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Policy and Spillover Analysis in the World Economy

Policy and Spillover Analysis in the World Economy PDF Author: Francis Vitek
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
ISBN: 1616355786
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 95

Book Description
This paper develops a structural macroeconometric model of the world economy, disaggregated into forty national economies. This panel dynamic stochastic general equilibrium model features a range of nominal and real rigidities, extensive macrofinancial linkages, and diverse spillover transmission channels. A variety of monetary policy analysis, fiscal policy analysis, spillover analysis, and forecasting applications of the estimated model are demonstrated. These include quantifying the monetary and fiscal transmission mechanisms, accounting for business cycle fluctuations, and generating relatively accurate forecasts of inflation and output growth.

Policy and Spillover Analysis in the World Economy

Policy and Spillover Analysis in the World Economy PDF Author: Francis Vitek
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
ISBN: 1616355786
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 95

Book Description
This paper develops a structural macroeconometric model of the world economy, disaggregated into forty national economies. This panel dynamic stochastic general equilibrium model features a range of nominal and real rigidities, extensive macrofinancial linkages, and diverse spillover transmission channels. A variety of monetary policy analysis, fiscal policy analysis, spillover analysis, and forecasting applications of the estimated model are demonstrated. These include quantifying the monetary and fiscal transmission mechanisms, accounting for business cycle fluctuations, and generating relatively accurate forecasts of inflation and output growth.

Policy, Risk and Spillover Analysis in the World Economy

Policy, Risk and Spillover Analysis in the World Economy PDF Author: Francis Vitek
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
ISBN: 1475592809
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 122

Book Description
This paper develops a structural macroeconometric model of the world economy, disaggregated into forty national economies, to facilitate multilaterally consistent macrofinancial policy, risk and spillover analysis. This panel dynamic stochastic general equilibrium model features a range of nominal and real rigidities, extensive macrofinancial linkages, and diverse spillover transmission channels. These macrofinancial linkages encompass bank and capital market based financial intermediation, with financial accelerator mechanisms linked to the values of the housing and physical capital stocks. A variety of monetary policy analysis, fiscal policy analysis, macroprudential policy analysis, spillover analysis, and forecasting applications of the estimated model are demonstrated. These include quantifying the monetary, fiscal and macroprudential transmission mechanisms, accounting for business cycle fluctuations, and generating relatively accurate forecasts of inflation and output growth.

Policy Analysis and Forecasting in the World Economy

Policy Analysis and Forecasting in the World Economy PDF Author: Francis Vitek
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
ISBN: 1484314603
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 89

Book Description
This paper develops a structural macroeconometric model of the world economy, disaggregated into thirty five national economies. This panel unobserved components model encompasses an approximate linear panel dynamic stochastic general equilibrium model featuring a monetary transmission mechanism, a fiscal transmission mechanism, and extensive macrofinancial linkages, both within and across economies. A variety of monetary policy analysis, fiscal policy analysis, spillover analysis, and forecasting applications of the estimated model are demonstrated, based on a Bayesian framework for conditioning on judgment.

Policy Analysis and Forecasting in the World Economy

Policy Analysis and Forecasting in the World Economy PDF Author: Francis Vitek
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
ISBN: 1475599560
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 77

Book Description
This paper develops a structural macroeconometric model of the world economy, disaggregated into thirty five national economies. This panel unobserved components model features a monetary transmission mechanism, a fiscal transmission mechanism, and extensive macrofinancial linkages, both within and across economies. A variety of monetary policy analysis, fiscal policy analysis, spillover analysis, and forecasting applications of the estimated model are demonstrated, based on a Bayesian framework for conditioning on judgment.

Policy, Risk and Spillover Analysis in the World Economy

Policy, Risk and Spillover Analysis in the World Economy PDF Author: Francis Vitek
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
ISBN: 1475592752
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 122

Book Description
This paper develops a structural macroeconometric model of the world economy, disaggregated into forty national economies, to facilitate multilaterally consistent macrofinancial policy, risk and spillover analysis. This panel dynamic stochastic general equilibrium model features a range of nominal and real rigidities, extensive macrofinancial linkages, and diverse spillover transmission channels. These macrofinancial linkages encompass bank and capital market based financial intermediation, with financial accelerator mechanisms linked to the values of the housing and physical capital stocks. A variety of monetary policy analysis, fiscal policy analysis, macroprudential policy analysis, spillover analysis, and forecasting applications of the estimated model are demonstrated. These include quantifying the monetary, fiscal and macroprudential transmission mechanisms, accounting for business cycle fluctuations, and generating relatively accurate forecasts of inflation and output growth.

Spillovers to and from the Nordic Economies

Spillovers to and from the Nordic Economies PDF Author: Francis Vitek
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
ISBN: 1475513496
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 30

Book Description
This paper analyzes the transmission of shocks and policies among and across the Nordic economies and the rest of the world. This spillover analysis is based on a pair of estimated structural macroeconometric models of the world economy, disaggregated into thirty five national economies. We find that the Nordic economies are heavily exposed to external macroeconomic and financial shocks, but have significant scope to mitigate their domestic macroeconomic impacts through coordinated policy responses, given their high degree of regional integration.

Consolidated Spillover Report - Implications from the Analysis of the Systemic-5

Consolidated Spillover Report - Implications from the Analysis of the Systemic-5 PDF Author: International Monetary Fund
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
ISBN: 1498338712
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 10

Book Description
Spillover reports explore the external effects of policies in five systemic economies based on the issues identified by partners. Without reprising all the results and nuances, this paper draws some overarching lessons from the exercise for the global policy debate.

Policy and Spillover Analysis in the World Economy

Policy and Spillover Analysis in the World Economy PDF Author: Francis Vitek
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
ISBN: 1498381154
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 95

Book Description
This paper develops a structural macroeconometric model of the world economy, disaggregated into forty national economies. This panel dynamic stochastic general equilibrium model features a range of nominal and real rigidities, extensive macrofinancial linkages, and diverse spillover transmission channels. A variety of monetary policy analysis, fiscal policy analysis, spillover analysis, and forecasting applications of the estimated model are demonstrated. These include quantifying the monetary and fiscal transmission mechanisms, accounting for business cycle fluctuations, and generating relatively accurate forecasts of inflation and output growth.

2013 Spillover Report - Analytical Underpinnings and Other Background

2013 Spillover Report - Analytical Underpinnings and Other Background PDF Author: International Monetary Fund. Asia and Pacific Dept
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
ISBN: 1498341543
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 171

Book Description
High uncertainty in general, and high policy uncertainty more specifically, can have important impact on global investment and output growth. Much of the recent policy uncertainty emanated from the United States and Europe—the world’s two largest economies. Spillovers from policy uncertainty can occur through several channels. Trade can be affected if increased policy uncertainty adversely affects economic activity and import demand in the United States and Europe. Policy uncertainty could also raise global risk aversion, resulting in sharp corrections in financial markets and capital outflows from emerging markets. This background note attempts to quantify the impact of U.S. and European policy uncertainty on other regions. Specifically, it addresses the following questions: What do we mean by policy uncertainty? How well can we measure it? How has policy uncertainty in the United States and Europe evolved during the past several decades? And how large are the spillovers to economic activity in other regions? The analysis suggests that sharp increases in U.S. and European policy uncertainty in the past have temporarily lowered investment and output in other regions to varying degrees. It also suggests that a marked decrease in policy uncertainty in the United States and Europe in the near term could help boost global investment and output.

World Economic Outlook, October 2013

World Economic Outlook, October 2013 PDF Author: International Monetary Fund. Research Dept.
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
ISBN: 1484348834
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 657

Book Description
Global growth is in low gear, and the drivers of activity are changing. These dynamics raise new policy challenges. Advanced economies are growing again but must continue financial sector repair, pursue fiscal consolidation, and spur job growth. Emerging market economies face the dual challenges of slowing growth and tighter global financial conditions. This issue of the World Economic Outlook examines the potential spillovers from these transitions and the appropriate policy responses. Chapter 3 explores how output comovements are influenced by policy and financial shocks, growth surprises, and other linkages. Chapter 4 assesses why certain emerging market economies were able to avoid the classical boom-and-bust cycle in the face of volatile capital flows during the global financial crisis.