Author: Brad M. Barber Publisher: ISBN: Category : Languages : en Pages : 37
Book Description
We show that abnormal returns to analysts' recommendations stem from both the ratings levels assigned as well as the changes in those ratings. Conditional on the ratings change, buy and strong buy recommendations have greater returns than do holds, sells, and strong sells. Conditional on the ratings level, upgrades earn the highest returns and downgrades the lowest. We also find that both ratings levels and changes predict future unexpected earnings and the associated market reaction. Our results imply that (a) investment returns may be enhanced by conditioning on both recommendation levels and changes, (b) the predictive power of analysts' recommendations reflects, at least partially, analysts' ability to generate valuable private information, and (c) some inconsistency exists between analysts' ratings and the formal ratings definitions issued by securities firms.
Author: Paul J. Bolster Publisher: ISBN: Category : Languages : en Pages : 31
Book Description
We study the nature and impact of ratings changes for individual stocks provided to investors by Morningstar, Inc. Morningstar's recommendations follow negative momentum for upgrades and positive momentum for downgrades. When ratings change, upgraded stocks experience positive abnormal returns, while downgraded stocks experience negative abnormal returns. Morningstar recommendations not only impact stock prices at announcement, but statistically significant abnormal returns occur over the following 30 trading days. Additional variables tracked by Morningstar, such as economic moat and uncertainty, explain variation in abnormal returns associated with ratings change announcements. Overall, the results suggest that Morningstar analysts provide valuable information to investors.
Author: Daniel Kreutzmann Publisher: Logos Verlag Berlin GmbH ISBN: 3832525297 Category : Business & Economics Languages : en Pages : 141
Book Description
This thesis focuses on the three primitive value drivers of each company valuation model that is based on fundamental analysis: the discount rate, the expected future payoffs during the explicit forecasting period, and the terminal value at the end of the explicit forecasting period. While the first factor is analyzed theoretically by incorporating the government into the classical valuation framework, this thesis studies the other two factors by investigating forecasts made by professional investors, i.e. financial analysts. In the first part we show that the government's and the shareholders discount rate usually differ and analyze how the government's and shareholders different objectives lead to conflicts in the context of capital budgeting. The empirical part of this thesis shows that macroeconomic information is frequently used by financial analysts when updating their earnings expecations and that target price forecastsmade by financial analysts can be used to predict abnormal returns.
Author: Publisher: ScholarlyEditions ISBN: 1464966478 Category : Business & Economics Languages : en Pages : 402
Book Description
Issues in Finance, Business, and Economics Research: 2011 Edition is a ScholarlyEditions™ eBook that delivers timely, authoritative, and comprehensive information about Finance, Business, and Economics Research. The editors have built Issues in Finance, Business, and Economics Research: 2011 Edition on the vast information databases of ScholarlyNews.™ You can expect the information about Finance, Business, and Economics Research in this eBook to be deeper than what you can access anywhere else, as well as consistently reliable, authoritative, informed, and relevant. The content of Issues in Finance, Business, and Economics Research: 2011 Edition has been produced by the world’s leading scientists, engineers, analysts, research institutions, and companies. All of the content is from peer-reviewed sources, and all of it is written, assembled, and edited by the editors at ScholarlyEditions™ and available exclusively from us. You now have a source you can cite with authority, confidence, and credibility. More information is available at http://www.ScholarlyEditions.com/.
Author: Mason Andrew Carpenter Publisher: Edward Elgar Publishing ISBN: 0857933205 Category : Business & Economics Languages : en Pages : 457
Book Description
This Handbook presents original research and theory on executives, top management teams, and boards of directors and illustrates the vital importance of this field of study. Top management teams are responsible for the strategic choices and major decisions in organizations. These organizations are a reflection of the members that make up their strategic management. The roles top management play and the impact they have are clearly visible in firms around the world, both large and small. The international group of authors that comprise this volume address questions central to the field of strategy and strategic leadership. They review the determinants of top management team composition, their social networks, and executive dismissal; the psychological and personality profiles of top executives; the methodologies relevant to the study of top teams; and the roles of top executives in cross business unit collaboration, competitive behavior, and strategic entrepreneurship. Each chapter presents path-breaking research and provides a roadmap for new research avenues and agendas. Professors, students and researchers in the area of strategy, management and strategic leadership will find this book an invaluable resource.
Author: Eurico J. Ferreira Publisher: ISBN: Category : Languages : en Pages :
Book Description
A rich literature examines the effects of analysts' recommendations on stock prices, and literature is developing on the effect of Regulation Fair Disclosure on the information associated with corporate earnings forecasts and announcements. This study examines the effect of Reg FD on the information content of analysts' rating changes. Based on recommendations associated with a random sample of Samp;P 500 Index stocks, the major finding is that investors have been responding to analysts' recommendations in the same way since Reg FD as they did before implementation of Reg FD. In addition, the results suggest that Reg FD does not require that practitioners change the way they view the analyst recommendation process.
Author: Bob Pisani Publisher: Harriman House Limited ISBN: 0857199226 Category : Business & Economics Languages : en Pages : 480
Book Description
Bob Pisani is Senior Markets Correspondent for CNBC and has spent the past 25 years on the floor of the New York Stock Exchange. He has been on the front line of finance for all the major events of the last quarter century, including the Asian Financial Crisis, the dot-com bubble and collapse, the terrorist attacks of 9/11, and the Great Financial Crisis. What was it like to witness these events firsthand, at the center of the financial world? In Shut Up and Keep Talking, Bob tells a series of captivating stories that reveal what he has learned about life and investing. These include encounters with a host of stars, world leaders and CEOs, including Fidel Castro, Robert Downey Jr., Walter Cronkite, Aretha Franklin, Barry Manilow, Jack Ma, Joey Ramone, and many more. Along the way, Bob describes how the investment world has changed, from brokers shouting on the floor of the NYSE to fully electronic trading, from investment sages and superstars picking stocks for exorbitant fees to the phenomenal rise of low-cost index funds that are saving investors millions, and from the belief that investors make rational decisions to the new age of behavioral finance, which recognizes the often-irrational nature of human decision making and seeks to understand its role in the stock market. Bob also considers what really moves stocks up and down and tackles the big questions: why is stock picking so hard, and why is the future so unknowable? Don’t miss this highly entertaining and revealing account of how financial markets have changed, and how they really work, from someone who was there.
Author: Susan D. Krische Publisher: ISBN: Category : Languages : en Pages : 40
Book Description
We investigate the relation between analyst stock recommendations and eight concurrently available variables that have predictive power for stock returns. We find that analysts generally pay little attention to the large sample predictive attributes of these variables. In seven out of eight cases, analysts' stock recommendations are directionally opposite to the variable's normative usage in returns prediction. In general, analysts exhibit a strong bias in favor of glamour stocks with growth characteristics.Despite this general bias, analyst recommendations have incremental predictive power for future returns. In fact, after controlling for the other predictive variables, the predictive power of the level of the analyst recommendation increases. These findings suggest that analyst stock recommendations contain information that is largely orthogonal to the information in the other predictive variables. We discuss the implications of these results for analysts, and for investors who rely on their recommendations.
Author: Martin Halek Publisher: ISBN: Category : Languages : en Pages : 42
Book Description
We examine the effects of rating changes on stock prices of publicly traded insurance companies. Using a contemporary event study, we test whether marginal changes in ratings provide new information used in the valuation of insurance companies by capital markets. We document an asymmetric reaction of stock prices to rating changes: rating downgrades cut share prices by approximately 4.22% but upgrades have no statistically significant effect. We observe a similar asymmetric reaction to rating changes subject to a common rating benchmark; however downgrades that result in ratings below the benchmark cause a reduction in share price of about twice the amount as in marginal downgrades. Slightly positive returns are observed in response to ratings threshold upgrades. Finally, insurers who had been under review by A.M. Best, the magnitude of the downgrade, and the level of institutional ownership of property-casualty insurers tend to significantly impact negative cumulative abnormal average returns.
Author: Yasuyuki Fuchita Publisher: Brookings Institution Press ISBN: 0815729820 Category : Business & Economics Languages : en Pages : 216
Book Description
A Brookings Institution Press and Nomura Institute of Capital Markets Research publication Developed country capital markets have devised a set of institutions and actors to help provide investors with timely and accurate information they need to make informed investment decisions. These actors have become known as "financial gatekeepers" and include auditors, financial analysts, and credit rating agencies. Corporate financial reporting scandals in the United States and elsewhere in recent years, however, have called into question the sufficiency of the legal framework governing these gatekeepers. Policymakers have since responded by imposing a series of new obligations, restrictions, and punishments—all with the purpose of strengthening investor confidence in these important actors. Financial Gatekeepers provides an in-depth look at these new frameworks, especially in the United States and Japan. How have they worked? Are further refinements appropriate? These are among the questions addressed in this timely and important volume. Contributors include Leslie Boni (University of New Mexico), Barry Bosworth (Brookings Institution), Tomoo Inoue (Seikei University), Zoe-Vonna Palmrose (University of Southern California), Frank Partnoy (University of San Diego School of Law), George Perry (Brookings Institution), Justin Pettit (UBS), Paul Stevens (Investment Company Institute), Peter Wallison (American Enterprise Institute).
Author: Brad M. Barber
Author: Paul J. Bolster
Author: Daniel Kreutzmann
Author: 
Author: Mason Andrew Carpenter
Author: Eurico J. Ferreira
Author: Bob Pisani
Author: Susan D. Krische
Author: Martin Halek
Author: Yasuyuki Fuchita