Author: Michael W. Brandt Publisher: ISBN: Category : Languages : en Pages : 0
Book Description
We investigate the mechanism by which price discovery takes place within the futures market for U.S Treasury securities. Specifically, given the strong theoretical linkage between the U.S. Treasury cash and futures markets, we compare how orderflow contributes to price discovery as well as analyze how and when information flows from one market to the other. We also consider how a number of environmental variables (trader type, financing rates and liquidity) impact the information flows between these two markets. Our findings provide new evidence on the extent to which price discovery happens away from a primary market.
Author: Bruce Mizrach Publisher: ISBN: Category : Languages : en Pages : 32
Book Description
This paper is the first to characterize the tatonnement of high-frequency returns from U.S. Treasury spot and futures markets. In particular, we highlight the previously neglected role of the futures markets in price discovery. The lower-bound estimate of bivariate information shares for 30-year Treasury futures typically exceeds 50% from 1998 on. Standard liquidity measures, including the proportion of trades and relative bid-ask spreads, explain daily information shares. These conclusions still hold when one controls for days of macroeconomic announcements. Finally, a 5-dimensional cointegrated system explains a high percentage of Treasury returns. In that system, the 30-year futures contract and the 5-year spot market dominate price discovery.
Author: Yan He Publisher: ISBN: Category : Languages : en Pages : 48
Book Description
We evaluate the efficacy of price discovery in the round-the-clock U.S. Treasury market. Using a comprehensive intraday database, we explore informational role of trades over the 24-hour day. We find that information asymmetry is generally highest in the preopen period and lowest in the postclose period. Information asymmetry in the overnight period is comparable to that in the regular trading period. However, on days with macroeconomic announcements, information asymmetry peaks shortly after the news release at 8:30. Moreover, information asymmetry is higher in Monday morning and higher immediately before than after the open of U.S. Treasury futures trading. Although volume is low after hours and trading cost is relatively high, overnight trading generates significant price discovery. Results suggest that overnight trading activity is an important part of the Treasury price discovery process.
Author: Lucy F. Ackert Publisher: South Western Educational Publishing ISBN: 9780538752862 Category : Investments Languages : en Pages : 0
Book Description
The book begins by building upon the established, conventional principles of finance that you've have already learned in your principles course. The authors then move into psychological principles of behavioral finance, including heuristics and biases, overconfidence, emotion and social forces. You immediately see how human behavior influences the decisions of individual investors and professional finance practitioners, managers, and markets. You also gain a strong understanding of how social forces impact individuals' choices. The book clearly explains what behavioral finance indicates about observed market outcomes as well as how psychological biases potentially impact the behavior of managers. The book's solid academic approach provides opportunities for you to utilize theory and complete applications in every chapter as you learn the implications of behavioral finance on retirement, pensions, education, debiasing, and client management. The book spends a significant amount of time examining how today's practitioners can use behavioral finance to further their professional success.
Author: Antoine Bouveret Publisher: International Monetary Fund ISBN: 1513576224 Category : Business & Economics Languages : en Pages : 44
Book Description
Changes in the structure of the U.S. Treasury market over recent years may have increased risks to financial stability. Traditional market makers have changed their liquidity provision by increasingly switching from risk warehousing to risk distribution, and a new breed of market maker has emerged with the rise of electronic trading. The “flash rally” of October 15, 2014 provides a clear example of how those risks can materialize. Based on an in-depth analysis of the event—complementing the authorities’ work—we suggest i) providing incentives for liquidity provision, ii) improving market safeguards, and iii) enhancing the regulation of the Treasury market.
Author: Cyn-Young Park Publisher: ISBN: Category : Languages : en Pages : 47
Book Description
This paper examines the impact of foreign participation in Korean Treasury Bond (KTB) futures and its role in price discovery for KTBs, using daily transactions data from the over-the-counter market for KTBs and from the Korea Exchange for the futures. Our analysis suggests that foreign trading in the KTB futures market leads the price discovery process for the underlying bonds. Empirical results show that foreigners' daily net long positions in the futures market exert significant influence in KTB and KTB futures prices. We also find that it is the unexpected component of foreign investors' net long futures positions that explains a significant share of the pricing effects, suggesting that how foreign trading responds to news carries additional information content.
Author: Michael W. Brandt
Author: Bruce Mizrach
Author: Yan He
Author: John Merrick
Author: James A. Overdahl
Author: Lucy F. Ackert
Author: 
Author: Jerome Leon Stein
Author: Antoine Bouveret
Author: Cyn-Young Park