Author: Ian G. Duncan
Publisher: ACTEX Publications
ISBN: 1566987695
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 350
Book Description
This text is listed on the Course of Reading for SOA Fellowship study in the Group & Health specialty track. Healthcare Risk Adjustment and Predictive Modeling provides a comprehensive guide to healthcare actuaries and other professionals interested in healthcare data analytics, risk adjustment and predictive modeling. The book first introduces the topic with discussions of health risk, available data, clinical identification algorithms for diagnostic grouping and the use of grouper models. The second part of the book presents the concept of data mining and some of the common approaches used by modelers. The third and final section covers a number of predictive modeling and risk adjustment case-studies, with examples from Medicaid, Medicare, disability, depression diagnosis and provider reimbursement, as well as the use of predictive modeling and risk adjustment outside the U.S. For readers who wish to experiment with their own models, the book also provides access to a test dataset.
Healthcare Risk Adjustment and Predictive Modeling
Author: Ian G. Duncan
Publisher: ACTEX Publications
ISBN: 1566987695
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 350
Book Description
This text is listed on the Course of Reading for SOA Fellowship study in the Group & Health specialty track. Healthcare Risk Adjustment and Predictive Modeling provides a comprehensive guide to healthcare actuaries and other professionals interested in healthcare data analytics, risk adjustment and predictive modeling. The book first introduces the topic with discussions of health risk, available data, clinical identification algorithms for diagnostic grouping and the use of grouper models. The second part of the book presents the concept of data mining and some of the common approaches used by modelers. The third and final section covers a number of predictive modeling and risk adjustment case-studies, with examples from Medicaid, Medicare, disability, depression diagnosis and provider reimbursement, as well as the use of predictive modeling and risk adjustment outside the U.S. For readers who wish to experiment with their own models, the book also provides access to a test dataset.
Publisher: ACTEX Publications
ISBN: 1566987695
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 350
Book Description
This text is listed on the Course of Reading for SOA Fellowship study in the Group & Health specialty track. Healthcare Risk Adjustment and Predictive Modeling provides a comprehensive guide to healthcare actuaries and other professionals interested in healthcare data analytics, risk adjustment and predictive modeling. The book first introduces the topic with discussions of health risk, available data, clinical identification algorithms for diagnostic grouping and the use of grouper models. The second part of the book presents the concept of data mining and some of the common approaches used by modelers. The third and final section covers a number of predictive modeling and risk adjustment case-studies, with examples from Medicaid, Medicare, disability, depression diagnosis and provider reimbursement, as well as the use of predictive modeling and risk adjustment outside the U.S. For readers who wish to experiment with their own models, the book also provides access to a test dataset.
Medical Risk Prediction Models
Author: Thomas A. Gerds
Publisher: CRC Press
ISBN: 0429764235
Category : Mathematics
Languages : en
Pages : 249
Book Description
Medical Risk Prediction Models: With Ties to Machine Learning is a hands-on book for clinicians, epidemiologists, and professional statisticians who need to make or evaluate a statistical prediction model based on data. The subject of the book is the patient’s individualized probability of a medical event within a given time horizon. Gerds and Kattan describe the mathematical details of making and evaluating a statistical prediction model in a highly pedagogical manner while avoiding mathematical notation. Read this book when you are in doubt about whether a Cox regression model predicts better than a random survival forest. Features: All you need to know to correctly make an online risk calculator from scratch Discrimination, calibration, and predictive performance with censored data and competing risks R-code and illustrative examples Interpretation of prediction performance via benchmarks Comparison and combination of rival modeling strategies via cross-validation Thomas A. Gerds is a professor at the Biostatistics Unit at the University of Copenhagen and is affiliated with the Danish Heart Foundation. He is the author of several R-packages on CRAN and has taught statistics courses to non-statisticians for many years. Michael W. Kattan is a highly cited author and Chair of the Department of Quantitative Health Sciences at Cleveland Clinic. He is a Fellow of the American Statistical Association and has received two awards from the Society for Medical Decision Making: the Eugene L. Saenger Award for Distinguished Service, and the John M. Eisenberg Award for Practical Application of Medical Decision-Making Research.
Publisher: CRC Press
ISBN: 0429764235
Category : Mathematics
Languages : en
Pages : 249
Book Description
Medical Risk Prediction Models: With Ties to Machine Learning is a hands-on book for clinicians, epidemiologists, and professional statisticians who need to make or evaluate a statistical prediction model based on data. The subject of the book is the patient’s individualized probability of a medical event within a given time horizon. Gerds and Kattan describe the mathematical details of making and evaluating a statistical prediction model in a highly pedagogical manner while avoiding mathematical notation. Read this book when you are in doubt about whether a Cox regression model predicts better than a random survival forest. Features: All you need to know to correctly make an online risk calculator from scratch Discrimination, calibration, and predictive performance with censored data and competing risks R-code and illustrative examples Interpretation of prediction performance via benchmarks Comparison and combination of rival modeling strategies via cross-validation Thomas A. Gerds is a professor at the Biostatistics Unit at the University of Copenhagen and is affiliated with the Danish Heart Foundation. He is the author of several R-packages on CRAN and has taught statistics courses to non-statisticians for many years. Michael W. Kattan is a highly cited author and Chair of the Department of Quantitative Health Sciences at Cleveland Clinic. He is a Fellow of the American Statistical Association and has received two awards from the Society for Medical Decision Making: the Eugene L. Saenger Award for Distinguished Service, and the John M. Eisenberg Award for Practical Application of Medical Decision-Making Research.
Predictive Modeling and Risk Assessment
Author: Rui Costa
Publisher: Springer Science & Business Media
ISBN: 0387687769
Category : Technology & Engineering
Languages : en
Pages : 256
Book Description
The single most important task of food scientists and the food industry as a whole is to ensure the safety of foods supplied to consumers. Recent trends in global food production, distribution and preparation call for increased emphasis on hygienic practices at all levels and for increased research in food safety in order to ensure a safer global food supply. The ISEKI-Food book series is a collection of books where various aspects of food safety and environmental issues are introduced and reviewed by scientists specializing in the field. In all of the books a special emp- sis was placed on including case studies applicable to each specific topic. The books are intended for graduate students and senior level undergraduate students as well as professionals and researchers interested in food safety and environmental issues applicable to food safety. The idea and planning of the books originates from two working groups in the European thematic network “ISEKI-Food” an acronym for “Integrating Safety and Environmental Knowledge In to Food Studies”. Participants in the ISEKI-Food network come from 29 countries in Europe and most of the institutes and univer- ties involved with Food Science education at the university level are represented. Some international companies and non teaching institutions have also participated in the program. The ISEKI-Food network is coordinated by Professor Cristina Silva at The Catholic University of Portugal, College of Biotechnology (Escola) in Porto. The program has a web site at: http://www. esb. ucp. pt/iseki/.
Publisher: Springer Science & Business Media
ISBN: 0387687769
Category : Technology & Engineering
Languages : en
Pages : 256
Book Description
The single most important task of food scientists and the food industry as a whole is to ensure the safety of foods supplied to consumers. Recent trends in global food production, distribution and preparation call for increased emphasis on hygienic practices at all levels and for increased research in food safety in order to ensure a safer global food supply. The ISEKI-Food book series is a collection of books where various aspects of food safety and environmental issues are introduced and reviewed by scientists specializing in the field. In all of the books a special emp- sis was placed on including case studies applicable to each specific topic. The books are intended for graduate students and senior level undergraduate students as well as professionals and researchers interested in food safety and environmental issues applicable to food safety. The idea and planning of the books originates from two working groups in the European thematic network “ISEKI-Food” an acronym for “Integrating Safety and Environmental Knowledge In to Food Studies”. Participants in the ISEKI-Food network come from 29 countries in Europe and most of the institutes and univer- ties involved with Food Science education at the university level are represented. Some international companies and non teaching institutions have also participated in the program. The ISEKI-Food network is coordinated by Professor Cristina Silva at The Catholic University of Portugal, College of Biotechnology (Escola) in Porto. The program has a web site at: http://www. esb. ucp. pt/iseki/.
Fundamentals of Clinical Data Science
Author: Pieter Kubben
Publisher: Springer
ISBN: 3319997130
Category : Medical
Languages : en
Pages : 219
Book Description
This open access book comprehensively covers the fundamentals of clinical data science, focusing on data collection, modelling and clinical applications. Topics covered in the first section on data collection include: data sources, data at scale (big data), data stewardship (FAIR data) and related privacy concerns. Aspects of predictive modelling using techniques such as classification, regression or clustering, and prediction model validation will be covered in the second section. The third section covers aspects of (mobile) clinical decision support systems, operational excellence and value-based healthcare. Fundamentals of Clinical Data Science is an essential resource for healthcare professionals and IT consultants intending to develop and refine their skills in personalized medicine, using solutions based on large datasets from electronic health records or telemonitoring programmes. The book’s promise is “no math, no code”and will explain the topics in a style that is optimized for a healthcare audience.
Publisher: Springer
ISBN: 3319997130
Category : Medical
Languages : en
Pages : 219
Book Description
This open access book comprehensively covers the fundamentals of clinical data science, focusing on data collection, modelling and clinical applications. Topics covered in the first section on data collection include: data sources, data at scale (big data), data stewardship (FAIR data) and related privacy concerns. Aspects of predictive modelling using techniques such as classification, regression or clustering, and prediction model validation will be covered in the second section. The third section covers aspects of (mobile) clinical decision support systems, operational excellence and value-based healthcare. Fundamentals of Clinical Data Science is an essential resource for healthcare professionals and IT consultants intending to develop and refine their skills in personalized medicine, using solutions based on large datasets from electronic health records or telemonitoring programmes. The book’s promise is “no math, no code”and will explain the topics in a style that is optimized for a healthcare audience.
Modern Data Science with R
Author: Benjamin S. Baumer
Publisher: CRC Press
ISBN: 0429575394
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 830
Book Description
From a review of the first edition: "Modern Data Science with R... is rich with examples and is guided by a strong narrative voice. What’s more, it presents an organizing framework that makes a convincing argument that data science is a course distinct from applied statistics" (The American Statistician). Modern Data Science with R is a comprehensive data science textbook for undergraduates that incorporates statistical and computational thinking to solve real-world data problems. Rather than focus exclusively on case studies or programming syntax, this book illustrates how statistical programming in the state-of-the-art R/RStudio computing environment can be leveraged to extract meaningful information from a variety of data in the service of addressing compelling questions. The second edition is updated to reflect the growing influence of the tidyverse set of packages. All code in the book has been revised and styled to be more readable and easier to understand. New functionality from packages like sf, purrr, tidymodels, and tidytext is now integrated into the text. All chapters have been revised, and several have been split, re-organized, or re-imagined to meet the shifting landscape of best practice.
Publisher: CRC Press
ISBN: 0429575394
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 830
Book Description
From a review of the first edition: "Modern Data Science with R... is rich with examples and is guided by a strong narrative voice. What’s more, it presents an organizing framework that makes a convincing argument that data science is a course distinct from applied statistics" (The American Statistician). Modern Data Science with R is a comprehensive data science textbook for undergraduates that incorporates statistical and computational thinking to solve real-world data problems. Rather than focus exclusively on case studies or programming syntax, this book illustrates how statistical programming in the state-of-the-art R/RStudio computing environment can be leveraged to extract meaningful information from a variety of data in the service of addressing compelling questions. The second edition is updated to reflect the growing influence of the tidyverse set of packages. All code in the book has been revised and styled to be more readable and easier to understand. New functionality from packages like sf, purrr, tidymodels, and tidytext is now integrated into the text. All chapters have been revised, and several have been split, re-organized, or re-imagined to meet the shifting landscape of best practice.
Personalized Predictive Modeling in Type 1 Diabetes
Author: Eleni I. Georga
Publisher: Academic Press
ISBN: 0128051469
Category : Computers
Languages : en
Pages : 253
Book Description
Personalized Predictive Modeling in Diabetes features state-of-the-art methodologies and algorithmic approaches which have been applied to predictive modeling of glucose concentration, ranging from simple autoregressive models of the CGM time series to multivariate nonlinear regression techniques of machine learning. Developments in the field have been analyzed with respect to: (i) feature set (univariate or multivariate), (ii) regression technique (linear or non-linear), (iii) learning mechanism (batch or sequential), (iv) development and testing procedure and (v) scaling properties. In addition, simulation models of meal-derived glucose absorption and insulin dynamics and kinetics are covered, as an integral part of glucose predictive models. This book will help engineers and clinicians to: select a regression technique which can capture both linear and non-linear dynamics in glucose metabolism in diabetes, and which exhibits good generalization performance under stationary and non-stationary conditions; ensure the scalability of the optimization algorithm (learning mechanism) with respect to the size of the dataset, provided that multiple days of patient monitoring are needed to obtain a reliable predictive model; select a features set which efficiently represents both spatial and temporal dependencies between the input variables and the glucose concentration; select simulation models of subcutaneous insulin absorption and meal absorption; identify an appropriate validation procedure, and identify realistic performance measures. Describes fundamentals of modeling techniques as applied to glucose control Covers model selection process and model validation Offers computer code on a companion website to show implementation of models and algorithms Features the latest developments in the field of diabetes predictive modeling
Publisher: Academic Press
ISBN: 0128051469
Category : Computers
Languages : en
Pages : 253
Book Description
Personalized Predictive Modeling in Diabetes features state-of-the-art methodologies and algorithmic approaches which have been applied to predictive modeling of glucose concentration, ranging from simple autoregressive models of the CGM time series to multivariate nonlinear regression techniques of machine learning. Developments in the field have been analyzed with respect to: (i) feature set (univariate or multivariate), (ii) regression technique (linear or non-linear), (iii) learning mechanism (batch or sequential), (iv) development and testing procedure and (v) scaling properties. In addition, simulation models of meal-derived glucose absorption and insulin dynamics and kinetics are covered, as an integral part of glucose predictive models. This book will help engineers and clinicians to: select a regression technique which can capture both linear and non-linear dynamics in glucose metabolism in diabetes, and which exhibits good generalization performance under stationary and non-stationary conditions; ensure the scalability of the optimization algorithm (learning mechanism) with respect to the size of the dataset, provided that multiple days of patient monitoring are needed to obtain a reliable predictive model; select a features set which efficiently represents both spatial and temporal dependencies between the input variables and the glucose concentration; select simulation models of subcutaneous insulin absorption and meal absorption; identify an appropriate validation procedure, and identify realistic performance measures. Describes fundamentals of modeling techniques as applied to glucose control Covers model selection process and model validation Offers computer code on a companion website to show implementation of models and algorithms Features the latest developments in the field of diabetes predictive modeling
PREDICTIVE MODELS TO RISK ANALYSIS WITH NEURAL NETWORKS. REGRESSION AND DECISION TREES
Author:
Publisher: CESAR PEREZ
ISBN: 100897952X
Category :
Languages : en
Pages : 222
Book Description
The essential aim of this book is to use predictive models to analyze risk. Models of decision trees, regression and neural networks are used to predict various risk categories. This book shows you how to build decision tree models to predict a categorical target and how to build regression tree models and neural network models to predict a continuous target. Successive chapters present examples that clarify the application of the models in the field of risk. The examples are solved step by step with SAS Enterprise Miner in order to make easier the understanding of the methodologies used. The book begins by introducing the basics of creating a project, manipulating data sources, and navigating through different results windows. Data Mining tools are used to build the main risk models: Decision Tree, Neural Network, and Regression.
Publisher: CESAR PEREZ
ISBN: 100897952X
Category :
Languages : en
Pages : 222
Book Description
The essential aim of this book is to use predictive models to analyze risk. Models of decision trees, regression and neural networks are used to predict various risk categories. This book shows you how to build decision tree models to predict a categorical target and how to build regression tree models and neural network models to predict a continuous target. Successive chapters present examples that clarify the application of the models in the field of risk. The examples are solved step by step with SAS Enterprise Miner in order to make easier the understanding of the methodologies used. The book begins by introducing the basics of creating a project, manipulating data sources, and navigating through different results windows. Data Mining tools are used to build the main risk models: Decision Tree, Neural Network, and Regression.
Science and Judgment in Risk Assessment
Author: National Research Council
Publisher: National Academies Press
ISBN: 030904894X
Category : Science
Languages : en
Pages : 668
Book Description
The public depends on competent risk assessment from the federal government and the scientific community to grapple with the threat of pollution. When risk reports turn out to be overblownâ€"or when risks are overlookedâ€"public skepticism abounds. This comprehensive and readable book explores how the U.S. Environmental Protection Agency (EPA) can improve its risk assessment practices, with a focus on implementation of the 1990 Clean Air Act Amendments. With a wealth of detailed information, pertinent examples, and revealing analysis, the volume explores the "default option" and other basic concepts. It offers two views of EPA operations: The first examines how EPA currently assesses exposure to hazardous air pollutants, evaluates the toxicity of a substance, and characterizes the risk to the public. The second, more holistic, view explores how EPA can improve in several critical areas of risk assessment by focusing on cross-cutting themes and incorporating more scientific judgment. This comprehensive volume will be important to the EPA and other agencies, risk managers, environmental advocates, scientists, faculty, students, and concerned individuals.
Publisher: National Academies Press
ISBN: 030904894X
Category : Science
Languages : en
Pages : 668
Book Description
The public depends on competent risk assessment from the federal government and the scientific community to grapple with the threat of pollution. When risk reports turn out to be overblownâ€"or when risks are overlookedâ€"public skepticism abounds. This comprehensive and readable book explores how the U.S. Environmental Protection Agency (EPA) can improve its risk assessment practices, with a focus on implementation of the 1990 Clean Air Act Amendments. With a wealth of detailed information, pertinent examples, and revealing analysis, the volume explores the "default option" and other basic concepts. It offers two views of EPA operations: The first examines how EPA currently assesses exposure to hazardous air pollutants, evaluates the toxicity of a substance, and characterizes the risk to the public. The second, more holistic, view explores how EPA can improve in several critical areas of risk assessment by focusing on cross-cutting themes and incorporating more scientific judgment. This comprehensive volume will be important to the EPA and other agencies, risk managers, environmental advocates, scientists, faculty, students, and concerned individuals.
Fundamentals of Machine Learning for Predictive Data Analytics, second edition
Author: John D. Kelleher
Publisher: MIT Press
ISBN: 0262361108
Category : Computers
Languages : en
Pages : 853
Book Description
The second edition of a comprehensive introduction to machine learning approaches used in predictive data analytics, covering both theory and practice. Machine learning is often used to build predictive models by extracting patterns from large datasets. These models are used in predictive data analytics applications including price prediction, risk assessment, predicting customer behavior, and document classification. This introductory textbook offers a detailed and focused treatment of the most important machine learning approaches used in predictive data analytics, covering both theoretical concepts and practical applications. Technical and mathematical material is augmented with explanatory worked examples, and case studies illustrate the application of these models in the broader business context. This second edition covers recent developments in machine learning, especially in a new chapter on deep learning, and two new chapters that go beyond predictive analytics to cover unsupervised learning and reinforcement learning.
Publisher: MIT Press
ISBN: 0262361108
Category : Computers
Languages : en
Pages : 853
Book Description
The second edition of a comprehensive introduction to machine learning approaches used in predictive data analytics, covering both theory and practice. Machine learning is often used to build predictive models by extracting patterns from large datasets. These models are used in predictive data analytics applications including price prediction, risk assessment, predicting customer behavior, and document classification. This introductory textbook offers a detailed and focused treatment of the most important machine learning approaches used in predictive data analytics, covering both theoretical concepts and practical applications. Technical and mathematical material is augmented with explanatory worked examples, and case studies illustrate the application of these models in the broader business context. This second edition covers recent developments in machine learning, especially in a new chapter on deep learning, and two new chapters that go beyond predictive analytics to cover unsupervised learning and reinforcement learning.
Applied Predictive Modeling
Author: Max Kuhn
Publisher: Springer Science & Business Media
ISBN: 1461468493
Category : Medical
Languages : en
Pages : 595
Book Description
Applied Predictive Modeling covers the overall predictive modeling process, beginning with the crucial steps of data preprocessing, data splitting and foundations of model tuning. The text then provides intuitive explanations of numerous common and modern regression and classification techniques, always with an emphasis on illustrating and solving real data problems. The text illustrates all parts of the modeling process through many hands-on, real-life examples, and every chapter contains extensive R code for each step of the process. This multi-purpose text can be used as an introduction to predictive models and the overall modeling process, a practitioner’s reference handbook, or as a text for advanced undergraduate or graduate level predictive modeling courses. To that end, each chapter contains problem sets to help solidify the covered concepts and uses data available in the book’s R package. This text is intended for a broad audience as both an introduction to predictive models as well as a guide to applying them. Non-mathematical readers will appreciate the intuitive explanations of the techniques while an emphasis on problem-solving with real data across a wide variety of applications will aid practitioners who wish to extend their expertise. Readers should have knowledge of basic statistical ideas, such as correlation and linear regression analysis. While the text is biased against complex equations, a mathematical background is needed for advanced topics.
Publisher: Springer Science & Business Media
ISBN: 1461468493
Category : Medical
Languages : en
Pages : 595
Book Description
Applied Predictive Modeling covers the overall predictive modeling process, beginning with the crucial steps of data preprocessing, data splitting and foundations of model tuning. The text then provides intuitive explanations of numerous common and modern regression and classification techniques, always with an emphasis on illustrating and solving real data problems. The text illustrates all parts of the modeling process through many hands-on, real-life examples, and every chapter contains extensive R code for each step of the process. This multi-purpose text can be used as an introduction to predictive models and the overall modeling process, a practitioner’s reference handbook, or as a text for advanced undergraduate or graduate level predictive modeling courses. To that end, each chapter contains problem sets to help solidify the covered concepts and uses data available in the book’s R package. This text is intended for a broad audience as both an introduction to predictive models as well as a guide to applying them. Non-mathematical readers will appreciate the intuitive explanations of the techniques while an emphasis on problem-solving with real data across a wide variety of applications will aid practitioners who wish to extend their expertise. Readers should have knowledge of basic statistical ideas, such as correlation and linear regression analysis. While the text is biased against complex equations, a mathematical background is needed for advanced topics.