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Author: Sergio L. Schmukler Publisher: ISBN: Category : Capital costs Languages : en Pages : 88
Book Description
Hard pegs, such as currency boards, intend to reduce or even eliminate currency risk. This paper investigates the patterns and determinants of the currency risk premium in two currency boards -- Argentina and Hong Kong. Despite the presumed rigidity of currency boards, the currency premium is almost always positive and at times very large. Its term structure is usually upward sloping, but flattens out or even becomes inverted at times of turbulence. Currency premia differ across markets. The forward discount typically exceeds the currency premium derived from interbank rates, particularly during crisis times. The large magnitude of these cross-market differences can be the consequence of unexploited arbitrage opportunities, market segmentation, or other risks embedded in typical measures of currency risk. The premium and its term structure depend on domestic and global factors, related to devaluation expectations and risk perceptions.
Author: Sergio L. Schmukler Publisher: ISBN: Category : Capital costs Languages : en Pages : 88
Book Description
Hard pegs, such as currency boards, intend to reduce or even eliminate currency risk. This paper investigates the patterns and determinants of the currency risk premium in two currency boards -- Argentina and Hong Kong. Despite the presumed rigidity of currency boards, the currency premium is almost always positive and at times very large. Its term structure is usually upward sloping, but flattens out or even becomes inverted at times of turbulence. Currency premia differ across markets. The forward discount typically exceeds the currency premium derived from interbank rates, particularly during crisis times. The large magnitude of these cross-market differences can be the consequence of unexploited arbitrage opportunities, market segmentation, or other risks embedded in typical measures of currency risk. The premium and its term structure depend on domestic and global factors, related to devaluation expectations and risk perceptions.
Author: Sergio L. Schmukler Publisher: ISBN: Category : Languages : en Pages :
Book Description
The authors investigate the patterns and determinants of the currency risk premium in two currency boards-Argentina and Hong Kong. Despite the presumed rigidity of currency boards, currency premium is almost always positive and at times very large. Its term structure is usually upward sloping, but flattens out or even becomes inverted at times of turbulence. Currency premia differ across markets. The forward discount typically exceeds the currency premium derived from interbank rates, particularly during times of crisis. The large magnitude of these cross-market differences can be the consequence of unexploited arbitrage opportunities, market segmentation, or other risks embedded in typical measures of currency risk. The premium and its term structure depend on domestic and global factors related to devaluation expectations and risk perceptions.
Author: Bernard Dumas Publisher: ISBN: Category : Capital assets pricing model Languages : en Pages : 64
Book Description
We consider a world capital market in which the investor population is heterogenous. Investors of different countries differ in the prices of goods at which they consume the income from their investments. In such a setting, the international CAPM incorporates rewards for exchange rate risk, in addition to the traditional reward for market-covariance risk. The aim of the paper is to determine whether these additional risk premia empirically playa significant role in the pricing of securities. The test being conducted is a test of a conditional version of the CAPM. It builds on the recent empirical literature which points out that stock market returns may, to some extent, be predicted on the basis of a number of instrumental variables, such as interest rates and dividend yields. All previous tests of the international CAPM with exchange risk premia have been tests of the unconditional version and have been inconclusive.
Author: Gary Shoup Publisher: Global Professional Publishi ISBN: 9781888998221 Category : Business & Economics Languages : en Pages : 284
Book Description
With the advent of the World Trade Organization and NAFTA, foreign exchange now impacts the corporate world as never before. Hedging currency risk - usually through the interbank network - is now a routine treasury function. However, midsized companies (up to $100 million in annual sales) are often shut out of the interbank market because of cost and minimum size requirements. Currency Risk Management: A Handbook for Financial Managers, Brokers, and Their Consultants shows how to capture this business - from the basic concepts of foreign exchange to prospecting the corporate client. The author writes in an easy-to-read style and shows the finer points of foreign exchange and various exchange regimes recognized by the IMF. The reader will learn why exchange rates are a matter of government restrictions and controls as well as market price discovery.
Author: John J. Stephens Publisher: John Wiley & Sons ISBN: 0470848081 Category : Business & Economics Languages : en Pages : 218
Book Description
Control the number one cause of financial loss currency fluctuation With cross-border commerce now the global norm, companies must now face the greatest threat to their financial stability: financial losses due to currency fluctuations. Written by an international business and banking expert, Managing Currency Risk is an authoritative, accessible look at the variety of methods used to minimize currency risk. Written for the financial market novice, the book explains the nature and uses of a variety of financial instruments without complicated mathematical equations. Discussed in detail are all forms of currency derivatives, such as forward foreign exchange, OTC currency options, currency swaps, currency futures, and options which are illustrated with international examples and case studies. A practical guide on every aspect of currency risk, Managing Currency Risk also serves as a guide to navigating your firm through turbulent economic times.
Author: Mikhail Chernov Publisher: ISBN: Category : Languages : en Pages :
Book Description
The currency market features a relatively small cross-section and conditional expected returns can be characterized by only a few signals - interest differentials, trend, and mean-reversion. We exploit these properties to construct a conditional projection of the stochastic discount factor onto excess returns of individual currencies. Our approach is implementable in real time and prices all currencies and prominent strategies conditionally as well as unconditionally. We document that the fraction of unpriced risk in these assets is at least 85%. Extant explanations of carry strategies based on intermediary capital or global volatility are related to these unpriced components, while consumption growth is related to the priced component of returns.
Author: Mr.Reinout De Bock Publisher: International Monetary Fund ISBN: 1616353163 Category : Business & Economics Languages : en Pages : 58
Book Description
Episodes of increased global risk aversion, also known as risk-off episodes, have become more frequent and severe since 2007. During these episodes, currency markets exhibit recurrent patterns, as the Japanese yen, Swiss franc, and U.S. dollar appreciate against other G-10 and emerging market currencies. The pattern of these moves can be explained by a combination of fundamental factors, such as the nominal interest rate, the international investment position and measures of exchange rate misalignment, and market-liquidity factors, such as bid-offer spreads and restrictions on international capital flows. We also find that currency performance in a risk-off episode has become more related to a currency?s yield and relationship to broader risks in recent years.
Author: Shaun K. Roache Publisher: International Monetary Fund ISBN: Category : Business & Economics Languages : en Pages : 32
Book Description
Large fundamental imbalances persist in the global economy, with potential exchange rate implications. This paper assesses whether exchange rate risk is priced across G-7 stock markets. Given the multitude of hedging instruments available, theory suggests that stock market investors should not be compensated for currency risk. However, data covering 33 industry portfolios across seven major stock markets suggest that not only is exchange rate risk priced in many markets, but that it is time-varying and sensitive to currency-specific shocks. With stock market investors typically exhibiting "home bias," this suggests that investors are using equity asset proxies to hedge the exchange rate risks to consumption.
Author: Sergio L. Schmukler
Author: Sergio L. Schmukler
Author: Sergio L. Schmukler
Author: Bernard Dumas
Author: Gary Shoup
Author: John J. Stephens
Author: Mikhail Chernov
Author: Enzio Von Pfeil
Author: Walter Dolde
Author: Mr.Reinout De Bock
Author: Shaun K. Roache