Research on Volatility and Contagion Effect in Stock Market PDF Download

Author: Dexiang Mei
Publisher: Scientific Research Publishing, Inc. USA
ISBN: 1649970536
Category : Art
Languages : en
Pages : 131

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Book Description
The volatility has been one of the cores of the financial theory research, in addition to the stock markets is an important part of modern financial markets. Research on volatility and contagion effect in stock market is an important part of the theory of financial markets research. This book in-cludes the following four parts.

Author: Khositkulporn Paramin
Publisher: LAP Lambert Academic Publishing
ISBN: 9783659800658
Category :
Languages : en
Pages : 212

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Book Description
The Factors Affecting Stock Market Volatility and Contagion: Thailand and South-East Asia Evidence provide an understanding of the dominant factors affecting stock market volatility in Thailand and measure the contagion effects of stock market volatility in Thailand on other South-East Asian stock markets. The study adopted quantitative methods in testing the research hypotheses. The multiple regression and GARCH models have been employed to examine the factors affecting Thailand stock market volatility. Also, the correlation coefficient and Granger causality tests were employed to hypothesis testing for contagion in South-East Asia. The study results indicate that the movements of major stock markets and political uncertainty have direct effects on stock market volatility, while the movements of oil prices have an indirect effect on firm performance. The contagion tests imply that the South-East Asian stock markets have a strong interrelationship in regards to market integration. However, the implementation of economic strategies and adaption of financial systems and regulation in each country can bring the stock market independent.

Author: Fidel Farias
Publisher: GRIN Verlag
ISBN: 3668256152
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 108

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Book Description
Diploma Thesis from the year 2010 in the subject Economics - Finance, grade: 1,3, University of Potsdam (Makroökonomische Theorie und Politik), language: English, abstract: Besonders in jüngster Zeit kommt der Analyse von Ölpreisvolatilität aus volkswirtschaftlicher Sicht eine bedeutende Rolle zu. Gegenwärtig werden bestimmte Rohstoffe wie Rohöl als relevante Anlageinstrumenten von Investoren benutzt, um sich gegen Risiken an den Finanzmärkten abzusichern. Diese Diplomarbeit beschäftigt sich mit der Berechnung von Ölpreisvolatilität in der Zeitperiode von Januar 2002 bis Juli 2009. Dabei werden Berechnungen von Ölpreisvolatilität während der Finanzkrise im Jahre 2008 untersucht. Diese Finanzkrise hat sich tiefgreifend auf die Entwicklung der Preise von Kapital- und Finanzgütern ausgewirkt. Dabei weisen die exzessiven gemessenen Werte von Preisvolatilität während der Finanzkrise auf eine strukturelle Veränderung der Preisbildung von Kapital- und Finanzgütern an den Kapital- und Finanzmärkten hin. Interessanterweise lassen sich bei der Analyse von Ölpreisvolatilität bedeutende Fakten feststellen, deren Existenz die gegenwärtig verwendeten statistischen Modelle, die sich mit der Messung von Preisvolatilität befassen, in künftigen Arbeiten komplementieren könnten. Im Rahmen dieser Diplomarbeit werden fünf wichtige statistische Modelle analysiert: ARCH, GARCH, BEKK-GARCH und Markov-switching Modell. Dazu wird aus den Ölpreisdaten der letzten 8 Jahre die tägliche Preisvolatilität berechnet, um mögliche Relationen zwischen der Volatilität am Ölmarkt und der Volatilität am Finanzmarkt zu untersuchen. Dabei werden diese implementierten Verfahren auf ihre Gültigkeit in Berechnung und Vorhersage von plötzlichen Preisveränderungen untersucht. Insbesondere wird darauf eingegangen unter welchen Bedingungen die Verfahrensergebnisse als zuverlässig gelten. Diese Diplomarbeit wurde im Rahmen eines Forschungspraktikums bei der Organisation erdölexportierender Länder (OPEC) in Wien, Österreich unter Betreuung des Lehrstuhls für Wirtschaftstheorie der Universität Potsdam, fertiggestellt

Author: Stephane Goutte
Publisher: World Scientific
ISBN: 981121025X
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 355

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Book Description
The link between commodities prices and the business cycle, including variables such as real GDP, industrial production, unemployment, inflation, and market uncertainty, has often been debated in the macroeconomic literature. To quantify the impact of commodities on the economy, one can distinguish different modeling approaches. First, commodities can be represented as the pinnacle of cross-sectional financial asset prices. Second, price fluctuations due to seasonal variations, dramatic market changes, political and regulatory decisions, or technological shocks may adversely impact producers who use commodities as input. This latter effect creates the so-called 'commodities risk'. Additionally, commodities price fluctuations may spread to other sectors in the economy, via contagion effects. Besides, stronger investor interest in commodities may create closer integration with conventional asset markets; as a result, the financialization process also enhances the correlation between commodity markets and financial markets.Our objective in this book, Risk Factors and Contagion in Commodity Markets and Stocks Markets, lies in answering the following research questions: What are the interactions between commodities and stock market sentiment? Do some of these markets move together overtime? Did the financialization in energy commodities occur after the 2008 Global Financial Crisis? These questions are essential to understand whether commodities are driven only by their fundamentals, or whether there is also a systemic component influenced by the volatility present within the stock markets.

Author: Stéphane Goutte
Publisher: Springer Nature
ISBN: 3030985423
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 137

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Book Description
This book analyses the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic in different areas of Finance emphasizing the contagion effect in capital markets. The volume presents evidence-based case studies from the global financial crisis that followed after the onset of the pandemic in March 2020.

Author: Sang Hoon Kang
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category :
Languages : en
Pages :

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Book Description
In this study, we investigated volatility transmission effects be-tween the US and six Asian markets -- China, Hong Kong, Japan, Korea, Singapore, and Taiwan -- using a bivariate GARCH-BEKK model. We also assessed the impact of shocks on stock market volatility using the volatility impulse response function (VIRF). Our empirical findings extend several recent reports. First, the empirical results of this study show that the US and Asian stock markets are interrelated by their volatility. Second, we found that the 2008 global financial crisis intensified volatility transmission across the US and Asian stock markets. Third, we found that one large shock, the bankruptcy of Lehman Brothers, resulted in an increase in expected conditional volatilities in the post-bankruptcy era. Moreover, the magnitude and the persistence of the volatility impulse responses differed across Asian stock markets due to differing investor reactions to shocks in each market.

Author: Mr.Joshua Aizenman
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
ISBN: 145193596X
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 34

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Book Description
This paper interprets contagion effects as an increase in the volatility of aggregate shocks impinging on the domestic economy. The implications of this approach are analyzed in a model with two types of credit market imperfections: domestic banks borrow at a premium on world capital markets, and domestic producers (whose demand for credit results from working capital needs) borrow at a premium from domestic banks. Higher volatility of producers’ productivity shocks increases both domestic and foreign financial spreads and the producers’ cost of capital, resulting in lower employment and higher incidence of default. Welfare effects are nonlinearly related to the degree of international financial integration.

Author: John Beirne
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category : Stock exchanges
Languages : en
Pages : 42

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Book Description
This paper examines volatility spillovers from mature to emerging stock markets and tests for changes in the transmission mechanism-contagion-during turbulences in mature markets. Tri-variate GARCH-BEKK models of returns in global (mature), regional, and local markets are estimated for 41 emerging market economies (EMEs), with a dummy capturing parameter shifts during turbulent episodes. LR tests suggest that mature markets influence conditional variances in many emerging markets. Moreover, spillover parameters change during turbulent episodes. Conditional variances in most EMEs rise during these episodes, but there is only limited evidence of shifts in conditional correlations between mature and emerging markets.

Author: Andreas Vester
Publisher: diplom.de
ISBN: 3832498737
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 89

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Book Description
Inhaltsangabe:Abstract: In recent years academics and policy makers have become more and more interested in the phenomenon of contagion, a concept involving the transmission of a financial crisis from one country to one or more other countries. During the 1990s world capital markets witnessed a number of financial crises. In 1992 the Exchange Rate Mechanism (ERM) crisis hit the European continent. Several countries in Latin America have been rocked during the 1994-95 Tequila crisis, and the Asian Flu spread through East Asian countries in 1997-98 with dramatic social implications. Later in 1998 the famous hedge fund Long Term Capital Management (LTCM) had to file for bankruptcy and the Russian debt failure shocked international capital markets and increased volatility on a global scale. The crisis spread to as far as Brazil in early 1999 and developed markets have become victims as well. The question asked by academics and policy makers is how countries should behave in order to avoid contagion. To answer this question it is necessary to understand the different channels of contagion in greater detail and how a crisis can be transmitted from one country to another. The objective of this paper is to highlight those channels and to present a number of models and theories of contagion, which have recently been developed by academics. In general, there are several strands of theories in the literature that try to explain the transmission of crises. During the mid and late 1990s fundamental-based contagion and spillovers became popular among researchers and policy makers. Furthermore, financial linkages have been known to contribute to contagion. In contrast, in recent years, portfolio flows of international investors moved into the focus of academics. The advocates of fundamental-based contagion and spillovers argue that trade linkages between countries are responsible for contagion. For instance, a devaluation of a country's currency may lead to a negative change in fundamentals of its trading partners. On the other hand, contagion due to financial linkages is mainly explained by the fact that countries share the same banks and therefore have common creditors. A crisis in one country then leads to a deteriorating balance sheet of those common creditors. This in turn may force banks to withdraw money out of other countries in order to avoid further losses, a fact that leads to contagious sellouts. The role of international portfolio flows, which is [...]

Author: Sabri Boubaker
Publisher: World Scientific
ISBN: 9813236663
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 828

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Book Description
The objective of this handbook is to provide the readers with insights about current dynamics and future potential transformations of global financial markets. We intend to focus on four main areas: Dynamics of Financial Markets; Financial Uncertainty and Volatility; Market Linkages and Spillover Effects; and Extreme Events and Financial Transformations and address the following critical issues, but not limited to: market integration and its implications; crisis risk assessment and contagion effects; financial uncertainty and volatility; role of emerging financial markets in the global economy; role of complex dynamics of economic and financial systems; market linkages, asset valuation and risk management; exchange rate volatility and firm-level exposure; financial effects of economic, political and social risks; link between financial development and economic growth; country risks; and sovereign debt markets.