Post-Earnings-Announcement Drift in Global Markets PDF Download

Author: Mingyi Hung
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category :
Languages : en
Pages : 52

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Book Description
We investigate whether and how an exogenous and unprecedented improvement in the quality of non-U.S. firms' financial reporting affects post-earnings-announcement drift (PEAD). We find that PEAD declines after the information shock, and the decrease is more pronounced among firms with fewer concurrent earnings announcements, higher institutional holdings, and lower limits-to-arbitrage, and in countries with stronger enforcement. In addition, the decrease in PEAD is primarily driven by firms with greater changes in financial reporting, and an increase in analyst forecast accuracy, institutional ownership, and liquidity. Taken together, these findings support the mispricing explanation of PEAD in an international setting.

Author: Michael M. Grayson
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category :
Languages : en
Pages : 61

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Book Description
This study addresses the issue of post-earnings-announcement drift. According to the present theory of how capital markets behave, the drift cannot occur if either the capital asset pricing model (CAPM) or the efficient market hypothesis (EMH) is valid. The drift is a drift away from the CAPM price, which means that CAPM cannot be how the market mechanically determines prices. The drift has been known since at least 1968, which means that an allegedly efficient market knows of the drift, yet does not take the drift into account in setting prices and thereby drive the drift out of existence. The existence of the drift means that the market cannot be completely efficient even within a time frame of three months.This article uses economic modeling to analyze the drift and the results of a field study to explain why it occurs. This article also explains (1) why the size of the drift varies by size of the company, (2) that the market is not efficient, (3) why stock prices tend to rise after a stock split, and (4) some of the incentives for managements to smooth earnings.

Author: Leonard Zacks
Publisher: John Wiley & Sons
ISBN: 1118127765
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 352

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Book Description
Investment pioneer Len Zacks presents the latest academic research on how to beat the market using equity anomalies The Handbook of Equity Market Anomalies organizes and summarizes research carried out by hundreds of finance and accounting professors over the last twenty years to identify and measure equity market inefficiencies and provides self-directed individual investors with a framework for incorporating the results of this research into their own investment processes. Edited by Len Zacks, CEO of Zacks Investment Research, and written by leading professors who have performed groundbreaking research on specific anomalies, this book succinctly summarizes the most important anomalies that savvy investors have used for decades to beat the market. Some of the anomalies addressed include the accrual anomaly, net stock anomalies, fundamental anomalies, estimate revisions, changes in and levels of broker recommendations, earnings-per-share surprises, insider trading, price momentum and technical analysis, value and size anomalies, and several seasonal anomalies. This reliable resource also provides insights on how to best use the various anomalies in both market neutral and in long investor portfolios. A treasure trove of investment research and wisdom, the book will save you literally thousands of hours by distilling the essence of twenty years of academic research into eleven clear chapters and providing the framework and conviction to develop market-beating strategies. Strips the academic jargon from the research and highlights the actual returns generated by the anomalies, and documented in the academic literature Provides a theoretical framework within which to understand the concepts of risk adjusted returns and market inefficiencies Anomalies are selected by Len Zacks, a pioneer in the field of investing As the founder of Zacks Investment Research, Len Zacks pioneered the concept of the earnings-per-share surprise in 1982 and developed the Zacks Rank, one of the first anomaly-based stock selection tools. Today, his firm manages U.S. equities for individual and institutional investors and provides investment software and investment data to all types of investors. Now, with his new book, he shows you what it takes to build a quant process to outperform an index based on academically documented market inefficiencies and anomalies.

Author: Dennis Y. Chung
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category :
Languages : en
Pages :

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Book Description
We examine whether the post-earnings announcement drift (PEAD) varies cross-sectionally with short-horizon return predictability from order flows, which characterizes the information environment and reflects the extent to which information is efficiently impounded in prices. We first demonstrate that this proxy for market efficiency (developed by Chordia, Roll, and Subrahmanyam 2008) captures the degree of market frictions that limit arbitrage activities. We then present evidence that the inverse of short-horizon return predictability is negatively associated with the PEAD and remains statistically and economically significant after controlling for a wide range of explanatory variables used in prior research. Finally, although we find that profits of implementing the PEAD trading strategy are significantly reduced by transaction costs, we demonstrate that profits continue to remain statistically and economically significant for the less efficient firms that face otherwise higher barriers to arbitrage. Our results indicate that short-horizon return predictability from order flows better explains stock returns after earnings announcements.

Author: Ping Zhou
Publisher: FT Press
ISBN: 0132947404
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 258

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Book Description
By trading on corporate earnings, investors can reliably profit in both up and down markets, while avoiding market risk for nearly the entire quarter. In this book, two leading traders and portfolio managers present specific, actionable techniques anyone can use to capture these sizable profits. Ping Zhou and John Shon have performed an unprecedented empirical analysis of thousands of stocks, reviewing tens of millions of data points associated with option prices, earnings announcement returns, and fundamentals. Their massive analysis has identified consistent opportunities associated with focusing on the magnitude of the market’s reaction to earnings, not its direction. Option Trading Set-Ups for Corporate Earnings News offers concrete guidance for improving the likelihood of making correct forecasts, and managing the risks of incorrect forecasts. It introduces several ways to exploit option trading opportunities around earnings news, discuss crucial issues that most retail investors haven’t considered, and explore aspects of earnings-related option trading that have never been empirically examined and documented before. For example, they identify hidden patterns and potential opportunities based on valuation, industry, volatility, analyst forecasts, seasonality, and trades that immediately follow earnings announcements. Simply put, trading on earnings reports offers immense profit opportunities, if you know how. This book provides incontrovertible facts and detailed strategies, not just theories and anecdotes!

Author: Tomas Tomcany
Publisher: LAP Lambert Academic Publishing
ISBN: 9783843367813
Category :
Languages : en
Pages : 92

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Book Description
It is a well documented finding in finance theory that share prices drift in the direction of firms' unexpected earnings changes, a phenomenom known as post-earnings announcement drift, or earnings momentum. In this book, I study the stock prices' reaction to firms' quarterly earnings announcements. The book shows that the timeframe in which the drift occurs is related to the size of a firm and is limited in time after the earnings announcement. I further analyze the effect of the number of analysts covering a firm on the magnitude and persistance of post-earnings announcement drift. I document that recent analyst coverage predicts large drifts after the earnings announcements. I suggest several possible explanations, but the evidence seems most consistent with recent analyst coverage providing information about investor (or analyst) expectations regarding firm's future earnings. This book should be useful to professionals in Financial Economics, especially to those interested in Behavioral Finance in stock markets, but also to equity analysts, traders or investors interested in the stocks' response to earnings news.

Author: Lihong Liang
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category :
Languages : en
Pages :

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Book Description
Prior research has been unable to explain the phenomenon known as post-earnings announcement drift, raising questions concerning the semi-strong form efficiency of the market typically assumed in capital market research. This study contributes to our understanding of this anomaly by examining drift in the context of theories that consider investors' non-Bayesian behaviors. The empirical evidence reveals that investors' overconfidence about their private information and the reliability of the earnings information are two important factors that explain drift. Finally, this study also provides insight into the puzzling relationship between dispersion and drift discussed in prior research.

Author: Justin Cox
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category :
Languages : en
Pages : 33

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Book Description
This study examines the effects of dark and lit market fragmentation around both earnings announcements and earnings surprises. I find that both dark and lit market fragmentation increase around earnings announcements. I further test whether dark and lit fragmentation hinders the level of price discovery around the earnings announcement, resulting in greater post-earnings announcement drift, PEAD. My analysis reveals that lit fragmentation has no significant impact on PEAD while dark fragmentation reduces the level of PEAD for stocks with positive earnings surprises consistent with the notion that dark venues capture more uninformed trading around positive news events, resulting in greater informed trading and higher informational efficiency on the lit venue. However, my results also indicate that dark fragmentation leads to stronger PEAD for stocks with negative earnings surprises. This last finding suggests that informed traders migrate to dark venues around negative earnings surprise, consistent with previous literature that argues informed traders follow passive trading strategies around negative news events.

Author: Frank J. Fabozzi
Publisher: John Wiley & Sons
ISBN: 0470262478
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 528

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Book Description
A comprehensive look at the tools and techniques used in quantitative equity management Some books attempt to extend portfolio theory, but the real issue today relates to the practical implementation of the theory introduced by Harry Markowitz and others who followed. The purpose of this book is to close the implementation gap by presenting state-of-the art quantitative techniques and strategies for managing equity portfolios. Throughout these pages, Frank Fabozzi, Sergio Focardi, and Petter Kolm address the essential elements of this discipline, including financial model building, financial engineering, static and dynamic factor models, asset allocation, portfolio models, transaction costs, trading strategies, and much more. They also provide ample illustrations and thorough discussions of implementation issues facing those in the investment management business and include the necessary background material in probability, statistics, and econometrics to make the book self-contained. Written by a solid author team who has extensive financial experience in this area Presents state-of-the art quantitative strategies for managing equity portfolios Focuses on the implementation of quantitative equity asset management Outlines effective analysis, optimization methods, and risk models In today's financial environment, you have to have the skills to analyze, optimize and manage the risk of your quantitative equity investments. This guide offers you the best information available to achieve this goal.

Author: Xin Cui
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category :
Languages : en
Pages : 65

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Book Description
We examine the role of investors' beliefs in determining the post earnings announcement drift (PEAD). Specifically, we propose a technique to estimate the belief parameters of the informed and uninformed investors, based on which we define the uninformed investors' information acceptance ratio (IAR). We demonstrate that IAR is a key factor determining the length of PEAD. IAR also explains the post announcement returns and the risk increases. Furthermore, we show that the earnings announcements contain both the hard and soft information. The hard information reduces uncertainty, whereas the soft information enhances uncertainty. And the latter effect dominates the former.