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Portfolio Complexity and Herd Behavior

Portfolio Complexity and Herd Behavior PDF Author: Alexander Franck
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category :
Languages : en
Pages : 33

Book Description
We examine the herd behavior among equity funds in Germany based on a large sample of funds from 2000 to 2009. We show that a large portion of the detected herding can be explained by identical trading among funds of the same investment company. However, we also find statistically significant stock herding among funds belonging to different fund families. In contrast to existing herding studies which analyze herd behavior within a purely national stock environment, we investigate mutual fund herding in international stocks. We contribute to the literature by analyzing the impact of portfolio complexity on herd behavior. We find the most pronounced levels of herding for funds choosing their portfolio stocks from a broad, international and therefore complex investment universe. Further, we approximate a fund's portfolio complexity by its size and find high levels of herding among the biggest funds. To analyze the herd behavior of individual funds, we introduce a new and intuitive way to assign levels of herding to funds according to their trading activity within a given period. We show that managers differentiate between buy-herding and sell-herding and that individual funds exhibit similar herding intensities within a given and a succeeding period.

Portfolio Complexity and Herd Behavior

Portfolio Complexity and Herd Behavior PDF Author: Alexander Franck
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category :
Languages : en
Pages : 33

Book Description
We examine the herd behavior among equity funds in Germany based on a large sample of funds from 2000 to 2009. We show that a large portion of the detected herding can be explained by identical trading among funds of the same investment company. However, we also find statistically significant stock herding among funds belonging to different fund families. In contrast to existing herding studies which analyze herd behavior within a purely national stock environment, we investigate mutual fund herding in international stocks. We contribute to the literature by analyzing the impact of portfolio complexity on herd behavior. We find the most pronounced levels of herding for funds choosing their portfolio stocks from a broad, international and therefore complex investment universe. Further, we approximate a fund's portfolio complexity by its size and find high levels of herding among the biggest funds. To analyze the herd behavior of individual funds, we introduce a new and intuitive way to assign levels of herding to funds according to their trading activity within a given period. We show that managers differentiate between buy-herding and sell-herding and that individual funds exhibit similar herding intensities within a given and a succeeding period.

Herd Behavior in Financial Markets

Herd Behavior in Financial Markets PDF Author: Sushil Bikhchandani
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category : Capital market
Languages : en
Pages : 38

Book Description


Herd Behavior in Financial Markets

Herd Behavior in Financial Markets PDF Author: Marco Cipriani
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category : Capitalists and financiers
Languages : en
Pages : 0

Book Description
We study herd behavior in a laboratory financial market with financial market professionals. We compare two treatments, one in which the price adjusts to the order flow so that herding should never occur, and one in which event uncertainty makes herding possible. In the first treatment, subjects herd seldom, in accordance with both the theory and previous experimental evidence on student subjects. A proportion of subjects, however, engage in contrarianism, something not accounted for by the theory. In the second treatment, the proportion of herding decisions increases, but not as much as theory suggests; moreover, contrarianism disappears altogether.

Behavioral Rationality and Heterogeneous Expectations in Complex Economic Systems

Behavioral Rationality and Heterogeneous Expectations in Complex Economic Systems PDF Author: Cars Hommes
Publisher: Cambridge University Press
ISBN: 1139619780
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 273

Book Description
Recognising that the economy is a complex system with boundedly rational interacting agents, the book presents a theory of behavioral rationality and heterogeneous expectations in complex economic systems and confronts the nonlinear dynamic models with empirical stylized facts and laboratory experiments. The complexity modeling paradigm has been strongly advocated since the late 1980s by some economists and by multidisciplinary scientists from various fields, such as physics, computer science and biology. More recently the complexity view has also drawn the attention of policy makers, who are faced with complex phenomena, irregular fluctuations and sudden, unpredictable market transitions. The complexity tools - bifurcations, chaos, multiple equilibria - discussed in this book will help students, researchers and policy makers to build more realistic behavioral models with heterogeneous expectations to describe financial market movements and macro-economic fluctuations, in order to better manage crises in a complex global economy.

The Complex Dynamics of Economic Interaction

The Complex Dynamics of Economic Interaction PDF Author: Mauro Gallegati
Publisher: Springer Science & Business Media
ISBN: 3642170455
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 404

Book Description
The economy is examined by the authors as a complex interactive system. The emphasis is on the direct interaction between agents rather than on the indirect and autonomous interaction through the market mechanism. Contributions from economists and physicists emphasise the consequences for aggregate behaviour of the interaction between agents with limited rationality. Models of financial markets which exhibit many of the stylised facts of empirical markets such as bubbles, herd behaviour and long memory are presented. This includes contributions on bargaining, buyer-seller relations, the evolution of economic networks and several aspects of macro-economic behaviour. This book will be of interest to all those interested in the foundations of collective social and economic behaviour and in particular, to those concerned with the dynamics of market behaviour and recent applications of physics to economics.

Herd Behavior in Financial Markets

Herd Behavior in Financial Markets PDF Author: Antonio Guarino
Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND
ISBN: 9781451869996
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 28

Book Description
We study herd behavior in a laboratory financial market with financial market professionals. We compare two treatments, one in which the price adjusts to the order flow so that herding should never occur, and one in which event uncertainty makes herding possible. In the first treatment, subjects herd seldom, in accordance with both the theory and previous experimental evidence on student subjects. A proportion of subjects, however, engage in contrarianism, something not accounted for by the theory. In the second treatment, the proportion of herding decisions increases, but not as much as theory suggests; moreover, contrarianism disappears altogether.

Complex Systems in Finance and Econometrics

Complex Systems in Finance and Econometrics PDF Author: Robert A. Meyers
Publisher: Springer Science & Business Media
ISBN: 1441977007
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 919

Book Description
Finance, Econometrics and System Dynamics presents an overview of the concepts and tools for analyzing complex systems in a wide range of fields. The text integrates complexity with deterministic equations and concepts from real world examples, and appeals to a broad audience.

Economic Complexity and Equilibrium Illusion

Economic Complexity and Equilibrium Illusion PDF Author: Ping Chen
Publisher: Routledge
ISBN: 1136994874
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 585

Book Description
The Principle of Large Numbers indicates that macro fluctuations have weak microfoundations; persistent business cycles and interrupted technologies can be better characterized by macro vitality and meso foundations. Economic growth is limited by market extent and ecological constraints. The trade-off between stability and complexity is the foundation of cultural diversity and mixed economies. The new science of complexity sheds light on the sources of economic instability and complexity. This book consists of the major work of Professor Ping Chen, a pioneer in studying economic chaos and economic complexity. They are selected from works completed since 1987, including original research on the evolutionary dynamics of the division of labour, empirical and theoretical studies of economic chaos and stochastic models of collective behavior. Offering a new perspective on market instability and the changing world order, the basic pillars in equilibrium economics are challenged by solid evidence of economic complexity and time asymmetry, including Friedman’s theory of exogenous money and efficient market, the Frisch model of noise-driven cycles, the Lucas model of microfoundations and rational expectations, the Black-Scholes model of option pricing, and the Coase theory of transaction costs. Throughout, a general theory based on complex evolutionary economics is developed, which integrates different insights from Marx, Marshall, Schumpeter, Keynes and offers a new understanding of the evolutionary history of division of labour. This book will be of interest to postgraduates and researchers in Economics, including macroeconomics, financial economics, advanced econometrics and economic methodology.

Event Study

Event Study PDF Author: Fouad Sabry
Publisher: One Billion Knowledgeable
ISBN:
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 313

Book Description
What is Event Study In the field of statistics, an event study is a procedure that is used to evaluate the effects of an event. How you will benefit (I) Insights, and validations about the following topics: Chapter 1: Event study Chapter 2: Finance Chapter 3: Mergers and acquisitions Chapter 4: Financial economics Chapter 5: Technical analysis Chapter 6: Efficient-market hypothesis Chapter 7: Arbitrage pricing theory Chapter 8: Beta (finance) Chapter 9: Abnormal return Chapter 10: Financial econometrics Chapter 11: Market anomaly Chapter 12: Random walk hypothesis Chapter 13: Algorithmic trading Chapter 14: Experimental finance Chapter 15: Earnings response coefficient Chapter 16: Experience Economy Chapter 17: Fama-French three-factor model Chapter 18: Jonathan Kinlay Chapter 19: Fossil Fuel Beta Chapter 20: Quantitative analysis (finance) Chapter 21: Share price (II) Answering the public top questions about event study. (III) Real world examples for the usage of event study in many fields. Who this book is for Professionals, undergraduate and graduate students, enthusiasts, hobbyists, and those who want to go beyond basic knowledge or information for any kind of Event Study.

The Behavioral Portfolio

The Behavioral Portfolio PDF Author: Phillip Toews
Publisher:
ISBN: 0857197444
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 0

Book Description
Investment advisors face two challenges. First, the portfolios that we offer clients leave investors vulnerable to severe economic events and emotional stress. Second, the way that we educate investors about their portfolios isn’t effective at helping them curb biases. The Behavioral Portfolio examines the risks of both stock and bond portfolios from historically comprehensive perspective to help illustrate that, based on market history, the current approach could lead to a break-down of clients’ portfolios and our practices. It then lays out an all-seasons approach for investing that both embraces optimism and addresses contingencies of significant risk events. Once portfolios are built according to these new parameters, portfolio communications ar shifted to pro-actively prepare investors for challenges ahead. Instead of following the crowd and shifting out of assets at unfavorable time, investors are trained to both understand the markets and to think counter-intuitively. Behavioral portfolios and communications allows investors to enjoy a higher probability of success and greater peace of mind throughout their investing lives.