration of transaction costs, alterative specifications of the integrated portfolio, data mining and various sub-periods.

Author: G. S. Maddala
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category : Futures market
Languages : en
Pages : 52

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Author: Ziran Li
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category :
Languages : en
Pages : 10

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Book Description
Financialization of carbon market and global economy have made the fluctuation of carbon emission allowance prices vulnerable to international shocks and risk management become more and more complicated for both investors and fossil fuel consumption enterprises. Based on studying the ergodicity of the Granger causality test for different lag-lengths, this paper investigates the return and volatility transmission between carbon futures price and a data set of 19 financial, energy and commodity time series results show that there exists several causal relationships between carbon futures market and financial, energy and commodity futures markets. The connections between carbon futures market and financial markets are especially strong. Despite that spillovers in different phases are different, volatility linkage between carbon futures markets and these markets is closer and stronger than the return linkage in general. Moreover, extreme returns and risks also have significant leading impacts on regular returns and risks.

Author: Jisoo Yoo
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category : Futures market
Languages : en
Pages : 164

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Author: Leonardo Martinez-Diaz
Publisher: U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission
ISBN: 057874841X
Category : Science
Languages : en
Pages : 196

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Book Description
This publication serves as a roadmap for exploring and managing climate risk in the U.S. financial system. It is the first major climate publication by a U.S. financial regulator. The central message is that U.S. financial regulators must recognize that climate change poses serious emerging risks to the U.S. financial system, and they should move urgently and decisively to measure, understand, and address these risks. Achieving this goal calls for strengthening regulators’ capabilities, expertise, and data and tools to better monitor, analyze, and quantify climate risks. It calls for working closely with the private sector to ensure that financial institutions and market participants do the same. And it calls for policy and regulatory choices that are flexible, open-ended, and adaptable to new information about climate change and its risks, based on close and iterative dialogue with the private sector. At the same time, the financial community should not simply be reactive—it should provide solutions. Regulators should recognize that the financial system can itself be a catalyst for investments that accelerate economic resilience and the transition to a net-zero emissions economy. Financial innovations, in the form of new financial products, services, and technologies, can help the U.S. economy better manage climate risk and help channel more capital into technologies essential for the transition. https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.5247742

Author: Paweł Maryniak
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category :
Languages : en
Pages : 29

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Book Description
We investigate the impacts of the carbon tax (effective July 2012 to July 2014) on wholesale electricity prices in the Australian National Electricity Market (NEM). Analyzing spot and futures contracts in four major regional markets, we first compute ex-ante forward risk premiums in the pre-tax period, then use them to derive market-implied carbon premiums and pass-through rates in the carbon tax and post-tax periods. We find that carbon premiums and pass-through rates became increasingly higher, once the Clean Energy Bill had been introduced and subsequently passed in 2011. We also find strong evidence for a quick reaction of the extracted carbon premiums to changes in opinion polls for the Australian federal election in 2013 and the decision to repeal the tax. On the other hand, during periods where market participants could be relatively certain that the tax would be eff ective, we find expected carbon pass-through rates between 65% and 140%, which seem to be inversely related to emission intensities.

Author: Fereidoon Sioshansi
Publisher: Elsevier
ISBN: 0080462715
Category : Technology & Engineering
Languages : en
Pages : 687

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Book Description
Since the late 1980s, policy makers and regulators in a number of countries have liberalized, restructured or “deregulated their electric power sector, typically by introducing competition at the generation and retail level. These experiments have resulted in vastly different outcomes - some highly encouraging, others utterly disastrous. However, many countries continue along the same path for a variety of reasons. Electricity Market Reform examines the most important competitive electricity markets around the world and provides definitive answers as to why some markets have performed admirably, while others have utterly failed, often with dire financial and cost consequences. The lessons contained within are direct relevance to regulators, policy makers, the investment community, industry, academics and graduate students of electricity markets worldwide. Covers electicity market liberalization and deregulation on a worldwide scale Features expert contributions from key people within the electricity sector

Author: Julien Chevallier
Publisher: Springer Science & Business Media
ISBN: 9400724128
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 238

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Book Description
Through analysis of the European Union Emissions Trading Scheme (EU ETS) and the Clean Development Mechanism (CDM), this book demonstrates how to use a variety of econometric techniques to analyze the evolving and expanding carbon markets sphere, techniques that can be extrapolated to the worldwide marketplace. It features stylized facts about carbon markets from an economics perspective, as well as covering key aspects of pricing strategies, risk and portfolio management.

Author: Helyette Geman
Publisher: John Wiley & Sons
ISBN: 0470687738
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 479

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Book Description
The last few years have been a watershed for the commodities, cash and derivatives industry. New regulations and products have led to an explosion in the commodities markets, creating a new asset for investors that includes hedge funds as well as University endowments, and has resulted in a spectacular growth in spot and derivative trading. This book covers hard and soft commodities (energy, agriculture and metals) and analyses: Economic and geopolitical issues in commodities markets Commodity price and volume risk Stochastic modelling of commodity spot prices and forward curves Real options valuation and hedging of physical assets in the energy industry It is required reading for energy companies and utilities practitioners, commodity cash and derivatives traders in investment banks, the Agrifood business, Commodity Trading Advisors (CTAs) and Hedge Funds. In Commodities and Commodity Derivatives, Hélyette Geman shows her powerful command of the subject by combining a rigorous development of its mathematical modelling with a compact institutional presentation of the arcane characteristics of commodities that makes the complex analysis of commodities derivative securities accessible to both the academic and practitioner who wants a deep foundation and a breadth of different market applications. It is destined to be a "must have" on the subject.” —Robert Merton, Professor, Harvard Business School "A marvelously comprehensive book of interest to academics and practitioners alike, by one of the world's foremost experts in the field." —Oldrich Vasicek, founder, KMV