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Author: James Lewis Klingerman Publisher: ISBN: Category : Battle casualties Languages : en Pages : 0
Book Description
The thesis develops a model for the prediction of officer losses from the United States Marine Corps. The model is developed through the analysis of past data. From this analysis, the thesis shows what prediction values are required in order to develop the model. Some calculations are made to show the nature and scope of the required predictors. The author discusses an operational model to be constructed in order to better estimate the value of this approach to officer personnel attrition prediction in the United States Marine Corps. (Author).
Author: James Lewis Klingerman Publisher: ISBN: Category : Battle casualties Languages : en Pages : 0
Book Description
The thesis develops a model for the prediction of officer losses from the United States Marine Corps. The model is developed through the analysis of past data. From this analysis, the thesis shows what prediction values are required in order to develop the model. Some calculations are made to show the nature and scope of the required predictors. The author discusses an operational model to be constructed in order to better estimate the value of this approach to officer personnel attrition prediction in the United States Marine Corps. (Author).
Author: James V. Marrone Publisher: ISBN: 9781977404121 Category : Business & Economics Languages : en Pages : 106
Book Description
The author analyzes first-term attrition, using administrative data for all accessions across four military service branches in fiscal years 2002 through 2013 to show what characteristics predict attrition across the first 36 months of service.
Author: William E. O'Brien Publisher: ISBN: 9781423508502 Category : Languages : en Pages : 100
Book Description
This thesis estimates multivariate models to analyze the determinants of retention to ten years of commissioned service and retention until retirement eligibility of Marine Corps officers by commissioning program. Using data from the Marine Corps Commissioned Officer Accession Career file (MCCOAC), logistic regression models are specified to predict Marine Corps Officer retention behavior. The models specify retention as a function of commissioning program, The Basic School (TB S) graduation rank, General Classification Test (GCT) score, ethnicity, marital status and Military Occupational Specialty (MO S). The findings reveal that those officers commissioned through the MECEP program were 55 percent more likely to stay in until their tenth year of service than officers commissioned via the United States Naval Academy. It was also found that there were no significant differences between commissioning programs in explaining retention to-retirement behavior. Based on the results of the analysis, it is recommended that increasing the number of MECEP candidates may reduce officer attrition and increase the Marine Corps' return on investment in its commissioning programs.
Author: Publisher: ISBN: Category : Males Languages : en Pages : 68
Book Description
This thesis examines factors which influence the retention of male, company-grade Marine Corps officers (grades O-1 to O-3) who are within their initial period of obligated service. Data used combined responses from the 1985 DoD Survey of Officer and Enlisted Personnel and the respondents' 1989 status from the officer master fine maintained by the Defense Manpower Data Center (DMDC). Logit regression was used to measure the relative importance of a broad range of factors for retention. These included: biographic and demographic characteristics, tenure data, perception of external job opportunities, and satisfaction with various aspects of military life. Results indicated that the individual's marital/dependent status, commissioning source, military occupational specialty, race, and satisfaction with specific intrinsic and extrinsic aspects of the military job are most important in predicting the retention behavior of junior Marine Corp officers with no less than 12 months of service and no more than seven and one-half years of active service. These findings can provide manpower planners with information to project and manage future retention levels of company-grade officers and to identify possible shortfalls in critical occupational specialties.
Author: Publisher: ISBN: Category : Manpower Languages : en Pages : 70
Book Description
Each year, manpower planners at Headquarters Marine Corps must forecast the enlisted force structure in order to properly shape it according to a goal, or target force structure. Currently the First Term Alignment Plan (FTAP) Model and Subsequent Term Alignment Plan (STAP) Model are used to determine the number of required reenlistments by Marine military occupational specialty (MOS) and grade. By request of Headquarters Marine Corps, Manpower and Reserve Affairs, this thesis and another, by Captain J.D. Raymond, begin the effort to create one forecasting model that will eventually perform the functions of both the FTAP and STAP models. This thesis predicts the number of reenlistments for first- and subsequent-term Marines using data from the Marine Corps' Total Force Data Warehouse (TFDW). Demographic and service-related variables from fiscal year 2004 were used to create logistic regression models for the FY2005 first-term and subsequent-term reenlistment populations. Classification trees were grown to assist in variable selection and modification. Logistic regression models were compared based on overall fit of the predictions to the FY2005 data. Combined with other research, this thesis can provide Marine manpower planners a means to forecast future force structure by MOS and grade.
Author: Publisher: ISBN: Category : Languages : en Pages : 92
Book Description
Each year, manpower planners at Headquarters Marine Corps must forecast the enlisted force structure in order to properly shape it according to a goal, or target force structure. Currently the First Term Alignment Plan (FTAP) Model and Subsequent Term Alignment Plan (STAP) Model are used to determine the number of required reenlistments by Marine military occupational specialty (MOS) and grade. By request of Headquarters Marine Corps, Manpower and Reserve Affairs, this thesis and another, by Captain J.D. Raymond, begin the effort to create one forecasting model that will eventually perform the functions of both the FTAP and STAP models. This thesis predicts the number of reenlistments for first- and subsequent-term Marines using data from the Marine Corps Total Force Data Warehouse (TFDW). Demographic and service-related variables from fiscal year 2004 were used to create logistic regression models for the FY2005 first-term and subsequent-term reenlistment populations. Classification trees were grown to assist in variable selection and modification. Logistic regression models were compared based on overall fit of the predictions to the FY2005 data. Combined with other research, this thesis can provide Marine manpower planners a means to forecast future force structure by MOS and grade.
Author: Donald B. McNeill, Jr. Publisher: ISBN: 9781423507284 Category : Languages : en Pages : 91
Book Description
All officers commissioned in the Marine Corps except those from the Naval Academy are required to successfully complete an intense screening program at Officer Candidates School (OCS). The Marine Corps is attempting to improve its officer selection process and reduce attrition at OCS by determining which candidates it should recruit and send to OCS. In late 2000, the Marine Corps Combat Development Command (MCCDC) commissioned a 67-question survey that has been given to all candidates entering OCS since fall of 2000. The results of this survey were used to build models to estimate the probability of success of candidates based upon responses to the survey and other demographic data. One model created from this survey was used to build a computer desktop tool that officers may use to assist in selecting the candidates who have the highest probability of success at OCS and in preparing them for the rigors of OCS. This tool produced estimates of graduation probabilities for a test set of candidates that were very highly correlated with the actual graduation rates.
Author: Publisher: ISBN: Category : Manpower policy Languages : en Pages : 183
Book Description
The purpose of this thesis is to identify and evaluate factors that affect retention and promotion of mid-grade officers in the U.S. Marine Corps. The analysis includes evaluation of survival patterns to ten-years of commissioned service and promotion patterns to O-4 and O-5. The primary goal is to explain the effect of an officers2 primary military occupational specialty (PMOS) on retention and promotion. The Marine Corps Commissioned Officer Accession Career (MCCOAC) data file contains cohort information from FY 1980 through FY 1999 and includes 27,659 observations. Using data from the MCCOAC data file, logistic regression and Cox Proportional Hazard models are used to estimate the effects of an officer2s PMOS on survival and promotion patterns of Marine Corps officers. The findings indicate that an officers PMOS is significantly associated with whether an officer stays until 10 YCS or is promoted to O-4 or O-5. Logistic regression results show that pilot PMOSs are positively correlated with surviving until 10 YCS, but are negatively correlated with promotion to O-4, when compared to Infantry. The results also find that the remaining PMOSs are negatively correlated with whether and officer survives until 10 YCS, when compared to Infantry. In addition, only three PMOSs (0402, 7202, and 7523) are positively correlated with whether an officer is promoted to O-4 or O-5. Finally, the Cox Proportional Hazard results show the effect of having a particular PMOS or occupational field on the hazards of separation and promotion.
Author: James Lewis Klingerman
Author: James Lewis Klingerman
Author: United States. General Accounting Office
Author: James V. Marrone
Author: Amanda R. Webb
Author: William E. O'Brien
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Author: 
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Author: Donald B. McNeill, Jr.
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